Williams Montero

Williams Montero P FCL Red Sox

Age 18 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%14.0%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	11	44	186	37	16	0	100%	4.0	13.5%	10.8%	2.8%	0.0%	3.30	3.32	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	11	44	186	37	16	0	100%	4.0	13.5%	10.8%	2.8%	0.0%	3.30	3.32	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	11	11	44	186	37	16	0	100%	4.0	19.9%	8.6%	11.3%	0.0%	3.30	2.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	16	10	39	184	51	27	3	62%	2.4	19.2%	17.9%	1.3%	2.2%	8.08	4.94	—
YTD	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	16	10	39	184	51	27	3	62%	2.4	19.2%	17.9%	1.3%	2.2%	8.08	4.94	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	BOS	10	5	29	128	40	16	1	50%	2.9	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.8%	4.66	2.47	—
2026	18	A RAW	BOS	6	5	10	56	11	11	2	83%	1.7	19.6%	19.6%	0.0%	3.6%	18.00	5.89	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	8	8	41	174	28	20	5	100%	5.2	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.22	5.15	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	BOS	4	4	20	84	13	10	2	100%	5.0	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.22	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		5	5	20	86	14	10	2	100%	4.1	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.22	4.77	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	138	99	20	100%	4.4	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	2.8%	5.22	4.77	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		27	21	83	370	61	53	4	78%	3.1	16.4%	14.3%	2.0%	1.1%	5.55	4.13	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	51	200	895	146	128	10	78%	3.1	16.4%	14.3%	2.0%	1.1%	5.55	4.13	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Williams Montero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	14.0%	12.4%	2.8%	—	5.15	15.9%	4.3%	41	-0.28	—	—	—
Gary Gill Hill R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	18	SP	4.91	14.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.356	4.59	16.1%	9.8%	380	-0.32	4.32	417	89
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	88
Reibyn Corona R 2019 · 5.43 FIP	17	SP-	5.43	10.8%	12.3%	3.1%	.288	5.02	17.0%	3.9%	39	-0.41	4.48	190	87
Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	17	SP-	4.66	15.3%	9.7%	3.0%	.271	3.39	21.5%	12.9%	88	-1.27	2.80	123	86
Ronny Oliver R 2022 · 5.86 FIP	18	SP-	5.86	13.8%	15.2%	3.6%	.323	4.25	16.1%	-1.3%	102	-1.61	3.67	167	86
Chad Bryant R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	19	SP-	4.96	12.8%	13.3%	2.3%	.345	5.43	14.4%	-4.5%	49	+0.47	3.93	136	84
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	84
Daury Cabrera R 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	10.4%	10.6%	3.0%	.286	5.13	12.2%	-0.2%	95	-0.06	2.86	191	84
Chester Pimentel R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	19	SP-	4.69	11.5%	10.6%	2.2%	.377	4.29	13.1%	5.8%	47	-0.40	3.21	240	84
Wuardo Fernandez R 2018 · 4.80 FIP	17	SP-	4.80	11.7%	14.1%	1.7%	.319	3.24	14.5%	3.7%	44	-1.56	3.24	127	84
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	84
Dominic Pipkin R 2018 · 5.29 FIP	18	SP-	5.29	10.6%	8.6%	3.6%	.276	5.03	14.0%	-0.3%	130	-0.26	4.62	292	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	83
Victor Munoz R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP-	4.33	14.4%	12.6%	1.6%	.273	3.63	14.1%	7.7%	107	-0.70	2.18	260	83
Miguel Toscano R 2023 · 5.80 FIP	17	SP	5.80	10.6%	10.4%	4.2%	.288	4.40	11.9%	0.7%	142	-1.40	3.58	183	83
Pedro Reyes R 2021 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP-	4.33	11.5%	9.9%	1.7%	.243	4.38	12.9%	4.2%	109	+0.05	2.87	180	82
Carlos Betancourt R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP	4.47	15.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.293	3.35	19.9%	10.6%	45	-1.12	3.35	188	82
David Lorduy R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	18	SP-	4.51	15.0%	13.4%	1.8%	.369	3.91	18.0%	9.9%	172	-0.60	3.38	269	82
Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	19	SP-	5.40	11.8%	10.4%	3.6%	.321	4.82	17.3%	7.0%	220	-0.58	3.85	273	82
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	15.2%	11.9%	1.09	5.30
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86