Yeraldo Salcedo — OGILVIE

Yeraldo Salcedo P Bradenton Marauders

Age 19 LHP 5'9" / 176 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%21.8%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	3	32	130	36	13	0	23%	2.4	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	0.0%	1.99	3.09	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	3	32	130	36	13	0	23%	2.4	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	0.0%	1.99	3.09	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	13	3	32	130	36	13	0	23%	2.4	27.7%	10.0%	17.7%	0.0%	1.99	2.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	0	47	210	50	25	6	0%	2.1	18.7%	15.6%	3.1%	4.3%	4.40	5.84	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	0	47	210	50	25	6	0%	2.1	18.7%	15.6%	3.1%	4.3%	4.40	5.84	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PIT	4	0	8	28	4	1	0	0%	1.9	14.3%	3.6%	10.7%	0.0%	1.17	2.35	—
2026	19	A RAW	PIT	18	0	39	182	46	24	6	0%	2.2	25.3%	13.2%	12.1%	3.3%	5.03	4.45	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	46	0	48	204	46	22	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	2.8%	4.56	4.50	+0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48	0	51	214	49	21	6	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	2.8%	4.43	4.35	+0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	51	0	53	225	53	21	6	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	2.7%	4.26	4.15	+0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	53	0	55	233	57	21	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.8%	15.7%	2.7%	4.11	4.01	+0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	54	0	57	239	60	20	6	0%	1.0	25.1%	8.6%	16.5%	2.7%	3.99	3.91	+0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	57	242	62	20	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	8.4%	17.0%	2.7%	3.91	3.86	+0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	57	242	62	20	6	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.4%	17.3%	2.7%	3.87	3.84	+0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	54	0	56	238	61	20	6	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.7%	3.87	3.87	+0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	23	0	24	101	23	11	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	2.6%	4.44	4.38	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	35	0	37	156	36	16	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	2.6%	4.31	4.23	+0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	43	0	45	190	45	18	5	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	2.5%	4.15	4.04	+0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	48	0	50	211	52	19	5	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.8%	15.7%	2.5%	4.00	3.90	+0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	52	220	55	19	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	8.6%	16.5%	2.5%	3.88	3.80	+0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	51	0	54	228	58	19	6	0%	1.1	25.4%	8.4%	17.0%	2.5%	3.80	3.75	+0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51	0	54	228	58	19	6	0%	1.1	25.6%	8.4%	17.3%	2.5%	3.76	3.73	+0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	51	0	54	228	58	19	6	0%	1.1	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.5%	3.76	3.76	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		351	0	369	1558	384	139	39	0%	1.1	24.7%	8.9%	15.8%	2.5%	3.96	3.52	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	75	21	0%	1.1	24.7%	8.9%	15.8%	2.5%	3.96	3.52	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		35	3	79	340	64	49	9	9%	2.2	18.8%	14.4%	4.4%	2.6%	3.43	4.79	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	8	200	864	162	124	23	9%	2.2	18.8%	14.4%	4.4%	2.6%	3.43	4.79	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yeraldo Salcedo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	21.8%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.33	23.1%	13.1%	152	-0.36	—	—	—
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	83
Yokelvin Reyes L 2023 · 3.94 FIP	19	SU	3.94	20.1%	12.8%	1.7%	.293	4.48	16.0%	4.1%	166	+0.54	3.50	221	82
Fabian Blanco L 2017 · 4.28 FIP	19	SU	4.28	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%	.368	4.05	16.9%	1.3%	74	-0.23	3.57	215	82
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	82
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	81
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	80
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	79
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	78
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	78
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	78
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.30	335	77
Adam Macko L 2019 · 3.88 FIP	18	SW	3.88	22.4%	14.6%	1.5%	.353	3.64	27.2%	12.4%	72	-0.24	3.40	403	77
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	77
Felix Carvallo L 2015 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	17.1%	9.8%	3.0%	.323	4.60	17.7%	4.7%	67	+0.04	4.56	132	76
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.72	16.6%	7.5%	223	+0.24	3.71	420	76
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	76
Gregori Louis L 2022 · 5.03 FIP	19	SU	5.03	25.4%	13.1%	4.4%	.364	4.96	19.1%	2.9%	89	-0.07	3.58	149	76
Evan Sisk L 2018 · 3.51 FIP	21	SU	3.51	19.5%	11.3%	1.1%	.293	4.00	18.4%	5.5%	114	+0.49	1.92	443	76
Chandler Hawkins L 2015 · 3.51 FIP	22	SU	3.51	17.4%	10.0%	1.1%	.256	4.93	12.4%	2.2%	85	+1.42	3.51	115	75
James Ziemba L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	22	SU	3.73	18.3%	12.5%	1.1%	.309	5.16	11.7%	-0.7%	78	+1.43	3.73	110	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	50	24.4%	9.1%	1.06	4.13
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35