Josh Owens — OGILVIE

Josh OwensTWP ACL Rangers

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION145 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .238 / .259

PA96

HR2

K%39

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO90

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	1	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	42	42	42	83		125	67	0	41	-110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	2	1	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	83	83	125	208	42	154	46	0	91	-72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TEX	—	145	130	19	2	0	4	9	75	4	6	3	146	224	254	478	108	283	52	6	220	27	-12	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.1
YTD	19	ROK	TEX	—	145	125	32	4	0	7	14	52	4	6	3	256	350	456	806	200	368	36	10	355	130	+5	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.6
ROS	19	ROK	TEX	4%	96	88	15	2	0	2	6	38	2	2	1	169	238	259	497	90	284	39	6	241	43	-6	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.6
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	4%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						286	50	0	231	35	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	19	ROK	TEX	—	149	134	19	2	0	4	9	77	4	6	3	142	218	246	464	104	273	52	6	220	27	-12	+0	-0	-3	+4	-1.1
TOT	19	ROK	TEX	—	241	218	34	4	0	6	15	113	6	8	4	155	229	256	486	101	275	47	6	229	33	-18	+0	-0	-4	+7	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	45%	272	248	47	7	1	7	18	103	4	5	2	190	256	310	566	121	290	38	7	256	54	-14	+0	-1	-5	+8	-1.2
2028	21	MLB	TEX	62%	388	353	70	11	2	10	26	142	6	8	3	198	265	326	591	127	291	37	7	264	61	-17	+0	-1	-7	+11	-1.4
2027	20	MLB	TEX	45%	122	111	22	3	1	3	8	46	2	2	1	198	264	324	589	126	291	38	7	246	47	-7	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	TEX	62%	239	217	43	7	1	6	16	87	4	5	2	198	266	323	588	124	293	36	7	255	53	-13	+0	-0	-4	+7	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	365	332	65	10	2	9	24	135	6	7	3	196	262	319	582	123	295	37	7	252	51	-20	+0	-1	-7	+10	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	116	18	4	16	43	240	11	12	5	196	264	321	585	125	295	37	7	252	51	-36	+0	-1	-12	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	780	713	133	20	3	19	50	299	12	15	6	186	251	303	554	116	286	38	6	252	51	-43	+1	-2	-14	+22	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	111	17	2	16	42	249	10	12	5	187	252	303	555	116	287	38	6	252	51	-36	+0	-1	-12	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	2	1	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	83	83	125	208	42	154	46	0	91	-72	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	364	9	7	196	259	320	-2	-1	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	17	13	196	259	320	-4.1	-1.4	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Owens (OGILVIE)	19	33→45	37→53	52→54	50	155/229/256	101	275	6	8	47%	6%	33	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Montano 2018 · A	19	37→47	42→45	46→50	42	187/245/296	109	254	9	9	30%	6%	46	-2.0	173/215/258	85	247	6	10	31%	5%	22	-3.7	198/273/303	105	310	9	6	36%	9%	57	-0.9
✕Dylan Cozens 2014 · A	20	42→52	42→55	51→50	41	204/261/313	109	301	9	9	34%	7%	56	-1.3	211/256/342	131	314	14	14	35%	6%	62	-0.9	168/267/362	195	290	25	16	47%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→31	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/288	99	290	9	12	35%	8%	50	-1.7	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
●Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	42→43	39→50	47→50	40	202/256/287	84	297	7	10	33%	7%	47	-1.9	198/239/284	86	294	6	8	33%	5%	39	-2.5	216/250/345	129	289	16	6	31%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Julio Morban 2011 · A	19	41	42→45	52→45	32	197/240/304	107	317	8	9	39%	5%	45	-2.1	212/252/322	110	319	9	8	35%	5%	54	-1.4	215/255/320	105	318	10	6	34%	5%	53	-0.8
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	43	43→50	54→45	40	209/265/321	112	301	11	10	33%	6%	60	-1.0	173/235/266	93	312	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	54	-1.4	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	53	-1.5	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Andy Diaz 2015 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	44	200/278/304	104	290	7	5	32%	8%	62	-0.9	185/251/284	99	308	8	7	39%	7%	45	-2.1	171/245/257	86	288	5	7	39%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	40→39	42→55	47→45	41	197/258/304	107	294	9	8	35%	7%	53	-1.5	182/243/308	126	303	14	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	175/248/341	166	298	20	3	46%	8%	58	-0.6
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Estevan Florial 2017 · A	19	41→51	44→55	52→60	38	199/259/314	115	306	11	11	37%	7%	56	-1.3	213/269/331	118	368	10	13	41%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41→43	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	192/263/308	116	299	11	12	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/281/329	128	296	13	13	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	46→30	40	183/256/290	107	302	10	5	40%	8%	50	-1.8	189/272/312	123	321	14	3	42%	9%	63	-0.9	173/262/301	128	296	17	1	44%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Mikey Romero 2023 · A	19	44→35	41→50	53→40	41	215/263/322	107	293	7	8	29%	6%	59	-1.1	201/245/325	124	273	11	5	30%	5%	53	-1.5	189/229/334	145	256	15	3	32%	4%	47	-1.0
✕Evan Alexander 2018 · A	20	41	40→45	51→50	40	192/261/280	88	307	7	11	38%	8%	49	-1.8	197/272/300	103	332	8	11	40%	8%	59	-1.1	164/263/274	110	290	10	18	42%	10%	46	-0.7
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→46	47→45	48→50	44	211/278/352	141	295	13	10	32%	8%	74	-0.1	192/285/302	110	297	12	12	36%	11%	66	-0.6	186/281/285	99	269	11	13	32%	11%	57	-0.9
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	38	37→50	51→45	42	180/260/249	69	278	5	12	34%	8%	41	-2.3	190/262/297	107	326	9	9	41%	8%	53	-1.5	160/235/297	137	288	11	7	45%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Junior Franco 2022 · A	19	47→42	42→45	57→55	41	216/281/327	111	339	8	15	36%	8%	69	-0.4	206/254/312	106	297	11	18	33%	5%	53	-1.5	221/272/324	104	281	11	23	25%	6%	61	-0.5