Ryan McCarty — OGILVIE

Ryan McCartySS Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 182 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 139 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .261 / .264

PA139

HR2

K%29

BB%8

BABIP253

ISO80

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	74	65	15	4	0	1	5	30	3	1	1	231	315	338	654	108	400	41	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	74	62	17	4	0	1	8	22	3	1	1	274	384	387	771	113	400	30	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	392	343	63	18	3	5	32	129	9	9	4	184	271	297	568	114	267	33	8	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	392	326	80	22	4	10	48	95	9	9	4	245	357	429	786	184	306	24	12	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	473	437	80	14	1	9	24	149	9	12	9	183	240	281	522	98	252	32	5	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	473	426	104	21	1	14	35	110	9	12	9	244	315	397	712	153	295	23	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	405	363	62	12	2	5	31	138	10	9	5	171	255	256	511	85	258	34	8	233	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	405	351	79	17	2	5	43	100	10	9	5	225	327	328	654	103	300	25	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	111	96	21	2	0	1	13	24	1	3	2	219	318	271	589	52	282	22	12	266	62	-5	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	111	90	22	2	0	1	19	20	1	3	2	244	382	300	682	56	304	18	17	323	105	+1	-0	+0	+1	+3	0.5
ROS	27	AAA	TOR	10%	139	125	23	4	0	2	11	41	2	3	2	184	261	264	525	80	260	29	8	251	50	-8	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	10%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		261	29	7	240	42	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	TOR	—	125	109	23	2	0	1	14	28	1	3	2	211	306	257	563	46	275	22	11	263	60	-6	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
TOT	27	AAA	TOR	—	250	221	44	6	0	3	24	65	3	6	4	199	286	267	553	68	266	26	10	258	55	-13	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TOR	31%	333	298	58	10	1	5	27	96	5	6	3	195	273	285	558	91	263	29	8	257	55	-17	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.5
2028	29	MLB	TOR	40%	352	315	62	11	1	6	29	100	5	6	3	197	275	295	570	98	265	28	8	261	58	-17	+0	-1	+4	+10	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	TOR	31%	103	92	18	3	0	2	8	30	2	2	1	196	275	293	568	98	265	29	8	247	47	-6	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	TOR	40%	139	125	24	4	0	2	11	40	2	2	1	192	268	272	540	80	266	29	8	251	50	-8	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	256	230	44	7	0	4	20	74	4	4	2	191	268	274	542	83	260	29	8	248	48	-15	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	112	18	0	10	51	188	10	10	5	192	268	274	542	82	261	29	8	248	48	-38	+0	-2	+7	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	2168	1946	363	73	8	33	159	683	43	46	27	187	263	283	546	97	264	32	7	247	47	-129	-2	-2	+23	+61	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	109	22	2	10	48	205	13	14	8	187	264	283	547	96	265	32	7	247	47	-39	-0	-1	+7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	74	62	17	4	0	1	8	22	3	1	1	274	384	387	771	113	400	30	11	350	126	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	24	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	149	121	30	7	1	3	20	36	5	3	2	248	377	397	773	149	318	24	13	347	124	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	24	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	243	205	50	15	3	7	28	59	4	6	2	244	345	449	793	205	299	24	12	345	122	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2024	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	286	261	63	13	0	9	18	74	6	5	5	241	305	395	700	153	302	26	6	313	98	-1	-1	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	25	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	187	165	41	8	1	5	17	36	3	7	4	248	330	400	730	152	286	19	9	325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	28	25	6	0	1	1	2	8	1	0	0	240	321	440	761	200	312	29	7	337	116	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	377	326	73	17	1	4	41	92	9	9	5	224	327	319	646	95	299	24	11	300	88	-5	-0	—	—	+11	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	268	4	5	195	270	291	+3	+3	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	11	11	195	270	291	+7.1	+7.4	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McCarty (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	50	50	199/286/267	68	266	3	6	26%	10%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	42→40	50→45	41	202/246/297	95	249	10	10	24%	5%	46	-2.0	182/234/293	111	230	14	7	27%	5%	41	-2.3	143/194/234	91	175	13	2	28%	5%	7	-1.8
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	41→47	38→40	47→55	43	194/261/270	76	292	6	13	34%	8%	46	-2.0	208/279/278	70	327	5	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	204/277/255	51	317	3	26	33%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Donny Lucy 2010 · MLB	27	41→45	40	47→50	37	204/243/289	84	280	8	9	30%	4%	42	-2.3	200/246/296	96	263	9	8	27%	5%	46	-2.0	181/231/270	89	233	8	5	25%	4%	29	-1.0
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Zach Remillard 2022 · AAA	28	38→48	42→40	50→55	40	194/259/292	98	269	11	14	31%	6%	52	-1.6	211/275/296	85	289	7	18	28%	7%	59	-1.1	207/271/280	73	284	6	19	27%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2021 · AA	27	41→46	41→40	44→50	37	199/252/297	98	297	8	8	35%	6%	49	-1.8	200/263/289	89	349	7	9	41%	7%	52	-1.6	120/194/164	44	257	3	4	50%	8%	-12	-1.0
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	44→42	39→40	44→45	43	211/263/301	90	278	6	9	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/247/276	71	259	6	8	22%	4%	40	-2.4	196/234/244	49	243	5	5	21%	4%	23	-1.9
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	40→42	42→45	48→50	39	199/256/305	106	274	9	10	30%	5%	53	-1.5	194/257/286	92	291	7	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	177/244/255	79	279	5	7	36%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Max McDowell 2021 · AA	27	40→48	40	49→50	45	196/274/282	86	258	7	7	26%	7%	56	-1.3	197/291/281	84	275	6	8	29%	8%	63	-0.8	176/280/245	69	253	6	4	30%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jancarlos Cintron 2022 · AAA	27	41→51	39→40	50	42	204/246/284	80	249	8	13	22%	5%	42	-2.3	235/275/327	92	284	7	13	19%	4%	66	-0.6	238/279/320	82	284	5	12	17%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Deven Marrero 2019 · MLB	28	40→48	39→45	49→50	38	198/240/284	86	279	7	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	201/253/316	115	287	13	11	33%	6%	54	-1.4	194/251/298	105	272	13	10	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Eric Stamets 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	44→45	52→50	39	201/255/315	114	269	11	11	29%	5%	55	-1.4	196/250/303	107	274	10	14	31%	6%	50	-1.8	165/229/265	100	235	10	16	33%	6%	28	-1.3
✕Jonathan Morales 2022 · AAA	27	36→46	39→40	47→30	39	179/213/261	82	221	8	5	23%	4%	22	-3.7	215/270/319	104	259	12	4	21%	7%	63	-0.9	215/276/315	100	254	12	1	20%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2006 · AAA	27	41	41→45	49→30	40	197/260/290	93	300	9	8	35%	7%	51	-1.7	205/258/318	113	265	13	5	27%	6%	57	-1.2	200/252/315	114	251	13	1	25%	6%	52	-0.7