Jhosneyker Colina

Jhosneyker Colina P DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.1 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.15

FIP6.15

K%10.2%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%-4.9%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	10.3%	12.6%	-2.3%	1.9%	4.85	4.89	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	10.3%	12.6%	-2.3%	1.9%	4.85	4.89	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	15.1%	10.1%	5.0%	1.5%	4.85	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	14.9%	8.7%	6.1%	3.3%	4.31	4.74	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	14.9%	8.7%	6.1%	3.3%	4.31	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	NYY	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	21.9%	7.0%	14.9%	2.3%	4.31	3.41	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	49	209	27	29	6	100%	4.5	13.1%	13.9%	-0.8%	2.9%	5.82	5.72	-0.5
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	52	219	33	29	6	100%	4.7	15.0%	13.1%	1.9%	2.8%	5.54	5.43	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	54	230	37	29	6	100%	5.0	16.3%	12.6%	3.7%	2.8%	5.33	5.23	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	57	242	43	29	7	100%	5.2	17.6%	12.1%	5.6%	2.7%	5.13	5.02	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	59	250	46	29	7	100%	5.4	18.4%	11.8%	6.7%	2.7%	4.98	4.89	+0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	61	257	49	30	7	100%	5.5	19.0%	11.5%	7.4%	2.7%	4.87	4.79	+0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	62	260	50	30	7	100%	5.6	19.4%	11.4%	8.0%	2.6%	4.79	4.74	+0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	62	260	51	30	7	100%	6.2	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	2.6%	4.75	4.72	+0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYY	5	5	24	101	13	14	3	100%	4.8	13.1%	13.9%	-0.8%	3.1%	5.93	5.83	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	38	160	24	21	5	100%	4.8	15.0%	13.1%	1.9%	3.0%	5.65	5.54	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	46	194	32	24	6	100%	5.1	16.3%	12.6%	3.7%	3.0%	5.43	5.33	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	51	215	38	26	6	100%	5.1	17.6%	12.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.23	5.12	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	55	232	43	27	7	100%	5.5	18.4%	11.8%	6.7%	2.9%	5.08	4.99	+0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	57	241	46	28	7	100%	5.7	19.0%	11.5%	7.4%	2.8%	4.97	4.89	+0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	59	249	48	28	7	100%	5.9	19.4%	11.4%	8.0%	2.8%	4.89	4.84	+0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	59	249	49	28	7	100%	5.9	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	2.8%	4.85	4.82	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		73	73	388	1639	292	197	47	100%	5.3	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	2.9%	5.17	4.71	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	38	200	844	150	101	24	100%	5.3	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	2.9%	5.17	4.71	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		21	20	91	414	52	44	11	95%	4.3	12.6%	10.6%	2.1%	2.6%	4.57	4.81	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	44	200	913	116	97	24	95%	4.3	12.6%	10.6%	2.1%	2.6%	4.57	4.81	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhosneyker Colina (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.15	10.2%	15.1%	2.9%	—	5.45	14.8%	1.7%	156	-0.70	—	—	—
Josue Panacual R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	17	SP	5.37	10.4%	16.1%	2.0%	.286	4.50	15.0%	1.1%	118	-0.87	4.41	164	89
Eudry Alcantara R 2023 · 6.03 FIP	18	SP	6.03	11.4%	19.2%	2.7%	.278	6.45	15.3%	-9.0%	71	+0.42	4.83	114	87
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	84
Ronnie Williams R 2015 · 5.36 FIP	19	SP	5.36	12.4%	13.2%	3.0%	.245	5.85	18.1%	4.3%	119	+0.49	4.58	344	83
Keiber Arredondo R 2017 · 5.86 FIP	19	SP	5.86	13.0%	13.4%	3.9%	.292	4.00	16.0%	2.7%	93	-1.86	3.61	141	83
Ramon Santos R 2015 · 6.07 FIP	20	SP	6.07	7.2%	14.3%	3.2%	.352	4.52	13.3%	3.4%	191	-1.55	3.74	355	82
Case Williams R 2021 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	10.6%	15.6%	2.7%	.270	5.79	15.5%	4.8%	224	+0.12	4.72	318	82
Matt Ball R 2015 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	12.1%	14.6%	3.4%	.367	3.74	17.2%	9.4%	173	-2.02	3.50	312	81
Juan De La Cruz R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	18	SP	5.20	14.6%	17.7%	2.0%	.331	5.01	19.1%	-0.6%	136	-0.19	3.37	220	80
Luis Cedeno R 2015 · 6.24 FIP	21	SP	6.24	10.4%	13.6%	4.2%	.275	4.11	16.4%	6.3%	169	-2.13	3.36	215	79
Johan Otanez R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	17	SP-	5.46	7.9%	17.8%	1.4%	.243	6.10	14.4%	-8.8%	56	+0.64	4.31	174	79
Ricky DeVito R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	10.2%	10.3%	3.8%	.317	4.18	21.6%	7.9%	90	-1.47	4.04	215	79
Enrique Segura R 2023 · 6.44 FIP	18	SP	6.44	13.2%	21.3%	3.2%	.269	5.60	16.4%	2.4%	234	-0.84	4.12	313	79
Luis Valdez R 2016 · 5.47 FIP	19	SP	5.47	7.9%	18.1%	1.4%	.232	4.81	10.9%	-6.5%	69	-0.66	4.17	114	79
Dennis Santana R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	15.3%	20.0%	2.4%	.319	3.48	20.3%	8.8%	268	-2.19	2.82	776	78
Jean Munoz R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	18	SP	4.96	16.1%	16.1%	2.2%	.292	3.91	17.3%	2.4%	82	-1.05	3.23	215	77
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	77
Alejandro Melean R 2018 · 6.65 FIP	17	SP-	6.65	13.5%	17.6%	4.5%	.316	5.23	18.0%	6.9%	82	-1.42	4.77	258	77
Hunter Stratton R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	20	SP	5.73	13.1%	20.3%	2.1%	.266	4.69	14.5%	0.1%	174	-1.04	3.02	527	77
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	54	17.1%	12.3%	1.06	5.18
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04