AJ Soldra — OGILVIE

AJ SoldraOF Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .268 / .339

PA128

HR3

K%35

BB%5

BABIP310

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	LAD	—	192	176	41	7	3	6	8	83	6	3	4	233	289	409	699	176	398	43	4	292	82	-4	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
YTD	22	A	LAD	—	192	171	51	9	4	7	13	62	6	3	4	298	368	520	889	222	427	32	7	386	154	+12	-1	+0	-1	+5	1.5
ROS	22	A	LAD	0%	128	118	25	4	1	3	7	45	2	3	1	212	268	339	607	127	319	35	5	283	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		315	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	LAD	—	192	177	41	7	3	6	8	83	6	3	4	232	289	407	696	175	393	43	4	292	82	-4	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
TOT	22	A	LAD	—	320	294	66	11	4	9	15	128	8	6	5	224	281	381	662	156	358	40	5	288	79	-8	-1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	LAD	34%	477	438	96	16	5	12	28	162	8	11	5	219	278	361	639	142	314	34	6	286	77	-12	+0	+0	-3	+14	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	LAD	46%	537	490	109	19	5	14	33	177	9	13	6	222	284	367	651	145	314	33	6	291	81	-12	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.1
2029	25	MLB	LAD	52%	576	525	118	20	5	16	37	187	9	14	6	225	287	373	661	149	312	32	6	294	83	-11	+0	+0	-3	+16	0.2
2030	26	MLB	LAD	54%	601	547	123	21	5	17	39	193	10	15	7	225	289	375	663	150	312	32	6	295	84	-11	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.3
2031	27	MLB	LAD	54%	613	558	125	22	5	17	40	198	10	15	7	224	288	373	661	149	312	32	7	295	84	-11	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.3
2027	23	MLB	LAD	34%	164	150	33	6	2	4	10	56	3	4	2	220	282	367	649	147	310	34	6	270	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	LAD	46%	248	227	50	9	2	6	15	82	4	6	3	220	280	357	637	137	309	33	6	275	69	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	LAD	52%	297	271	60	10	3	8	19	96	5	7	3	221	285	369	654	148	308	32	6	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	26	MLB	LAD	54%	326	297	66	11	3	9	21	105	5	8	4	222	285	370	655	148	308	32	6	279	72	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2031	27	MLB	LAD	54%	333	303	68	12	3	9	22	107	5	8	4	224	288	373	661	149	307	32	7	279	72	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1368	1249	277	48	13	36	87	446	22	33	16	222	284	367	652	146	311	33	6	277	70	-46	+0	+0	-8	+39	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	132	23	6	17	41	212	10	16	8	223	284	368	651	145	313	33	6	277	70	-22	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2932	2676	596	102	26	79	184	962	48	71	32	223	285	369	654	146	313	33	6	292	82	-61	+1	+0	-18	+83	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	133	23	6	18	41	213	11	16	7	224	287	374	661	150	315	33	6	292	82	-14	+0	+0	-4	+18	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	6	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	16	25	252	281	387	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,688	44	40	222	281	367	-10	+0	0.0	0.2
	/162	664	17	16	222	281	367	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
AJ Soldra (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	224/281/381	156	358	9	6	40%	5%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	39→45	44→55	50	38	194/257/317	122	286	11	7	35%	6%	56	-1.3	217/265/358	141	299	16	9	32%	5%	70	-0.3	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A	22	40→43	48→55	53→50	39	199/266/342	142	302	15	10	38%	7%	67	-0.5	214/268/366	152	286	16	11	30%	6%	74	-0.1	211/261/370	159	272	16	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	63	-0.8	224/271/333	109	314	11	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕William Beckwith 2013 · A	22	41→39	48→50	47→50	38	211/268/348	137	291	16	11	32%	6%	70	-0.3	216/284/363	147	309	18	11	34%	7%	81	+0.4	192/284/367	175	258	25	10	35%	9%	82	+0.2
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	214/242/350	136	270	15	9	27%	4%	58	-1.2	204/243/288	84	283	6	8	29%	5%	42	-2.3	196/232/252	56	284	0	6	30%	4%	24	-0.9
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Liberato 2018 · A	22	43→51	45→55	50	38	209/257/343	134	308	11	7	35%	6%	63	-0.9	224/268/375	151	293	18	7	29%	6%	76	+0.1	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Jeremy Moore 2008 · A	21	39→49	46→55	50→55	35	198/244/329	132	288	14	13	36%	5%	54	-1.4	211/249/359	148	319	15	17	37%	4%	63	-0.8	241/276/397	156	336	15	19	32%	4%	82	+0.4
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→46	45→50	47→55	44	215/272/342	127	282	11	11	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/263/334	121	282	13	10	28%	6%	63	-0.8	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Nicky Delmonico 2014 · A	22	38→47	50→55	48→45	46	202/278/350	148	263	18	8	30%	8%	75	-0.0	219/275/367	148	299	15	6	30%	7%	77	+0.1	232/301/393	160	284	18	4	24%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	37→44	43→55	52→50	36	173/246/276	103	320	12	14	46%	8%	42	-2.3	183/243/295	112	338	13	8	46%	7%	45	-2.1	210/262/374	164	305	20	13	37%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→45	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	43	-2.2	197/248/299	102	283	10	12	32%	6%	47	-1.9	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
●James Outman 2019 · A	22	39→49	47→60	53→50	39	201/258/335	134	281	16	11	34%	6%	62	-0.9	198/265/338	140	279	16	13	34%	7%	66	-0.6	232/324/438	205	324	26	14	34%	10%	114	+2.4