Jorge Caballero — OGILVIE

Jorge CaballeroOF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .310 / .350

PA176

HR3

K%29

BB%9

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	208	44	7	1	2	17	48	12	10	3	212	308	284	592	72	259	20	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	198	53	10	1	2	27	33	12	10	3	268	388	359	747	91	305	14	11	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	194	171	39	6	1	0	18	71	1	2	2	228	305	275	580	47	386	37	9	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	194	160	48	8	1	0	29	49	1	2	2	300	411	362	773	62	429	25	15	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	55	49	12	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	0	245	327	367	695	122	407	38	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	55	46	16	2	1	2	8	15	1	0	0	348	455	565	1.020	217	483	27	15	448	201	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	244	52	4	2	2	21	107	4	1	1	213	286	270	557	57	368	39	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	238	69	6	3	3	27	70	4	1	1	290	372	378	750	88	398	26	10	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	379	343	88	14	2	3	30	122	5	8	3	257	325	335	661	79	388	32	8	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	379	332	101	18	3	3	41	92	5	8	3	304	389	404	793	99	412	24	11	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	209	179	35	6	0	2	24	78	4	3	3	196	304	263	567	67	327	37	11	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	209	169	43	7	0	2	34	60	4	3	3	254	391	331	723	77	376	29	16	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIA	—	176	156	36	7	1	3	16	50	2	3	1	231	310	346	656	115	317	28	9	300	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIA	26%	223	198	47	9	1	5	20	63	3	4	1	237	317	369	685	131	314	28	9	303	90	-3	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.3
2028	28	MLB	MIA	39%	284	252	58	11	1	6	26	79	4	4	2	230	312	353	665	123	312	28	9	303	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2029	29	MLB	MIA	44%	316	280	65	12	1	7	29	88	4	5	2	232	313	357	670	125	310	28	9	303	90	-4	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2027	27	MLB	MIA	26%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	309	28	9	289	79	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIA	39%	112	100	22	4	0	2	10	31	1	2	1	220	297	320	617	100	307	28	9	290	80	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	29	MLB	MIA	44%	141	125	29	5	1	3	13	39	2	2	1	232	314	360	674	128	305	28	9	289	79	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	311	277	62	11	1	6	28	86	4	5	2	224	304	336	640	112	299	28	9	289	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	130	23	2	13	59	180	8	10	4	225	305	339	643	114	300	28	9	289	80	-15	+0	-2	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2351	2080	476	77	11	31	206	727	40	40	18	229	310	321	632	92	333	31	9	282	74	-68	+1	-2	-14	+67	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	132	21	3	9	57	201	11	11	5	230	311	323	635	94	333	31	9	282	74	-19	+0	-1	-4	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	198	53	10	1	2	27	33	12	10	3	268	388	359	747	91	305	14	11	338	117	+5	+1	—	—	+7	1.3
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	194	160	48	8	1	0	29	49	1	2	2	300	411	362	773	62	429	25	15	351	127	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	55	46	16	2	1	2	8	15	1	0	0	348	455	565	1.020	217	483	27	15	448	201	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	238	69	6	3	3	27	70	4	1	1	290	372	378	750	88	398	26	10	340	118	+6	-0	—	—	+8	1.3
2023	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	132	114	29	8	0	0	15	45	2	0	0	254	351	325	676	70	414	34	11	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	247	218	72	10	3	3	26	47	3	8	3	330	409	445	854	115	411	19	11	384	152	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	25	20	3	0	0	0	2	10	3	1	1	150	320	150	470		300	40	8	253	52	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	184	149	40	7	0	2	32	50	1	2	2	268	401	356	757	87	384	27	17	349	125	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	312	7	5	234	311	360	-2	+0	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	14	10	234	311	360	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Caballero (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	230/310/350	120	317	3	3	29%	9%	88	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	47→50	47→45	52→50	41	230/288/371	140	317	14	10	31%	6%	83	+0.6	247/311/362	115	310	11	11	23%	8%	91	+1.1	246/313/340	94	302	9	11	20%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Drew Ferguson 2019 · AAA	26	52→49	43→45	49→55	47	244/321/354	110	334	10	16	28%	8%	93	+1.3	230/312/341	111	322	10	22	29%	9%	86	+0.8	215/303/319	104	305	10	30	30%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	47→55	44→45	48→55	44	228/294/350	122	313	12	13	30%	8%	81	+0.4	241/315/351	110	315	10	19	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Kellen Strahm 2023 · AA	26	51→53	47→45	52→60	49	244/324/376	132	336	15	11	30%	10%	100	+1.7	231/306/331	100	315	9	18	27%	9%	80	+0.4	224/300/313	90	300	7	24	26%	10%	71	-0.2
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2016 · AA	26	47→50	43→55	47→50	45	231/291/342	111	306	11	10	27%	7%	77	+0.1	234/303/373	139	321	16	5	30%	9%	91	+1.1	229/307/382	153	312	19	3	31%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2017 · AA	26	46→48	44→45	49→50	43	225/287/350	125	297	11	12	27%	7%	78	+0.2	223/297/350	127	309	12	9	30%	7%	82	+0.5	203/302/343	140	276	15	5	30%	9%	82	+0.2
✕Ben Guez 2013 · AAA	26	48→52	44→55	49→50	44	230/303/361	131	306	10	15	27%	7%	87	+0.8	216/288/379	163	288	20	11	31%	7%	86	+0.8	201/276/373	173	262	23	11	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Kyle Petty 2017 · AA	26	47→49	45→50	48→50	41	232/286/355	124	316	13	10	30%	6%	79	+0.3	227/289/329	102	340	9	10	33%	7%	72	-0.2	214/286/250	36	383	0	7	40%	7%	52	-0.3
✕Steve Selsky 2015 · AAA	26	50→52	41→50	45	42	234/300/335	101	329	9	7	30%	7%	79	+0.3	238/297/350	112	337	11	6	31%	6%	82	+0.5	229/284/348	120	321	13	4	31%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Eli White 2020 · AAA	26	44→49	43→50	50→60	41	215/279/329	114	306	10	13	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/284/337	123	300	13	17	31%	8%	73	-0.1	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	44→50	45→50	43→45	52	220/315/340	120	274	14	5	24%	10%	89	+0.9	222/293/341	119	290	14	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	231/290/331	100	300	10	7	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Nelson Maldonado 2023 · AAA	26	50→48	47→50	51→40	40	245/287/384	139	315	13	7	26%	5%	86	+0.8	218/278/347	129	279	13	7	26%	7%	73	-0.1	185/259/301	117	229	12	1	24%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Brian Van Kirk 2013 · AA	27	47→52	45	45	47	234/298/359	125	295	13	7	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/307/328	93	305	7	8	23%	9%	80	+0.4	249/345/312	63	311	4	5	19%	12%	88	+0.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2022 · AA	26	53	45	47→55	45	255/319/384	129	315	11	14	22%	6%	100	+1.7	219/288/334	115	279	11	17	24%	6%	75	-0.0	124/205/185	62	154	8	40	25%	5%	1	-1.0
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	44→51	46→55	49→55	40	219/271/346	128	300	13	14	31%	6%	69	-0.4	229/291/388	159	292	19	19	27%	7%	90	+1.0	225/293/380	155	280	19	21	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Paul Gran 2012 · AA	26	47	43→45	50	41	225/289/348	123	312	10	9	29%	6%	79	+0.3	207/279/314	107	302	8	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	194/276/284	91	289	8	10	33%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Jordan Czarniecki 2007 · AA	26	50→51	47→50	50	47	245/306/386	141	303	13	14	23%	7%	95	+1.4	244/305/380	136	292	13	14	20%	7%	93	+1.3	246/309/381	135	288	13	14	19%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2019 · AA	26	48→49	43→45	46→40	48	233/296/340	107	294	10	5	24%	8%	79	+0.3	236/281/330	94	289	7	8	20%	5%	69	-0.4	251/287/329	78	303	3	5	18%	4%	66	-0.3
✕Stefan Gartrell 2009 · AA	25	48→52	47→55	51→45	43	235/293/368	134	311	14	8	28%	7%	85	+0.7	232/286/394	162	304	19	6	29%	6%	89	+1.0	228/284/398	170	292	21	4	29%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	48→50	45	204/288/334	129	286	15	9	32%	9%	76	+0.0	216/303/373	157	299	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	212/305/392	180	282	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5