Julio Acosta — OGILVIE

Julio AcostaSS DSL Cubs Red

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .245 / .252

PA108

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	128	20	5	1	1	23	53	0	7	2	156	285	234	519	78	257	35	15	251	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	109	26	3	0	7	14	40	3	14	2	239	341	459	800	220	292	31	11	348	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	135	13	3	1	0	16	65	0	7	2	96	192	133	325	37	178	43	11	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	113	15	2	0	3	10	49	3	14	2	133	222	230	452	97	174	38	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	135	13	3	1	0	16	65	0	7	2	96	192	133	325	37	186	43	11	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	128	20	5	1	1	23	53	0	7	2	156	285	234	519	78	257	35	15	251	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	113	15	2	0	3	10	49	3	14	2	133	222	230	452	97	188	38	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	109	26	3	0	7	14	40	3	14	2	239	341	459	800	220	292	31	11	348	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	134	13	3	1	0	16	65	0	7	2	97	192	134	326	37	178	43	11	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	115	15	2	0	3	10	49	3	14	2	130	222	226	448	96	174	38	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	134	13	3	1	0	16	65	0	7	2	97	192	134	326	37	178	43	11	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	129	115	15	2	0	3	10	49	3	14	2	130	222	226	448	96	174	38	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	239	217	38	7	1	2	18	77	2	5	1	177	247	254	501	77	257	32	8	231	43	-16	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	197	178	32	6	1	2	15	62	2	4	1	183	254	269	523	86	261	31	8	240	49	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	184	256	272	528	87	264	31	7	242	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	177	250	258	508	81	250	31	7	242	29	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	105	19	0	10	48	201	10	10	0	177	251	260	510	83	249	31	7	242	29	-40	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	585	524	78	14	3	6	49	211	6	27	5	149	230	221	451	73	231	36	8	211	29	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	87	16	3	7	54	234	7	30	6	149	230	223	454	74	231	36	8	211	29	-41	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julio Acosta (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	50	55	175/245/252	77	257	1	2	32%	8%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Abdias De La Cruz 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	44→45	46	174/260/258	84	272	7	9	36%	10%	50	-2.3	187/258/271	84	285	5	10	33%	8%	51	-2.2	179/252/275	96	262	7	9	32%	8%	48	-1.5
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Roberto Espinoza 2008 · A	19	36	36→30	47→40	47	171/264/234	64	258	4	7	32%	10%	47	-2.6	187/261/248	61	286	4	5	33%	8%	47	-2.5	180/255/224	44	266	2	2	30%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	37	39→40	48→45	40	184/244/266	82	265	6	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	194/257/269	75	315	4	8	36%	7%	50	-2.3	166/240/230	64	288	0	11	39%	8%	32	-0.8
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	37	35→30	44→50	45	174/256/231	57	244	2	10	27%	8%	42	-2.9	192/268/246	54	280	2	10	29%	9%	49	-2.4	187/263/230	43	278	1	11	30%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	34	36→40	46→50	47	161/270/226	66	236	3	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	173/260/265	92	271	7	9	36%	7%	52	-2.2	147/225/230	82	281	8	19	47%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	36	38→30	47→50	40	176/233/252	76	246	6	6	30%	6%	37	-3.3	196/235/315	119	275	14	7	33%	4%	53	-2.1	203/230/369	166	271	24	10	35%	2%	59	-0.4
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	36	37→40	47→60	42	175/230/255	80	235	4	12	27%	6%	36	-3.3	182/238/251	69	249	2	21	26%	6%	38	-3.2	168/222/228	59	231	1	30	26%	5%	25	-1.1
✕Jose Ramos 2022 · A	19	39	40	51→55	42	190/246/284	94	257	6	11	28%	6%	49	-2.4	182/261/263	81	255	4	21	28%	8%	51	-2.3	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Felix Familia 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	50→45	37	175/230/233	58	267	2	6	33%	5%	32	-3.7	177/256/228	51	241	2	6	25%	8%	41	-3.0	178/252/210	32	236	2	3	24%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Manuel Cabrera 2024 · A	18	33	35→40	51→45	45	161/244/219	58	225	3	10	28%	8%	36	-3.4	176/262/238	62	277	4	11	35%	7%	47	-2.5	160/250/216	57	266	6	11	39%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Michael Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	37→30	53→50	50	187/278/257	70	263	5	13	29%	10%	57	-1.8	187/280/252	65	272	3	12	29%	10%	56	-1.9	162/276/207	45	226	2	17	25%	12%	45	-1.0
✕Nelson Beltran 2021 · A	19	37	35→30	52→50	40	178/246/233	55	266	2	12	32%	6%	38	-3.2	182/261/253	71	310	4	13	39%	7%	49	-2.4	150/241/213	63	275	4	14	42%	8%	31	-1.0
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	35	38→40	49→50	42	173/242/248	75	243	6	12	30%	7%	40	-3.0	196/243/295	99	324	7	12	39%	5%	51	-2.3	174/232/277	104	321	9	25	46%	5%	41	-0.7
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9