Jose Sanabria — OGILVIE

Jose SanabriaSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A+ HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.1 · 2029

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .256 / .258

PA274

HR2

SB5

K%32

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗35

PWR

30↗35

SPD

47↗52

EYE

46↗51

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-9M	-$11M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	212	180	29	6	0	1	15	67	9	9	7	.161	.260	.211	.471	.050	.235	32	7	.207	17	-20	-1	+0	+2	+6	-1.3
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	248	219	50	9	1	2	20	69	3	7	3	.228	.302	.306	.608	.078	.316	28	8	.267	63	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2023	20	ROK	3 teams	220	192	37	3	1	0	26	84	1	14	6	.193	.292	.219	.511	.026	.339	38	12	.244	45	-14	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
2024	21	A	2 teams	373	338	60	10	1	1	26	114	3	7	3	.178	.243	.222	.464	.044	.262	31	7	.211	19	-34	+0	+0	+4	+11	-2.0
2025	22	A+	2 teams	203	187	33	5	2	1	14	71	1	5	3	.176	.238	.241	.478	.064	.278	35	7	.211	19	-18	-0	+0	+2	+6	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	SD	274	249	47	8	1	2	21	89	2	5	2	.189	.257	.253	.510	.064	.281	32	8	.239	41	-18	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	SD	357	323	65	11	2	5	29	111	2	6	2	.201	.271	.294	.565	.093	.284	31	8	.255	54	-19	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
2028	25	MLB 25%	SD	402	362	75	13	2	7	34	122	3	7	3	.207	.281	.312	.593	.105	.286	30	8	.266	61	-18	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.2
2029	26	MLB 43%	SD	430	387	81	14	2	8	37	129	3	8	3	.209	.283	.318	.601	.109	.287	30	9	.271	66	-17	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.1
2030	27	MLB 58%	SD	437	393	82	14	2	8	38	131	3	8	3	.209	.283	.316	.599	.107	.287	30	9	.273	67	-16	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.1
2031	28	MLB 68%	SD	439	394	82	14	2	8	39	132	3	8	3	.208	.284	.315	.599	.107	.287	30	9	.272	66	-17	+0	-1	+5	+12	-0.0
2032	29	MLB 77%	SD	432	388	80	14	2	8	38	131	3	7	2	.206	.282	.314	.596	.108	.286	30	9	.269	64	-17	+1	-1	+5	+12	-0.1
2033	30	MLB 84%	SD	425	381	77	13	2	7	38	130	3	7	2	.202	.280	.302	.581	.100	.284	31	9	.266	62	-18	+1	-2	+5	+12	-0.3
2034	31	MLB 91%	SD	411	369	75	13	2	7	36	128	3	5	2	.203	.279	.306	.586	.103	.283	31	9	.263	59	-19	+0	-3	+4	+12	-0.6
2035	32	MLB	SD	393	352	70	12	2	6	35	124	3	4	1	.199	.277	.295	.572	.097	.281	32	9	.258	56	-20	+0	-4	+4	+11	-0.8
2036	33	MLB	SD	364	327	63	11	1	5	32	118	2	3	1	.193	.269	.278	.547	.086	.279	32	9	.253	52	-20	+0	-4	+4	+10	-1.0
2037	34	MLB	SD	319	286	54	9	1	4	28	106	2	3	0	.189	.266	.269	.535	.080	.278	33	9	.247	47	-19	+1	-5	+3	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5939	5327	1060	179	26	80	506	1856	49	113	46	.199	.275	.287	.562	.088	.286	31	9	.255	53	-314	+4	-20	+64	+168	-10.0
/ 162G	—			650	583	117	20	3	9	55	203	5	12	5	.201	.275	.292	.566	.091	.288	31	8	.255	53	-34	+0	-2	+7	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	212	170	36	8	0	1	25	45	9	9	7	.212	.343	.276	.620	.065	.267	21	12	.287	78	-5	-1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	248	207	64	12	2	2	32	47	3	7	3	.309	.409	.415	.825	.106	.383	19	13	.366	138	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	20	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	29	23	5	0	0	0	6	8	0	3	0	.217	.379	.217	.597	.000	.333	28	21	.300	88	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	44	41	11	2	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	.268	.302	.317	.619	.049	.367	27	5	.275	69	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	147	115	32	3	1	0	31	38	1	10	6	.278	.435	.322	.757	.043	.416	26	21	.362	135	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	71	65	13	3	1	0	4	20	1	1	2	.200	.257	.277	.534	.077	.289	28	6	.241	43	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	302	262	58	11	0	1	32	65	2	6	1	.221	.310	.275	.585	.053	.288	22	11	.270	65	-12	+1	—	—	+9	-0.3
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	112	100	17	2	0	1	11	37	0	2	0	.170	.252	.220	.472	.050	.258	33	10	.223	29	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	91	80	24	5	3	0	10	17	1	3	3	.300	.385	.438	.822	.138	.381	19	11	.368	140	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Sanabria (OGILVIE)	23	30→35	30→35	47→52	51	.188/.256/.258	.070	.281	2	5	32%	8%	41	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	39	38→40	49→45	40	.187/.243/.265	.078	.259	5	8	29%	6%	37	-2.7	.205/.266/.297	.092	.292	8	10	31%	7%	55	-1.4	.195/.264/.279	.084	.281	10	12	32%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→43	36→40	50	45	.180/.255/.246	.066	.273	3	13	33%	9%	37	-2.6	.198/.277/.295	.097	.290	9	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	.195/.282/.288	.093	.289	8	15	32%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→45	45→40	41	.184/.246/.257	.073	.269	4	7	31%	7%	37	-2.7	.188/.241/.268	.080	.270	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.7	.210/.275/.291	.081	.289	7	0	28%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	41	35→30	52→55	42	.188/.277/.248	.060	.302	3	12	35%	8%	49	-1.8	.222/.280/.282	.060	.288	3	17	22%	6%	56	-1.3	.244/.292/.297	.053	.299	2	23	18%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	41	.199/.256/.254	.055	.291	2	14	31%	6%	38	-2.6	.218/.278/.286	.068	.315	3	12	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.227/.292/.289	.061	.331	2	11	29%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	39→42	40	46→50	38	.190/.242/.279	.089	.275	7	12	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.205/.258/.279	.074	.285	6	12	28%	6%	46	-2.0	.207/.258/.294	.088	.289	6	12	29%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	37	.187/.241/.273	.085	.291	6	9	36%	6%	37	-2.6	.183/.266/.292	.109	.257	11	5	31%	9%	55	-1.4	.165/.258/.271	.106	.227	11	3	31%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	38→48	41→40	51→50	43	.188/.257/.286	.099	.271	8	13	32%	8%	49	-1.8	.198/.270/.294	.096	.294	7	12	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.194/.271/.287	.093	.286	7	13	32%	8%	52	-1.0
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	42→40	37→45	47→50	41	.200/.260/.270	.071	.284	4	7	30%	6%	46	-2.0	.210/.269/.323	.113	.290	12	13	30%	6%	63	-0.8	.206/.261/.335	.128	.272	15	13	29%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	40	.184/.244/.291	.107	.270	10	4	35%	7%	44	-2.1	.200/.256/.326	.126	.277	13	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.206/.268/.347	.141	.262	15	2	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	46→50	41	.190/.267/.263	.073	.273	7	9	31%	6%	48	-1.9	.177/.269/.263	.086	.290	7	12	38%	8%	50	-1.8	.150/.256/.240	.090	.264	8	16	41%	8%	38	-1.5
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	39→33	39→45	46→45	43	.190/.253/.278	.088	.271	6	8	31%	8%	44	-2.1	.174/.247/.259	.085	.257	6	6	32%	8%	38	-2.6	.103/.199/.174	.071	.165	6	2	39%	10%	-6	-1.7
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	40	39→45	52→50	37	.196/.234/.288	.092	.269	6	9	29%	4%	37	-2.6	.223/.277/.303	.080	.306	5	8	27%	7%	60	-1.0	.231/.292/.300	.069	.316	5	6	27%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	42→41	39→45	47→55	44	.203/.268/.291	.089	.286	6	12	30%	8%	54	-1.4	.202/.271/.316	.114	.282	12	20	31%	8%	63	-0.9	.194/.264/.311	.117	.271	13	23	32%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	43	.190/.250/.269	.079	.260	5	11	28%	7%	40	-2.4	.198/.262/.282	.084	.339	5	9	40%	6%	50	-1.8	.146/.232/.233	.088	.294	4	14	47%	8%	25	-0.6
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	.192/.261/.260	.067	.258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	.227/.279/.301	.074	.303	3	7	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.250/.296/.318	.068	.327	2	7	23%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	38	38→45	46→30	37	.185/.238/.260	.075	.283	6	3	35%	6%	33	-2.9	.212/.264/.314	.102	.298	9	3	30%	6%	58	-1.2	.218/.278/.331	.113	.293	11	0	28%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	39→40	46→50	46	.205/.268/.285	.080	.271	6	9	26%	8%	53	-1.5	.214/.264/.307	.093	.327	8	4	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.209/.256/.300	.091	.320	8	0	36%	5%	49	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)