Victor Saez

C DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 162 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	92	.211/.341/.263	1	2	20	—	.150/.253/.200
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	102	.244/.363/.314	0	6	23	—	.144/.245/.189
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBBAL	212	.206/.278/.276	1	5	59	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	61	.214/.286/.297	1	2	64	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBAL	153	.218/.291/.311	2	4	69	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed62

Whiff%60

Z-Con%48

Chase%45

BB%44

K%35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19) · Denzer Guzman (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .275 / .273

PA88

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	76	16	1	0	1	14	22	1	2	0	211	341	263	604	53	283	24	15	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	86	21	4	1	0	15	25	1	6	4	244	363	314	677	70	344	25	15	318	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	80	12	1	0	1	10	27	1	2	0	150	253	200	453	50	199	29	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	90	13	2	1	0	11	30	1	6	4	144	245	189	434	44	218	29	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	80	12	1	0	1	10	27	1	2	0	150	253	200	453	50	212	29	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	76	16	1	0	1	14	22	1	2	0	211	341	263	604	53	283	24	15	288	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	90	13	2	1	0	11	30	1	6	4	144	245	189	434	44	217	29	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	86	21	4	1	0	15	25	1	6	4	244	363	314	677	70	344	25	15	318	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	81	12	1	0	1	10	27	1	2	0	148	253	198	450	49	199	29	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	89	13	2	1	0	11	30	1	6	4	146	245	191	436	45	218	29	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	92	81	12	1	0	1	10	27	1	2	0	148	253	198	450	49	199	29	11	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	102	89	13	2	1	0	11	30	1	6	4	146	245	191	436	45	218	29	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	212	191	39	6	1	1	17	59	2	5	1	206	278	276	553	70	287	28	8	255	59	-10	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	178	160	34	5	1	2	14	49	2	5	1	211	284	291	575	80	289	28	8	263	64	-8	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	316	284	61	9	2	4	26	86	3	9	2	215	288	305	593	89	290	27	8	271	69	-12	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	417	376	82	13	3	6	34	112	4	11	3	219	292	316	608	98	291	27	8	277	73	-13	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	484	436	96	15	3	8	40	128	5	13	4	222	295	326	621	104	292	26	8	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	467	104	16	3	9	43	137	5	14	4	224	298	335	632	110	293	26	8	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	467	104	16	3	10	43	137	5	14	4	225	298	338	636	113	293	26	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	467	104	16	3	10	43	137	5	14	4	225	299	340	639	115	293	26	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	520	467	104	16	3	10	43	137	5	14	4	224	298	337	635	113	293	26	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	520	467	104	16	3	10	43	138	5	14	4	222	295	333	628	110	292	27	8	284	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	520	467	103	16	3	9	43	140	5	13	4	220	293	326	619	106	290	27	8	280	76	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	520	467	101	15	3	9	43	142	5	13	5	217	289	318	607	101	288	27	8	276	73	-17	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	504	454	97	15	3	8	41	139	4	12	6	212	284	308	592	96	285	28	8	270	69	-19	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	61	55	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	214	286	297	583	83	293	28	8	267	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	153	137	30	5	1	2	13	42	2	4	1	218	291	311	602	92	294	27	8	274	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	226	203	45	7	2	3	19	61	2	6	2	222	295	323	618	101	295	27	8	280	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	274	246	56	9	2	5	23	73	3	8	2	225	298	333	631	108	296	27	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	265	61	10	2	6	24	77	3	8	2	228	301	342	643	114	297	26	8	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	265	61	10	2	6	24	77	3	8	2	229	302	345	647	117	298	26	8	292	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	294	264	61	10	2	6	25	77	3	8	2	229	302	348	649	119	297	26	9	293	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	288	259	59	9	2	6	24	76	3	8	2	228	301	345	646	117	297	26	8	291	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	285	256	58	9	2	6	24	76	3	7	2	226	299	340	638	114	296	27	8	288	79	-7	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	302	271	61	9	2	6	25	81	3	8	3	223	296	333	629	110	294	27	8	285	76	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	313	281	62	10	2	5	26	85	3	8	3	220	292	325	617	105	292	27	8	280	73	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	311	280	61	9	2	5	25	86	3	7	3	216	287	315	602	99	289	28	8	273	69	-12	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3095	2782	627	99	21	57	257	828	32	82	24	225	298	338	636	112	298	27	8	285	74	-88	+7	-4	+55	+67	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	132	21	4	12	54	174	7	17	5	226	299	337	637	111	299	27	8	285	74	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5821	5229	1136	173	35	97	484	1564	56	156	49	217	291	319	610	102	289	27	8	278	74	-162	+12	-7	+100	+122	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	19	4	11	54	175	6	17	5	217	290	320	610	103	289	27	8	278	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,184	54	84	221	291	326	+57	+32	5.9	5.3
/162	664	11	17	+11.9	+6.7	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Saez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	204/275/273	69	287	1	2	28%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	35	35→45	50	45	168/242/229	61	241	3	16	30%	8%	36	-3.4	205/255/285	80	282	4	12	27%	5%	53	-2.1	205/252/286	81	285	3	12	28%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2016 · A	19	40	36→40	52→60	42	182/257/247	65	301	3	18	37%	8%	46	-2.6	181/250/258	77	274	5	14	33%	8%	45	-2.7	159/233/232	73	231	6	16	31%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Christian Olivo 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	52→55	40	185/257/243	58	277	2	14	32%	6%	45	-2.7	186/256/249	63	273	4	16	31%	7%	46	-2.6	175/248/232	57	253	4	21	30%	7%	37	-1.5
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2

Victor Saez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps