Miguel Neira — OGILVIE

Miguel Neira P ACL Rangers

Age 21 LHP 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 118

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%23.9%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	6	2	14	52	20	5	0	33%	2.3	26.2%	12.0%	14.1%	0.0%	1.98	2.41	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	6	2	14	52	20	5	0	33%	2.3	26.2%	12.0%	14.1%	0.0%	1.98	2.41	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	6	2	14	52	20	5	0	33%	2.3	38.5%	9.6%	28.8%	0.0%	1.98	1.27	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	7	0	16	72	23	6	4	0%	2.3	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	7.8%	6.19	6.85	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	7	0	16	72	23	6	4	0%	2.3	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	7.8%	6.19	6.85	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	TEX	7	0	16	72	23	6	4	0%	2.3	31.9%	8.3%	23.6%	5.6%	6.19	4.51	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	21	8	2	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.8%	15.0%	2.9%	4.30	4.22	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	TEX	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.8%	15.0%	2.9%	4.30	4.22	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.8%	15.0%	2.9%	4.30	3.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.8%	15.0%	2.9%	4.30	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		13	2	30	124	29	14	6	15%	2.3	23.6%	11.1%	12.5%	4.5%	4.25	4.99	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	13	200	836	197	93	38	15%	2.3	23.6%	11.1%	12.5%	4.5%	4.25	4.99	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Neira (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	23.9%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.22	24.7%	15.0%	20	-0.22	—	—	—
Ronny Agustin L 2016 · 3.70 FIP	21	SU	3.70	22.1%	9.4%	2.3%	.329	3.91	20.2%	3.5%	81	+0.21	3.11	158	82
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	81
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.72	16.6%	7.5%	223	+0.24	3.71	420	79
Ronnie Glenn L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.00	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.53	3.47	212	79
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	365	79
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	78
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	78
Connor Curlis L 2018 · 3.49 FIP	21	SU	3.49	19.3%	10.8%	1.2%	.306	6.08	16.6%	4.6%	172	+2.59	3.49	309	78
Abdallah Aris L 2017 · 3.63 FIP	20	SU	3.63	22.4%	11.3%	1.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	109	78
Luis Paulino L 2019 · 3.54 FIP	21	SU	3.54	19.1%	10.5%	1.3%	.269	2.75	20.2%	9.5%	50	-0.79	2.57	103	77
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.29	32.8%	19.4%	102	-1.28	3.04	255	77
Kenny Rosenberg L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	21	SU	3.65	20.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.313	4.64	17.3%	6.9%	361	+0.99	3.44	755	77
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	77
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	77
Sam Long L 2016 · 3.26 FIP	21	SW	3.26	20.7%	9.8%	1.2%	.371	3.85	21.3%	13.1%	97	+0.59	3.10	446	77
Kelvin Bautista L 2019 · 3.26 FIP	20	SU	3.26	26.5%	13.8%	1.2%	.328	4.37	17.2%	-2.0%	79	+1.11	3.16	283	77
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	77
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	76