Jose Sanabria — OGILVIE

Jose SanabriaSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 274 proj PA

wRC+†20

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .218 / .198

PA24

HR0

K%36

BB%7

ISO48

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	212	170	36	8	0	1	25	45	9	9	7	212	343	276	620	65	267	21	12	287	80	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	248	207	64	12	2	2	32	47	3	7	3	309	409	415	825	106	383	19	13	366	134	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	20	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	29	23	5	0	0	0	6	8	0	3	0	217	379	217	597		333	28	21	300	89	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	44	41	11	2	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	268	302	317	619	49	367	27	5	275	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	147	115	32	3	1	0	31	38	1	10	6	278	435	322	757	43	416	26	21	362	131	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	71	65	13	3	1	0	4	20	1	1	2	200	257	277	534	77	289	28	6	241	50	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	302	262	58	11	0	1	32	65	2	6	1	221	310	275	585	53	288	22	11	270	69	-11	+1	—	—	+7	-0.4
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	112	100	17	2	0	1	11	37	0	2	0	170	252	220	472	50	258	33	10	223	37	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	91	80	24	5	3	0	10	17	1	3	3	300	385	438	822	138	381	19	11	368	135	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	212	180	29	6	0	1	15	67	9	9	7	161	260	211	471	50	212	32	7	208	27	-18	-1	—	—	+5	-1.5
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	248	219	50	9	1	2	20	69	3	7	3	228	302	306	608	78	303	28	8	267	67	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2023	20	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	29	25	4	0	0	0	4	10	0	3	0	160	276	160	436		313	34	14	239	48	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	44	42	9	1	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	214	233	238	471	24	337	39	2	218	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	147	126	25	2	1	0	20	56	1	10	6	198	313	230	543	32	351	38	14	254	58	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	21	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	71	66	10	2	1	0	3	27	1	1	2	152	200	212	412	61	257	38	4	184	11	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	302	272	49	8	0	1	23	87	2	6	1	180	249	221	470	40	253	29	8	215	32	-25	+1	—	—	+7	-1.8
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	112	103	13	1	0	1	8	51	0	2	0	126	189	165	354	39	233	46	7	163	-4	-14	+0	—	—	+2	-1.1
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	91	84	18	3	2	0	6	24	1	3	3	214	275	298	572	83	309	26	7	263	64	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	212	180	29	6	0	1	15	67	9	9	7	161	260	211	471	50	235	32	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	212	170	36	8	0	1	25	45	9	9	7	212	343	276	620	65	267	21	12	287	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	248	219	50	9	1	2	20	69	3	7	3	228	302	306	608	78	316	28	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	248	207	64	12	2	2	32	47	3	7	3	309	409	415	825	106	383	19	13	366	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	220	193	38	3	1	0	25	83	1	14	6	197	292	223	515	26	342	38	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	220	179	48	5	1	0	39	58	1	14	6	268	402	307	709	39	393	26	18	336	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	338	60	10	1	1	26	114	3	7	3	178	243	222	464	44	262	31	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	373	327	71	14	1	1	36	85	3	7	3	217	300	275	575	58	288	23	10	265	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	203	187	32	5	2	1	14	74	1	5	3	171	233	235	468	64	277	36	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	203	180	41	7	3	1	21	54	1	5	3	228	312	317	629	89	320	27	10	288	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	212	186	29	6	0	1	15	67	9	9	7	156	260	204	464	48	212	32	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	248	223	50	9	1	2	20	69	3	7	3	224	302	300	602	76	303	28	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	220	192	38	3	1	0	25	83	1	14	6	198	292	224	516	26	343	38	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	341	60	10	1	1	26	114	3	7	3	176	243	220	462	44	254	31	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	203	186	32	5	2	1	14	74	1	5	3	172	233	237	469	65	267	36	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	220	192	38	3	1	0	25	83	1	14	6	198	292	224	516	26	343	38	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	341	60	10	1	1	26	114	3	7	3	176	243	220	462	44	254	31	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	203	186	32	5	2	1	14	74	1	5	3	172	233	237	469	65	267	36	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	244	38	8	197	20	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	357	325	54	9	2	4	27	123	2	6	2	166	234	243	478	77	250	34	8	218	34	-28	+0	+0	+4	+8	-1.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	44%	402	365	64	11	2	6	31	135	3	6	2	175	246	266	511	90	254	34	8	232	43	-27	+0	+0	+4	+9	-1.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	51%	430	390	70	12	2	7	34	142	3	7	3	179	251	274	525	95	257	33	8	239	48	-27	+0	+0	+5	+9	-1.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	437	396	71	12	2	7	35	143	3	7	3	179	251	273	524	93	258	33	8	242	50	-26	+0	+0	+5	+9	-1.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	53%	439	397	71	12	2	7	36	144	3	6	3	179	252	272	524	93	257	33	8	241	49	-27	+0	-1	+5	+10	-1.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	108	98	16	3	0	1	8	37	1	2	1	163	234	224	458	61	248	34	7	213	34	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	44%	178	161	29	5	1	3	14	60	1	3	1	180	250	280	530	99	252	34	8	226	43	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	51%	218	197	36	6	1	4	17	72	2	3	1	183	255	284	539	102	254	33	8	233	48	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	229	207	37	6	1	4	18	75	2	4	1	179	251	275	526	97	255	33	8	236	50	-14	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	53%	234	211	37	6	1	4	19	77	2	3	1	175	250	270	520	95	255	33	8	235	49	-14	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	967	874	155	26	4	16	76	321	8	15	5	177	249	271	521	94	256	33	8	231	43	-62	+1	-0	+10	+21	-3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	104	17	3	11	51	216	5	10	3	177	248	273	521	95	256	33	8	231	43	-42	+1	-0	+7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3345	3012	543	90	15	36	265	1103	31	74	35	180	254	256	510	76	267	33	8	232	43	-137	+1	-1	+22	+45	-7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	105	17	3	7	51	214	6	14	7	179	252	255	507	75	266	33	8	232	43	-43	+0	-0	+7	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.5	969	15	15	178	246	268	+10	+6	-2.5	-1.2
/162	664	10	10	+7.1	+4.1	-1.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Sanabria (OGILVIE)	23	29→34	30→35	47→52	51	150/218/198	47	244	1	4	36%	7%	20	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	39	35→30	46→45	36	185/230/236	51	281	3	6	34%	5%	31	-3.7	191/245/263	72	274	5	6	30%	6%	44	-2.8	172/230/237	65	240	4	2	28%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	31→41	37→30	50	36	161/201/230	70	230	5	12	32%	4%	19	-4.6	182/233/250	68	272	5	10	33%	6%	36	-3.3	166/228/204	38	259	4	9	35%	7%	21	-1.1
✕Cito Culver 2016 · AAA	23	38→46	37→40	48→50	38	186/234/259	73	275	5	9	33%	6%	38	-3.2	196/238/281	85	294	7	5	34%	5%	45	-2.7	189/232/274	85	286	7	1	35%	5%	39	-1.8
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/253	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/243/270	79	272	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	36→42	35→40	48→50	35	177/223/235	58	267	3	14	34%	5%	29	-3.8	204/256/285	81	269	7	10	26%	5%	53	-2.1	200/260/285	86	274	8	9	29%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Gunnar Heidt 2016 · A	23	36→41	36→45	49→50	37	174/215/239	65	253	3	11	31%	5%	27	-4.0	197/252/300	103	289	9	12	33%	6%	55	-1.9	195/252/299	104	284	9	12	33%	6%	53	-1.5
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/242	64	260	4	7	32%	5%	31	-3.7	203/257/286	83	283	5	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	204/262/284	80	278	5	12	27%	6%	54	-1.2
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	47	-2.6	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	61	-1.5	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	38→42	39→40	45→50	39	189/242/276	87	272	6	12	32%	6%	46	-2.6	204/257/277	73	280	5	12	27%	6%	52	-2.2	208/259/293	85	287	6	12	28%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	194/252/250	55	266	2	4	27%	7%	43	-2.8	199/254/271	72	275	4	7	27%	6%	49	-2.4	161/208/189	28	227	0	4	27%	5%	13	-0.9
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	48→30	39	187/246/269	82	279	3	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	191/250/294	103	282	9	4	34%	5%	54	-2.0	178/238/288	110	257	11	1	34%	4%	47	-2.0
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	191/239/263	72	259	4	9	27%	6%	41	-3.0	188/240/272	84	286	5	10	34%	5%	44	-2.8	134/184/200	67	218	4	13	38%	4%	8	-1.4
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	23	33	36→40	47→30	37	163/220/228	65	260	3	7	37%	6%	27	-4.0	169/245/243	74	276	6	4	38%	8%	40	-3.0	134/222/195	61	221	7	1	39%	9%	20	-1.7
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	35	-3.4	211/251/282	71	287	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	220/249/272	52	290	2	3	24%	3%	42	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Auston Bousfield 2017 · AAA	24	39→47	37→40	51→50	44	188/255/255	67	260	5	13	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/263/277	82	255	6	13	24%	7%	55	-2.0	191/262/269	78	243	5	13	22%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Jay Baum 2016 · A	23	41→40	35→40	47→50	41	194/245/254	60	273	2	13	29%	6%	41	-3.0	198/249/286	88	267	7	10	27%	6%	51	-2.3	192/243/282	90	250	8	10	26%	6%	45	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps