Jonathan Alcantara

Jonathan AlcantaraSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 135 lbs ROK HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.8 · 2034

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .265 / .289

PA74

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.8peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.7	$36M	+$35M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$39M	+$38M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.8	$40M	+$32M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.7	$40M	+$27M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.5	$39M	+$21M
Totals		$40M		$226M	+$185M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	81	75	10	1	0	1	4	26	2	4	2	.133	.198	.187	.384	.053	.188	32	5	.172	-10	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	PHI	74	68	14	2	1	1	5	23	1	1	0	.206	.270	.309	.579	.103	.290	31	7	.254	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	PHI	167	149	33	6	1	3	14	48	2	3	1	.221	.297	.336	.633	.114	.305	29	8	.289	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB 28%	PHI	311	277	65	11	2	7	27	87	4	7	2	.235	.312	.365	.676	.130	.310	28	9	.305	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.0
2029	21	MLB 48%	PHI	421	373	89	15	3	11	39	115	6	11	3	.239	.321	.383	.704	.145	.311	27	9	.315	99	-1	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.7
2030	22	MLB 65%	PHI	500	441	107	18	3	14	48	133	7	14	3	.243	.327	.392	.719	.150	.311	27	10	.322	104	+2	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.4
2031	23	MLB 86%	PHI	553	485	120	20	4	17	55	145	8	16	4	.247	.334	.410	.744	.163	.311	26	10	.328	109	+6	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.9
2032	24	MLB	PHI	588	515	127	21	4	18	60	152	8	17	4	.247	.334	.408	.742	.161	.312	26	10	.332	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.4
2033	25	MLB	PHI	609	532	132	22	4	19	63	156	9	18	4	.248	.338	.412	.749	.164	.312	26	10	.335	115	+10	+2	+0	+7	+17	3.7
2034	26	MLB	PHI	619	540	134	22	4	20	65	159	9	18	4	.248	.339	.415	.754	.167	.313	26	11	.337	116	+11	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.8
2035	27	MLB	PHI	621	541	134	22	4	20	66	160	9	18	4	.248	.339	.414	.753	.166	.313	26	11	.337	116	+11	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.8
2036	28	MLB	PHI	617	537	134	22	4	20	66	160	9	17	3	.250	.342	.417	.759	.168	.313	26	11	.336	115	+11	+2	-1	+7	+17	3.7
2037	29	MLB	PHI	608	529	130	21	4	19	65	160	9	15	2	.246	.338	.408	.747	.163	.312	26	11	.334	113	+9	+2	-1	+7	+17	3.5
2038	30	MLB	PHI	598	521	126	20	4	18	64	159	8	14	2	.242	.334	.399	.733	.157	.311	27	11	.331	111	+7	+2	-2	+6	+17	3.1
2039	31	MLB	PHI	584	508	123	20	4	18	63	158	8	11	1	.242	.335	.404	.739	.161	.309	27	11	.327	108	+5	+2	-3	+6	+17	2.8
2040	32	MLB	PHI	566	492	116	19	3	16	61	156	8	8	0	.236	.330	.384	.714	.148	.308	28	11	.322	105	+3	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.4
2041	33	MLB	PHI	536	467	108	17	3	15	57	151	7	6	0	.231	.324	.377	.701	.146	.306	28	11	.316	100	+0	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.9
2042	34	MLB	PHI	489	428	97	15	3	13	52	142	6	4	0	.227	.319	.367	.686	.140	.305	29	11	.310	95	-3	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.3
2043	35	MLB	PHI	433	378	85	13	3	11	46	130	6	3	0	.225	.319	.362	.681	.138	.303	30	11	.302	89	-5	+1	-6	+5	+12	0.7
2044	36	MLB	PHI	372	325	71	11	2	9	39	116	5	2	0	.218	.312	.348	.659	.129	.300	31	10	.293	83	-7	+0	-6	+4	+11	0.1
2045	37	MLB	PHI	307	269	55	8	2	6	31	99	4	1	0	.204	.296	.316	.612	.112	.296	32	10	.284	75	-9	+0	-7	+3	+9	-0.4
2046	38	MLB	PHI	238	209	41	6	1	4	24	78	3	0	0	.196	.288	.292	.580	.096	.291	33	10	.273	67	-9	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9892	8659	2051	332	63	280	1014	2713	138	208	39	.237	.326	.387	.713	.150	.310	27	10	.320	103	+31	+26	-46	+106	+280	40.5
/ 162G	—			650	569	134	22	4	18	67	178	9	14	3	.236	.326	.383	.709	.148	.309	27	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	81	73	14	1	0	1	6	18	2	4	2	.192	.272	.247	.518	.055	.241	22	7	.245	46	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Alcantara (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.201/.265/.289	.088	.290	1	1	31%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	44	.204/.277/.282	.078	.314	6	9	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.209/.295/.306	.097	.329	7	14	35%	9%	70	-0.3	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
●Oneil Cruz 2017 · A	18	46→51	37→60	51→55	42	.214/.266/.301	.088	.311	2	11	30%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.249/.316	.108	.314	10	9	35%	5%	52	-1.6	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
●Jackson Merrill 2022 · A	19	45→55	36→55	52→50	39	.211/.260/.286	.076	.314	3	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	.251/.293/.383	.132	.306	13	12	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Gregory Polanco 2010 · A	18	43→53	35→60	52→55	44	.202/.266/.269	.067	.286	2	10	28%	7%	47	-1.9	.199/.250/.288	.089	.261	7	18	25%	6%	45	-2.1	.250/.322/.455	.204	.278	24	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A	18	46→56	41→55	47→50	41	.220/.274/.320	.100	.304	7	7	29%	6%	64	-0.8	.259/.317/.406	.147	.307	14	9	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2017 · A	19	42→51	43→60	49→60	34	.206/.248/.311	.105	.320	11	11	38%	5%	50	-1.7	.204/.255/.341	.137	.318	16	11	39%	6%	62	-0.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→49	44→55	48→45	41	.207/.263/.315	.109	.281	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	.234/.289/.391	.157	.301	19	7	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
●Mike Moustakas 2008 · A	19	46→54	38→65	50→45	42	.216/.278/.302	.086	.300	4	6	28%	6%	61	-1.0	.223/.263/.373	.150	.258	18	6	21%	4%	74	-0.1	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	39→49	39→55	53→55	40	.186/.255/.266	.081	.304	6	11	38%	8%	43	-2.2	.208/.284/.324	.116	.290	8	12	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
●Max Kepler 2011 · A	18	46→56	35→60	51→50	42	.215/.262/.278	.063	.294	2	9	27%	6%	46	-2.0	.212/.269/.313	.101	.284	8	6	27%	6%	60	-1.0	.234/.319/.433	.200	.248	24	4	17%	10%	108	+2.2
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	42→52	39→60	48→50	39	.202/.246/.290	.088	.283	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.205/.246/.278	.073	.299	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	.235/.307/.417	.182	.303	19	12	28%	9%	100	+1.6
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Oscar Taveras 2010 · A	18	42→52	37→55	52→45	46	.200/.256/.285	.085	.248	3	8	20%	6%	46	-2.0	.249/.291/.382	.133	.300	11	7	20%	5%	87	+0.8	.293/.330/.463	.170	.326	16	7	15%	4%	124	+2.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→48	38→50	47→50	42	.212/.267/.289	.077	.296	6	6	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.210/.261/.301	.091	.285	8	7	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.230/.292/.378	.148	.312	16	11	30%	7%	83	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)