Jesus PerezOF DSL Miami
Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 84 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .274 / .286
PA84
HR1
K%24
BB%7
BABIP268
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.50.50.6+$17M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$0.9M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Miami 174151 31102 15375 144 205298252550 46252 219 243 44
202517 ROKDSL Miami 174143 35104 23285 144 245368336704 91272 1613 325 107
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKMIA 6156 12302 2122 80 214267375642 161233 203 279 72 -2 +2 +0 -0 +2 0.1
YTD18 ROKMIA 6155 16403 382 80 291350527877 236289 135 378 148 +3 +2 +0 -0 +2 0.6
ROS18 ROKMIA 0% 8477 16301 6201 30 208274286560 78271 247 267 62 -4 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
ROS18 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 266 251 50 +0 -0
FULL18 ROKMIA 6157 12302 2122 80 211267368635 158227 203 279 72 -2 +2 +0 -0 +2 0.1
TOT18 ROKMIA 145133 28603 8323 110 211271323594 113253 226 272 66 -6 +2 +0 -1 +4 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBMIA 34% 232210 46714 16544 61 219287319606 100274 237 277 70 -8 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.2
202820 MLBMIA 48% 363328 741227 26836 91 226294338633 113277 237 284 76 -10 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.1
202921 MLBMIA 54% 460416 931529 331058 121 224293334627 111278 237 289 79 -11 +2 +0 -3 +13 0.2
203022 MLBMIA 57% 529476 11018311 391199 132 231302351652 120280 227 292 82 -11 +2 +0 -3 +15 0.3
203123 MLBMIA 58% 576519 12019313 4212910 142 231301355656 123280 227 294 83 -11 +2 +0 -3 +16 0.4
203224 MLBMIA 57% 607546 12620313 4513611 152 231302350652 119281 227 295 84 -11 +2 +0 -4 +17 0.5
203325 MLBMIA 57% 624562 13021314 4613911 152 231302354656 123281 227 296 85 -11 +2 +0 -4 +18 0.5
203426 MLBMIA 57% 632569 13121314 4714111 162 230301351653 121281 227 296 85 -11 +2 +0 -4 +18 0.6
202719 MLBMIA 34% 8074 14201 5191 20 189250257507 68269 246 261 58 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
202820 MLBMIA 48% 176159 35613 12403 51 220287327614 107272 237 268 63 -7 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.3
202921 MLBMIA 54% 249225 50815 18574 61 222291333625 111274 237 272 66 -9 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.3
203022 MLBMIA 57% 299270 601016 22675 71 222293333626 111275 227 275 69 -11 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.3
203123 MLBMIA 58% 332299 681127 24756 81 227298348646 120276 237 277 70 -11 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.3
203224 MLBMIA 57% 346312 701127 25776 91 224294340634 115276 227 278 71 -11 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.2
203325 MLBMIA 57% 354319 741228 26796 91 232302357659 125276 227 279 71 -11 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.2
203426 MLBMIA 57% 358322 741228 27806 91 230301354655 124276 228 279 71 -12 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 21941981 445721145 15949437 557 225295340635 116275 237 275 69 -77 +8 +0 -13 +62 -2.0
/ 162G 650587 13121313 4714611 162 223293336629 112274 227 275 69 -23 +2 +0 -4 +18 -0.6
Career 42813854 8771372088 31596376 11717 228299342641 114279 227 290 80 -98 +17 +0 -26 +121 1.4
/ 162G 650585 13321313 4814612 183 227299340639 113280 227 290 80 -15 +2 +0 -4 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Miami 174143 35104 23285 144 245368336704 91272 1613 325 107 +1 +1 +5 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,3394958230296347-14+00.91.2
/1626641417-4.0+0.00.3pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jesus Perez (OGILVIE) 18 40 25 60 50 211/271/323 113253 311 22% 6% 66 -0.0
Jose Astudillo
2022 · A
18 43 37→30 52→50 46 204/257/278 73249 39 19% 6% 46 -2.0 230/283/304 74270 315 15% 6% 63 -0.9 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Robedluis Fuentes
2007 · A
18 40 38→30 54→45 37 197/239/278 81273 611 30% 4% 37 -2.6 217/280/275 58274 39 20% 6% 55 -1.4 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
Jose Monserrate
2023 · A
18 47 38→40 51→50 46 221/290/309 87287 513 23% 7% 68 -0.5 215/293/282 67300 321 27% 9% 63 -0.9 180/265/2254528813434%9%34-0.6
Rafael Herrera
2019 · A
18 43 35→40 52→50 45 200/267/266 67269 212 25% 7% 47 -1.9 218/286/298 80291 412 24% 8% 63 -0.8 229/304/3108129741722%9%71-0.1
Gilberto Celestino
2017 · A
18 43→53 38→45 54→55 48 203/273/292 90270 513 25% 8% 56 -1.3 209/261/295 86283 611 27% 6% 52 -1.6 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
Jorge Caballero
2018 · A
18 44 37→40 49→45 47 210/286/284 74263 410 21% 7% 61 -1.0 216/286/282 66325 37 31% 8% 59 -1.1 225/303/291673625536%9%66-0.3
Adrián Sanchez
2009 · A
18 43→45 38→45 52→50 42 207/255/285 78258 514 22% 5% 46 -2.0 223/254/298 75271 511 19% 3% 49 -1.8 255/291/35810431071120%4%76+0.0
Ricardo Rosario
2022 · A
19 40 37→40 53→55 42 193/254/272 79260 413 26% 6% 43 -2.2 199/267/282 83276 617 28% 7% 52 -1.6 193/273/2768225992427%8%51-0.6
Dubal Baez
2011 · A
18 46 36→30 50→60 46 214/289/282 68300 47 28% 8% 61 -1.0 214/302/264 50297 218 26% 8% 63 -0.8 217/309/2473030402825%8%58-0.3
Juan Lagares
2007 · A
18 42→52 40→45 53→50 41 203/261/302 99285 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 203/241/283 80277 410 27% 4% 39 -2.5 261/302/36610531671319%4%83+0.3
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Ryan Burrowes
2023 · A
18 44→45 38→40 55→60 45 206/289/290 83281 513 27% 8% 63 -0.8 190/255/255 65322 420 39% 6% 40 -2.4 197/270/2757832073237%7%49-1.2
Olivber Moreno
2019 · A
18 40 36→40 52→50 41 192/248/253 61272 313 29% 6% 36 -2.7 198/268/274 76279 611 29% 7% 50 -1.7 203/284/2838025471321%8%56-0.6
Randy Romero
2019 · A
19 43 36→40 50→60 45 203/252/272 69247 312 19% 6% 42 -2.3 229/271/302 73269 322 15% 5% 56 -1.3 223/260/2836027523019%4%47-0.6
Juan Bidau
2018 · A
18 43 38→30 51→45 45 205/264/288 83267 510 24% 7% 51 -1.7 200/272/268 68246 38 18% 8% 50 -1.7 187/267/247592252716%8%42-0.9
Marco Soto
2022 · A
18 41 36→30 52→50 41 195/262/260 64278 310 29% 6% 44 -2.1 202/257/256 54271 28 25% 5% 40 -2.4 184/237/220362521826%5%21-0.9
Victor Tademo
2017 · A
18 47 37→40 54→55 47 222/279/304 82268 319 18% 6% 62 -0.9 189/236/252 63280 310 32% 5% 30 -3.1 154/194/192382432636%4%-5-1.6
Edwin Ventura
2017 · A
19 48 37→30 54→55 41 225/280/299 74293 412 24% 5% 61 -1.0 192/240/242 50258 214 25% 5% 28 -3.2 167/212/1882122502024%4%1-1.5
Guillermo Pimentel
2009 · A
19 44 39→40 48→55 47 209/298/288 79282 717 26% 8% 68 -0.5 199/266/274 75327 612 38% 7% 49 -1.8 173/232/2315831661144%7%20-1.1