Williams Montero
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 18
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141131vR 122
ERA5.41
FIP5.41
K%14.0%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%1.8%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 11 | 44 | 186 | 37 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 13.5% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 3.30 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 11 | 44 | 186 | 37 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 3.30 | 2.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 9 | 5 | 28 | 120 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 56% | 3.1 | 21.5% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 3.81 | 3.77 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.0% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.41 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.0% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.41 | 5.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 54 | 230 | 53 | 27 | 4 | — | — | 23.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 1.8% | 4.58 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 6 | 6 | 27 | 115 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.20 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.20 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.20 | 4.76 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 134 | 104 | 30 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.20 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 16 | 72 | 306 | 51 | 38 | 1 | 80% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 3.50 | 3.50 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 44 | 200 | 850 | 142 | 104 | 4 | 80% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 3.50 | 3.50 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Williams Montero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.41 | 14.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | — | 5.14 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 27 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Gary Gill Hill R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 18 | SP | 5.07 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 2.9% | .356 | 4.96 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 336 | -0.11 | 4.80 | 373 | 89 |
| Alfonso Perez R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.86 | 11.4% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .258 | 3.50 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 24 | -1.36 | 3.50 | 124 | 87 |
| Adam Bates R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.20 | 16.2% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .358 | 6.22 | 13.6% | -6.0% | 124 | +1.02 | 5.20 | 160 | 86 |
| Victor Munoz R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.33 | 14.4% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .273 | 3.64 | 14.1% | 7.7% | 107 | -0.69 | 2.18 | 260 | 86 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 5.43 FIP | 17 | SP- | 5.43 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 3.1% | .288 | 4.94 | 17.0% | 3.9% | 39 | -0.49 | 4.38 | 190 | 85 |
| Pedro Reyes R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.50 | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.0% | .243 | 4.52 | 12.9% | 4.2% | 109 | +0.02 | 2.87 | 180 | 85 |
| Tyler Gough R 2027 · 5.76 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.76 | 13.4% | 13.3% | 3.8% | .297 | 3.61 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 129 | -2.15 | 2.65 | 159 | 85 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 85 |
| Esteban Luna R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 18 | SP | 5.46 | 14.0% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .308 | 5.87 | 10.1% | -8.5% | 26 | +0.41 | 3.76 | 111 | 85 |
| Moises Castillo R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 85 |
| Jose Cedeno R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .271 | 3.54 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 88 | -1.12 | 2.95 | 123 | 84 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 84 |
| Edelvis Perez R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.19 | 11.9% | 13.8% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.44 | 17.9% | -1.9% | 62 | +0.25 | 5.19 | 103 | 84 |
| Daury Cabrera R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.19 | 10.4% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | 5.12 | 12.2% | -0.2% | 95 | -0.07 | 2.86 | 191 | 84 |
| Ronny Oliver R 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.79 | 13.8% | 15.2% | 3.5% | .323 | 4.25 | 16.1% | -1.3% | 102 | -1.54 | 3.61 | 167 | 84 |
| Christian Fernandez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 324 | 83 |
| Kristian Cardozo R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.53 | 13.0% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.75 | 15.4% | 1.3% | 88 | +0.22 | 3.49 | 138 | 82 |
| Joel Díaz R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.57 | 15.3% | 11.9% | 4.1% | .335 | 5.17 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 174 | -0.40 | 1.98 | 308 | 82 |
| Rafael Garcia R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.65 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 1.9% | .288 | 7.32 | 16.0% | -0.4% | 50 | +2.67 | 4.65 | 102 | 82 |
| Carlos Betancourt R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.47 | 15.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% | .293 | 3.35 | 19.9% | 10.6% | 45 | -1.12 | 3.35 | 188 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.0% | 11.9% | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |