Josh Owens — OGILVIE

Josh Owens1B ACL Rangers

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.118 / .167 / .118

PA18

HR0

K%39

BB%6

BABIP292

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	2	1	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	83	83	125	208	42	154	46	0	91	-52	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	1	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	42	42	42	83		129	67	0	45	-83	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	1	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	42	42	42	83		125	67	0	45	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	2	1	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	83	83	125	208	42	154	46	0	91	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	1	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	42	42	42	83		129	67	0	45	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	24	24	1	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	42	42	42	83		129	67	0	45	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	TEX	—	192	174	27	3	0	6	11	101	5	6	3	155	226	276	502	121	304	53	6	213	30	-16	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	TEX	—	168	145	37	4	0	9	16	62	5	6	3	255	349	469	818	214	368	37	10	360	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	TEX	—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	286	33	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		289	39	6	245	52	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK MLE	TEX	—	210	191	29	3	0	6	12	108	5	6	3	152	221	262	483	110	291	51	6	215	32	-17	+0	-0	-4	+5	-1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	256	234	44	7	1	6	16	98	4	5	2	188	252	303	555	115	290	38	6	255	59	-13	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	110	100	19	3	0	3	7	42	2	2	1	190	257	310	567	120	292	38	6	249	59	-5	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	110	100	19	3	0	3	7	42	2	2	1	190	257	310	567	120	286	38	6	249	47	-5	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	113	18	0	18	41	248	12	12	6	191	258	313	571	122	287	38	6	249	47	-32	+0	-1	-12	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	298	275	47	7	1	6	17	121	4	5	2	171	230	269	499	98	275	41	6	237	47	-14	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	102	15	2	13	37	264	9	11	4	170	229	267	496	97	274	41	6	237	47	-32	+0	-1	-12	+14	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Owens (OGILVIE)	19	33→45	35→52	56	50	181/243/292	111	289	2	2	40%	6%	52	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→32	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	62	-1.4	190/260/289	99	288	8	12	34%	8%	56	-1.9	187/254/298	112	272	13	12	34%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	59	-1.6	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	59	-1.7	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	45	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	42	43→50	54→45	40	207/264/320	113	297	11	10	33%	7%	64	-1.3	172/234/263	91	308	8	13	44%	6%	40	-3.0	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Andy Diaz 2015 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	44	200/278/304	104	290	7	5	32%	8%	66	-1.1	185/251/284	99	308	8	7	39%	7%	51	-2.2	171/245/257	86	288	5	7	39%	8%	41	-0.9
✕Daniel Montano 2018 · A	19	37→47	42→45	46→50	42	187/245/296	109	254	9	9	30%	6%	52	-2.2	179/222/268	89	253	6	10	30%	5%	36	-3.3	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	63	-1.3	189/261/299	110	295	10	12	37%	7%	59	-1.6	194/274/314	120	289	11	13	34%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Estevan Florial 2017 · A	19	41→51	44→50	52→60	38	198/258/313	114	306	11	11	37%	7%	61	-1.5	214/272/330	116	364	10	13	41%	7%	70	-0.9	208/278/361	153	307	17	29	36%	8%	78	-0.3
✕Mikey Romero 2023 · A	19	45→41	41→50	54→40	42	218/267/327	109	294	7	8	28%	6%	67	-1.1	204/248/327	123	275	11	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	192/233/335	142	258	14	3	31%	4%	54	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→35	40→50	47→40	43	209/268/297	87	289	7	7	29%	7%	60	-1.6	185/251/289	104	278	11	4	35%	8%	53	-2.1	162/244/298	137	223	18	2	35%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Dylan Cozens 2014 · A	20	42→51	42→55	51→50	41	204/261/313	109	301	9	9	34%	7%	61	-1.5	211/255/342	131	308	13	14	34%	5%	66	-1.1	162/257/335	173	282	21	16	47%	11%	66	-0.4
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	42→47	39→45	47→50	41	201/255/284	84	294	7	10	33%	7%	53	-2.1	203/245/289	86	298	6	8	32%	5%	49	-2.4	225/259/347	121	301	14	5	30%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	46→30	40	186/257/296	111	304	10	5	40%	8%	57	-1.8	191/272/316	125	320	14	3	41%	9%	68	-1.0	177/263/307	131	295	17	1	43%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Luis Mendez 2022 · A	19	42	41→40	49→50	40	202/262/304	101	286	8	12	31%	6%	60	-1.6	189/253/278	89	281	7	11	33%	7%	51	-2.2	188/251/268	79	253	5	13	26%	7%	46	-1.2
✕Gleider Figuereo 2023 · A	19	38→36	46→45	53→45	43	194/261/322	128	260	13	8	30%	7%	64	-1.3	181/240/291	110	277	13	6	38%	6%	49	-2.4	171/234/297	126	236	17	6	35%	7%	46	-2.1
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	199/260/306	108	293	10	8	34%	8%	60	-1.6	180/243/297	117	298	12	5	41%	7%	52	-2.2	178/255/335	157	290	20	3	43%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Evan Alexander 2018 · A	20	41	40→45	51→50	40	192/261/280	88	307	7	11	38%	8%	55	-2.0	197/272/300	103	332	8	11	40%	8%	63	-1.3	164/263/273	109	290	9	18	42%	10%	52	-0.7
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Derlin Figueroa 2023 · A	19	39→37	44→45	45→50	43	196/265/309	113	276	13	9	33%	8%	63	-1.4	196/261/309	113	271	12	11	30%	8%	61	-1.5	179/241/277	98	246	10	14	30%	7%	45	-1.7
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	43→45	39→50	47→45	44	203/274/294	91	290	6	7	30%	8%	63	-1.4	194/255/317	123	292	13	5	36%	7%	61	-1.5	218/273/337	119	267	13	8	23%	6%	71	-0.3