Jose Sanabria — OGILVIE

Jose SanabriaSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 274 proj PA

wRC+†9

AVG/OBP/SLG.149 / .218 / .196

PA274

HR1

K%37

BB%8

ISO47

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	212	181	29	6	0	1	14	69	9	9	7	160	255	210	465	50	237	33	7	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	212	170	36	8	0	1	25	45	9	9	7	212	343	276	620	65	267	21	12	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	248	219	50	9	1	2	20	70	3	7	3	228	302	306	608	78	318	28	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	248	207	64	12	2	2	32	47	3	7	3	309	409	415	825	106	383	19	13	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	3 teams	—	220	192	38	3	1	0	26	85	1	14	6	198	297	224	521	26	352	39	12	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	3 teams	—	220	179	48	5	1	0	39	58	1	14	6	268	402	307	709	39	393	26	18	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	373	337	57	9	1	1	27	115	3	7	3	169	237	211	448	42	251	31	7	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	373	327	71	14	1	1	36	85	3	7	3	217	300	275	575	58	288	23	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	203	187	32	5	2	1	14	74	1	5	3	171	233	235	468	64	277	36	7	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	203	180	41	7	3	1	21	54	1	5	3	228	312	317	629	89	320	27	10	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	SD	—	274	249	37	6	1	1	21	100	2	4	2	149	221	193	413	44	243	36	8	197	9	-28	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	357	324	54	9	2	4	28	125	2	6	2	167	237	244	481	77	250	35	8	218	25	-30	+0	+0	+4	+10	-1.6
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	402	364	64	11	2	6	32	136	3	6	2	176	248	266	515	91	254	34	8	231	35	-29	+0	+0	+4	+11	-1.4
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	430	390	69	12	2	7	34	143	3	7	3	177	248	272	520	95	257	33	8	239	41	-29	+0	+0	+5	+12	-1.2
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	437	395	70	12	2	7	36	145	3	7	3	177	251	271	522	94	258	33	8	241	43	-28	+0	+0	+5	+12	-1.1
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	439	397	70	12	2	7	36	146	3	6	3	176	250	270	520	93	257	33	8	241	42	-29	+0	-1	+5	+12	-1.2
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	108	98	16	3	0	1	8	38	1	2	1	163	234	224	458	61	247	35	7	211	20	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	178	161	28	5	1	2	14	60	1	3	1	174	244	255	499	81	251	34	8	224	30	-14	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	218	197	34	6	1	3	17	73	2	3	1	173	245	259	504	86	254	33	8	231	35	-16	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	229	206	37	6	1	4	19	76	2	4	1	180	256	277	532	97	255	33	8	233	37	-16	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	234	211	37	6	1	4	19	78	2	3	1	175	250	270	520	95	254	33	8	232	36	-17	+0	-0	+3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	967	873	152	26	4	14	77	325	8	15	5	174	247	261	509	87	256	34	8	228	33	-73	+1	-0	+10	+27	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	102	17	3	9	52	218	5	10	3	174	247	259	506	85	256	34	8	228	33	-49	+1	-0	+7	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	3595	3235	570	94	16	37	288	1208	33	78	37	176	251	249	500	73	265	34	8	228	33	-272	+1	-1	+39	+102	-13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	103	17	3	7	52	218	6	14	7	176	251	251	502	75	263	34	8	228	33	-49	+0	-0	+7	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	212	170	36	8	0	1	25	45	9	9	7	212	343	276	620	65	267	21	12	287	78	-5	-1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	248	207	64	12	2	2	32	47	3	7	3	309	409	415	825	106	383	19	13	366	138	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	20	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	29	23	5	0	0	0	6	8	0	3	0	217	379	217	597		333	28	21	300	88	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	44	41	11	2	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	268	302	317	619	49	367	27	5	275	69	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	147	115	32	3	1	0	31	38	1	10	6	278	435	322	757	43	416	26	21	362	135	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	71	65	13	3	1	0	4	20	1	1	2	200	257	277	534	77	289	28	6	241	43	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	302	262	58	11	0	1	32	65	2	6	1	221	310	275	585	53	288	22	11	270	65	-12	+1	—	—	+9	-0.3
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	112	100	17	2	0	1	11	37	0	2	0	170	252	220	472	50	258	33	10	223	29	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	91	80	24	5	3	0	10	17	1	3	3	300	385	438	822	138	381	19	11	368	140	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	969	15	15	177	246	267	+10	+6	-2.9	-1.5
	/162	664	10	10	177	246	267	+7.1	+4.1	-2.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Sanabria (OGILVIE)	23	29→34	30→35	47→52	52	149/218/196	47	243	1	4	37%	8%	9	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	35→41	35→40	48→50	35	173/219/230	57	265	3	14	35%	4%	17	-4.0	199/249/278	79	265	7	10	26%	5%	43	-2.2	193/253/275	82	267	8	10	29%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	30→40	37→30	50	35	158/197/230	71	229	5	12	33%	4%	7	-4.7	180/231/250	70	271	6	10	34%	6%	27	-3.3	165/226/206	41	257	5	9	35%	7%	11	-1.1
✕Cito Culver 2016 · AAA	23	37→46	38→40	48→50	37	183/231/257	74	279	5	9	35%	6%	29	-3.2	195/236/282	87	297	7	5	35%	5%	37	-2.6	191/231/279	88	289	8	1	35%	5%	32	-1.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2016 · A	23	34→39	35→45	49→50	36	169/210/231	62	247	3	11	32%	5%	13	-4.3	191/247/294	103	286	9	12	34%	6%	46	-2.0	189/248/295	106	281	10	12	35%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	37→42	39→40	45→50	38	184/237/269	85	274	6	12	34%	6%	35	-2.8	200/254/273	73	282	6	12	29%	6%	43	-2.2	204/255/292	88	287	6	12	30%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→45	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	265	4	7	31%	7%	33	-2.9	190/242/270	80	271	5	4	30%	5%	37	-2.6	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/238	61	263	4	7	33%	5%	20	-3.8	207/260/288	81	285	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	214/270/294	80	284	4	12	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Auston Bousfield 2017 · AAA	24	37→44	38→40	51→50	44	183/253/255	72	257	6	13	30%	8%	39	-2.5	192/261/276	84	254	6	13	25%	7%	47	-1.9	187/258/267	80	238	6	13	23%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Jio Mier 2014 · AA	23	38→43	38→40	43→50	44	186/248/258	72	254	7	10	28%	7%	37	-2.6	200/259/284	84	270	7	9	27%	7%	48	-1.9	199/259/281	82	265	6	7	26%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	193/251/249	55	267	2	4	27%	7%	35	-2.8	197/252/269	72	277	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	153/201/183	29	222	0	4	29%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	190/239/260	71	258	4	9	28%	6%	33	-2.9	188/239/271	83	286	6	10	34%	5%	37	-2.7	131/183/198	67	212	4	13	38%	4%	-6	-1.5
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	23	33	36→40	47→30	37	164/220/229	65	263	3	7	37%	6%	17	-4.0	169/245/244	75	278	6	4	38%	8%	33	-2.9	134/222/197	63	221	7	1	40%	9%	10	-1.7
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	27	-3.3	211/252/282	71	285	4	6	26%	5%	43	-2.2	222/252/273	52	290	2	3	23%	3%	37	-1.0
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Dillon Moyer 2014 · A	23	34→39	36→30	45→50	35	166/219/235	69	277	4	6	40%	6%	18	-3.9	162/217/218	56	276	2	8	39%	6%	13	-4.3	142/197/187	45	247	1	9	40%	6%	-6	-3.6