Josh Owens
1B ACL Rangers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ATEX | 24 | .083/.083/.125 | 0 | 0 | -79 | — | .083/.083/.125 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKTEX | 192 | .246/.337/.437 | 9 | 6 | 32 | — | .150/.221/.271 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTEX | 302 | .193/.254/.303 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 0.7 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 21 | MLBTEX | 71 | .200/.261/.321 | 2 | 1 | 62 | -0.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 154 | 46 | 0 | 91 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 227 | 477 | 45 | 286 | 33 | 8 | 225 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 168 | 145 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 62 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 255 | 349 | 469 | 818 | 214 | 368 | 37 | 10 | 360 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 134 | 62 | 0 | 51 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 174 | 341 | 43 | 268 | 46 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 168 | 151 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 89 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 152 | 229 | 285 | 514 | 132 | 287 | 53 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 222 | 62 | 0 | 51 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 154 | 46 | 0 | 91 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 174 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 100 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 226 | 276 | 502 | 121 | 300 | 52 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 192 | 167 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 70 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 246 | 337 | 437 | 774 | 192 | 356 | 36 | 9 | 343 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 134 | 62 | 0 | 51 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 174 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 100 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 226 | 276 | 502 | 121 | 285 | 52 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 24 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 125 | 208 | 42 | 134 | 62 | 0 | 51 | -79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 174 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 100 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 226 | 276 | 502 | 121 | 285 | 52 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 302 | 276 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 106 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 193 | 254 | 303 | 557 | 110 | 284 | 35 | 6 | 252 | 56 | -16 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +7 | 0.7 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TEX | 43% | 164 | 150 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 260 | 315 | 576 | 117 | 285 | 34 | 7 | 259 | 62 | -7 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TEX | 43% | 71 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 261 | 321 | 582 | 121 | 285 | 34 | 7 | 262 | 62 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 71 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 268 | 323 | 591 | 123 | 282 | 34 | 7 | 262 | 42 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 118 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 46 | 220 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 198 | 266 | 319 | 585 | 121 | 280 | 34 | 7 | 262 | 42 | -30 | +2 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -2.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 491 | 450 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 210 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 176 | 238 | 291 | 529 | 116 | 289 | 43 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -13 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +6 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 278 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 176 | 239 | 294 | 532 | 117 | 290 | 43 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -31 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Rangers · 168 PAwOBA .354 → .223 (−131)K% 36.9% → 53.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 53.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 3.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 8.52% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .354 → .223; ISO .214 → .130; BABIP .368 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AHickory Crawdads · 24 PAwOBA .219 → .167 (−52)K% 33.3% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 20.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .167; ISO .045 → .033; BABIP .286 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 24 PAwOBA .089 → .051 (−38)K% 45.8% → 63.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 45.83% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 63.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 7.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.123 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .089 → .051; ISO .042 → .022; BABIP .154 → .134. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).