Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
17
ROKMLE
DSL Braves
10
4
35
139
24
10
4
40%
3.5
11.7%
9.0%
2.7%
4.6%
3.57
5.77
—
2025
17
ROKMLE
DSL Braves
10
4
35
139
24
10
4
40%
3.5
11.7%
9.0%
2.7%
4.6%
3.57
5.77
—
2025
17
ROKRAW
DSL Braves
10
4
35
139
24
10
4
40%
3.5
17.3%
7.2%
10.1%
2.9%
3.57
4.06
—
2026
18
MIXMLE
2 levels
18
13
73
313
59
33
6
72%
4.0
13.1%
13.0%
0.0%
2.6%
3.59
5.05
—
2026
18
MIXMLE
2 levels
18
13
73
313
59
33
6
72%
4.0
13.1%
13.0%
0.0%
2.6%
3.59
5.05
—
2026
18
MIXRAW
2 levels
18
13
73
313
59
33
6
72%
4.0
18.8%
10.5%
8.3%
1.9%
3.59
3.91
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
19
MLB
ATL
7
7
42
177
29
21
5
100%
6.0
16.6%
12.0%
4.6%
3.1%
5.28
5.28
-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
20
MLBMLE
ATL
11
11
69
290
53
32
9
100%
6.2
18.3%
10.9%
7.4%
3.0%
5.05
4.96
-0.0
2029
21
MLBMLE
ATL
12
12
72
304
59
31
9
100%
6.0
19.5%
10.2%
9.3%
2.9%
4.84
4.73
+0.1
2030
22
MLBMLE
ATL
12
12
76
320
67
30
9
100%
6.3
20.8%
9.4%
11.4%
2.9%
4.63
4.50
+0.4
2031
23
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
78
331
72
30
9
100%
6.0
21.6%
8.9%
12.7%
2.8%
4.45
4.34
+0.5
2032
24
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
80
340
75
29
10
100%
6.2
22.2%
8.6%
13.6%
2.8%
4.33
4.24
+0.6
2033
25
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
82
344
78
29
10
100%
6.3
22.6%
8.5%
14.1%
2.8%
4.24
4.18
+0.7
2034
26
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
82
344
78
29
10
100%
6.3
22.8%
8.5%
14.3%
2.8%
4.19
4.16
+0.7
2035
27
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
80
339
77
29
10
100%
6.2
22.8%
8.5%
14.2%
2.8%
4.19
4.20
+0.7
2036
28
MLBMLE
ATL
13
13
78
329
81
26
10
100%
6.0
24.6%
7.9%
16.8%
2.9%
4.08
4.01
+0.8
2037
29
MLBMLE
ATL
12
12
74
314
77
25
10
100%
6.2
24.4%
8.1%
16.3%
3.1%
4.12
4.14
+0.7
2038
30
MLBMLE
ATL
12
12
70
295
71
25
10
100%
5.8
24.1%
8.4%
15.7%
3.3%
4.24
4.32
+0.5
2039
31
MLBMLE
ATL
11
11
65
275
65
24
10
100%
5.9
23.7%
8.8%
14.9%
3.5%
4.41
4.52
+0.3
2040
32
MLBMLE
ATL
10
10
60
255
59
23
10
100%
6.0
23.2%
9.2%
14.1%
3.8%
4.61
4.75
+0.1
2028
20
MLBCTX
ATL
6
6
34
144
26
16
4
100%
5.7
18.3%
10.9%
7.4%
3.0%
5.05
4.96
-0.0
2029
21
MLBCTX
ATL
9
9
53
224
44
23
7
100%
5.9
19.5%
10.2%
9.3%
2.9%
4.84
4.73
+0.1
2030
22
MLBCTX
ATL
11
11
64
270
56
25
8
100%
5.8
20.8%
9.4%
11.4%
2.9%
4.63
4.50
+0.3
2031
23
MLBCTX
ATL
12
12
71
300
65
27
9
100%
5.9
21.6%
8.9%
12.7%
2.8%
4.45
4.34
+0.5
2032
24
MLBCTX
ATL
12
12
74
312
69
27
9
100%
6.2
22.2%
8.6%
13.6%
2.8%
4.33
4.24
+0.6
2033
25
MLBCTX
ATL
13
13
76
321
72
27
9
100%
5.8
22.6%
8.5%
14.1%
2.8%
4.24
4.18
+0.6
2034
26
MLBCTX
ATL
13
13
77
325
74
27
9
100%
5.9
22.8%
8.5%
14.3%
2.8%
4.19
4.16
+0.7
2035
27
MLBCTX
ATL
13
13
76
321
73
27
9
100%
5.8
22.8%
8.5%
14.2%
2.8%
4.19
4.20
+0.6
2036
28
MLBCTX
ATL
12
12
74
312
77
25
9
100%
6.2
24.6%
7.9%
16.8%
2.9%
4.08
4.01
+0.8
2037
29
MLBCTX
ATL
12
12
71
300
73
24
9
100%
5.9
24.4%
8.1%
16.3%
3.1%
4.12
4.14
+0.6
2038
30
MLBCTX
ATL
11
11
66
279
67
23
9
100%
6.0
24.1%
8.4%
15.7%
3.3%
4.24
4.32
+0.4
2039
31
MLBCTX
ATL
10
10
62
262
62
23
9
100%
6.2
23.7%
8.8%
14.9%
3.5%
4.41
4.52
+0.3
2040
32
MLBCTX
ATL
9
9
57
241
56
22
9
100%
6.3
23.2%
9.2%
14.1%
3.8%
4.61
4.75
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
141
141
855
3610
815
317
109
100%
6.1
22.6%
8.8%
13.8%
3.0%
4.37
3.96
+9.6
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
191
74
25
100%
6.1
22.6%
8.8%
13.8%
3.0%
4.37
3.96
+2.2
Career
—
MLE
28
17
108
452
57
53
14
61%
3.9
12.7%
11.8%
0.9%
3.2%
3.58
5.27
+6.0
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
52
31
200
837
106
99
27
61%
3.9
12.7%
11.8%
0.9%
3.2%
3.58
5.27
+1.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.