Yeider Mindiola — OGILVIE

Yeider MindiolaC FCL Mets

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION102 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .311

PA68

HR1

K%32

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$17M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	142	120	23	3	1	4	16	36	3	10	3	192	302	333	635	142	229	25	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	142	112	28	4	1	4	24	24	3	10	3	250	396	411	806	161	276	17	17	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	NYM	—	102	89	14	3	2	1	9	43	2	7	2	157	250	270	520	112	277	42	9	231	35	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
YTD	20	ROK	NYM	—	102	83	19	5	3	1	15	30	2	7	2	229	360	398	758	169	333	29	15	337	116	+2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.7
ROS	20	ROK	NYM	0%	68	61	12	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	1	197	279	311	591	115	274	32	9	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	NYM	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	250	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	NYM	—	102	90	14	3	2	1	9	43	2	7	2	156	250	267	517	111	271	42	9	231	35	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
TOT	20	ROK	NYM	—	170	150	26	5	3	2	15	65	3	9	3	173	262	287	549	113	282	38	9	243	44	-11	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	218	194	38	7	2	4	19	69	3	5	1	196	278	314	592	119	276	32	9	269	64	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2028	22	MLB	NYM	48%	340	303	61	11	3	7	30	105	4	8	2	201	282	327	609	125	279	31	9	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2029	23	MLB	NYM	54%	421	376	77	14	4	9	37	127	5	10	2	205	285	335	620	130	280	30	9	280	73	-13	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2030	24	MLB	NYM	55%	475	424	87	16	4	10	42	142	6	12	3	205	286	333	619	127	282	30	9	283	75	-13	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.0
2031	25	MLB	NYM	56%	506	450	93	17	5	11	45	151	6	12	3	207	287	340	627	133	282	30	9	284	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2032	26	MLB	NYM	56%	520	463	97	18	5	12	46	156	6	13	3	210	289	348	637	138	282	30	9	284	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2033	27	MLB	NYM	55%	520	462	97	18	5	12	47	156	6	13	3	210	291	348	640	139	281	30	9	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	28	MLB	NYM	55%	520	462	96	17	5	12	47	157	6	12	3	208	289	344	633	136	281	30	9	283	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2035	29	MLB	NYM	53%	520	462	94	17	5	11	47	158	6	12	3	203	285	333	619	130	280	30	9	282	74	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	75	67	13	2	1	1	7	24	1	2	0	194	280	299	579	104	276	32	9	260	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB	NYM	48%	165	148	29	5	2	3	14	51	2	4	1	196	274	318	592	122	279	31	8	267	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	23	MLB	NYM	54%	228	203	42	8	2	5	20	69	3	6	1	207	288	340	628	133	280	30	9	271	66	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	24	MLB	NYM	55%	263	235	48	9	2	6	23	79	3	6	1	204	284	336	620	132	282	30	9	274	68	-10	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB	NYM	56%	283	253	53	10	3	6	25	85	3	7	2	209	288	344	632	134	282	30	9	275	68	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	26	MLB	NYM	56%	292	260	55	10	3	7	26	87	4	7	2	212	293	354	647	142	281	30	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	27	MLB	NYM	55%	288	256	53	10	3	6	26	86	4	7	2	207	290	340	630	133	281	30	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2034	28	MLB	NYM	55%	285	253	53	10	3	6	26	86	4	7	2	209	293	344	637	134	280	30	9	274	68	-10	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.3
2035	29	MLB	NYM	53%	278	248	50	9	2	6	25	84	3	6	1	202	283	327	609	125	280	30	9	272	67	-10	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2157	1924	396	73	21	46	192	651	27	52	12	206	287	337	624	131	283	30	9	273	67	-80	+6	-1	+39	+61	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	119	22	6	14	58	196	8	16	4	205	286	336	623	131	282	30	9	273	67	-24	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4250	3777	775	140	40	93	382	1279	52	109	27	205	287	337	624	132	281	30	9	281	73	-128	+11	-2	+76	+120	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	118	21	6	14	58	196	8	17	4	204	286	334	620	130	280	30	9	281	73	-20	+2	-0	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	142	112	28	4	1	4	24	24	3	10	3	250	396	411	806	161	276	17	17	361	134	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,286	50	55	206	284	338	+41	+24	4.3	4.1
	/162	664	14	16	206	284	338	+11.9	+7.0	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yeider Mindiola (OGILVIE)	20	29→34	41→46	55→60	62	173/262/287	113	282	2	9	38%	9%	44	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→34	48→50	53→50	42	192/272/344	152	278	15	13	35%	8%	70	-0.3	196/254/341	145	281	17	14	35%	6%	62	-0.9	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→60	48	201/274/306	105	261	8	20	25%	8%	61	-1.0	183/262/263	80	276	4	22	32%	8%	45	-2.1	166/252/237	72	256	4	27	33%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	45→50	53→40	45	203/286/332	130	305	12	8	35%	9%	73	-0.1	196/255/319	123	274	14	4	32%	6%	56	-1.3	187/242/298	111	255	14	1	31%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	78	+0.2	210/269/323	113	265	11	17	24%	7%	63	-0.8	202/247/302	100	249	8	18	22%	5%	46	-0.6
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	56	-1.3	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	46	-2.0	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6