Jonathan Alcantara

Jonathan AlcantaraSS FCL Phillies

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 135 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 67 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .238 / .268

PA67

HR1

K%31

BB%6

BABIP266

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	81	75	10	1	0	1	4	26	2	4	2	133	198	187	384	53	188	32	5	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	81	73	14	1	0	1	6	18	2	4	2	192	272	247	518	55	241	22	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	101	96	15	2	0	2	3	40	0	0	1	156	182	240	421	83	241	40	3	183	-2	-12	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.8
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	101	94	21	3	0	3	5	28	0	0	1	223	263	351	614	128	286	28	5	269	64	-4	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	18	ROK	PHI	0%	67	63	12	2	0	1	4	21	0	1	0	189	238	268	506	79	278	31	6	237	40	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PHI	—	101	97	15	2	0	2	3	40	0	0	1	155	182	237	419	82	236	40	3	183	-2	-12	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.8
TOT	18	ROK	PHI	—	168	159	27	4	0	3	7	61	0	1	1	169	204	251	455	82	252	36	4	205	15	-16	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	217	201	41	6	1	4	12	66	2	2	1	204	256	303	559	100	283	30	6	252	51	-12	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	350	322	69	11	2	7	21	104	4	3	1	214	271	326	597	112	285	30	6	262	59	-16	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	75	70	13	2	0	1	4	23	1	1	0	186	240	257	497	71	285	31	5	247	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	170	156	33	5	1	3	10	51	2	1	1	212	268	314	582	103	287	30	6	256	54	-9	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	245	227	46	7	1	4	14	74	3	2	1	203	259	295	554	93	280	30	6	254	52	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	123	19	3	11	37	196	8	5	3	204	261	301	562	96	281	30	6	254	52	-35	-0	+0	+7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	715	661	132	20	3	13	41	217	8	10	4	200	255	298	553	98	274	30	6	247	47	-43	+0	+0	+8	+20	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	120	18	3	12	37	197	7	9	4	200	254	300	554	100	273	30	6	247	47	-39	+0	+0	+7	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	81	73	14	1	0	1	6	18	2	4	2	192	272	247	518	55	241	22	7	245	46	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	340	6	3	209	261	308	+4	+6	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	11	6	209	261	308	+7.1	+11.7	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Alcantara (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	169/204/251	82	252	3	1	36%	4%	15	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	42	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	48	-1.9	190/252/274	84	293	7	4	35%	7%	43	-2.2	183/243/267	84	277	9	3	35%	7%	34	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Manolfi Jimenez 2023 · A	18	40	39→45	48→45	40	198/239/282	84	254	7	6	25%	4%	39	-2.5	199/247/292	93	258	7	9	25%	5%	45	-2.1	194/243/294	100	247	8	9	24%	4%	43	-0.7
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→25	39→45	48→40	42	207/266/291	84	290	6	7	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/248/280	99	275	10	4	36%	8%	43	-2.2	149/230/273	124	212	16	2	36%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Mikey Romero 2023 · A	19	44→35	41→50	53→40	41	215/263/322	107	293	7	8	29%	6%	59	-1.1	201/245/325	124	273	11	5	30%	5%	53	-1.5	189/229/334	145	256	15	3	32%	4%	47	-1.0
✕Luis Parache 2008 · A	18	41	38→45	46→45	44	198/250/278	80	257	4	5	24%	6%	43	-2.2	208/258/298	90	242	5	7	16%	6%	51	-1.7	207/255/303	96	232	4	7	13%	5%	49	-0.6
✕Nolan Perez 2017 · A	18	39	39→40	46→40	39	188/258/270	82	280	6	8	33%	6%	45	-2.1	187/235/267	80	275	6	4	33%	5%	33	-2.9	171/209/244	74	259	6	2	35%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	43→34	39→50	47→40	44	203/274/294	91	290	6	7	30%	8%	58	-1.2	194/254/317	123	294	14	5	37%	7%	56	-1.3	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Ryan Gold 2017 · A	19	44→36	39→45	49→40	42	209/262/294	85	292	5	5	29%	6%	52	-1.6	205/255/296	91	289	7	4	30%	5%	50	-1.8	176/246/302	126	261	11	1	35%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→21	39→45	47→50	37	178/232/259	81	273	7	10	36%	6%	30	-3.1	186/247/307	121	297	13	12	40%	7%	50	-1.7	168/233/292	124	263	15	12	40%	7%	38	-1.5
✕Francisco Medina 2016 · A	18	37	42→40	50→40	33	191/235/291	99	271	11	5	33%	4%	40	-2.4	194/248/266	72	286	6	5	32%	6%	39	-2.5	176/232/231	55	267	5	4	34%	6%	20	-1.1
✕Gleider Figuereo 2022 · A	18	39→38	38→45	47→45	49	188/266/267	79	250	5	6	25%	9%	47	-1.9	189/251/303	114	279	12	7	35%	7%	50	-1.7	176/236/295	119	263	15	5	38%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Thomas Sosa 2023 · A	18	38	39→45	44→50	37	183/246/264	81	288	7	4	37%	6%	38	-2.6	188/251/281	93	292	8	13	36%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/264	92	263	9	16	36%	7%	32	-1.3
✕Danyer Sanabria 2021 · A	19	38	43→45	44→45	35	194/225/301	107	260	11	7	30%	4%	38	-2.6	191/238/282	91	312	7	6	38%	6%	38	-2.6	197/243/294	97	309	5	3	36%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Anderdson Rojas 2022 · A	18	39→44	37→40	50→55	39	188/247/257	69	265	4	12	29%	5%	37	-2.7	205/248/284	79	264	3	13	23%	4%	43	-2.2	206/248/289	83	259	4	17	21%	4%	42	-1.3
✕Julio Garcia 2015 · A	18	39→34	36→40	45→40	39	187/240/248	61	285	3	7	34%	6%	30	-3.1	184/222/241	57	279	2	11	33%	4%	20	-3.8	180/208/241	62	277	3	6	35%	3%	12	-2.3
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Diego Cartaya 2021 · A	19	43→33	40→50	50→30	40	207/258/304	97	287	8	5	30%	6%	53	-1.5	205/285/365	160	292	20	3	35%	8%	82	+0.5	175/263/337	162	240	23	0	36%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Andy Yerzy 2017 · A	19	38	36→50	44→40	33	187/219/246	59	271	4	4	32%	3%	20	-3.8	199/242/307	108	271	12	3	30%	5%	47	-1.9	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0