Brennan Hudson — OGILVIE

Brennan HudsonC South Bend Cubs

Age 23 L/R A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .282 / .307

PA66

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	68	55	11	3	0	2	12	22	1	0	0	200	353	364	717	164	290	32	18	332	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	68	58	9	2	0	2	9	28	1	0	0	155	279	293	573	138	256	41	13	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	68	58	9	2	0	2	9	28	1	0	0	155	279	293	573	138	250	41	13	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	68	55	11	3	0	2	12	22	1	0	0	200	353	364	717	164	290	32	18	332	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	68	58	9	2	0	2	9	28	1	0	0	155	279	293	573	138	256	41	13	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	68	58	9	2	0	2	9	28	1	0	0	155	279	293	573	138	256	41	13	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	178	158	33	7	1	3	16	57	2	2	1	202	284	310	594	108	290	32	9	271	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	139	124	26	5	1	3	13	44	1	2	1	206	287	318	604	112	291	32	9	275	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	246	219	46	9	1	5	22	76	3	3	1	208	289	324	613	116	291	31	9	278	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	322	287	59	12	1	6	29	98	3	4	2	210	290	329	619	119	291	30	9	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	363	323	69	14	2	7	33	110	4	4	2	211	291	330	621	119	290	30	9	281	77	-10	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	388	346	74	15	2	8	35	116	4	3	2	210	290	329	619	119	289	30	9	281	76	-11	-0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	396	354	75	15	2	8	35	120	4	2	1	208	287	323	610	115	288	30	9	277	74	-12	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	399	357	73	15	1	7	35	122	4	0	1	205	284	315	598	110	286	31	9	272	70	-14	-0	-2	+7	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	42	38	8	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	207	288	320	608	113	294	31	10	277	72	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	109	97	21	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	1	210	290	326	616	116	295	31	9	280	74	-3	-0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	163	145	30	6	1	3	15	50	2	2	1	211	292	331	622	119	294	31	9	282	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	190	169	36	7	1	4	17	57	2	2	1	212	292	332	624	120	294	30	9	283	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	207	184	39	8	1	4	19	62	2	2	1	212	292	331	622	119	293	30	9	282	76	-6	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	208	185	39	8	1	4	19	63	2	1	1	209	289	325	613	115	291	30	9	278	74	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	208	186	39	8	1	4	18	64	2	0	1	206	285	317	601	110	289	31	9	274	70	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1127	1004	212	43	6	22	102	343	11	9	6	211	291	332	623	121	295	30	9	279	74	-34	-1	-2	+20	+24	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	122	25	3	13	59	198	6	5	3	211	290	332	622	121	294	30	9	279	74	-20	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2387	2127	442	89	10	47	217	735	25	19	10	208	289	325	614	118	291	31	9	277	74	-71	-0	-4	+41	+50	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	121	24	3	13	59	200	7	5	3	209	290	328	618	119	293	31	9	277	74	-20	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,128	22	8	209	286	326	+20	+12	1.7	1.7
/162	664	13	5	+11.9	+7.1	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brennan Hudson (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	200/282/307	107	290	1	1	32%	9%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/322	122	273	12	3	30%	9%	72	-0.7	197/273/311	114	289	10	5	33%	9%	66	-1.1	146/235/244	98	221	7	0	35%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→40	42→45	44→55	45	198/274/307	110	297	9	6	34%	9%	66	-1.1	190/290/299	109	249	10	15	25%	12%	71	-0.8	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	39→37	41→50	43→30	41	192/260/290	98	285	9	3	34%	7%	57	-1.8	212/282/340	128	259	14	2	23%	8%	76	-0.4	208/281/337	129	245	15	1	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Omar Martinez 2024 · A	23	40→37	46→45	48→40	46	201/281/327	126	283	15	6	33%	9%	74	-0.6	191/265/312	121	288	15	4	36%	8%	64	-1.3	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Ben Rortvedt 2021 · AA	23	45	42→45	48→40	44	221/282/329	108	291	9	4	26%	7%	74	-0.6	204/269/325	121	286	14	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	214/267/303	89	277	7	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	45→30	45	206/281/318	112	290	11	4	31%	9%	71	-0.8	222/298/364	142	296	16	3	29%	9%	88	+0.4	223/303/379	156	290	18	1	28%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A	23	39→40	45	48→45	42	200/261/328	128	269	12	4	30%	7%	65	-1.2	201/276/300	99	299	7	6	32%	9%	65	-1.2	186/276/265	79	285	4	6	33%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Matt Wallach 2009 · A	23	39	47→45	46→40	39	203/259/345	142	274	15	3	31%	6%	69	-0.9	210/268/321	111	260	11	3	23%	6%	66	-1.1	213/285/325	112	244	13	3	18%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Dom Nuñez 2018 · AA	23	40→46	44→50	49→45	48	203/278/317	113	255	13	8	25%	8%	70	-0.9	200/276/330	130	263	15	8	29%	9%	72	-0.7	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Patrick Winkel 2023 · A	23	45	43→45	48→40	42	213/277/321	108	321	11	5	35%	8%	70	-0.9	213/273/322	109	315	11	4	33%	7%	68	-1.0	204/262/308	105	300	11	2	34%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Michael Trautwein 2024 · AA	24	43	41→45	45	41	203/276/301	98	316	9	6	36%	8%	65	-1.2	192/271/303	111	308	11	8	38%	8%	64	-1.3	159/224/262	103	257	9	6	39%	7%	34	-2.0
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	42→43	44→50	46→45	47	204/287/322	118	294	12	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	206/286/361	155	328	19	4	39%	10%	83	+0.1	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Joshua Noviskey 2006 · A	23	45	44→45	44→30	48	221/289/341	119	282	11	4	25%	8%	79	-0.2	212/279/323	111	277	12	5	27%	8%	72	-0.7	182/258/274	92	229	14	1	26%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→44	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/278/334	121	292	14	4	30%	8%	74	-0.6	224/283/361	136	280	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Hunter Fitz-Gerald 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→50	49→50	41	210/269/305	94	313	7	6	33%	7%	63	-1.4	223/276/347	124	333	11	8	34%	6%	75	-0.5	224/276/371	147	327	16	9	35%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Aaron Antonini 2022 · AA	24	38	44→40	47→45	44	186/292/296	110	278	12	5	34%	9%	72	-0.7	199/281/311	112	264	13	7	28%	7%	71	-0.8	180/263/288	108	238	13	6	29%	7%	57	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps