Aneudy Santos — OGILVIE

Aneudy Santos P DSL Rangers Blue

+0.1 WAR

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.4 · 2029

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%11.4%

IP31

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2029

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	12	7	37	190	36	35	2	12.9%	23.0%	1.5%	8.10	5.75	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TEX	31	—	31	132	29	14	4	22.2%	10.8%	2.9%	4.58	4.58	+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	21	MLB	TEX	33	—	33	138	31	14	4	22.7%	10.1%	2.9%	4.47	4.41	+0.2
2028	22	MLB	TEX	34	—	34	145	34	14	4	23.7%	9.3%	2.8%	4.31	4.21	+0.3
2029	23	MLB	TEX	36	—	36	151	37	13	4	24.4%	8.9%	2.8%	4.17	4.07	+0.4
2030	24	MLB	TEX	37	—	37	155	39	13	4	24.9%	8.6%	2.8%	4.06	3.98	+0.4
2031	25	MLB	TEX	37	—	37	157	40	13	4	25.3%	8.5%	2.7%	3.98	3.92	+0.4
2032	26	MLB	TEX	37	—	37	157	40	13	4	25.5%	8.4%	2.7%	3.93	3.90	+0.4
2033	27	MLB	TEX	37	—	37	155	40	13	4	25.5%	8.4%	2.8%	3.92	3.91	+0.4
2034	28	MLB	TEX	36	—	36	153	39	13	4	25.5%	8.5%	2.8%	3.93	3.93	+0.4
2035	29	MLB	TEX	35	—	35	149	38	13	4	25.4%	8.6%	2.8%	3.96	3.98	+0.4
2036	30	MLB	TEX	34	—	34	145	36	13	4	25.1%	8.7%	2.9%	4.01	4.04	+0.4
2037	31	MLB	TEX	33	—	33	140	35	12	4	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	4.07	4.12	+0.3
2038	32	MLB	TEX	32	—	32	134	33	12	4	24.6%	8.9%	3.0%	4.15	4.20	+0.3
2039	33	MLB	TEX	30	—	30	128	31	12	4	24.3%	9.1%	3.1%	4.24	4.30	+0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			12	7	37	190	24	44	3	12.9%	23.0%	1.5%	8.10	5.75	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—			65	38	200	1036	131	240	16	12.9%	23.0%	1.5%	8.10	5.75	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneudy Santos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	22.2%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.23	23.6%	14.2%	103	-0.35	—	—	—
Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.83 FIP	20	SU	3.83	23.6%	11.4%	2.3%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.48	2.50	103	91
Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 4.83 FIP	21	SU	4.83	21.3%	11.8%	3.7%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.32	4.03	266	90
Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.94	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.06	3.11	213	89
Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.19	181	89
Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP	20	SU	4.49	22.5%	10.8%	3.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	101	89
Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	89
Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.96	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.10	3.46	146	88
Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP	21	SU	3.87	25.4%	10.8%	2.8%	.333	3.88	22.8%	8.1%	173	+0.01	3.00	318	88
Albert Polanco R 2026 · 3.99 FIP	20	SU	3.99	24.6%	12.1%	2.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	135	88
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2026 · 4.09 FIP	20	SU	4.09	25.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.80	3.20	104	88
Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.76 FIP	20	SU	4.76	20.4%	10.7%	3.7%	.304	5.89	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.13	4.76	134	88
Mason Fox R 2027 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.61	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.02	3.59	112	88
Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.20 FIP	22	SU	4.20	21.9%	9.0%	3.3%	.278	5.95	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.75	4.20	104	88
Caleb Freeman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	198	88
Kai Wynyard R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	21.1%	9.1%	3.2%	.269	4.12	16.5%	3.9%	138	-0.11	3.32	206	87
Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	20	SU	3.71	23.5%	13.2%	1.7%	.286	4.77	17.2%	6.2%	157	+1.06	3.71	181	87
Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	20	SU	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.19	16.1%	7.1%	239	-0.23	4.15	337	87
Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP	21	SU	4.39	22.9%	9.7%	3.6%	.308	4.29	20.7%	14.2%	219	-0.10	4.28	247	87
Max Gieg R 2027 · 5.14 FIP	21	SU	5.14	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.64	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.50	3.95	108	87
Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP	22	SU	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	87

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$8M	+$4M