Nelson Beltran — OGILVIE

Nelson BeltranSS ACL Athletics

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.2 · 2029

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .270 / .282

PA108

HR2

K%36

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

32→32

SPD

49→49

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$-14M	-$18M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	147	131	15	1	0	0	8	55	6	10	1	.115	.200	.122	.322	.008	.195	37	5	.150	-27	-21	+2	+0	+2	+4	-1.4
2021	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	136	119	20	4	1	0	9	59	7	13	1	.168	.267	.218	.485	.050	.328	43	7	.219	26	-11	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	144	126	23	5	1	3	9	63	9	7	2	.183	.285	.310	.594	.127	.333	44	6	.257	55	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2023	21	A	2 teams	214	189	26	5	1	1	19	95	5	6	3	.138	.235	.190	.425	.053	.266	44	9	.195	7	-22	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.4
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	342	299	48	5	2	2	29	142	11	11	3	.161	.260	.211	.470	.050	.293	42	8	.218	25	-29	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.5
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	143	115	16	2	0	1	18	59	9	4	2	.139	.303	.183	.485	.043	.268	41	13	.229	33	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	OAK	108	96	17	3	0	2	9	39	2	2	1	.177	.262	.271	.533	.094	.286	36	8	.257	55	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 10%	OAK	185	163	31	6	1	3	17	64	3	3	1	.190	.279	.294	.573	.104	.288	35	9	.268	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2028	26	MLB 25%	OAK	276	244	48	9	1	6	25	92	5	5	1	.197	.285	.316	.600	.119	.289	33	9	.274	68	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2029	27	MLB 42%	OAK	326	288	58	11	1	7	30	108	5	6	2	.201	.288	.319	.607	.118	.289	33	9	.276	70	-11	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2030	28	MLB 52%	OAK	358	316	62	12	1	7	33	118	6	6	1	.196	.285	.307	.591	.111	.289	33	9	.277	70	-12	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2031	29	MLB 69%	OAK	371	327	64	12	1	7	35	123	6	6	1	.196	.285	.303	.588	.107	.288	33	9	.274	68	-13	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2032	30	MLB 87%	OAK	378	334	64	12	1	7	35	127	6	5	1	.192	.280	.296	.576	.105	.286	34	9	.271	66	-15	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
2033	31	MLB	OAK	371	327	63	12	1	7	35	126	6	4	1	.193	.283	.300	.582	.107	.285	34	9	.268	63	-16	+0	-3	+4	+11	-0.4
2034	32	MLB	OAK	357	315	59	11	1	6	33	123	6	4	0	.187	.277	.286	.563	.098	.283	34	9	.263	59	-16	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.5
2035	33	MLB	OAK	330	292	53	10	1	5	30	116	5	3	0	.182	.269	.274	.543	.092	.281	35	9	.258	55	-17	+1	-4	+4	+9	-0.8
2036	34	MLB	OAK	288	256	46	9	1	4	26	104	4	3	0	.180	.266	.270	.535	.090	.280	36	9	.252	51	-16	+1	-5	+3	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4474	3937	713	129	15	68	400	1613	101	98	21	.181	.274	.273	.547	.092	.283	36	9	.254	52	-241	+11	-20	+48	+127	-7.6
/ 162G	—			650	572	104	19	2	10	58	234	15	14	3	.182	.274	.274	.549	.093	.284	36	9	.254	52	-35	+2	-3	+7	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	147	126	21	1	0	0	13	38	6	10	1	.167	.276	.175	.450	.008	.236	26	9	.224	29	-12	+2	—	—	+4	-0.6
2021	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	136	114	30	6	2	0	14	41	7	13	1	.263	.378	.351	.729	.088	.405	30	10	.336	116	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	144	119	32	7	2	3	16	43	9	7	2	.269	.396	.437	.833	.168	.397	30	11	.377	147	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	130	112	13	6	0	0	16	55	2	0	2	.116	.238	.170	.408	.054	.228	42	12	.205	15	-12	-1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	84	67	20	2	1	1	13	15	3	6	1	.299	.434	.403	.837	.104	.365	18	15	.381	150	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	342	286	59	7	2	3	42	107	11	11	3	.206	.330	.276	.607	.070	.315	31	12	.288	78	-8	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL Athletics	143	106	23	3	0	1	27	40	9	4	2	.217	.415	.274	.689	.057	.333	28	19	.340	118	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Beltran (OGILVIE)	24	20	32	49	55	.184/.270/.282	.098	.286	2	2	36%	9%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	44	.172/.252/.279	.107	.245	11	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.191/.275/.301	.110	.267	11	5	30%	9%	61	-1.0	.177/.269/.279	.102	.246	10	3	30%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	40	42→45	52→50	40	.189/.270/.291	.102	.312	9	16	39%	8%	56	-1.3	.201/.289/.309	.108	.281	11	12	30%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.292/.292	.096	.264	10	10	27%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Lucas Dunn 2023 · A	24	42→39	41→40	50	45	.195/.281/.297	.102	.309	7	10	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.187/.267/.277	.090	.287	8	12	34%	8%	51	-1.7	.169/.249/.246	.077	.257	7	13	34%	8%	34	-1.8
✕Cadyn Grenier 2021 · A	24	40→37	41→40	48→50	38	.191/.256/.294	.103	.311	8	7	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.191/.271/.289	.098	.300	8	12	36%	9%	56	-1.3	.176/.264/.267	.091	.272	8	13	35%	9%	45	-1.5
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	.176/.234/.238	.062	.249	4	15	30%	6%	26	-3.4	.211/.280/.295	.084	.276	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.207/.282/.288	.080	.266	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	42→40	47→40	41	.187/.266/.294	.107	.282	9	8	35%	8%	55	-1.4	.206/.282/.301	.095	.307	7	5	33%	7%	63	-0.8	.207/.285/.293	.087	.311	6	2	32%	7%	60	-0.6
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	45	.197/.277/.310	.114	.292	11	16	34%	9%	64	-0.8	.198/.281/.314	.116	.292	13	25	34%	9%	67	-0.5	.178/.270/.288	.111	.256	14	39	34%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	43→40	50	47	.190/.271/.298	.108	.259	11	13	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.292/.298	.100	.275	9	11	29%	10%	68	-0.5	.183/.296/.269	.086	.255	8	11	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	39	40	45	37	.190/.256/.282	.091	.284	8	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.206/.258/.300	.094	.302	8	6	33%	5%	52	-1.6	.213/.261/.298	.086	.310	7	6	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	38	39→45	46→40	45	.178/.268/.267	.090	.289	6	5	37%	10%	50	-1.8	.178/.262/.280	.102	.299	10	5	40%	9%	50	-1.7	.157/.246/.286	.129	.241	16	3	39%	9%	42	-0.7
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A	24	45	40→30	46→50	45	.214/.287/.304	.090	.311	7	9	32%	8%	66	-0.6	.205/.305/.281	.076	.291	6	9	29%	10%	69	-0.4	.188/.306/.248	.060	.265	6	9	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	39→33	44→40	54→55	51	.190/.295/.305	.115	.292	12	19	36%	12%	71	-0.3	.186/.265/.277	.091	.307	8	19	38%	9%	50	-1.7	.159/.224/.221	.061	.275	5	22	41%	7%	15	-2.3
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	44→45	51→40	35	.177/.247/.290	.113	.289	12	7	41%	6%	46	-2.0	.195/.252/.305	.110	.307	10	5	38%	5%	52	-1.6	.196/.250/.311	.115	.294	10	0	35%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	46	.176/.255/.278	.102	.255	8	5	32%	9%	46	-2.0	.184/.253/.289	.105	.270	10	8	33%	8%	47	-1.9	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A	23	42→40	40	45→50	38	.200/.260/.298	.098	.310	7	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	.230/.277/.322	.092	.327	5	11	29%	5%	65	-0.7	.249/.288/.338	.090	.325	5	16	24%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	50→30	41	.211/.258/.321	.110	.276	11	8	28%	6%	57	-1.2	.240/.292/.325	.085	.299	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.2	.242/.299/.328	.086	.289	8	1	18%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	41	35→30	52→55	42	.188/.277/.248	.060	.302	3	12	35%	8%	49	-1.8	.222/.280/.282	.060	.288	3	17	22%	6%	56	-1.3	.244/.292/.297	.053	.299	2	23	18%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Franklin Torres 2021 · A	24	45→41	39→40	49→50	46	.213/.283/.297	.084	.301	7	6	30%	8%	62	-0.9	.209/.261/.301	.092	.314	7	5	33%	6%	53	-1.5	.196/.240/.281	.086	.294	6	0	34%	5%	35	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)