Jose De La Cruz — OGILVIE

Jose De La CruzSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 49 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .265 / .186

PA49

HR0

K%37

BB%10

BABIP280

ISO23

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$15M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	115	92	11	1	0	0	15	52	6	7	6	120	283	130	414	11	262	45	13	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	115	82	16	2	0	0	25	34	6	7	6	195	416	220	635	24	320	30	22	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	49	41	5	1	0	1	6	27	1	3	1	122	250	220	470	98	308	55	12	202	13	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	49	37	7	2	0	1	10	19	1	3	1	189	375	324	699	135	353	39	20	326	108	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	HOU	0%	49	43	7	1	0	0	5	18	1	1	0	163	265	186	451	23	289	37	10	247	47	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	237	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	HOU	—	49	42	5	1	0	1	6	27	1	3	1	119	250	214	464	95	286	55	12	202	13	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	HOU	—	98	84	12	2	0	1	11	45	2	4	1	143	258	202	460	60	289	46	11	225	30	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	189	166	32	6	1	2	18	65	3	4	1	193	283	277	561	84	292	34	10	259	57	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	328	288	57	10	2	5	31	109	6	6	1	198	289	299	588	101	293	33	9	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.0
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	435	383	77	13	2	8	41	142	8	8	2	201	292	308	600	107	294	33	9	276	69	-15	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.3
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	510	447	93	16	3	10	48	164	10	10	2	208	299	324	623	116	295	32	9	280	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	23	MLB	HOU	61%	561	492	102	18	3	11	53	180	11	11	3	207	299	323	622	116	296	32	9	282	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2032	24	MLB	HOU	63%	594	522	109	19	3	12	56	190	11	11	3	209	299	326	624	117	297	32	9	284	76	-16	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.8
2033	25	MLB	HOU	64%	614	539	112	19	3	13	58	196	12	12	3	208	299	327	625	119	297	32	9	286	77	-16	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.9
2034	26	MLB	HOU	65%	623	547	114	20	3	13	59	199	12	12	3	208	299	327	627	119	297	32	9	287	78	-16	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.0
2035	27	MLB	HOU	65%	625	548	114	20	3	13	60	200	12	12	3	208	300	327	627	119	297	32	10	287	78	-16	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	HOU	65%	621	544	112	19	3	13	60	200	12	11	3	206	299	324	622	118	297	32	10	286	77	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
2037	29	MLB	HOU	65%	611	536	111	19	3	13	59	198	11	10	2	207	299	326	625	119	296	32	10	284	76	-17	+1	-1	+7	+17	0.7
2038	30	MLB	HOU	65%	601	526	107	18	3	12	59	196	11	9	2	203	297	317	614	114	295	33	10	282	74	-18	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.5
2039	31	MLB	HOU	65%	587	514	104	18	3	11	57	193	11	8	2	202	296	313	609	111	293	33	10	278	71	-19	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.2
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	65	58	11	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	190	277	276	553	86	294	34	9	249	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	159	140	29	5	1	3	15	53	3	3	1	207	297	321	619	114	296	33	9	258	55	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	236	208	41	7	1	4	22	77	4	5	1	197	286	298	584	101	297	33	9	264	60	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	289	255	52	9	1	6	27	93	5	6	1	204	293	318	610	114	298	32	9	269	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2031	23	MLB	HOU	61%	342	301	63	11	2	7	32	110	6	7	2	209	298	329	627	120	299	32	9	271	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB	HOU	63%	373	328	69	12	2	8	35	119	7	7	2	210	300	332	632	122	300	32	9	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2033	25	MLB	HOU	64%	392	345	72	13	2	8	37	125	7	7	2	209	298	328	626	119	300	32	9	275	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2034	26	MLB	HOU	65%	405	356	75	13	2	9	38	130	8	8	2	211	301	334	635	124	300	32	9	276	69	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2035	27	MLB	HOU	65%	406	356	75	13	2	9	39	130	8	8	2	211	303	334	637	124	300	32	10	276	69	-14	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2036	28	MLB	HOU	65%	404	354	75	13	2	9	39	130	8	7	2	212	304	336	640	124	299	32	10	275	68	-14	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB	HOU	65%	397	348	73	13	2	8	39	129	7	7	2	210	302	328	630	118	299	32	10	273	67	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.0
2038	30	MLB	HOU	65%	391	343	71	12	2	8	38	128	7	6	1	207	299	324	623	117	298	33	10	271	65	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.1
2039	31	MLB	HOU	65%	382	335	69	12	2	8	37	126	7	5	1	206	298	325	624	119	295	33	10	267	62	-16	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4241	3728	775	135	21	88	404	1372	78	77	19	208	299	326	625	118	300	32	10	271	66	-164	+8	-5	+45	+120	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	118	21	3	13	62	210	12	12	3	207	298	322	620	116	299	32	10	271	66	-25	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7063	6187	1262	217	35	136	679	2302	137	132	36	204	297	316	613	112	297	33	10	280	73	-217	+12	-7	+76	+200	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	116	20	3	13	62	212	13	12	3	204	296	318	614	114	297	33	10	280	73	-20	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	115	82	16	2	0	0	25	34	6	7	6	195	416	220	635	24	320	30	22	323	105	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,337	85	78	206	294	320	+46	+27	4.5	4.2
	/162	664	13	12	206	294	320	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	143/258/202	60	289	1	4	46%	11%	30	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	39	35→50	51→30	41	183/255/247	64	290	2	11	35%	8%	37	-2.6	203/258/279	76	265	4	7	24%	5%	46	-2.0	214/250/346	131	319	13	1	36%	3%	57	-0.5
✕Marcus Wilson 2015 · A	18	39→49	36→50	48→50	38	183/242/249	66	297	4	8	38%	7%	32	-3.0	203/268/284	81	314	5	10	34%	8%	52	-1.6	215/282/315	100	313	8	11	31%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3