Jose Sanabria
SS Fort Wayne TinCaps| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | AAA/A/ROKSD | 220 | .268/.402/.307 | 0 | 14 | 53 | — | .202/.297/.228 |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA/ASD | 373 | .217/.300/.275 | 1 | 7 | 30 | — | .181/.245/.225 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/ROKSD | 203 | .228/.312/.317 | 1 | 5 | 27 | — | .171/.233/.230 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSD | 1 | .176/.238/.240 | 0 | 0 | 38 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSD | 59 | .182/.245/.260 | 1 | 1 | 45 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 24 / POW 31
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 212 | 170 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 45 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 212 | 343 | 276 | 620 | 65 | 267 | 21 | 12 | 287 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 248 | 207 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 309 | 409 | 415 | 825 | 106 | 383 | 19 | 13 | 366 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 29 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 379 | 217 | 597 | 333 | 28 | 21 | 300 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 44 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 302 | 317 | 619 | 49 | 367 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 147 | 115 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 38 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 278 | 435 | 322 | 757 | 43 | 416 | 26 | 21 | 362 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 71 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 77 | 289 | 28 | 6 | 241 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 302 | 262 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 65 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 310 | 275 | 585 | 53 | 288 | 22 | 11 | 270 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 112 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 170 | 252 | 220 | 472 | 50 | 258 | 33 | 10 | 223 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 91 | 80 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 300 | 385 | 438 | 822 | 138 | 381 | 19 | 11 | 368 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 212 | 178 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 56 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 135 | 245 | 163 | 408 | 28 | 175 | 26 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 248 | 217 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 198 | 281 | 258 | 539 | 60 | 247 | 23 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 345 | 208 | 553 | 340 | 34 | 17 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 44 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 233 | 238 | 471 | 24 | 346 | 39 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 147 | 127 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 56 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 197 | 306 | 228 | 534 | 31 | 346 | 38 | 13 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 71 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 214 | 227 | 442 | 61 | 282 | 35 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 302 | 272 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 88 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 184 | 253 | 224 | 477 | 40 | 256 | 29 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 112 | 103 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 198 | 175 | 373 | 39 | 234 | 42 | 7 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 91 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 214 | 275 | 298 | 572 | 83 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 212 | 178 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 56 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 135 | 245 | 163 | 408 | 28 | 186 | 26 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 212 | 170 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 45 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 212 | 343 | 276 | 620 | 65 | 267 | 21 | 12 | 287 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 248 | 217 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 198 | 281 | 258 | 539 | 60 | 259 | 23 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 248 | 207 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 309 | 409 | 415 | 825 | 106 | 383 | 19 | 13 | 366 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 193 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 83 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 202 | 297 | 228 | 525 | 26 | 351 | 38 | 11 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 220 | 179 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 58 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 402 | 307 | 709 | 39 | 393 | 26 | 18 | 336 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 339 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 113 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 183 | 245 | 230 | 475 | 47 | 269 | 30 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 327 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 85 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 217 | 300 | 275 | 575 | 58 | 288 | 23 | 10 | 265 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 203 | 187 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 171 | 233 | 235 | 468 | 64 | 270 | 35 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 203 | 180 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 228 | 312 | 317 | 629 | 89 | 320 | 27 | 10 | 288 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 212 | 184 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 56 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 130 | 245 | 158 | 403 | 27 | 175 | 26 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 248 | 221 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 195 | 281 | 253 | 534 | 59 | 247 | 23 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 192 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 83 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 203 | 297 | 229 | 526 | 26 | 345 | 38 | 11 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 342 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 113 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 181 | 245 | 228 | 473 | 47 | 261 | 30 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 203 | 186 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 172 | 233 | 237 | 469 | 65 | 263 | 35 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 342 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 113 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 181 | 245 | 228 | 473 | 47 | 261 | 30 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 203 | 186 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 172 | 233 | 237 | 469 | 65 | 263 | 35 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 253 | 232 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 80 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 241 | 246 | 487 | 67 | 262 | 32 | 7 | 224 | 38 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SD | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 238 | 240 | 478 | 65 | 257 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 38 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SD | 30% | 196 | 179 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 248 | 265 | 513 | 80 | 264 | 31 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SD | 30% | 59 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 245 | 260 | 505 | 78 | 259 | 31 | 7 | 231 | 45 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 59 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 254 | 278 | 532 | 93 | 257 | 31 | 7 | 231 | 37 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 198 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 185 | 254 | 277 | 531 | 92 | 256 | 30 | 7 | 231 | 37 | -43 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1585 | 1415 | 256 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 125 | 484 | 20 | 47 | 24 | 181 | 257 | 234 | 491 | 53 | 266 | 31 | 8 | 223 | 37 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 51 | 198 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 181 | 257 | 233 | 489 | 52 | 266 | 30 | 8 | 223 | 37 | -45 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 112 PAwOBA .218 → .169 (−49)K% 33.0% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.04% | ÷0.989 | ×1.270 | — | — | 42.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.82% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.120 | ×0.850 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.941 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .218 → .169; ISO .050 → .037; BABIP .258 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Padres · 91 PAwOBA .359 → .254 (−104)K% 18.7% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.68% | ÷1.023 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.99% | ÷0.990 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.010 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 20.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.018 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 3.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 104, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .359 → .254; ISO .138 → .093; BABIP .381 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 302 PAwOBA .266 → .214 (−51)K% 21.5% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.52% | ÷1.002 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.35% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | — | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | — | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .266 → .214; ISO .053 → .040; BABIP .288 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 71 PAwOBA .235 → .207 (−28)K% 28.2% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.17% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 20.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .235 → .207; ISO .077 → .069; BABIP .289 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 147 PAwOBA .354 → .251 (−103)K% 25.9% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.85% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.09% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 13.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.36% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 30.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .354 → .251; ISO .043 → .031; BABIP .416 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 44 PAwOBA .274 → .221 (−53)K% 27.3% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷0.953 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 30.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.121 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .221; ISO .049 → .034; BABIP .367 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 29 PAwOBA .294 → .259 (−35)K% 27.6% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.59% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.69% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 15.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 33.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .294 → .259; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Padres · 248 PAwOBA .363 → .242 (−121)K% 19.0% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.986 | ×0.985 | 19.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷0.947 | ×0.600 | ×0.986 | ×0.985 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.986 | ×0.985 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.975 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .363 → .242; ISO .106 → .061; BABIP .383 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).