Alan Escobar — OGILVIE

Alan EscobarOF ACL White Sox

Age 17 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .257 / .219

PA70

HR0

K%30

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO31

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	129	115	27	3	0	0	10	29	2	5	1	235	307	261	568	26	314	22	8	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	129	108	33	4	0	0	17	20	2	5	1	306	409	343	752	37	375	16	13	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	CWS	—	105	97	16	3	1	0	5	42	2	4	1	165	221	216	438	52	286	40	5	186	1	-12	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
YTD	17	ROK	CWS	—	105	94	21	4	1	0	8	29	2	4	1	223	298	287	585	64	318	28	8	269	64	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	17	ROK	CWS	0%	70	64	12	2	0	0	5	21	1	2	0	188	257	219	476	31	280	30	7	238	40	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
ROS	17	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	229	34	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	CWS	—	105	98	16	3	1	0	5	42	2	4	1	163	221	214	435	51	281	40	5	186	1	-12	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
TOT	17	ROK	CWS	—	175	161	28	5	1	0	10	63	3	6	1	174	236	217	453	43	283	36	6	207	16	-17	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	CWS	34%	228	208	41	7	1	2	15	68	3	4	1	197	261	269	530	72	280	30	7	246	46	-14	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
2027	18	MLB	CWS	34%	78	72	14	2	0	1	5	23	1	1	0	194	256	264	520	69	280	29	6	239	41	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	78	73	14	2	0	1	5	23	1	1	0	192	256	260	517	68	265	29	6	239	41	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	117	17	0	8	42	192	8	8	0	192	257	260	517	67	267	30	6	239	41	-43	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	427	387	80	12	1	2	30	118	6	11	2	207	274	258	533	52	291	28	7	247	47	-25	+1	+0	-3	+12	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	122	18	2	3	46	180	9	17	3	207	275	260	535	53	292	28	7	247	47	-39	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	129	108	33	4	0	0	17	20	2	5	1	306	409	343	752	37	375	16	13	347	123	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	201	2	4	202	262	275	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	6	12	202	262	275	-4.0	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alan Escobar (OGILVIE)	17	34→39	28→33	49→54	50	174/236/217	43	283	0	6	36%	6%	16	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Lopez 2017 · A	17	41	36→40	50→40	39	194/242/257	63	265	3	6	27%	5%	33	-2.9	198/265/267	69	271	3	5	26%	7%	46	-2.0	186/261/249	63	254	2	4	25%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Royce Consigli 2010 · A	18	41→45	36→40	52→50	46	192/265/257	64	267	3	8	27%	8%	44	-2.1	214/270/295	81	290	4	8	25%	7%	56	-1.3	207/264/292	84	275	4	8	25%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Anderdson Rojas 2022 · A	18	39→44	37→40	50→55	39	188/247/257	69	265	4	12	29%	5%	37	-2.7	205/248/284	79	264	3	13	23%	4%	43	-2.2	206/248/289	83	259	4	17	21%	4%	42	-1.3
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	42	38→40	52→50	46	198/269/280	82	262	4	12	25%	8%	52	-1.6	177/266/265	88	302	5	9	39%	10%	47	-1.9	167/271/264	96	291	6	7	40%	12%	48	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2023 · A	18	45	38→40	50→55	42	211/265/288	77	297	5	11	29%	7%	52	-1.6	191/254/256	65	317	3	15	37%	7%	39	-2.5	169/238/224	55	303	2	20	41%	8%	22	-1.4
✕Lean Marrero 2016 · A	18	39	39→30	50	40	191/246/271	81	278	6	11	32%	7%	40	-2.4	207/250/288	81	272	6	10	25%	5%	44	-2.1	218/256/288	70	278	6	11	23%	4%	43	-0.6
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	37	-2.6	193/263/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	47	-1.9	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Fabian Andrade 2017 · A	18	39	34→30	49→45	46	184/250/235	51	245	2	7	24%	7%	32	-3.0	198/259/241	43	249	1	8	20%	6%	37	-2.6	202/261/228	26	246	0	8	16%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Jonathan Sierra 2017 · A	18	44→40	35→40	49→45	47	205/281/267	63	286	1	11	27%	8%	53	-1.5	197/250/266	69	292	3	7	32%	6%	40	-2.4	203/252/271	68	265	5	1	24%	6%	39	-1.3
✕Yerald Nin 2023 · A	17	38→42	40→30	50→55	43	188/258/272	84	274	8	13	32%	8%	46	-2.0	180/242/236	56	288	2	16	35%	7%	28	-3.2	188/253/237	49	294	2	25	34%	7%	31	-1.7
✕Iraj Serrano 2017 · A	18	38	35→30	50	50	178/255/236	59	221	2	10	20%	8%	36	-2.7	208/295/256	48	264	1	10	19%	9%	57	-1.2	206/304/235	29	266	0	10	20%	10%	54	-0.5
✕Ricardo Cespedes 2015 · A	17	44	35→30	46→45	40	209/245/269	60	271	2	8	23%	4%	37	-2.7	209/244/261	52	273	2	8	23%	4%	34	-2.8	207/236/258	52	286	3	11	28%	3%	26	-0.9
✕Luis Marquez 2023 · A	17	40	39→40	48→50	40	195/257/281	86	267	7	9	29%	6%	47	-1.9	196/261/278	82	268	7	9	28%	7%	48	-1.9	188/253/259	70	260	7	9	29%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Sauris Mejia 2015 · A	18	42	35→40	48→50	45	193/273/252	59	282	2	13	30%	8%	47	-1.9	205/290/285	80	293	6	12	29%	9%	63	-0.9	189/292/264	75	265	7	15	28%	11%	56	-0.5
✕Angel Molina 2015 · A	17	43	36→40	53→55	42	206/252/276	69	271	4	12	25%	6%	43	-2.2	191/244/276	85	246	7	12	25%	5%	40	-2.4	170/220/253	83	213	8	12	24%	4%	23	-1.2
✕Jose Rivero 2016 · A	18	40	35→30	50→45	41	187/246/248	61	276	2	9	31%	7%	33	-2.9	203/264/252	49	281	1	7	26%	7%	42	-2.3	198/265/227	29	270	0	7	24%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	46→49	37→40	51→65	46	214/280/284	70	289	4	15	26%	8%	57	-1.2	219/282/287	68	284	5	22	23%	7%	59	-1.1	207/271/275	68	274	7	39	25%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Carlos Goris 2019 · A	18	35	35→30	51→55	43	166/241/233	66	250	2	7	32%	8%	28	-3.2	189/268/264	75	265	5	12	28%	9%	48	-1.9	169/264/229	60	224	6	21	25%	11%	35	-1.1
✕Narciso Polanco 2023 · A	18	43→42	38→40	51→55	42	199/273/281	82	314	4	11	35%	8%	54	-1.4	186/255/265	79	268	5	14	30%	8%	42	-2.3	187/259/279	92	254	7	21	27%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Antonio Tovar 2014 · A	18	40	34→30	53→45	47	187/263/237	50	262	2	14	27%	9%	38	-2.6	205/274/264	59	266	2	10	22%	8%	50	-1.8	206/272/262	56	259	3	9	20%	8%	46	-0.8