Marvin Alcantara

Marvin AlcantaraSS Portland Sea Dogs

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 157 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION306 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%5

BABIP269

ISO65

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	224	189	57	15	0	1	29	33	5	14	2	302	408	397	805	95	359	15	13	368	135	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	83	74	15	1	0	1	7	27	1	6	0	203	280	257	537	54	298	33	8	250	55	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	176	150	36	7	0	1	23	35	2	6	5	240	349	307	655	67	304	20	13	306	93	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	456	423	105	10	3	3	28	103	4	13	3	248	301	307	608	59	321	23	6	278	75	-14	+1	—	—	+10	-0.3
2025	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	357	319	72	15	1	2	31	58	0	4	2	226	294	298	592	72	263	16	9	268	67	-14	+0	—	—	+8	-0.6
2025	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	131	118	32	4	0	1	11	17	2	4	3	271	344	331	674	59	310	13	8	311	97	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	224	199	44	10	0	1	19	47	5	14	2	221	305	286	591	65	278	21	8	263	64	-10	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	18	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	83	77	12	1	0	1	4	39	1	6	0	156	207	208	415	52	285	47	5	184	11	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	176	159	26	4	0	1	14	51	2	6	5	164	240	208	448	44	234	29	8	209	28	-15	-1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	456	434	86	7	2	3	17	154	4	13	3	198	235	244	479	46	297	34	4	212	30	-38	+1	—	—	+10	-2.7
2025	20	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	357	330	68	12	1	1	20	72	0	4	2	206	251	258	509	52	246	20	6	229	41	-25	+0	—	—	+8	-1.8
2025	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	131	122	30	3	0	1	7	24	2	4	3	246	298	295	593	49	298	18	5	260	62	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	224	199	44	10	0	1	19	47	5	14	2	221	305	286	591	65	283	21	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	224	189	57	15	0	1	29	33	5	14	2	302	408	397	805	95	359	15	13	368	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	259	236	39	5	0	2	18	90	3	12	5	165	233	212	445	47	253	35	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	259	224	51	8	0	2	30	62	3	12	5	228	327	290	617	63	302	24	12	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	456	434	86	7	2	3	17	154	4	13	3	198	235	244	479	46	299	34	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	456	423	105	10	3	3	28	103	4	13	3	248	301	307	608	59	321	23	6	278	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	488	452	98	15	1	2	27	97	2	8	5	217	264	268	532	51	267	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	488	437	104	19	1	3	42	75	2	8	5	238	308	307	614	69	276	15	9	279	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	224	198	44	10	0	1	19	47	5	14	2	222	305	288	593	66	278	21	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	259	236	39	5	0	2	18	90	3	12	5	165	233	212	445	47	250	35	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	456	432	86	7	2	3	17	154	4	13	3	199	235	245	481	46	297	34	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	488	456	98	15	1	2	27	97	2	8	5	215	264	265	529	50	260	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	259	236	39	5	0	2	18	90	3	12	5	165	233	212	445	47	250	35	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	456	432	86	7	2	3	17	154	4	13	3	199	235	245	481	46	297	34	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	488	456	98	15	1	2	27	97	2	8	5	215	264	265	529	50	260	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	BOS	—	306	283	61	14	1	5	14	68	2	15	3	216	258	325	583	110	258	22	5	253	57	-16	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA RAW	BOS	—	306	277	66	16	1	6	20	56	2	15	3	238	294	368	663	130	270	18	7	291	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	BOS	2%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		263	22	0	249	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	BOS	—	315	292	62	14	1	5	14	70	2	15	3	212	253	318	572	106	254	22	4	253	57	-16	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BOS	35%	527	490	109	21	2	8	29	111	3	13	3	222	270	322	593	100	266	21	6	264	65	-22	+1	+0	+6	+11	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	569	527	120	23	2	11	33	118	4	14	4	228	278	342	620	114	269	21	6	275	73	-19	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	615	569	131	25	2	13	37	126	4	15	4	230	282	350	632	120	271	20	6	282	77	-17	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	627	579	134	25	2	14	39	127	4	15	4	231	285	354	639	123	271	20	6	285	79	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	634	584	135	26	2	14	40	129	5	15	4	231	286	354	641	123	271	20	6	287	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	634	583	134	25	2	14	41	129	5	14	4	230	286	352	638	122	271	20	6	287	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	629	578	133	25	2	14	41	129	5	13	3	230	287	353	640	123	271	21	7	286	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	619	569	129	24	2	13	41	128	4	12	3	227	283	344	628	118	270	21	7	284	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	609	560	128	24	2	13	40	128	4	11	3	229	285	348	633	120	269	21	7	282	77	-17	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	595	547	123	23	2	12	39	126	4	9	2	225	281	340	621	115	267	21	7	278	74	-18	+1	-3	+6	+13	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	BOS	35%	185	172	40	8	1	3	10	39	1	5	1	233	279	343	622	110	272	21	5	263	65	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	278	258	60	12	1	5	16	57	2	7	2	233	283	345	628	112	274	21	6	274	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	325	300	71	14	1	7	20	66	2	8	2	237	289	360	649	123	276	20	6	280	77	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	344	318	75	15	1	7	21	70	2	8	2	236	287	355	643	119	277	20	6	283	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	353	325	77	15	1	8	22	72	3	8	2	237	291	363	655	126	277	20	6	284	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	349	321	76	15	1	8	22	71	3	8	2	237	292	364	656	128	277	20	6	285	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	344	317	74	15	1	7	22	71	2	7	2	233	287	353	641	120	276	21	6	284	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	359	329	77	15	1	8	24	74	3	7	2	234	292	359	651	125	276	21	7	282	78	-9	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	336	309	72	14	1	7	22	70	2	6	2	233	288	353	641	120	275	21	7	280	77	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	347	319	73	14	1	7	23	74	2	5	1	229	285	345	630	116	273	21	7	276	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3220	2968	695	137	10	67	202	664	22	69	18	234	288	355	643	121	278	21	6	280	69	-88	+7	-4	+34	+70	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	141	28	2	14	41	134	4	14	4	235	289	359	648	124	279	21	6	280	69	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7494	6916	1544	278	23	134	461	1641	56	178	49	223	277	328	606	105	272	22	6	271	69	-169	+13	-7	+65	+131	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	134	24	2	12	40	142	5	15	4	223	278	330	608	107	271	22	6	271	69	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.9	3,226	68	69	230	281	349	+35	+15	4.0	3.8
/162	664	14	14	+7.1	+3.1	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marvin Alcantara (OGILVIE)	21	45	30	45	40	211/255/293	81	263	3	10	22%	5%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brallan Perez 2017 · A	21	50	36→30	46→50	50	232/293/296	63	269	3	11	15%	7%	69	-0.9	240/293/298	58	295	4	8	19%	6%	70	-0.9	237/293/280	43	295	2	7	19%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Luis Joseph 2018 · A	21	44	34→30	46→50	41	205/238/250	45	256	2	9	20%	4%	37	-3.3	206/243/276	70	259	4	10	21%	4%	45	-2.7	206/223/283	77	240	4	15	16%	1%	35	-0.7
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	69	-0.9	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	48	196/255/237	41	245	1	14	20%	7%	42	-2.9	237/286/279	42	293	1	10	18%	6%	61	-1.5	240/292/258	18	289	0	11	16%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Jesus Alastre 2017 · A	20	48	35→30	44→50	42	225/281/286	61	280	2	9	20%	4%	63	-1.4	225/272/301	76	309	4	8	27%	4%	62	-1.4	250/283/334	84	348	4	9	28%	2%	69	-0.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	76	-0.4	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	54	-2.0	229/295/306	77	317	4	5	26%	9%	72	-0.7	237/311/319	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Anneury Peguero 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	48→50	51	224/298/278	54	280	2	11	20%	8%	68	-1.0	205/282/270	65	269	4	12	23%	9%	60	-1.6	150/247/186	36	193	3	18	22%	10%	27	-1.1
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2013 · AA	21	49→54	36→40	46→60	48	225/276/294	68	256	2	11	13%	5%	62	-1.4	246/292/315	69	278	4	16	12%	5%	73	-0.6	257/299/317	60	288	3	21	12%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	41	-3.0	220/253/311	91	276	5	6	21%	4%	57	-1.8	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2016 · A	20	47	33→30	44→50	46	218/273/262	43	264	1	6	17%	6%	54	-2.0	214/271/269	55	255	2	8	16%	6%	55	-2.0	211/269/239	28	236	0	8	10%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Luis Porchas 2011 · AAA	21	43	39→30	45→50	44	206/256/293	87	250	6	11	20%	5%	55	-1.9	228/282/317	89	283	8	10	22%	5%	71	-0.8	234/275/284	50	308	3	9	24%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Ivan Bellazetin 2008 · AAA	21	46→52	35→40	41→55	42	215/248/273	58	258	3	10	18%	4%	47	-2.6	234/271/303	69	285	3	15	18%	4%	61	-1.5	249/286/326	78	293	6	5	17%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	55	-2.0	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	15	-0.9
✕Adolfo Gonzalez 2006 · AA	21	47	38→40	46→45	42	224/268/309	84	265	4	6	17%	4%	63	-1.4	232/268/329	97	312	7	6	27%	4%	68	-1.0	251/282/333	82	340	6	6	27%	4%	70	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Zabala 2016 · A	21	46	35→30	47→50	45	216/270/281	65	264	2	12	18%	5%	57	-1.8	214/261/267	53	311	2	10	30%	5%	51	-2.3	207/254/241	34	310	1	12	32%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Luis Alberto Sanz 2013 · AA	22	43	35→30	46→40	44	204/252/265	61	249	3	8	19%	5%	47	-2.6	212/272/281	69	249	5	6	16%	7%	58	-1.7	217/281/252	34	248	2	2	13%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Roy Morales 2016 · A	21	44	36→30	44→45	47	204/269/273	69	231	4	5	14%	5%	56	-1.9	235/298/296	61	279	3	7	16%	7%	72	-0.7	271/334/327	56	322	3	8	16%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	54	-2.0	201/265/286	85	284	8	6	30%	6%	57	-1.8	176/246/268	92	225	11	4	26%	5%	45	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps