Kenny Rosenberg — OGILVIE

Kenny Rosenberg P Salt Lake Bees

Age 31 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 134

ERA5.02

FIP5.33

K%16.7%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.2

Whiff%

p2822.2%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.371

CH+2.2 (33%)

CU (5%)

SL-1.6 (14%)

FB-3.1 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	12	1	28	108	33	6	2	8%	2.4	20.8%	6.9%	13.8%	2.6%	2.54	3.65	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	12	1	28	108	33	6	2	8%	2.4	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	1.9%	2.54	2.32	—
2017	22	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	20	114	487	133	39	15	83%	4.7	20.2%	9.4%	10.8%	4.1%	4.28	4.82	—
2017	22	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	20	114	487	133	39	15	83%	4.7	27.3%	8.0%	19.3%	3.1%	4.28	3.50	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	25	17	113	508	106	48	10	68%	4.5	16.1%	10.9%	5.2%	2.9%	4.86	4.70	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Charlotte Stone Crabs	25	17	113	508	106	48	10	68%	4.5	20.9%	9.4%	11.4%	2.0%	4.86	3.65	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	139	578	114	59	11	65%	5.3	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	2.4%	3.43	4.44	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	139	578	114	59	11	65%	5.3	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	1.9%	3.43	3.76	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	4	42	169	59	15	6	22%	2.3	30.8%	8.5%	22.2%	3.4%	2.81	3.44	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	4	42	169	59	15	6	22%	2.3	34.9%	8.9%	26.0%	3.6%	2.81	3.22	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	16	79	339	76	34	11	80%	4.0	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	3.8%	3.63	4.81	+0.1
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	16	79	339	76	34	11	80%	4.0	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.2%	3.63	4.27	+0.6
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	23	133	591	149	59	17	85%	4.9	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.67	4.13	+1.2
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	23	133	591	149	59	17	85%	4.9	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	3.1%	4.67	4.13	+1.2
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	23	133	591	149	59	17	85%	4.9	25.2%	10.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.67	3.85	+1.7
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	6.1%	4.52	5.81	-1.4
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	6.1%	4.52	5.81	-1.4
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	22	139	592	122	44	30	79%	5.0	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	5.1%	4.52	5.10	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			17	5	68	297	54	26	9	29%	4.0	18.2%	8.8%	9.4%	3.0%	4.66	4.39	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	LAA	2	2	15	63	11	5	3	100%	7.5	16.7%	8.6%	8.1%	4.0%	5.02	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	LAA	24	24	157	661	109	59	27	100%	6.5	16.4%	8.9%	7.5%	4.1%	5.25	5.48	-1.0
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAA	22	22	144	607	97	56	26	100%	6.5	16.0%	9.2%	6.7%	4.3%	5.46	5.66	-1.2
2027	32	MLB CTX	LAA	9	9	58	245	40	22	10	100%	6.4	16.4%	8.9%	7.5%	4.1%	5.25	5.48	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	79	334	53	31	14	100%	6.6	16.0%	9.2%	6.7%	4.3%	5.46	5.66	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	26	204	875	147	79	33	68%	5.4	16.8%	9.0%	7.9%	3.8%	5.13	4.91	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	25	200	855	144	77	32	68%	5.4	16.8%	9.0%	7.9%	3.8%	5.13	4.91	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		180	120	787	3372	648	317	124	67%	4.4	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.7%	4.12	4.68	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	30	200	857	165	81	31	67%	4.4	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.7%	4.12	4.68	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenny Rosenberg (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	16.7%	8.6%	4.0%	—	5.57	16.2%	7.1%	300	+0.24	—	—	—
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	70
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	64
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	63
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	62
John Lannan L 2016 · 4.83 FIP	31	SP-	4.83	8.2%	7.7%	2.6%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	284	62
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	61
Anthony Vasquez L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	31	SW	4.64	17.1%	8.9%	3.4%	.322	6.00	14.6%	7.3%	85	+1.36	4.02	642	58
Frank Garces L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	29	SP	4.84	15.0%	7.9%	3.6%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	306	57
Brett Anderson L 2019 · 4.50 FIP	31	SP	4.50	12.1%	6.3%	3.0%	.275	4.10	14.7%	8.5%	143	-0.40	3.49	706	56
Duane Below L 2016 · 4.57 FIP	30	SP	4.57	14.7%	5.1%	3.8%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	189	55
Héctor Santiago L 2019 · 5.02 FIP	31	SW	5.02	20.4%	11.1%	4.1%	.307	4.32	28.4%	19.1%	40	-0.70	4.32	713	54
Adam Wilk L 2018 · 4.77 FIP	30	SP	4.77	13.5%	8.3%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.29	455	54
Daniel Rodriguez L 2016 · 4.46 FIP	31	SP	4.46	19.3%	11.1%	2.9%	.333	4.32	16.9%	8.2%	226	-0.14	2.89	391	54
Irwin Delgado L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	30	SP	4.73	15.6%	9.5%	3.2%	.404	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	383	53
Carlos Teller L 2017 · 4.63 FIP	30	SP	4.63	12.2%	9.6%	2.5%	.322	4.90	13.1%	-1.1%	60	+0.27	3.75	333	53
Robbie Erlin L 2022 · 5.31 FIP	31	SP-	5.31	16.8%	10.2%	4.3%	.332	5.96	14.9%	7.2%	79	+0.65	3.22	520	52
Marco Tovar L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP	4.78	12.6%	5.6%	3.7%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	327	52
Wei-Yin Chen L 2016 · 4.51 FIP	31	SP	4.51	19.2%	4.6%	4.5%	.299	4.37	19.6%	13.1%	235	-0.14	3.68	549	51
Sean Nolin L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	31	SP-	4.54	20.4%	8.9%	3.7%	.316	5.93	18.6%	12.2%	23	+1.39	3.79	309	51
Tyler Anderson L 2021 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	19.1%	5.1%	3.9%	.283	3.96	19.0%	11.1%	499	-0.34	3.10	1,288	51

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	157	16.4%	8.9%	1.59	5.23
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12