Marvin Alcantara

Marvin AlcantaraSS Portland Sea Dogs

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 157 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.2 · 2031

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .260 / .277

PA320

HR3

SB5

K%24

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

30→30

SPD

45→45

EYE

39↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.2	$11M	+$9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.1	$11M	+$7M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.8	$4M	-$0.4M
Totals		$13M		$51M	+$38M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	224	199	43	9	0	1	19	47	5	14	2	.216	.300	.276	.577	.060	.276	21	8	.263	59	-10	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	259	236	39	5	0	2	18	90	3	12	5	.165	.233	.212	.445	.047	.253	35	7	.200	11	-26	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.6
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	456	434	87	7	2	3	17	152	4	13	3	.200	.237	.247	.484	.046	.300	33	4	.213	21	-41	+1	+0	+5	+13	-2.2
2025	20	AA	2 teams	488	452	97	15	1	2	27	99	2	8	5	.215	.262	.265	.527	.051	.265	20	6	.237	39	-33	-0	+0	+5	+14	-1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	65	58	11	2	1	1	6	13	0	1	0	.190	.266	.310	.576	.121	.222	20	9	.239	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	BOS	255	236	49	8	1	2	16	61	1	4	1	.208	.261	.275	.536	.068	.267	24	6	.247	48	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
TOT	21	MLB	BOS	320	294	60	10	2	3	22	74	1	5	1	.204	.262	.282	.544	.078	.260	23	7	.246	46	-19	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 12%	BOS	553	505	111	18	3	8	40	116	3	9	3	.220	.281	.315	.596	.095	.263	21	7	.266	62	-24	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
2028	23	MLB 29%	BOS	597	543	122	20	3	11	45	123	4	10	3	.225	.289	.333	.622	.109	.265	21	8	.277	70	-20	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.4
2029	24	MLB 46%	BOS	627	568	128	21	3	12	50	128	4	11	3	.225	.293	.336	.629	.111	.267	20	8	.284	75	-17	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2030	25	MLB 61%	BOS	643	582	131	21	3	13	52	130	4	11	3	.225	.293	.338	.632	.113	.268	20	8	.288	79	-16	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.1
2031	26	MLB 78%	BOS	651	588	134	22	3	14	54	132	4	11	3	.228	.297	.347	.644	.119	.268	20	8	.290	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2032	27	MLB 93%	BOS	651	587	134	22	3	14	55	132	4	11	3	.228	.299	.348	.646	.119	.268	20	8	.290	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2033	28	MLB	BOS	646	582	132	21	3	14	55	133	4	10	2	.227	.298	.345	.643	.119	.268	21	9	.289	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2034	29	MLB	BOS	636	573	129	21	3	13	54	132	4	9	2	.225	.296	.340	.637	.115	.267	21	8	.287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8
2035	30	MLB	BOS	626	563	125	20	3	12	54	132	4	7	1	.222	.295	.332	.627	.110	.266	21	9	.283	75	-18	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.6
2036	31	MLB	BOS	611	550	120	19	2	12	52	132	4	5	0	.218	.290	.325	.616	.107	.264	22	9	.280	72	-19	+1	-3	+7	+17	0.3
2037	32	MLB	BOS	593	534	115	18	2	11	51	131	3	3	0	.215	.287	.318	.606	.103	.263	22	9	.275	69	-21	+1	-4	+6	+17	-0.1
2038	33	MLB	BOS	563	507	108	17	2	10	48	128	3	2	0	.213	.285	.314	.599	.101	.261	23	9	.270	65	-22	+0	-4	+6	+16	-0.4
2039	34	MLB	BOS	515	464	96	15	2	8	43	122	3	1	0	.207	.278	.300	.578	.093	.260	24	8	.264	60	-23	+0	-5	+6	+15	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9594	8703	1900	299	39	162	750	2120	63	151	39	.218	.285	.317	.603	.099	.269	22	8	.272	66	-367	+15	-20	+103	+272	0.3
/ 162G	—			650	590	129	20	3	11	51	144	4	10	3	.219	.285	.319	.604	.100	.269	22	8	.272	66	-25	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	224	189	57	15	0	1	29	33	5	14	2	.302	.408	.397	.805	.095	.359	15	13	.368	140	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	18	A	Salem Red Sox	83	74	15	1	0	1	7	27	1	6	0	.203	.280	.257	.537	.054	.298	33	8	.250	50	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	176	150	36	7	0	1	23	35	2	6	5	.240	.349	.307	.655	.067	.304	20	13	.306	93	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	456	423	105	10	3	3	28	103	4	13	3	.248	.301	.307	.608	.059	.321	23	6	.278	71	-15	+1	—	—	+13	-0.1
2025	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	357	319	72	15	1	2	31	58	0	4	2	.226	.294	.298	.592	.072	.263	16	9	.268	63	-15	+0	—	—	+10	-0.5
2025	20	A+	Greenville Drive	131	118	32	4	0	1	11	17	2	4	3	.271	.344	.331	.674	.059	.310	13	8	.311	96	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marvin Alcantara (OGILVIE)	21	45	30	45	40	.210/.260/.277	.067	.275	3	5	24%	6%	47	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramon Soto 2010 · AAA	22	47	39→30	47→45	43	.227/.276/.306	.079	.283	8	10	22%	6%	61	-1.0	.240/.283/.304	.064	.290	4	8	18%	5%	63	-0.9	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	50	44	.215/.284/.276	.061	.277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.219/.293/.286	.067	.261	3	10	16%	8%	64	-0.8	.223/.303/.283	.060	.253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	42	35→30	48→50	45	.196/.276/.253	.057	.261	3	9	24%	7%	49	-1.8	.219/.315/.275	.056	.270	2	12	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.229/.342/.268	.039	.277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Victor Moscote 2015 · A	21	46	35→30	43→45	41	.217/.262/.276	.059	.290	3	5	26%	5%	46	-2.0	.202/.259/.260	.058	.272	2	4	25%	6%	42	-2.3	.180/.251/.225	.045	.240	1	1	24%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	48→45	46	.208/.268/.271	.063	.272	3	6	23%	7%	49	-1.8	.227/.294/.302	.075	.311	4	5	26%	9%	67	-0.5	.238/.312/.318	.081	.331	4	4	27%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	46→30	41	.198/.234/.273	.075	.245	5	6	22%	4%	33	-2.9	.217/.250/.307	.090	.272	5	6	21%	4%	50	-1.8	.245/.267/.324	.079	.295	3	3	18%	3%	57	-0.4
✕Luis Porchas 2011 · AAA	21	43	39→30	46→50	42	.206/.253/.295	.088	.251	7	12	21%	5%	48	-1.9	.225/.275/.315	.090	.279	8	10	22%	4%	63	-0.8	.235/.276/.289	.053	.308	4	9	24%	4%	52	-0.4
✕Luis Joseph 2018 · A	21	45	34→30	47→50	41	.211/.243/.260	.049	.260	2	9	20%	4%	33	-2.9	.205/.240/.272	.067	.257	3	10	21%	4%	36	-2.7	.206/.223/.283	.077	.240	4	15	16%	1%	27	-0.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	47→55	47	.192/.263/.275	.082	.250	5	9	24%	8%	48	-1.9	.212/.292/.300	.088	.255	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	.209/.299/.290	.080	.241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Anneury Peguero 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	48→50	51	.222/.295/.277	.055	.278	3	10	20%	8%	62	-0.9	.205/.283/.267	.062	.267	4	12	22%	9%	55	-1.4	.150/.247/.186	.036	.193	3	18	22%	10%	17	-1.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	47	.194/.253/.236	.041	.244	1	14	20%	7%	33	-2.9	.235/.285/.276	.041	.289	1	10	18%	7%	56	-1.3	.240/.292/.258	.018	.289	0	11	16%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	.214/.263/.287	.074	.279	4	8	24%	5%	50	-1.7	.201/.264/.288	.087	.281	8	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	.180/.247/.276	.097	.227	12	4	26%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Jorma Rodriguez 2018 · AA	22	42→52	37→30	47→50	39	.200/.248/.273	.073	.278	4	10	29%	5%	40	-2.4	.221/.255/.281	.060	.311	3	9	28%	4%	44	-2.1	.231/.258/.274	.043	.324	1	8	28%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Joshual Ramirez 2016 · A	20	44	36→30	44→50	41	.211/.260/.278	.067	.278	4	9	25%	5%	46	-2.0	.196/.244/.275	.079	.271	4	8	28%	5%	39	-2.5	.154/.194/.243	.089	.210	3	6	27%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Luis Alberto Sanz 2013 · AA	22	44	35→30	47→40	45	.209/.258/.270	.061	.254	3	8	19%	5%	43	-2.2	.212/.271/.278	.066	.249	4	6	16%	7%	51	-1.7	.217/.282/.252	.035	.248	2	2	13%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	43	36→40	43→45	40	.204/.249/.271	.067	.266	3	4	24%	5%	40	-2.4	.192/.249/.274	.082	.269	6	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	.180/.249/.260	.080	.260	8	10	32%	7%	37	-0.6
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	43	40	45	41	.211/.256/.295	.084	.263	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.8	.231/.267/.313	.082	.302	5	5	24%	4%	58	-1.2	.236/.259/.298	.062	.312	4	2	25%	2%	47	-0.6
✕Roy Morales 2016 · A	21	44	36→30	44→45	47	.204/.268/.273	.070	.231	4	5	14%	5%	50	-1.7	.229/.290/.289	.060	.270	3	7	15%	6%	63	-0.9	.267/.331/.325	.058	.319	4	8	16%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Walter Ibarra 2009 · AA	21	42→52	38→40	43→50	42	.201/.248/.281	.080	.253	5	7	23%	5%	42	-2.3	.234/.268/.308	.074	.293	4	13	21%	4%	57	-1.2	.274/.298/.354	.080	.336	5	11	19%	3%	78	+0.1
✕David Hernandez 2008 · A	21	49	37→40	42→55	45	.230/.284/.301	.072	.281	5	6	20%	6%	63	-0.9	.217/.281/.288	.071	.273	3	13	20%	7%	59	-1.1	.190/.270/.244	.053	.241	0	22	19%	8%	40	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)