Derrick Robinson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 104 | .247/.291/.278 | 0 | 5 | 43 | — | .183/.210/.217 | |
| 2013 | 25 | MLBCIN | 216 | .255/.322/.323 | 0 | 4 | 80 | -0.5 | ||
| 2014 | 26 | INTLEstrellas de … | 243 | .279/.377/.358 | 1 | 9 | 109 | — | ||
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 324 | .249/.318/.266 | 0 | 18 | 53 | — | .247/.292/.260 | |
| 2016 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 208 | 176 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 55 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 233 | 335 | 318 | 653 | 85 | 333 | 26 | 12 | 296 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 449 | 407 | 99 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 100 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 243 | 302 | 300 | 601 | 57 | 314 | 22 | 7 | 272 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 556 | 497 | 122 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 51 | 97 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 245 | 318 | 322 | 640 | 76 | 303 | 17 | 9 | 290 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 571 | 522 | 125 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 90 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 239 | 291 | 324 | 615 | 84 | 280 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 570 | 511 | 146 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 86 | 4 | 50 | 17 | 286 | 348 | 380 | 728 | 94 | 336 | 15 | 8 | 323 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Rafters | — | 60 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 362 | 280 | 642 | 20 | 371 | 25 | 13 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 483 | 419 | 105 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 87 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 251 | 325 | 282 | 606 | 31 | 311 | 18 | 10 | 273 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 488 | 422 | 113 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 84 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 348 | 325 | 673 | 57 | 325 | 17 | 10 | 303 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 216 | 192 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 322 | 323 | 645 | 68 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 80 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 63 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 258 | 271 | 529 | 51 | 333 | 32 | 5 | 238 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 41 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 289 | 341 | 289 | 631 | 344 | 15 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 243 | 204 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 279 | 377 | 358 | 735 | 78 | 350 | 19 | 13 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 24 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 348 | 211 | 558 | 235 | 12 | 17 | 267 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 300 | 270 | 68 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 252 | 315 | 270 | 586 | 19 | 300 | 15 | 8 | 270 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 216 | 192 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 322 | 323 | 645 | 68 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 208 | 185 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 168 | 241 | 227 | 468 | 59 | 270 | 38 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 449 | 418 | 92 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 136 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 220 | 261 | 270 | 531 | 50 | 308 | 30 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 556 | 516 | 114 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 221 | 269 | 285 | 554 | 64 | 293 | 25 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 571 | 535 | 117 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 128 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 219 | 254 | 286 | 540 | 67 | 272 | 22 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 570 | 528 | 132 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28 | 111 | 4 | 50 | 17 | 250 | 293 | 322 | 615 | 72 | 304 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 483 | 436 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 108 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 229 | 277 | 257 | 534 | 28 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 488 | 437 | 108 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 105 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 247 | 306 | 300 | 606 | 53 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 216 | 192 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 322 | 323 | 645 | 68 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 63 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 183 | 210 | 217 | 426 | 33 | 310 | 40 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 200 | 504 | 216 | 12 | 12 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 300 | 279 | 70 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 54 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 251 | 292 | 265 | 557 | 14 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 208 | 185 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 168 | 241 | 227 | 468 | 59 | 286 | 38 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 208 | 176 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 55 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 233 | 335 | 318 | 653 | 85 | 333 | 26 | 12 | 296 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 449 | 418 | 92 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 136 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 220 | 261 | 270 | 531 | 50 | 317 | 30 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 449 | 407 | 99 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 100 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 243 | 302 | 300 | 601 | 57 | 314 | 22 | 7 | 272 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 556 | 516 | 114 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 221 | 269 | 285 | 554 | 64 | 299 | 25 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 556 | 497 | 122 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 51 | 97 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 245 | 318 | 322 | 640 | 76 | 303 | 17 | 9 | 290 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 571 | 535 | 117 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 128 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 219 | 254 | 286 | 540 | 67 | 279 | 22 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 571 | 522 | 125 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 90 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 239 | 291 | 324 | 615 | 84 | 280 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 582 | 146 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 32 | 123 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 251 | 294 | 325 | 619 | 74 | 312 | 20 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 630 | 561 | 159 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 101 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 283 | 350 | 371 | 720 | 87 | 339 | 16 | 8 | 321 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 483 | 436 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 108 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 229 | 277 | 257 | 534 | 28 | 300 | 22 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 483 | 419 | 105 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 87 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 251 | 325 | 282 | 606 | 31 | 311 | 18 | 10 | 273 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 488 | 437 | 108 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 105 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 247 | 306 | 300 | 606 | 53 | 315 | 22 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 488 | 422 | 113 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 84 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 348 | 325 | 673 | 57 | 325 | 17 | 10 | 303 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 320 | 290 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 79 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 238 | 296 | 297 | 593 | 59 | 327 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 66 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 320 | 289 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 253 | 312 | 308 | 620 | 55 | 333 | 22 | 8 | 280 | 66 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 243 | 204 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 279 | 377 | 358 | 735 | 78 | 350 | 19 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL RAW | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 243 | 204 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 279 | 377 | 358 | 735 | 78 | 350 | 19 | 13 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 299 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 247 | 292 | 261 | 553 | 13 | 302 | 18 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 289 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 48 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 249 | 318 | 266 | 584 | 17 | 295 | 15 | 9 | 269 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 208 | 188 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 165 | 241 | 223 | 465 | 59 | 270 | 38 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 449 | 423 | 92 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 136 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 217 | 261 | 267 | 528 | 50 | 308 | 30 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 556 | 517 | 114 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 221 | 269 | 284 | 553 | 64 | 293 | 25 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 571 | 541 | 117 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 128 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 216 | 254 | 283 | 536 | 67 | 272 | 22 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 589 | 146 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 32 | 123 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 248 | 294 | 321 | 615 | 73 | 304 | 20 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 483 | 451 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 108 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 222 | 277 | 248 | 526 | 27 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 488 | 448 | 108 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 105 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 241 | 306 | 292 | 598 | 51 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 320 | 293 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 79 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 235 | 296 | 294 | 590 | 58 | 326 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 302 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 245 | 292 | 258 | 551 | 13 | 294 | 18 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 216 | 192 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 322 | 323 | 645 | 68 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 44 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 147 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 54 | 132 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 254 | 321 | 322 | 643 | 67 | 330 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 44 | -14 | -4 | +0 | -10 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4272 | 3902 | 908 | 115 | 31 | 13 | 259 | 998 | 18 | 349 | 126 | 233 | 284 | 288 | 572 | 55 | 307 | 23 | 6 | 233 | 44 | -5 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 138 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 152 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 232 | 283 | 288 | 571 | 56 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 233 | 44 | -14 | -4 | +0 | -10 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAHarrisburg Senators · 300 PAwOBA .263 → .247 (−16)K% 15.0% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×0.968 | 28.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.070 | ×0.860 | ×1.040 | ×0.968 | 1.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.950 | ×1.040 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 114, 3B 83, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .263 → .247; ISO .019 → .015; BABIP .300 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 24 PAwOBA .273 → .242 (−31)K% 12.5% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.043 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.938 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 12.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 22.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.183 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .242; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .235 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALouisville Bats · 63 PAwOBA .232 → .192 (−40)K% 31.7% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.75% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 24.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .232 → .192; ISO .051 → .041; BABIP .333 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 488 PAwOBA .297 → .267 (−31)K% 17.2% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.21% | ÷1.035 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.012 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.40% | ÷1.010 | ×0.900 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 26.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.55% | ÷0.949 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.001 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .297 → .267; ISO .057 → .050; BABIP .325 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 483 PAwOBA .266 → .234 (−31)K% 18.0% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.01% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.92% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 26.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.061 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.26% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 113, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .234; ISO .031 → .028; BABIP .311 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 570 PAwOBA .317 → .270 (−47)K% 15.1% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.72% | ÷1.109 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.88% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.081 | ×0.840 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.145 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.34% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 89, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .317 → .270; ISO .094 → .075; BABIP .336 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 571 PAwOBA .267 → .236 (−31)K% 15.8% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 22.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .267 → .236; ISO .084 → .072; BABIP .280 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 556 PAwOBA .284 → .244 (−40)K% 17.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 23.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .284 → .244; ISO .076 → .064; BABIP .303 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .