Kenny Rosenberg
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 31
LHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 154 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124134vR 143
ERA5.14
FIP5.51
K%17.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%7.9%
ROS IP154
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 154 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.2
Whiff%
p2822.2%
K%
p1016.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.371
CH+2.2 (33%)
CU (5%)
SL-1.6 (14%)
FB-3.1 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 12 | 1 | 28 | 108 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 2.4 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 2.6% | 2.54 | 3.65 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 12 | 1 | 28 | 108 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 2.4 | 30.6% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 1.9% | 2.54 | 2.32 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 20 | 114 | 487 | 133 | 39 | 15 | 83% | 4.7 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 4.28 | 4.85 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 20 | 114 | 487 | 133 | 39 | 15 | 83% | 4.7 | 27.3% | 8.0% | 19.3% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 3.50 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 25 | 17 | 113 | 508 | 106 | 48 | 10 | 68% | 4.5 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 5.01 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 25 | 17 | 113 | 508 | 106 | 48 | 10 | 68% | 4.5 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 4.86 | 3.65 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 139 | 578 | 114 | 59 | 11 | 65% | 5.3 | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 4.56 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 139 | 578 | 114 | 59 | 11 | 65% | 5.3 | 19.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 3.43 | 3.76 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 4 | 42 | 169 | 59 | 15 | 6 | 22% | 2.3 | 30.8% | 8.5% | 22.2% | 3.2% | 2.81 | 3.34 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 4 | 42 | 169 | 59 | 15 | 6 | 22% | 2.3 | 34.9% | 8.9% | 26.0% | 3.6% | 2.81 | 3.22 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 16 | 79 | 339 | 76 | 34 | 11 | 80% | 4.0 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 3.63 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 16 | 79 | 339 | 76 | 34 | 11 | 80% | 4.0 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 3.63 | 4.27 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 133 | 591 | 149 | 59 | 17 | 85% | 4.9 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.20 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 133 | 591 | 149 | 59 | 17 | 85% | 4.9 | 25.2% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 3.85 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 22 | 139 | 592 | 122 | 44 | 30 | 79% | 5.0 | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.52 | 6.30 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 22 | 139 | 592 | 122 | 44 | 30 | 79% | 5.0 | 20.6% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 4.52 | 5.10 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 169 | 715 | 124 | 67 | 30 | 100% | 6.5 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 5.14 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 157 | 661 | 112 | 64 | 29 | 100% | 6.5 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 144 | 607 | 100 | 60 | 27 | 100% | 6.5 | 16.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.60 | 5.81 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 58 | 245 | 42 | 24 | 11 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 79 | 334 | 55 | 33 | 15 | 100% | 6.6 | 16.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.60 | 5.81 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 26 | 204 | 875 | 151 | 83 | 35 | 68% | 5.4 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 25 | 200 | 855 | 148 | 81 | 34 | 68% | 5.4 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 180 | 120 | 787 | 3372 | 659 | 330 | 133 | 67% | 4.4 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 4.12 | 4.85 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 30 | 200 | 857 | 167 | 84 | 34 | 67% | 4.4 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 4.12 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenny Rosenberg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.51 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% | — | 5.72 | 16.8% | 7.0% | 300 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Everett Teaford L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 68 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% | .307 | 4.40 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 40 | -0.40 | 4.40 | 713 | 67 |
| Travis Blackley L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 63 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 62 |
| Tomas Solis L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 61 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.83 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.75 | 23.0% | 15.4% | 102 | -1.08 | 3.19 | 817 | 61 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 61 |
| John Lannan L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.76 | 8.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 284 | 60 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.56 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .322 | 6.02 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 85 | +1.46 | 4.01 | 642 | 57 |
| Frank Garces L 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.56 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 306 | 56 |
| Brett Anderson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.43 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .275 | 4.24 | 14.7% | 8.5% | 143 | -0.19 | 3.43 | 706 | 55 |
| Tyler Anderson L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.36 | 19.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | .283 | 4.06 | 19.0% | 11.1% | 499 | -0.30 | 3.14 | 1,288 | 55 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.52 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.28 | 16.9% | 8.2% | 226 | -0.24 | 2.87 | 391 | 54 |
| Duane Below L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.42 | 14.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 189 | 53 |
| Carlos Teller L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.83 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.69 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 333 | 53 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .404 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 383 | 53 |
| Adam Wilk L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.58 | 13.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 455 | 53 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | .299 | 4.38 | 19.6% | 13.1% | 235 | -0.14 | 3.68 | 549 | 52 |
| Robbie Erlin L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.32 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | .332 | 6.03 | 15.8% | 6.8% | 79 | +0.71 | 3.37 | 520 | 52 |
| Sean Nolin L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.59 | 20.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .316 | 5.87 | 19.8% | 12.3% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.62 | 309 | 52 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 157 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.67 | 5.36 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |