Carlos Bello

SS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	198	.217/.360/.354	4	14	22	—	.129/.249/.206
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	210	.189/.341/.361	6	25	23	—	.112/.240/.202
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBNYY	320	.192/.269/.279	3	7	57	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	89	.198/.276/.297	1	2	63	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	183	.203/.281/.310	3	4	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed86

ISO74

Chase%47

BB%39

Z-Con%38

K%35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Miguel Palma (age 19) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 179 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .267 / .277

PA179

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	169	32	9	1	6	29	52	10	25	4	189	341	361	702	172	230	25	14	322	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	170	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	129	249	206	455	76	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	170	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	129	249	206	455	76	185	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	149	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	169	32	9	1	6	29	52	10	25	4	189	341	361	702	172	230	25	14	322	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	169	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	130	249	207	456	77	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	169	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	130	249	207	456	77	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	320	287	54	10	2	3	25	90	5	7	1	192	269	279	548	87	263	28	8	252	57	-16	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	258	231	46	9	2	3	20	71	5	6	1	198	275	294	569	97	266	28	8	261	63	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	378	338	69	13	3	6	30	103	7	9	2	202	280	306	587	104	269	27	8	268	67	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	463	415	85	16	3	8	37	124	8	11	2	206	284	316	601	110	271	27	8	273	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	464	97	18	3	10	42	138	9	12	3	209	287	324	612	115	273	27	8	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	556	497	106	20	4	11	45	146	9	12	3	212	290	331	621	119	274	26	8	281	76	-16	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	577	515	110	21	4	11	47	151	10	13	3	212	290	332	622	119	274	26	8	282	77	-16	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	588	525	111	21	4	11	48	154	10	13	3	212	290	332	622	119	274	26	8	282	77	-16	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	590	527	111	21	4	11	48	155	10	12	3	211	289	329	618	118	274	26	8	280	76	-17	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	587	524	111	21	4	11	48	156	10	11	3	209	287	325	612	115	273	27	8	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	578	517	106	20	3	10	47	155	9	10	3	207	284	319	603	112	272	27	8	274	72	-19	+1	-1	+6	+13	-0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	568	509	104	19	3	10	45	154	9	10	3	204	281	312	593	107	270	27	8	270	69	-21	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	89	80	16	3	1	1	7	25	2	2	0	198	276	297	573	99	266	28	8	262	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	183	164	33	6	1	3	14	50	3	4	1	203	281	310	591	108	268	27	8	270	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	251	225	48	9	2	5	20	67	4	6	1	207	285	321	606	114	271	27	8	275	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	263	55	10	2	6	24	78	5	7	2	210	288	329	617	119	273	27	8	280	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	314	281	59	11	2	6	25	82	5	7	2	213	291	336	627	123	274	26	8	283	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	326	291	62	11	2	7	26	85	6	7	2	213	291	337	628	123	274	26	8	284	77	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	332	296	64	12	2	7	27	87	6	7	2	213	291	337	628	124	274	26	8	284	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	353	315	66	12	2	7	29	93	6	7	2	212	290	334	624	122	274	26	8	282	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	363	325	68	13	2	7	29	96	6	7	2	210	288	330	618	119	273	26	8	280	74	-11	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	363	325	67	12	2	7	29	97	6	7	2	208	285	323	609	115	272	27	8	276	72	-12	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	361	323	66	12	2	6	29	98	6	6	2	205	282	316	598	111	270	27	8	272	69	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3229	2888	604	111	20	62	259	858	55	67	18	209	287	326	613	117	273	27	8	279	69	-103	+6	-3	+35	+70	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	121	22	4	12	52	173	11	13	4	208	285	322	607	114	273	27	8	279	69	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6250	5570	1129	215	40	109	510	1681	117	162	37	203	283	314	598	112	268	27	8	271	69	-191	+13	-4	+63	+127	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	117	22	4	11	53	175	12	17	4	202	282	311	593	109	268	27	8	271	69	-21	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,407	60	71	209	283	322	+37	+21	2.6	2.6
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+4.1	0.5	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Bello (OGILVIE)	19	30	35	55	50	190/267/277	86	263	2	4	28%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	39	41→45	51→55	51	194/284/291	97	239	9	16	22%	9%	67	-1.1	213/275/344	131	283	14	13	28%	7%	74	-0.5	206/255/390	183	266	22	15	31%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2

Carlos Bello

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps