Darwin Nuñez — OGILVIE

Darwin NuñezIF DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 166 lbs ROK HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2034

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .282 / .300

PA170

HR2

K%28

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

20→20

SPD

50→50

EYE

70↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.2	$31M	+$30M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.2	$35M	+$20M
Totals		$37M		$211M	+$174M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	201	170	21	3	0	0	28	47	1	8	2	.124	.251	.141	.392	.018	.169	23	14	.200	11	-20	+1	+0	+0	+6	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	TOR	170	151	31	6	1	2	15	48	2	3	1	.205	.286	.298	.584	.093	.281	28	9	.269	64	-7	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	TOR	253	223	51	9	2	5	25	67	3	5	1	.229	.315	.354	.669	.126	.295	26	10	.298	86	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.4
2028	20	MLB 28%	TOR	379	331	77	13	2	9	40	96	5	8	2	.233	.324	.366	.690	.133	.301	25	11	.313	97	-1	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.1
2029	21	MLB 48%	TOR	473	412	98	17	3	12	52	116	6	11	2	.238	.332	.381	.713	.143	.302	25	11	.322	105	+3	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.8
2030	22	MLB 65%	TOR	540	467	114	20	3	15	61	129	7	12	3	.244	.340	.396	.736	.152	.302	24	11	.330	110	+6	+1	+0	+0	+15	2.3
2031	23	MLB 86%	TOR	585	504	124	21	4	17	68	137	8	12	3	.246	.345	.405	.750	.159	.302	23	12	.335	115	+10	+1	+0	+0	+17	2.8
2032	24	MLB	TOR	614	528	130	22	4	18	73	142	8	12	3	.246	.346	.405	.752	.159	.303	23	12	.339	118	+12	+1	+0	+0	+17	3.2
2033	25	MLB	TOR	631	541	135	23	4	19	76	145	9	12	2	.250	.351	.412	.764	.163	.303	23	12	.342	120	+14	+2	+0	+0	+18	3.5
2034	26	MLB	TOR	639	547	137	23	4	20	78	147	9	12	2	.250	.353	.417	.770	.166	.304	23	12	.344	122	+16	+2	+0	+0	+18	3.6
2035	27	MLB	TOR	639	546	136	23	4	20	79	148	9	12	2	.249	.353	.416	.769	.167	.304	23	12	.344	122	+16	+2	+0	+0	+18	3.6
2036	28	MLB	TOR	634	541	134	23	4	19	79	148	9	11	2	.248	.353	.410	.763	.163	.303	23	12	.343	121	+15	+1	-1	+0	+18	3.4
2037	29	MLB	TOR	624	532	131	22	4	19	78	147	9	11	1	.246	.352	.410	.762	.164	.303	24	12	.341	119	+13	+2	-1	+0	+18	3.2
2038	30	MLB	TOR	614	524	127	22	3	18	77	147	8	10	1	.242	.348	.399	.747	.156	.301	24	13	.338	117	+12	+2	-2	+0	+17	2.9
2039	31	MLB	TOR	599	511	123	21	3	17	75	146	8	9	0	.241	.347	.393	.740	.153	.300	24	13	.334	114	+9	+2	-3	+0	+17	2.6
2040	32	MLB	TOR	581	495	118	20	3	16	73	144	8	8	0	.238	.345	.388	.733	.149	.298	25	13	.329	110	+7	+2	-4	+0	+16	2.2
2041	33	MLB	TOR	551	470	110	18	3	15	69	141	7	8	0	.234	.341	.381	.722	.147	.297	26	13	.324	106	+4	+2	-4	+0	+16	1.7
2042	34	MLB	TOR	504	431	99	16	3	13	62	133	6	8	0	.230	.335	.371	.706	.142	.295	26	12	.317	101	+1	+2	-5	+0	+14	1.2
2043	35	MLB	TOR	447	383	85	14	2	11	55	122	6	7	0	.222	.329	.355	.684	.133	.293	27	12	.310	95	-2	+1	-6	+0	+13	0.6
2044	36	MLB	TOR	386	331	70	11	2	8	47	110	5	6	0	.211	.319	.329	.648	.118	.290	28	12	.301	88	-5	+1	-6	+0	+11	0.1
2045	37	MLB	TOR	321	276	57	9	2	6	38	94	4	5	0	.207	.311	.319	.630	.112	.286	29	12	.291	81	-7	+1	-7	+0	+9	-0.4
2046	38	MLB	TOR	251	216	43	7	1	4	30	76	3	4	0	.199	.305	.296	.602	.097	.281	30	12	.281	73	-8	+1	-8	+0	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10636	9130	2151	363	61	283	1278	2630	140	194	27	.236	.338	.382	.720	.146	.298	25	12	.325	107	+83	+28	-46	+0	+301	37.3
/ 162G	—			650	558	131	22	4	17	78	161	9	12	2	.235	.338	.380	.718	.145	.298	25	12	.325	107	+5	+2	-3	+0	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	201	153	30	5	0	0	45	31	1	8	2	.196	.382	.229	.611	.033	.244	15	22	.304	91	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin Nuñez (OGILVIE)	18	30	20	50	60	.204/.282/.300	.096	.281	2	3	28%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Nahum Hernandez 2009 · A	19	42	39→45	42→50	44	.204/.265/.287	.083	.263	6	5	24%	6%	52	-1.6	.222/.290/.319	.097	.299	8	8	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.241/.316/.348	.107	.325	9	10	26%	7%	84	+0.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	36	41→45	47→60	41	.181/.239/.272	.091	.247	9	13	30%	6%	37	-2.6	.219/.271/.301	.082	.284	7	20	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.234/.281/.297	.063	.300	5	24	23%	5%	58	-0.3
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→36	37→40	43→50	40	.199/.260/.273	.074	.298	4	10	33%	6%	46	-2.0	.188/.286/.269	.081	.350	5	9	43%	10%	58	-1.2	.161/.273/.241	.079	.336	5	7	47%	10%	45	-0.9
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	38→45	48→60	37	.201/.274/.283	.082	.302	4	8	32%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.294/.318	.100	.311	8	15	31%	6%	73	-0.1	.220/.298/.329	.109	.312	11	20	30%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	40	36→30	48→50	45	.190/.258/.255	.065	.266	4	12	28%	8%	41	-2.3	.207/.263/.250	.043	.259	1	14	19%	7%	40	-2.4	.233/.291/.254	.020	.278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	44→50	46	.203/.288/.316	.113	.290	11	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.198/.307/.305	.107	.277	10	9	29%	11%	77	+0.1	.175/.316/.285	.110	.237	10	11	27%	13%	76	+0.0
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	39	38→40	48→40	45	.185/.272/.264	.079	.291	6	5	35%	9%	50	-1.7	.187/.274/.272	.085	.330	7	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	.167/.258/.250	.082	.313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A	18	41	39→30	54→45	38	.200/.243/.282	.082	.278	6	11	30%	5%	40	-2.4	.216/.278/.275	.059	.274	3	9	21%	6%	54	-1.4	.243/.302/.283	.040	.290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	44	37→40	52→50	45	.206/.258/.282	.075	.253	4	9	20%	6%	46	-2.0	.227/.280/.301	.074	.268	3	15	15%	6%	61	-1.0	.292/.336/.357	.066	.329	1	19	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	41	38→40	45→55	39	.193/.266/.266	.074	.302	5	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	.202/.282/.278	.076	.297	7	15	32%	8%	58	-1.2	.190/.269/.258	.068	.288	7	17	34%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→44	38→45	47→50	48	.204/.297/.283	.079	.259	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.209/.296/.303	.094	.253	9	16	20%	9%	70	-0.3	.214/.295/.320	.106	.256	12	19	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	38	38→45	46→40	37	.185/.245/.266	.081	.256	5	7	29%	4%	39	-2.5	.207/.266/.291	.084	.273	8	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.203/.259/.274	.071	.266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	43	37→45	49→55	41	.203/.263/.279	.075	.288	4	8	30%	6%	49	-1.8	.223/.288/.330	.107	.269	10	12	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.225/.291/.340	.115	.260	12	15	18%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Felix G. Santana 2012 · A	17	39	40	44→50	36	.189/.251/.281	.093	.297	7	8	37%	6%	45	-2.1	.190/.251/.258	.068	.285	4	8	33%	5%	38	-2.6	.215/.272/.289	.074	.281	4	8	24%	4%	52	-0.5
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	40	43→40	53→45	45	.199/.265/.310	.111	.265	10	14	28%	8%	58	-1.2	.204/.267/.302	.098	.269	9	11	26%	7%	57	-1.2	.185/.255/.276	.090	.256	8	7	29%	7%	43	-0.8
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→44	41→55	48→50	50	.198/.276/.300	.102	.259	8	6	26%	9%	60	-1.0	.193/.268/.290	.097	.299	8	7	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→48	37→45	47→40	44	.190/.244/.262	.072	.250	5	4	25%	6%	36	-2.7	.193/.250/.256	.063	.231	4	3	17%	6%	37	-2.7	.276/.346/.381	.105	.365	9	0	25%	9%	105	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)