Gregory Barrios

SS Montgomery Biscuits
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1012ETA2030MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A+TB454.288/.348/.36713661—.237/.283/.301
202521AA/ROKTB332.244/.304/.28413648—.226/.274/.262
202622AATB438.257/.292/.32534155—.246/.274/.313
2027PROJMLE23MLBTB4.234/.269/.2920056-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB24MLBTB94.239/.276/.31315640.0
2029PROJ35% MLB25MLBTB157.242/.281/.32629690.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$2M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
K%97
Whiff%95
Speed94
Z-Con%92
wRC+18
wOBA16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsRafael Bautista (age 23) · Wes Rogers (age 23) · Eddy Diaz (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .269 / .292
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%4
BABIP274
ISO61
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$2M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Brewers 1 — 116101 21400 14140 91 208304248552 40239 1212 261 3 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Brewers Gold — 200175 51520 17304 130 291367343710 51342 158 321 49 — — — — — —
202319 ACarolina Mudcats — 445410 952031 24607 328 232286302588 71266 135 267 29 — — — — — —
202420 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 454406 1172331 30538 369 288348367715 79321 127 319 61 — — — — — —
202521 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 297274 66701 18422 287 241293277570 36280 146 261 47 — — — — — —
202521 ROKFCL Rays — 3529 8200 313 80 276400345745 69286 39 351 61 — — — — — —
202622 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 438409 1051143 19572 418 257292325618 68290 134 275 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 116106 14200 9180 91 132200151351 19157 168 173 3 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Brewers Gold — 200181 40320 11444 130 221281260540 39274 226 240 49 — — — — — —
202319 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 445417 791531 17827 328 189234247481 58226 184 211 29 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 454418 992021 19738 369 237283301585 65270 164 258 61 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 297279 64701 13512 287 229269265534 36272 174 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 3530 6100 213 80 200314233548 33219 36 259 61 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 438415 1021143 14702 418 246274313587 67279 163 250 55 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 116106 14200 9180 91 132200151351 19157 168 173 3 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 1 — 116101 21400 14140 91 208304248552 40239 1212 261 3 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Brewers Gold — 200181 40320 11444 130 221281260540 39284 226 240 49 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWACL Brewers Gold — 200175 51520 17304 130 291367343710 51342 158 321 49 — — — — — —
202319 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 445417 791531 17827 328 189234247481 58231 184 211 29 — — — — — —
202319 A RAWCarolina Mudcats — 445410 952031 24607 328 232286302588 71266 135 267 29 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 454418 992021 19738 369 237283301585 65278 164 258 61 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAWBowling Green Hot Rods — 454406 1172331 30538 369 288348367715 79321 127 319 61 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 332309 71901 15525 367 230277269545 39272 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAW2 teams — 332303 74901 21435 367 244304284588 40281 136 271 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 438415 1021143 14702 418 246274313587 67287 163 250 55 — — — — — —
202622 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 438409 1051143 19572 418 257292325618 68290 134 275 55 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 116106 14200 9180 91 132200151351 19157 168 173 3 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Brewers Gold — 200183 40320 11444 130 219281257537 38274 226 240 49 — — — — — —
202319 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 445418 791531 17827 328 189234246480 57226 184 211 29 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 454424 992021 19738 369 233283297580 64270 164 258 61 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 332309 71901 15525 367 230277269545 39266 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 438419 1021143 14702 418 243274310584 67279 163 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 454424 992021 19738 369 233283297580 64270 164 258 61 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 332309 71901 15525 367 230277269545 39266 165 239 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 438419 1021143 14702 418 243274310584 67279 163 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETB 2% 548518 1191732 21874 327 231266290556 59271 164 251 56 -29 +4 +2 +6 +12 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXTB 2% 44 1000 010 00 234269292561 58274 250 253 56 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETB 23% 408385 911324 17653 245 236273311584 75273 164 262 64 -18 +3 +3 +4 +9 0.1
202925 MLB MLETB 35% 448422 1001426 20733 266 239278325603 86274 164 270 69 -17 +3 +4 +5 +10 0.5
203026 MLB MLETB 42% 467438 1051537 22774 276 240281333614 93275 165 275 72 -15 +3 +4 +5 +10 0.7
203127 MLB MLETB 45% 474444 1061627 23804 276 239282334617 95275 175 276 73 -15 +3 +4 +5 +10 0.7
203228 MLB MLETB 47% 473443 1051627 24823 245 238282334616 96275 175 276 73 -15 +3 +3 +5 +10 0.6
203329 MLB MLETB 46% 463434 1021527 23823 215 236280328608 92274 185 273 71 -16 +2 +3 +5 +10 0.4
203430 MLB MLETB 46% 453425 991526 22823 174 233276321597 88273 185 268 68 -17 +2 +2 +5 +10 0.1
202824 MLB CTXTB 23% 9489 22311 4151 51 239276313589 74276 164 265 64 -4 +1 +1 +1 +2 0.0
202925 MLB CTXTB 35% 157148 36512 7251 92 242281326607 85278 164 272 69 -6 +1 +1 +2 +3 0.2
203026 MLB CTXTB 42% 197185 45613 9331 112 243284335618 92278 175 277 72 -6 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.3
203127 MLB CTXTB 45% 212198 48713 10362 123 242285336621 94279 175 278 73 -7 +1 +2 +2 +5 0.3
203228 MLB CTXTB 47% 220205 49713 11382 113 241285335620 94279 175 278 73 -7 +1 +2 +2 +5 0.3
203329 MLB CTXTB 46% 215200 48713 11382 102 238282329611 91278 185 274 71 -8 +1 +1 +2 +5 0.2
203430 MLB CTXTB 46% 210197 47713 10381 82 236279322601 86276 185 270 68 -8 +1 +1 +2 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13051222 29542718 6222310 6615 241284331615 90281 175 274 61 -46 +7 +9 +14 +28 1.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650609 1472139 311115 337 241284330614 89280 175 274 61 -23 +4 +5 +7 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 53815035 11591712751 24491351 34573 230273305578 75270 175 258 61 -125 +20 +23 +36 +74 2.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650608 1402136 291106 429 230272304576 74270 174 258 61 -24 +4 +4 +7 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 438 PAwOBA .269 → .250 (−19)K% 13.0% → 15.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.01%÷1.000×1.220——15.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.34%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0423.07%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.840—×1.0420.40%
Singles /BIP24.72%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.04223.90%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0422.99%
Triples /BIP1.14%÷1.000×0.880×1.009×1.0421.05%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0420.71%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .269 → .250; ISO .068 → .062; BABIP .290 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 297 PAwOBA .255 → .237 (−18)K% 14.1% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.14%÷1.010×1.220——17.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷0.988×0.680—×1.0504.38%
HBP% /PA0.67%—×0.840—×1.0500.59%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.045×0.920×1.045×1.05024.14%
Doubles /BIP3.02%÷0.976×0.910×1.045×1.0503.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.045×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.43%÷0.922×0.800—×1.0500.39%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .255 → .237; ISO .036 → .036; BABIP .280 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 35 PAwOBA .343 → .259 (−84)K% 2.9% → 4.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA2.86%÷0.985×1.440——4.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.57%÷0.991×0.620—×0.9855.28%
HBP% /PA8.57%—×0.720—×0.9856.08%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.018×0.820—×0.98517.00%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.026×0.720—×0.9854.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.809×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .343 → .259; ISO .069 → .050; BABIP .286 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 454 PAwOBA .317 → .258 (−58)K% 11.7% → 16.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.67%÷0.956×1.310——15.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.61%÷0.972×0.600—×1.0424.25%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.770—×1.0421.41%
Singles /BIP25.50%÷1.047×0.870×0.964×1.04221.27%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷0.898×0.780×0.964×1.0425.68%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷1.150×0.850×0.964×1.0420.63%
Home runs /BIP0.28%÷1.015×0.880—×1.0420.26%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .317 → .258; ISO .079 → .068; BABIP .321 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACarolina Mudcats · 445 PAwOBA .262 → .211 (−51)K% 13.5% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.48%÷0.990×1.360——18.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.39%÷1.018×0.690—×1.0453.82%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.780—×1.0451.28%
Singles /BIP20.29%÷1.049×0.920×0.950×1.04517.66%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷1.090×0.830×0.950×1.0454.32%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×1.0450.86%
Home runs /BIP0.29%÷1.072×0.800—×1.0450.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .262 → .211; ISO .071 → .056; BABIP .266 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Brewers Gold · 200 PAwOBA .320 → .240 (−80)K% 15.0% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷0.991×1.440——21.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.50%÷1.017×0.620—×1.0225.30%
HBP% /PA2.00%—×0.720—×1.0221.47%
Singles /BIP30.34%÷0.979×0.820×0.950×1.02224.70%
Doubles /BIP3.45%÷1.023×0.720×0.950×1.0222.36%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷0.900×0.720×0.950×1.0221.07%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.144×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .320 → .240; ISO .051 → .037; BABIP .342 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 116 PAwOBA .254 → .173 (−80)K% 12.1% → 15.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.07%÷0.954×1.220——15.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.21%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0228.13%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP19.54%÷0.980×0.680×0.954×1.02213.23%
Doubles /BIP4.60%÷1.012×0.600×0.954×1.0222.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.600×0.954×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.948×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 107, K 91, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .254 → .173; ISO .040 → .023; BABIP .239 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).