Nelson Beltran — OGILVIE

Nelson BeltranSS ACL Athletics

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .273 / .256

PA9

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	147	126	21	1	0	0	13	38	6	10	1	167	276	175	450	8	236	26	9	224	37	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	136	114	30	6	2	0	14	41	7	13	1	263	378	351	729	88	405	30	10	336	114	+2	+2	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	144	119	32	7	2	3	16	43	9	7	2	269	396	437	833	168	397	30	11	377	142	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	130	112	13	6	0	0	16	55	2	0	2	116	238	170	408	54	228	42	12	205	25	-12	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	84	67	20	2	1	1	13	15	3	6	1	299	434	403	837	104	365	18	15	381	144	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	342	286	59	7	2	3	42	107	11	11	3	206	330	276	607	70	315	31	12	288	81	-8	+1	—	—	+7	0.1
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	143	106	23	3	0	1	27	40	9	4	2	217	415	274	689	57	333	28	19	340	116	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	131	15	1	0	0	8	55	6	10	1	115	200	122	322	8	183	37	5	150	-12	-20	+2	—	—	+3	-1.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	119	20	4	1	0	9	59	7	13	1	168	267	218	485	50	315	43	7	219	34	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	125	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	184	292	288	580	104	326	43	7	254	58	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	130	117	9	4	0	0	11	74	2	0	2	77	169	111	280	34	208	57	8	140	-19	-18	-1	—	—	+3	-1.7
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	84	72	16	1	1	1	8	21	3	6	1	222	325	306	631	83	291	25	10	278	74	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	299	48	5	2	2	29	141	11	11	3	161	260	211	470	50	281	41	8	218	34	-27	+1	—	—	+7	-1.9
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	116	17	2	0	1	17	59	9	4	2	147	303	190	492	43	261	41	12	231	42	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	131	15	1	0	0	8	55	6	10	1	115	200	122	322	8	195	37	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	147	126	21	1	0	0	13	38	6	10	1	167	276	175	450	8	236	26	9	224	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	119	20	4	1	0	9	59	7	13	1	168	267	218	485	50	328	43	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	136	114	30	6	2	0	14	41	7	13	1	263	378	351	729	88	405	30	10	336	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	125	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	184	292	288	580	104	344	43	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	144	119	32	7	2	3	16	43	9	7	2	269	396	437	833	168	397	30	11	377	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	214	189	26	5	1	1	19	95	5	6	3	138	235	190	425	53	266	44	9	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	214	179	33	8	1	1	29	70	5	6	3	184	315	257	572	73	294	33	14	274	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	299	48	5	2	2	29	141	11	11	3	161	260	211	470	50	291	41	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	342	286	59	7	2	3	42	107	11	11	3	206	330	276	607	70	315	31	12	288	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	116	17	2	0	1	17	59	9	4	2	147	303	190	492	43	281	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	143	106	23	3	0	1	27	40	9	4	2	217	415	274	689	57	333	28	19	340	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	147	132	15	1	0	0	8	55	6	10	1	114	200	121	321	8	183	37	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	136	119	20	4	1	0	9	59	7	13	1	168	267	218	485	50	315	43	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	144	124	23	5	1	2	10	62	9	7	2	185	292	290	582	105	326	43	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	214	188	26	5	1	1	19	95	5	6	3	138	235	191	426	53	241	44	9	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	299	48	5	2	2	29	141	11	11	3	161	260	211	470	50	281	41	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	116	17	2	0	1	17	59	9	4	2	147	303	190	492	43	261	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	214	188	26	5	1	1	19	95	5	6	3	138	235	191	426	53	241	44	9	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	342	299	48	5	2	2	29	141	11	11	3	161	260	211	470	50	281	41	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	143	116	17	2	0	1	17	59	9	4	2	147	303	190	492	43	261	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		261	33	11	249	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	185	163	31	6	1	2	17	51	3	3	1	190	279	276	555	86	265	28	9	262	64	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	276	244	49	10	1	4	25	75	5	5	1	201	288	299	588	98	267	27	9	270	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	49%	326	287	57	11	1	5	30	88	6	6	2	199	288	296	584	98	268	27	9	273	71	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	358	316	64	13	1	6	33	97	6	6	2	203	290	307	597	104	268	27	9	273	71	-12	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	371	327	66	13	1	6	35	101	6	6	2	202	291	303	594	101	268	27	9	272	70	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	270	27	9	252	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	122	108	22	4	1	2	11	33	2	2	1	204	289	315	604	111	272	27	9	260	69	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	49%	160	141	29	6	1	2	15	43	3	3	1	206	296	305	601	99	274	27	9	263	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	184	162	34	7	1	3	17	50	3	3	1	210	297	321	618	111	274	27	9	264	71	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	207	183	38	8	1	3	19	56	3	3	1	208	293	311	604	104	273	27	9	262	70	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	729	644	133	27	4	11	67	197	12	12	4	207	293	312	605	106	277	27	9	262	52	-26	+1	-1	+8	+16	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	119	24	4	10	60	176	11	11	4	207	295	315	610	108	278	27	9	262	52	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2651	2324	417	75	10	29	233	886	73	77	20	179	275	258	533	78	273	33	9	245	52	-56	+2	-2	+16	+33	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	101	18	2	7	57	217	18	19	5	177	273	253	525	75	269	33	9	245	52	-24	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	836	12	15	200	285	297	+9	+9	0.2	0.2
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+7.1	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Beltran (OGILVIE)	24	20	32	49	55	184/273/256	71	261	1	2	28%	9%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	210/290/289	79	270	5	9	23%	9%	68	-1.0	210/277/303	93	289	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	184/246/269	85	256	9	5	30%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	217/297/293	76	304	5	18	28%	8%	72	-0.7	206/303/255	49	297	2	28	28%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	195/279/260	65	269	4	4	27%	9%	57	-1.8	202/281/288	86	287	7	4	29%	9%	64	-1.3	198/284/292	94	281	8	1	30%	10%	64	-0.5
✕John Ziznewski 2015 · A	24	43	35→40	48→50	43	200/261/256	56	297	2	7	32%	8%	48	-2.5	218/281/297	79	342	4	10	34%	8%	65	-1.2	227/294/312	85	364	4	13	36%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→30	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	56	-1.9	233/294/295	62	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/291/282	54	298	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Todd Davison 2008 · A	24	43	39→40	47→50	46	208/271/296	89	269	5	11	24%	7%	61	-1.5	222/282/296	74	300	5	10	26%	7%	65	-1.2	229/291/272	42	313	2	9	25%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Richard Mercado 2007 · A	24	40	37→45	45→30	41	195/242/273	78	270	4	5	29%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/296	85	276	6	4	24%	6%	58	-1.7	210/263/287	77	267	6	0	23%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	38→39	36→30	47→50	40	181/239/246	65	267	3	10	32%	6%	38	-3.2	164/214/224	60	311	3	8	45%	5%	24	-4.2	104/147/137	34	240	0	5	54%	4%	-24	-4.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps