Jorge Caballero — OGILVIE

Jorge CaballeroOF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .309 / .349

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	198	53	10	1	2	27	33	12	10	3	268	388	359	747	91	305	14	11	338	115	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	194	160	48	8	1	0	29	49	1	2	2	300	411	362	773	62	429	25	15	351	124	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2021	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	55	46	16	2	1	2	8	15	1	0	0	348	455	565	1.020	217	483	27	15	448	189	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	238	69	6	3	3	27	70	4	1	1	290	372	378	750	88	398	26	10	340	116	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	132	114	29	8	0	0	15	45	2	0	0	254	351	325	676	70	414	34	11	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	247	218	72	10	3	3	26	47	3	8	3	330	409	445	854	115	411	19	11	384	146	+14	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	25	20	3	0	0	0	2	10	3	1	1	150	320	150	470		300	40	8	253	57	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	184	149	40	7	0	2	32	50	1	2	2	268	401	356	757	87	384	27	17	349	123	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	244	208	44	7	1	2	17	48	12	10	3	212	308	284	592	72	241	20	7	255	59	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	194	171	39	6	1	0	18	71	1	2	2	228	305	275	580	47	360	37	9	254	58	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	55	49	11	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	0	224	309	347	656	122	389	38	9	305	93	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	244	53	4	2	2	21	103	4	1	1	217	290	275	565	57	361	38	8	258	61	-13	-0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2023	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	132	118	22	5	0	0	11	60	2	0	0	186	267	229	496	42	377	45	8	233	44	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	247	224	64	9	2	3	20	64	3	8	3	286	352	384	736	98	385	26	8	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	1	12	3	1	1	143	280	143	423		285	48	4	205	25	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	184	158	33	6	0	2	23	67	1	2	2	209	313	285	598	76	324	36	12	267	67	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	244	208	44	7	1	2	17	48	12	10	3	212	308	284	592	72	259	20	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	244	198	53	10	1	2	27	33	12	10	3	268	388	359	747	91	305	14	11	338	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	194	171	39	6	1	0	18	71	1	2	2	228	305	275	580	47	386	37	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	—	194	160	48	8	1	0	29	49	1	2	2	300	411	362	773	62	429	25	15	351	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	55	49	11	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	0	224	309	347	656	122	370	38	9	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	55	46	16	2	1	2	8	15	1	0	0	348	455	565	1.020	217	483	27	15	448	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	244	53	4	2	2	21	103	4	1	1	217	290	275	565	57	364	38	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	238	69	6	3	3	27	70	4	1	1	290	372	378	750	88	398	26	10	340	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	379	343	86	14	2	3	30	125	5	8	3	251	320	329	650	79	384	33	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	379	332	101	18	3	3	41	92	5	8	3	304	389	404	793	99	412	24	11	359	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	209	179	36	6	0	2	24	78	4	3	3	201	309	268	577	67	337	37	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	209	169	43	7	0	2	34	60	4	3	3	254	391	331	723	77	376	29	16	338	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	244	213	44	7	1	2	17	48	12	10	3	207	308	277	585	70	241	20	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	194	173	39	6	1	0	18	71	1	2	2	225	305	272	577	46	360	37	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	55	49	11	1	1	1	5	21	1	0	0	224	309	347	656	122	389	38	9	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	271	244	53	4	2	2	21	103	4	1	1	217	290	275	565	57	361	38	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	379	341	86	14	2	3	30	125	5	8	3	252	320	331	651	79	382	33	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	209	179	36	6	0	2	24	78	4	3	3	201	309	268	577	67	319	37	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	379	341	86	14	2	3	30	125	5	8	3	252	320	331	651	79	382	33	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	209	179	36	6	0	2	24	78	4	3	3	201	309	268	577	67	319	37	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	317	29	7	300	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	26%	223	198	47	9	1	5	20	63	3	4	1	237	317	369	685	131	314	28	9	303	91	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIA	39%	284	252	58	11	1	6	26	80	4	4	2	230	312	353	665	123	312	28	9	303	91	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIA	44%	316	280	65	12	1	7	29	88	4	5	2	232	313	357	670	125	310	28	9	302	91	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	337	299	68	13	1	7	31	95	4	4	2	227	308	348	656	120	308	28	9	300	89	-4	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	26%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	305	28	9	285	91	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIA	39%	112	100	22	4	0	2	10	31	1	2	1	220	297	320	617	100	303	28	9	286	91	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIA	44%	141	125	29	5	1	3	13	39	2	2	1	232	314	360	674	128	301	28	9	285	91	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	160	142	32	6	1	3	15	45	2	2	1	225	308	345	653	120	299	28	9	283	89	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	471	419	94	17	2	9	43	131	6	7	3	224	306	339	644	115	301	28	9	285	78	-5	+0	-2	-3	+10	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	23	3	12	59	181	8	10	4	223	303	336	639	112	301	28	9	285	78	-7	+0	-3	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2526	2236	510	84	11	35	222	776	42	41	19	228	310	322	632	94	330	31	9	284	78	-13	+1	-4	-7	+25	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	132	22	3	9	57	200	11	11	5	230	311	325	636	96	332	31	9	284	78	-7	+0	-2	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	471	10	7	232	310	358	-3	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	14	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Caballero (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	229/309/349	120	317	3	3	29%	9%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	48	45	52→50	41	234/289/365	131	316	12	10	29%	6%	84	+0.2	243/308/349	106	305	9	11	22%	8%	88	+0.4	237/307/322	85	294	7	11	20%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Kellen Strahm 2023 · AA	26	51→54	45→40	52→60	49	244/324/362	118	335	13	11	29%	10%	97	+1.1	231/306/323	92	315	8	18	27%	9%	81	-0.1	223/300/305	82	301	7	24	26%	10%	72	-0.5
✕Drew Ferguson 2019 · AAA	26	52→50	43→45	49→55	48	244/323/354	111	329	10	16	27%	9%	95	+0.9	226/311/335	109	317	10	22	29%	9%	86	+0.3	209/299/310	101	298	10	30	30%	10%	73	-0.3
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	48→54	43→45	48→55	45	231/296/344	113	313	10	13	28%	8%	82	+0.0	238/313/340	102	311	9	19	24%	9%	88	+0.4	240/320/337	97	310	8	23	24%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Kyle Petty 2017 · AA	26	48→50	45→50	48→50	41	234/289/357	123	319	13	10	30%	6%	82	+0.0	230/292/331	101	338	9	10	32%	7%	78	-0.3	222/293/260	38	373	0	7	37%	7%	62	-0.3
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2016 · AA	26	48→52	43→50	47→50	46	234/294/346	112	302	11	10	26%	8%	82	-0.0	233/301/365	132	316	15	5	29%	8%	89	+0.5	227/303/369	142	310	17	3	30%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Steve Selsky 2015 · AAA	26	50→52	42→45	45	43	237/305/342	105	328	9	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	235/295/340	105	331	9	6	30%	6%	80	-0.1	223/278/330	108	314	11	4	31%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Barrett Barnes 2017 · AA	26	48→52	44→45	49→50	44	233/295/357	124	303	10	12	26%	7%	84	+0.2	224/296/345	121	310	10	9	29%	7%	83	+0.1	196/291/319	123	271	13	5	30%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Jordan Czarniecki 2007 · AA	26	50→51	46→50	50	47	245/306/380	135	301	12	14	22%	7%	94	+0.9	244/305/372	128	291	11	14	19%	7%	92	+0.7	246/309/373	127	287	11	14	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→52	42→45	49→45	46	239/316/347	107	323	10	7	27%	8%	91	+0.6	223/287/296	73	305	5	7	26%	7%	68	-1.0	214/274/258	44	294	1	4	26%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Mike Ahmed 2018 · AAA	26	44→45	46→50	46→50	44	217/285/345	128	303	14	11	32%	8%	78	-0.3	209/265/319	110	325	10	8	36%	6%	65	-1.2	195/248/296	100	312	8	6	38%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Ryan Roberts 2007 · AAA	26	48→52	48→50	47→55	45	238/295/382	144	301	15	8	26%	7%	91	+0.6	236/306/362	126	295	12	10	22%	9%	90	+0.6	237/319/382	145	276	15	19	19%	10%	97	+0.9
✕Mark Zagunis 2019 · MLB	26	48→53	44→45	50	51	230/319/345	116	309	11	10	28%	10%	91	+0.7	224/292/338	114	351	10	11	36%	8%	80	-0.2	214/274/329	114	373	7	9	41%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	44→42	43→50	46→55	43	213/280/332	119	287	10	10	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/300/374	151	295	16	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
●David Hensley 2022 · AA	26	50→57	42→45	49→55	42	239/290/345	107	334	8	11	30%	7%	80	-0.2	229/314/352	123	335	10	16	31%	11%	91	+0.6	212/309/333	120	312	10	19	32%	12%	82	-0.0
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	45→51	45→50	50→55	42	224/276/352	127	299	12	14	29%	6%	76	-0.4	227/288/378	151	288	18	19	27%	7%	87	+0.4	221/289/367	146	276	17	21	26%	8%	82	+0.0
✕TJ Hopkins 2023 · AAA	26	44→54	47→50	48→45	40	220/276/360	140	306	15	7	32%	6%	78	-0.3	233/301/365	132	325	14	7	31%	8%	89	+0.5	255/331/384	129	354	15	4	30%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Cole Garner 2011 · AAA	26	49→50	48→55	49→50	40	244/291/394	150	305	14	11	25%	5%	92	+0.7	219/264/350	131	315	13	9	33%	5%	72	-0.7	193/236/309	116	307	14	7	41%	4%	49	-0.9
✕Brian Van Kirk 2013 · AA	27	47→51	45	45	46	233/295/355	122	294	12	7	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/308/327	91	302	7	8	22%	9%	82	+0.0	252/348/314	62	309	3	5	17%	13%	91	+0.3
✕Matt Kroon 2023 · AA	26	49→58	42→50	48→55	40	233/286/342	109	325	9	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	245/303/381	136	323	13	24	27%	7%	93	+0.8	251/311/397	146	326	14	28	26%	7%	98	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps