Jesus Perez

OF DSL Miami
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Miami174.245/.368/.33641438—.168/.275/.195
202618ROKDSL Miami129.311/.359/.47931640—.198/.242/.281
2027PROJMLE19MLBMIA239.213/.276/.2892661-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBMIA42.211/.276/.2910166-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%85
ISO73
Speed71
Z-Con%68
Whiff%57
wOBA56
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%
CompsErick Torres (age 19) · Juan Baez (age 19) · Demetrio Nadal (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .273 / .287
PA67
HR1
K%24
BB%7
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Miami — 174143 35104 23285 144 245368336704 91272 1613 325 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Miami — 129119 371103 6183 161 311359479838 168343 145 369 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 174149 25101 17335 144 168275195469 27196 1910 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 129121 24701 4223 161 198242281523 83220 173 227 40 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 174149 25101 17335 144 168275195469 27203 1910 224 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Miami — 174143 35104 23285 144 245368336704 91272 1613 325 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 129121 24701 4223 161 198242281523 83232 173 227 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Miami — 129119 371103 6183 161 311359479838 168343 145 369 40 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 174150 25101 17335 144 167275193468 27196 1910 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 129121 24701 4223 161 198242281523 83220 173 227 40 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 174150 25101 17335 144 167275193468 27196 1910 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 129121 24701 4223 161 198242281523 83220 173 227 40 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEMIA 0% 239218 46712 16573 61 213276289565 76275 247 258 61 -11 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEMIA 34% 122111 24411 8292 31 217282303584 86277 247 266 66 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXMIA 34% 4238 7100 3101 10 211276291566 80269 247 259 66 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4238 7100 3101 10 184262211472 26250 247 259 48 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 1081500 4615515 150 184260209469 26249 247 259 48 -26 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 492443 861414 3310011 356 194267257524 63238 207 240 48 -8 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 1131815 4413215 468 193267253520 60237 207 240 48 -28 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Miami · 129 PAwOBA .361 → .227 (−134)K% 14.0% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.95%÷1.000×1.220——17.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.65%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0083.28%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.700—×1.0081.64%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.000×0.680×0.987×1.00815.40%
Doubles /BIP10.89%÷1.000×0.600×0.987×1.0086.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×0.987×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.97%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0081.41%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .361 → .227; ISO .168 → .091; BABIP .343 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Miami · 174 PAwOBA .322 → .224 (−98)K% 16.1% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.09%÷1.040×1.220——18.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.22%÷0.978×0.700—×1.0229.67%
HBP% /PA2.87%—×0.700—×1.0222.06%
Singles /BIP26.09%÷0.978×0.680×1.041×1.02219.30%
Doubles /BIP0.87%÷1.026×0.600×1.041×1.0220.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.088×0.600×1.041×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP3.48%÷1.423×0.470—×1.0221.17%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 118, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .322 → .224; ISO .091 → .034; BABIP .272 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).