Darwin Nuñez

IF DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 166 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	201	.196/.382/.229	0	8	24	—	.114/.261/.133
2026	18	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	162	.287/.421/.426	3	15	53	—	.167/.277/.225
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTOR	272	.200/.283/.271	2	5	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTOR	47	.206/.290/.288	0	1	66	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%79

Z-Con%74

wOBA71

Chase%71

K%70

wRC+67

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEdwin Sanchez (age 19) · Guillermo Pimentel (age 19) · Richard Rodriguez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .281 / .268

PA84

HR1

K%24

BB%10

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	153	30	5	0	0	45	31	1	8	2	196	382	229	611	33	244	15	22	304	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	129	37	9	0	3	28	28	2	15	4	287	421	426	848	140	337	17	17	379	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	166	19	3	0	0	32	39	1	8	2	114	261	133	394	18	147	19	16	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	138	23	5	0	1	19	34	2	15	4	167	277	225	501	58	207	21	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	166	19	3	0	0	32	39	1	8	2	114	261	133	394	18	148	19	16	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	153	30	5	0	0	45	31	1	8	2	196	382	229	611	33	244	15	22	304	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	138	23	5	0	1	19	34	2	15	4	167	277	225	501	58	208	21	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	129	37	9	0	3	28	28	2	15	4	287	421	426	848	140	337	17	17	379	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	166	19	3	0	0	32	39	1	8	2	114	261	133	394	18	147	19	16	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	140	23	5	0	1	19	34	2	15	4	164	277	221	498	57	207	21	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	201	166	19	3	0	0	32	39	1	8	2	114	261	133	394	18	147	19	16	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	162	140	23	5	0	1	19	34	2	15	4	164	277	221	498	57	207	21	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	272	242	48	9	1	2	26	66	2	5	1	200	283	271	554	71	264	24	10	257	60	-13	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	136	121	24	4	1	1	13	33	1	3	1	205	289	287	576	82	267	24	10	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	47	43	8	2	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	206	290	288	578	82	268	23	9	267	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	43	8	2	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	186	255	233	488	47	250	23	9	267	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	111	28	0	0	55	152	0	14	0	187	255	234	489	47	251	23	8	267	47	-26	+3	+0	+0	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	583	500	81	15	1	3	72	126	5	28	7	162	274	214	488	52	207	22	12	237	47	-9	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	90	17	1	3	80	140	6	31	8	162	274	212	486	50	207	22	12	237	47	-28	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Blue Jays Red · 162 PAwOBA .377 → .246 (−131)K% 17.3% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.28%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.28%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.04%
HBP% /PA	1.23%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.86%
Singles /BIP	24.75%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	15.91%
Doubles /BIP	8.91%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	5.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.97%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.39%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .377 → .246; ISO .140 → .076; BABIP .337 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Blue Jays Blue · 201 PAwOBA .300 → .203 (−97)K% 15.4% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.42%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	19.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.39%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.008	15.98%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.35%
Singles /BIP	20.49%	÷1.086	×0.680	×0.962	×1.008	12.44%
Doubles /BIP	4.10%	÷1.023	×0.600	×0.962	×1.008	2.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.962	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.836	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 117, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .300 → .203; ISO .033 → .020; BABIP .244 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin Nuñez (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	50	60	198/281/268	70	264	1	2	24%	10%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	40	37→30	48→55	50	191/288/255	65	246	5	17	23%	9%	61	-1.5	193/262/264	71	311	6	12	37%	7%	51	-2.2	173/233/233	60	311	6	11	43%	7%	31	-1.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	37	38→30	48→50	50	176/270/257	81	235	5	12	26%	9%	54	-2.0	183/292/249	66	255	3	12	26%	11%	61	-1.5	149/289/192	42	212	2	14	26%	13%	47	-0.7
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	40	36→40	49→55	44	192/255/259	67	259	3	9	26%	7%	47	-2.5	200/270/286	86	236	7	13	18%	6%	59	-1.6	204/271/288	85	250	7	15	21%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Rafael P Valera 2014 · A	19	41	33→30	48→55	57	185/287/232	46	232	1	16	19%	11%	55	-2.0	209/287/269	60	280	1	11	23%	9%	61	-1.5	217/291/282	65	301	0	7	25%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	41→30	35→45	51→50	46	190/266/254	63	262	2	14	26%	8%	51	-2.3	188/258/264	76	289	5	16	34%	8%	50	-2.3	199/264/331	132	310	13	17	38%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Cristian Encarnacion 2016 · A	19	39	37→40	48→55	51	184/279/264	80	237	3	12	22%	9%	59	-1.7	186/276/258	72	251	3	13	25%	8%	57	-1.8	147/254/198	51	201	1	20	24%	8%	36	-1.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	41	36→40	47→40	59	189/305/249	60	253	3	8	24%	13%	66	-1.1	188/293/264	76	260	6	5	27%	12%	64	-1.3	167/279/236	69	235	7	2	29%	12%	52	-0.8
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	40→43	34→30	51→50	45	189/256/237	48	251	2	16	24%	7%	42	-2.9	211/305/254	43	285	1	19	23%	10%	66	-1.1	200/318/229	29	278	1	24	24%	13%	64	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	41	37→40	48→45	48	194/260/273	80	236	4	7	19%	7%	53	-2.1	205/270/281	76	253	4	7	19%	7%	57	-1.8	200/265/266	66	247	4	6	20%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	42	37→30	48→60	49	198/268/270	72	254	4	13	22%	8%	55	-2.0	197/293/251	54	252	2	24	20%	11%	61	-1.5	183/298/219	36	231	1	34	18%	13%	54	-0.8
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	36	37→30	42→40	52	171/273/237	65	238	5	5	28%	11%	51	-2.2	189/277/252	63	258	4	5	25%	10%	55	-2.0	153/253/179	26	205	2	3	23%	11%	28	-1.2
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	40	35→30	55	49	187/276/246	60	239	2	17	21%	8%	53	-2.1	198/294/272	74	252	4	25	21%	9%	66	-1.1	181/288/252	71	236	5	32	23%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Jorge Caballero 2018 · A	18	42	36→30	49→45	50	195/278/261	65	238	3	10	18%	8%	57	-1.8	212/284/276	64	317	2	7	31%	8%	62	-1.4	231/304/296	66	360	4	5	34%	8%	71	-0.4