Pedro Da Costa Lemos
P
ACL Mariners
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 179 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%17.6%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.7 | 36.4% | 9.1% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.18 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.7 | 36.4% | 9.1% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.23 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 17 | 1 | 25 | 104 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 2.55 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 17 | 1 | 25 | 104 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 34.6% | 10.6% | 24.0% | 1.0% | 2.55 | 2.05 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 31 | 11 | 90 | 416 | 88 | 40 | 8 | 35% | 2.9 | 15.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 31 | 11 | 90 | 416 | 88 | 40 | 8 | 35% | 2.9 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 4.32 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 67 | 290 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.63 | 5.42 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 67 | 290 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 2.1% | 3.63 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SEA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 46 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.19 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 64 | 267 | 46 | 31 | 8 | — | — | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 50 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 53 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 56 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.94 | 4.50 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 87 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.94 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 13 | 186 | 828 | 149 | 93 | 28 | 15% | 2.2 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.73 | 4.89 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 14 | 200 | 890 | 160 | 100 | 31 | 15% | 2.2 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.73 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 17.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.89 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 127 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 88 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 88 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 88 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 88 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 88 |
| Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 87 |
| Matt Eckelman R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.77 | 15.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.48 | 17.4% | 5.7% | 97 | -0.29 | 4.10 | 386 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 87 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.42 | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .319 | 4.82 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 51 | -0.60 | 4.82 | 120 | 87 |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 18.1% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 171 | 86 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 86 |
| Jack Jasiak R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.97 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .332 | 3.51 | 21.5% | 13.8% | 112 | -1.46 | 3.25 | 248 | 86 |
| Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.86 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.94 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 317 | -0.92 | 3.27 | 367 | 86 |
| Simon Mercedes R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.87 | 14.3% | 11.7% | 2.7% | .309 | 5.14 | 16.4% | 3.9% | 60 | +0.27 | 4.87 | 139 | 86 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 86 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 86 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 85 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.34 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .270 | 4.16 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 55 | -0.18 | 4.16 | 124 | 85 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.13 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.66 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.47 | 3.77 | 215 | 85 |
| Anyelo Leclerc R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.97 | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.13 | 15.9% | 6.1% | 96 | +0.16 | 4.97 | 140 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 18.7% | 10.7% | 1.22 | 5.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |