Jhendry Ciriaco

P DSL Tampa Bay

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 186 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	11	1	27	5.06	4.90	13.0%	14.6%	—	K 8.8% · BB 18.3% · FIP 5.98
2026	20	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	10	9	36	8.00	5.10	11.8%	14.0%	—	K 8.0% · BB 17.6% · FIP 5.94
2027PROJ	21	MLB—	4	4	20	5.82	5.82	16.0%	16.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLB—	3	3	17	5.44	5.29	18.4%	13.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Martinez-Gomez (age 21) · Danny Flatt (age 20) · Luis Mora (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 127

ERA5.82

FIP5.82

K%16.0%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%-0.4%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	11	1	27	123	16	18	2	9%	2.4	8.8%	18.3%	-9.4%	2.4%	5.06	5.98	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	11	1	27	123	16	18	2	9%	2.4	8.8%	18.3%	-9.4%	2.4%	5.06	5.98	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	11	1	27	123	16	18	2	9%	2.4	13.0%	14.6%	-1.6%	1.6%	5.06	4.90	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	10	9	36	178	21	25	3	90%	3.6	8.0%	17.6%	-9.5%	2.4%	8.00	5.94	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	10	9	36	178	21	25	3	90%	3.6	8.0%	17.6%	-9.5%	2.4%	8.00	5.94	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	10	9	36	178	21	25	3	90%	3.6	11.8%	14.0%	-2.2%	1.7%	8.00	5.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	—	4	4	20	84	13	14	2	100%	5.0	16.0%	16.3%	-0.4%	3.0%	5.82	5.82	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	6	6	34	144	26	20	4	100%	5.7	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.9%	5.44	5.29	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	3	3	17	72	13	10	2	100%	5.7	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.9%	5.44	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	17	71	13	10	2	100%	5.6	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.9%	5.44	4.91	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	156	120	24	100%	5.4	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.9%	5.44	4.91	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		21	10	63	301	25	54	7	48%	3.0	8.4%	17.9%	-9.5%	2.4%	6.75	5.96	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	32	200	961	80	172	23	48%	3.0	8.4%	17.9%	-9.5%	2.4%	6.75	5.96	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhendry Ciriaco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.82	16.0%	16.3%	3.0%	—	5.29	18.4%	4.5%	34	-0.53	—	—	—
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	85
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	84
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	84
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	84
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	82
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	82
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	82
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	82
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	82
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	82
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	81
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	81
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	81
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	17.5%	14.8%	1.13	5.58
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*