Nelson BeltranSS ACL Athletics
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .272 / .254
PA108
HR1
K%28
BB%9
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.10.00.10.10.026283031
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 32
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER32
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Athletics 147131 15100 8556 101 115200122322 8195 375 150 -27
201917 ROKDSL Athletics 147126 21100 13386 101 167276175450 8236 269 224 29
202119 ROKDSL Athletics 136119 20410 9597 131 168267218485 50328 437 219 26
202119 ROKDSL Athletics 136114 30620 14417 131 263378351729 88405 3010 336 116
202220 ROKACL Athletics 144125 23512 10629 72 184292288580 104344 437 254 53
202220 ROKACL Athletics 144119 32723 16439 72 269396437833 168397 3011 377 147
202321 A2 teams 214189 26511 19955 63 138235190425 53266 449 194 7
202321 A2 teams 214179 33811 29705 63 184315257572 73294 3314 274 68
202422 AStockton Ports 342299 49622 2913911 113 164263217480 54294 418 218 25
202422 AStockton Ports 342286 59723 4210711 113 206330276607 70315 3112 288 78
202523 ROKACL Athletics 143115 16201 18609 42 139303183485 43273 4213 228 33
202523 ROKACL Athletics 143106 23301 27409 42 217415274689 57333 2819 340 118
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBOAK 10895 18401 10312 21 189280263544 74261 299 249 48 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBOAK 30% 185163 31612 17513 31 190279276555 86265 289 262 58 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202826 MLBOAK 44% 276244 491014 25755 51 201288299588 98267 279 269 64 -11 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.0
202927 MLBOAK 49% 326287 571115 30886 62 199288296584 98269 279 272 67 -12 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203028 MLBOAK 51% 358316 641316 33976 62 203290307597 104269 279 273 67 -13 +0 -1 +4 +10 0.0
203129 MLBOAK 56% 371328 651316 341026 62 198285299584 101268 279 271 66 -14 +0 -1 +4 +11 -0.1
202725 MLBOAK 30% 5650 10201 5161 10 200286300586 100263 299 247 47 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202826 MLBOAK 44% 122108 22412 11332 21 204289315604 111265 279 255 53 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202927 MLBOAK 49% 160141 28512 15433 31 199289291580 92266 279 258 55 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
203028 MLBOAK 51% 184162 33613 17503 31 204291309600 105267 279 258 56 -9 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.2
203129 MLBOAK 56% 207183 36713 19573 31 197283295578 98266 289 257 55 -11 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 729644 12924411 6719912 124 200288301589 101269 279 256 54 -38 +1 -1 +8 +21 -1.0
/ 162G 650574 11521410 6017711 114 200289303592 103269 279 256 54 -34 +1 -1 +7 +18 -0.9
Career 27502411 433801030 24291475 7921 180275258533 79272 339 245 46 -169 +7 -2 +29 +78 -5.7
/ 162G 650570 1021927 5721618 195 179275256531 77271 339 245 46 -40 +2 -0 +7 +18 -1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Athletics 147126 21100 13386 101 167276175450 8236 269 224 29 -12 +2 +4 -0.6
202119 ROKDSL Athletics 136114 30620 14417 131 263378351729 88405 3010 336 116 +2 +2 +4 0.9
202220 ROKACL Athletics 144119 32723 16439 72 269396437833 168397 3011 377 147 +8 +1 +4 1.3
202321 AStockton Ports 130112 13600 16552 02 116238170408 54228 4212 205 15 -12 -1 +4 -1.0
202321 ROKACL Athletics 8467 20211 13153 61 299434403837 104365 1815 381 150 +5 +1 +2 0.8
202422 AStockton Ports 342286 59723 4210711 113 206330276607 70315 3112 288 78 -8 +1 +10 0.2
202523 ROKACL Athletics 143106 23301 27409 42 217415274689 57333 2819 340 118 +3 +0 +4 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
38361215199284296+9+9-0.1-0.0
/162664912+7.1+7.1-0.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nelson Beltran (OGILVIE) 24 20 32 49 55 184/272/254 71261 12 28% 9% 48 -0.3
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Richard Nunez
2019 · A
24 40 36→30 47→55 46 190/265/263 73271 39 29% 8% 46 -2.0 209/276/302 93290 76 28% 8% 60 -1.0 196/275/293972509324%9%56-0.2
Claudio Finol
2023 · AA
23 38 37→40 50→45 40 187/240/263 77259 48 29% 5% 35 -2.8 204/263/296 92292 810 31% 7% 53 -1.5 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Grant Little
2021 · A
24 43 36→30 51→55 46 204/264/272 68264 38 23% 7% 47 -1.9 214/293/289 75298 518 27% 8% 65 -0.7 202/296/2474628822827%8%54-0.6
Chris Clare
2019 · A
24 42→45 37→30 46→40 49 198/278/268 70258 45 24% 8% 53 -1.5 194/266/265 71270 47 28% 7% 47 -1.9 146/222/176302210331%6%3-1.5
Andrés Alvarez
2021 · A
24 41→30 37→45 48→50 42 195/261/270 74275 47 29% 7% 46 -2.0 201/266/321 120293 1315 34% 7% 62 -0.9 177/245/298121254151535%7%45-1.1
Will Piwnica-Worms
2014 · A
24 43 38→40 50 50 205/285/287 82263 69 23% 9% 61 -1.0 207/276/302 95284 88 28% 8% 60 -1.0 181/247/265842529530%7%39-0.9
John Ziznewski
2015 · A
24 43 35→40 48→50 43 200/261/256 56297 27 32% 8% 41 -2.3 218/280/301 83347 510 35% 7% 61 -1.0 226/292/3199337051337%8%67-0.2
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Raul Siri
2018 · A
23 39 38→40 51→50 42 192/251/271 80265 611 29% 7% 42 -2.3 199/264/283 84349 59 41% 7% 51 -1.7 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Mike Martin
2017 · A
24 44 36→30 51→55 43 207/272/268 61283 414 27% 7% 50 -1.7 224/273/295 71281 418 21% 5% 56 -1.3 231/275/2885728212718%4%52-0.8
Coty Blanchard
2015 · A
23 41 36→40 48→45 47 192/261/260 67258 26 25% 8% 43 -2.2 223/272/296 73306 37 26% 6% 56 -1.3 239/281/303653231725%5%59-0.5
Connor Blair
2022 · A
24 37 39→45 48→45 45 178/255/258 80271 711 34% 9% 40 -2.4 199/285/312 113313 128 37% 9% 68 -0.5 163/272/27711425715539%11%52-0.5
Dillon Moyer
2015 · A
24 38→39 36→30 47→50 41 181/240/247 66262 310 30% 6% 30 -3.1 160/212/219 59307 38 46% 6% 11 -4.5 93/139/123292270556%4%-47-4.8
Stephen McGee
2015 · A
24 42 37→40 44→30 48 197/281/263 66269 44 27% 9% 53 -1.5 202/281/291 89289 74 30% 9% 61 -1.0 196/283/29710128110131%10%60-0.4
Steven Baron
2015 · AA
24 39 38→45 51→50 36 191/230/276 85272 59 31% 4% 33 -2.9 230/285/310 80316 58 27% 7% 66 -0.6 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Caleb Hamilton
2019 · A
24 34 41→45 45 46 172/252/271 98253 76 33% 9% 43 -2.2 186/255/287 101275 108 33% 8% 48 -1.9 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8
Jon Murphy
2013 · A
23 38 38→30 47→50 39 185/237/262 77264 513 31% 6% 33 -2.9 197/249/259 62309 310 35% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/2415030521036%6%27-1.8
Yoel Romero
2021 · A
23 43 38→40 46→50 45 205/266/285 80275 69 27% 7% 52 -1.6 212/262/306 94320 84 34% 6% 55 -1.4 201/249/291903048035%5%43-0.9