Jeronimo Palmeros

P ACL Padres

Age 20 LHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	11	10	41	2.88	2.12	28.6%	6.0%	—	K 19.4% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.36
2026	19	MIX2 levels	10	5	21	6.10	4.50	16.0%	16.0%	—	K 11.8% · BB 16.3% · FIP 5.00
2027PROJ	20	MLBSD	6	6	27	5.05	5.05	17.8%	11.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBSD	4	4	19	4.88	4.82	18.8%	10.6%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control50Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 94%

CompsBodi Rascon (age 20) · Thomas Ireland (age 21) · Sonny Vargas (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%17.8%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	19.4%	7.4%	12.0%	1.7%	2.88	3.36	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	19.4%	7.4%	12.0%	1.7%	2.88	3.36	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	28.6%	6.0%	22.6%	1.2%	2.88	2.12	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	5	21	100	16	16	1	50%	2.1	11.8%	16.3%	-4.5%	1.5%	6.10	5.00	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	5	21	100	16	16	1	50%	2.1	11.8%	16.3%	-4.5%	1.5%	6.10	5.00	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	5	21	100	16	16	1	50%	2.1	16.0%	16.0%	0.0%	1.0%	6.10	4.50	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SD	6	6	27	114	20	13	3	100%	4.5	17.8%	11.5%	6.2%	2.9%	5.05	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	8	8	38	162	31	17	5	100%	4.8	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.88	4.82	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	19	80	15	9	2	100%	4.8	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.88	4.82	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	80	15	8	2	100%	4.7	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.88	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	159	85	21	100%	4.8	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	4.88	4.43	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		21	15	61	268	44	29	4	71%	2.9	16.6%	10.7%	5.8%	1.7%	3.96	3.97	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	49	200	874	145	94	15	71%	2.9	16.6%	10.7%	5.8%	1.7%	3.96	3.97	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeronimo Palmeros (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	17.8%	11.5%	2.9%	—	4.82	18.8%	8.2%	38	-0.23	—	—	—
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	86
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.79	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.85	2.95	250	83
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	81
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	80
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	80
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	80
Isaias Uribe L 2023 · 4.10 FIP	20	SP-	4.10	13.5%	9.0%	1.8%	.319	3.76	16.6%	0.3%	13	-0.34	2.98	123	80
Elier Morillo L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	17	SP-	4.12	18.1%	12.7%	1.7%	.418	4.31	28.7%	8.3%	89	+0.19	2.67	115	79
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	79
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	78
Gabriel Reyes L 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	14.0%	8.0%	2.0%	.347	3.96	19.3%	9.7%	144	-0.07	1.74	233	78
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	358	77
Max Roberts L 2017 · 4.79 FIP	20	SP-	4.79	10.7%	9.9%	2.5%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	173	77
Colin Schmid L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SP-	4.81	11.8%	9.7%	2.7%	.298	4.10	15.2%	5.7%	125	-0.71	3.24	191	76
Drake Owenby L 2015 · 4.46 FIP	21	SP-	4.46	11.3%	10.8%	1.7%	.361	4.10	19.3%	10.9%	105	-0.36	4.08	140	76
Conner Menez L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	21	SP-	4.10	16.0%	8.5%	2.3%	.282	3.83	21.9%	10.7%	377	-0.27	2.03	503	76
Raúl Alcantara L 2021 · 4.31 FIP	20	SP-	4.31	19.6%	12.8%	2.3%	.295	4.50	19.0%	4.2%	229	+0.19	3.82	396	76
Ramon Perez L 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	14.6%	12.3%	1.3%	.315	4.33	23.0%	6.2%	92	+0.18	3.08	199	75
Casey Fossum L 2001 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	13.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.270	4.46	19.3%	10.9%	328	+0.14	3.50	782	75
Ryan Lawlor L 2015 · 4.17 FIP	21	SP	4.17	14.8%	13.0%	1.2%	.286	3.24	20.1%	8.1%	107	-0.93	2.24	201	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	18.4%	11.0%	1.12	4.95
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*