Peyton Fosher

P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	6	0	12	0.00	1.56	32.6%	7.0%	—	K 32.6% · BB 7.0% · FIP 1.23
2026	23	A+MIA	36	7	73	5.52	4.68	25.3%	14.2%	—	K 19.5% · BB 16.3% · FIP 5.79
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIA	49	0	51	5.50	5.50	20.3%	15.4%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIA	28	0	29	5.26	5.18	21.0%	13.5%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBMIA	42	0	44	5.13	5.09	21.4%	13.2%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHayden Snelsire (age 23) · Hunter Parsons (age 24) · Kevin Kopps (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%20.3%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP51

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	12	43	14	3	0	0%	2.1	32.6%	7.0%	25.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.23	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	12	43	14	3	0	0%	2.1	32.6%	7.0%	25.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.23	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	12	43	14	3	0	0%	2.1	32.6%	7.0%	25.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.56	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	36	7	73	332	84	47	11	19%	2.0	19.5%	16.3%	3.2%	4.1%	5.52	5.79	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	36	7	73	332	84	47	11	19%	2.0	19.5%	16.3%	3.2%	4.1%	5.52	5.79	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	36	7	73	332	84	47	11	19%	2.0	25.3%	14.2%	11.1%	3.3%	5.52	4.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	49	0	51	215	44	33	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	15.4%	4.9%	3.3%	5.50	5.50	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	282	59	38	9	0%	1.0	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.2%	5.26	5.18	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	282	60	37	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.2%	8.3%	3.2%	5.13	5.09	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	63	0	66	278	60	36	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	3.2%	5.09	5.09	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	269	58	35	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	28	0	29	122	26	17	4	0%	1.0	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.2%	5.26	5.18	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	42	0	44	186	40	24	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.2%	8.3%	3.2%	5.13	5.09	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	49	0	51	215	46	28	7	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.0%	8.5%	3.2%	5.09	5.09	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	51	0	54	228	49	30	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	3.3%	5.12	5.16	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	178	750	160	99	24	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.3%	5.14	4.75	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	111	27	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.3%	5.14	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		42	7	86	375	79	57	14	17%	2.0	21.0%	15.2%	5.8%	3.7%	4.73	5.27	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	16	200	875	184	133	32	17%	2.0	21.0%	15.2%	5.8%	3.7%	4.73	5.27	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peyton Fosher (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	20.3%	15.4%	3.3%	—	5.12	21.3%	8.1%	199	-0.38	—	—	—
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	83
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	83
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	83
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	83
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	82
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	82
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	82
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	82
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	82
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	82
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	81
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	81
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	63	21.2%	13.6%	1.26	5.21
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*