Jean Joseph — OGILVIE

Jean JosephCF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 235 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .262 / .270

PA235

HR3

K%26

BB%6

BABIP245

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	185	167	26	2	0	0	12	40	4	6	6	156	230	168	397	12	203	22	6	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	185	157	32	2	0	0	22	28	4	6	6	204	317	217	534	13	246	15	12	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	108	95	14	3	0	1	11	41	2	6	5	147	250	211	461	63	245	38	10	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	108	89	19	5	0	1	17	29	2	6	5	213	352	303	655	90	305	27	16	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	273	243	46	13	1	4	16	88	10	3	3	189	268	300	568	111	271	32	6	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	273	239	53	15	1	5	20	67	10	3	3	222	309	356	664	134	281	25	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	323	291	56	15	0	3	14	91	15	5	5	192	266	275	541	82	265	28	4	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	323	286	70	19	0	5	19	60	15	5	5	245	325	364	689	119	290	19	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	TOR	—	85	73	15	2	0	2	9	21	2	1	0	205	310	315	625	110	255	25	11	286	77	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
YTD	21	A	TOR	—	85	69	18	3	0	3	13	15	2	1	0	261	393	435	828	174	288	18	15	371	142	+4	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.7
ROS	21	A	TOR	0%	235	211	39	9	0	3	14	62	8	3	1	185	262	270	532	85	249	26	6	250	50	-13	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		250	—	—	227	32	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	TOR	—	85	74	15	2	0	2	9	21	2	1	0	203	310	311	620	108	250	25	11	286	77	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
TOT	21	A	TOR	—	320	284	54	11	0	5	23	83	10	4	1	190	274	282	556	92	247	26	7	260	57	-16	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TOR	34%	370	332	66	15	1	6	24	95	11	4	2	199	275	304	579	105	255	26	6	266	62	-16	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	TOR	48%	443	397	81	18	1	9	30	111	13	5	3	204	282	322	604	118	259	25	7	275	69	-16	-0	+0	+2	+13	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	TOR	53%	490	439	91	20	1	10	34	121	14	5	3	207	285	326	611	118	261	25	7	281	73	-15	-0	+0	+2	+14	0.0
2030	25	MLB	TOR	55%	516	461	96	21	1	11	36	127	14	5	3	208	286	330	615	121	262	25	7	284	75	-14	-0	+0	+2	+15	0.2
2031	26	MLB	TOR	56%	530	472	100	22	1	12	38	130	15	5	3	212	291	339	630	127	262	25	7	284	76	-14	-0	+0	+2	+15	0.2
2027	22	MLB	TOR	34%	127	114	22	5	0	2	8	33	4	1	1	193	270	289	559	96	256	26	6	245	45	-8	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	TOR	48%	215	192	39	9	0	4	15	54	6	2	1	203	282	312	594	109	260	25	7	255	53	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2029	24	MLB	TOR	53%	258	231	50	11	1	6	18	64	7	3	2	216	293	351	644	134	262	25	7	261	58	-12	-0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2030	25	MLB	TOR	55%	282	252	54	12	1	6	20	69	8	3	2	214	293	341	634	127	263	24	7	264	60	-13	-0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2031	26	MLB	TOR	56%	295	264	56	12	1	7	21	72	8	3	2	212	290	345	635	133	263	24	7	265	61	-13	-0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1177	1054	221	49	3	25	82	292	33	12	8	210	288	333	621	123	264	25	7	260	57	-57	-1	+0	+4	+33	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	123	27	2	14	45	161	18	7	4	211	288	337	625	125	266	25	7	260	57	-32	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	3473	3108	615	138	6	59	229	906	106	47	34	198	276	303	579	105	257	26	7	264	60	-156	-4	+0	+12	+98	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	115	26	1	11	43	170	20	9	6	198	276	302	579	105	257	26	7	264	60	-29	-1	+0	+2	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	185	157	32	2	0	0	22	28	4	6	6	204	317	217	534	13	246	15	12	259	57	-9	-1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	108	89	19	5	0	1	17	29	2	6	5	213	352	303	655	90	305	27	16	311	96	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	273	239	53	15	1	5	20	67	10	3	3	222	309	356	664	134	281	25	7	299	87	-4	-1	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	323	286	70	19	0	5	19	60	15	5	5	245	325	364	689	119	290	19	6	312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+9	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,498	28	16	204	277	319	+5	+8	-1.0	-0.4
	/162	664	13	7	204	277	319	+2.4	+3.3	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jean Joseph (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	45	20	190/274/282	92	247	5	4	26%	7%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	200/246/273	72	266	4	5	26%	5%	39	-2.5	191/247/273	82	270	6	8	30%	6%	40	-2.4	172/238/248	76	248	7	10	32%	6%	29	-0.7
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→40	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	33	-2.9	220/253/314	94	277	6	6	22%	4%	52	-1.6	244/267/328	84	295	4	3	18%	3%	57	-0.3
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	40	37→45	43→45	38	196/244/265	69	264	5	4	27%	4%	37	-2.7	217/277/307	90	287	5	6	25%	6%	63	-0.9	222/289/325	103	288	5	5	23%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	46	-2.0	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	73	-0.1	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	46→40	44	189/239/261	72	235	5	5	22%	6%	33	-2.9	213/258/292	79	266	5	3	21%	5%	50	-1.8	215/291/338	123	254	14	3	21%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	44	41→40	46→45	41	216/264/307	91	269	9	5	23%	5%	56	-1.3	228/262/305	77	301	5	5	25%	4%	53	-1.5	232/255/291	58	309	3	2	25%	2%	44	-0.7
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	48	-1.9	228/295/306	78	316	4	5	26%	9%	69	-0.4	237/311/318	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Antoni Lugo 2009 · A	21	40	36→45	42→45	42	190/245/251	61	237	4	5	22%	5%	33	-2.9	207/267/326	119	247	14	5	22%	6%	63	-0.8	200/264/341	141	224	19	3	21%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Luis Joseph 2018 · A	21	44	34→30	46→50	41	205/238/250	45	256	2	9	20%	4%	29	-3.2	206/243/276	70	259	4	10	21%	4%	38	-2.6	206/223/283	77	240	4	15	16%	1%	27	-0.7
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	49	-1.8	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	4	-0.9
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	40	-2.4	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	60	-1.0	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	39	38→30	47→50	42	192/253/263	71	257	6	9	27%	6%	40	-2.4	191/232/261	70	262	5	6	28%	5%	30	-3.1	187/220/244	57	251	3	4	26%	3%	17	-1.1
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7