Ralph Sierra — OGILVIE

Ralph Sierra P DSL Rays

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 218 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%22.0%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	16	0	30	127	31	17	1	0%	1.9	16.6%	16.7%	-0.1%	1.1%	2.12	4.41	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	16	0	30	127	31	17	1	0%	1.9	16.6%	16.7%	-0.1%	1.1%	2.12	4.41	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	16	0	30	127	31	17	1	0%	1.9	24.4%	13.4%	11.0%	0.8%	2.12	3.17	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	1	0	0	5	0	3	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	60.0%	-60.0%	0.0%	108.00	10.70	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	1	0	0	5	0	3	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	60.0%	-60.0%	0.0%	108.00	10.70	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	1	0	0	5	0	3	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	60.0%	-60.0%	0.0%	108.00	30.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	TB	17	0	18	76	17	10	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	13.5%	8.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	27	0	28	118	27	14	3	0%	1.0	22.6%	12.0%	10.5%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	13	0	14	59	13	7	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	12.0%	10.5%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	13	7	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	12.0%	10.5%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	102	29	0%	1.1	22.6%	12.0%	10.5%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		17	0	30	132	21	24	1	0%	1.8	16.0%	18.4%	-2.4%	1.0%	3.30	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	0	200	880	141	162	9	0%	1.8	16.0%	18.4%	-2.4%	1.0%	3.30	4.65	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ralph Sierra (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	22.0%	13.5%	3.0%	—	4.70	22.6%	10.5%	28	-0.26	—	—	—
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	20	SU	4.14	25.1%	13.3%	2.7%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.85	3.21	104	87
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	87
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	87
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	86
David Matoma R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	18	SU	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	1.7%	.259	5.70	15.7%	-5.9%	79	+1.89	3.58	118	86
Efrailin Ramos R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	18	SU	4.31	21.0%	15.7%	1.8%	.284	3.35	17.0%	6.4%	106	-0.96	3.11	142	85
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	85
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	85
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	85
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	85
Chase Ingram R 2015 · 4.11 FIP	20	SU	4.11	23.2%	15.8%	1.8%	.244	4.14	15.8%	3.0%	154	+0.03	4.04	174	84
Evan Phillips R 2015 · 3.96 FIP	20	SU	3.96	21.4%	13.7%	1.7%	.300	3.85	22.0%	10.7%	177	-0.11	1.52	522	84
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	84
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	84
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	84
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	84
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	83
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	83
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	83
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	83