Angel Abreu — OGILVIE

Angel AbreuSS ACL Guardians

Age 17 R/R 5'9" / 152 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION182 act + 121 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .299 / .311

PA121

HR1

SB8

K%26

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$11M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$11M	+$10M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$10M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$8M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$62M	+$52M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	209	184	43	3	2	1	21	27	2	13	1	234	319	288	607	54	268	13	10	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	209	172	53	4	2	1	33	20	2	13	1	308	425	372	797	64	342	10	16	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	CLE	—	182	161	39	6	2	0	12	52	7	31	6	242	322	304	627	62	351	29	7	277	70	-6	+4	+0	+2	+5	0.5
YTD	17	ROK	CLE	—	182	153	48	8	3	0	20	36	7	31	6	314	417	405	822	92	403	20	11	372	143	+9	+4	+0	+2	+5	2.0
ROS	17	ROK	CLE	0%	121	109	25	4	1	1	9	32	2	8	2	229	299	311	610	82	310	26	7	274	68	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	17	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		310	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	CLE	—	182	162	39	6	2	0	12	52	7	31	6	241	322	302	625	62	348	29	7	277	70	-6	+4	+0	+2	+5	0.5
TOT	17	ROK	CLE	—	303	270	64	10	3	1	21	84	9	39	8	237	313	307	620	70	335	28	7	276	69	-11	+5	+0	+3	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	CLE	34%	322	289	67	11	3	3	25	83	5	10	2	232	304	322	626	90	307	26	8	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2028	19	MLB	CLE	48%	436	390	92	15	4	5	35	110	8	12	2	236	312	333	645	97	309	25	8	291	81	-9	+2	+0	+5	+12	0.9
2029	20	MLB	CLE	54%	521	464	111	18	4	8	42	129	10	13	2	239	316	347	663	108	309	25	8	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.5
2030	21	MLB	CLE	57%	585	521	126	20	5	10	48	143	11	14	3	242	319	357	676	115	310	24	8	304	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2031	22	MLB	CLE	58%	611	544	132	21	5	11	50	148	12	14	3	243	320	360	680	118	311	24	8	307	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.1
2032	23	MLB	CLE	58%	624	555	136	22	5	12	52	150	12	14	3	245	323	368	691	123	312	24	8	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.3
2033	24	MLB	CLE	57%	633	563	138	22	5	12	53	152	12	14	3	245	323	366	689	121	312	24	8	312	97	-2	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2034	25	MLB	CLE	57%	638	568	139	22	5	12	53	152	12	14	3	245	322	364	687	120	312	24	8	313	97	-2	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2035	26	MLB	CLE	57%	641	570	140	22	5	13	54	153	12	14	3	246	324	370	694	125	312	24	8	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2036	27	MLB	CLE	56%	639	568	140	22	5	13	54	153	12	14	3	246	325	371	696	125	312	24	8	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2037	28	MLB	CLE	55%	632	561	137	22	5	12	54	152	12	13	3	244	324	365	689	121	312	24	9	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.4
2038	29	MLB	CLE	53%	621	550	134	21	5	12	54	151	12	13	2	244	325	365	690	122	311	24	9	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.2
2039	30	MLB	CLE	53%	610	540	131	21	5	11	53	150	12	12	2	243	324	361	685	119	311	25	9	308	94	-4	+2	-2	+7	+17	1.9
2040	31	MLB	CLE	57%	595	528	125	20	4	10	51	148	11	11	2	237	317	347	664	110	309	25	9	304	91	-6	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.6
2041	32	MLB	CLE	59%	577	511	121	19	4	10	50	146	11	11	2	237	318	348	667	112	306	25	9	299	87	-9	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.2
2042	33	MLB	CLE	61%	547	485	111	17	4	8	47	141	10	9	2	229	310	330	640	101	302	26	9	293	82	-11	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.7
2027	18	MLB	CLE	34%	111	99	23	4	1	1	9	29	2	4	1	232	309	323	632	91	308	26	8	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	19	MLB	CLE	48%	211	188	45	7	2	3	17	53	4	6	1	239	316	346	662	106	309	25	8	279	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	20	MLB	CLE	54%	283	253	60	10	2	4	23	70	5	7	1	237	313	340	653	103	310	25	8	285	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB	CLE	57%	331	295	71	11	3	6	27	81	6	8	1	241	317	359	676	119	311	24	8	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2031	22	MLB	CLE	58%	352	313	76	12	3	6	29	85	7	8	2	243	321	358	679	115	311	24	8	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2032	23	MLB	CLE	58%	362	322	80	13	3	7	30	87	7	8	2	248	326	373	699	124	312	24	8	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2033	24	MLB	CLE	57%	362	322	80	13	3	7	30	87	7	8	2	248	326	373	699	124	313	24	8	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2034	25	MLB	CLE	57%	362	322	80	13	3	7	30	87	7	8	1	248	326	373	699	124	313	24	8	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2035	26	MLB	CLE	57%	363	323	80	13	3	7	30	87	7	8	1	248	325	372	697	124	313	24	8	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2036	27	MLB	CLE	56%	355	315	77	12	3	7	30	85	7	8	1	244	324	368	692	124	313	24	8	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2037	28	MLB	CLE	55%	347	307	76	12	3	7	30	84	7	7	1	248	328	375	703	127	313	24	9	298	86	-5	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2038	29	MLB	CLE	53%	332	294	72	11	3	6	29	81	6	7	1	245	325	364	689	119	312	24	9	297	85	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2039	30	MLB	CLE	53%	321	284	69	11	2	6	28	79	6	6	1	243	324	359	683	116	311	25	9	294	83	-6	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2040	31	MLB	CLE	57%	336	298	71	11	2	6	29	84	6	6	1	238	318	349	667	111	309	25	9	290	80	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2041	32	MLB	CLE	59%	342	304	71	11	2	6	29	86	6	6	1	234	313	342	655	109	307	25	8	285	77	-9	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.3
2042	33	MLB	CLE	61%	334	296	67	10	2	5	29	86	6	6	1	226	308	324	632	98	303	26	9	279	72	-11	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5104	4536	1098	174	40	91	429	1251	96	111	19	242	321	358	679	116	312	25	8	292	82	-105	+15	-8	+55	+145	10.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	140	22	5	12	55	159	12	14	2	242	321	360	681	118	311	24	8	292	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	9562	8500	2048	322	76	164	805	2320	178	223	43	241	320	355	674	114	311	24	8	304	91	-98	+27	-15	+102	+271	29.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	139	22	5	11	55	158	12	15	3	240	319	353	672	112	311	24	8	304	91	-7	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	209	172	53	4	2	1	33	20	2	13	1	308	425	372	797	64	342	10	16	366	139	+9	+2	—	—	+6	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,321	91	117	241	316	356	+57	+30	16.4	13.0
	/162	664	11	15	241	316	356	+7.1	+3.7	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Abreu (OGILVIE)	17	55	20	55	60	237/313/307	70	335	1	39	28%	7%	69	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	63	-0.8	208/298/281	73	293	3	17	27%	10%	65	-0.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	50	-1.7	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	61	-1.0	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→55	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	50	-1.8	204/258/265	61	260	2	11	21%	6%	43	-2.2	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Eury Pérez 2008 · A	18	45→55	34→40	50→65	48	204/291/258	55	295	2	15	29%	9%	56	-1.3	248/306/326	78	311	5	24	21%	6%	79	+0.3	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	63	-0.8	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	58	-0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Mikey Edie 2015 · A	18	48	37→30	47→50	45	227/308/301	74	283	5	13	20%	6%	75	-0.0	214/275/269	55	304	2	15	29%	5%	51	-1.7	197/249/241	44	290	1	12	31%	3%	29	-1.1
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	46	221/290/309	87	287	5	13	23%	7%	68	-0.5	215/293/282	67	300	3	21	27%	9%	63	-0.9	180/265/225	45	288	1	34	34%	9%	34	-0.6
✕Alejandro Hodge 2008 · A	18	47	34→30	52→55	49	214/312/265	51	305	2	19	27%	9%	68	-0.5	190/277/251	61	297	3	19	34%	8%	49	-1.8	161/249/222	61	238	4	27	31%	8%	26	-1.3
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	50→56	34→40	50→55	44	234/282/287	53	301	2	14	22%	6%	57	-1.2	235/286/279	44	295	1	9	19%	5%	57	-1.2	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	48→54	36→45	54→55	46	225/292/289	64	281	3	16	20%	6%	63	-0.8	228/280/305	77	284	4	23	20%	6%	62	-0.9	246/285/354	108	302	10	19	21%	5%	73	-0.1
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Marvin Alcantara 2023 · A	18	47→45	37→30	52→50	49	218/293/289	71	281	4	13	22%	8%	64	-0.8	197/251/251	54	288	4	11	31%	6%	36	-2.7	204/244/263	60	277	5	12	27%	5%	33	-2.0