Jealmy Frias

SS DSL Reds

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCIN	127	.157/.283/.259	1	7	-1	—	.088/.189/.133
2026	18	ROKCIN	144	.216/.392/.342	2	4	36	—	.134/.280/.210
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCIN	254	.185/.266/.266	2	5	53	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	71	.192/.273/.284	1	1	58	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	164	.197/.279/.297	2	3	63	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%74

BB%73

ISO55

wOBA50

Speed47

wRC+43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Juan Mosquera (age 19) · Jose Acosta (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 120 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .264 / .263

PA120

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	144	111	24	6	1	2	27	40	5	4	1	216	392	342	734	126	314	28	19	344	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	113	10	1	2	0	12	47	2	7	1	88	189	133	322	44	158	37	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	144	119	16	4	1	1	19	49	5	4	1	134	280	210	490	76	195	34	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	113	10	1	2	0	12	47	2	7	1	88	189	133	322	44	152	37	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	127	108	17	2	3	1	17	38	2	7	1	157	283	259	543	102	232	30	13	258	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	144	119	16	4	1	1	19	49	5	4	1	134	280	210	490	76	214	34	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	144	111	24	6	1	2	27	40	5	4	1	216	392	342	734	126	314	28	19	344	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	112	10	1	2	0	12	47	2	7	1	89	189	134	323	45	158	37	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	144	119	16	4	1	1	19	49	5	4	1	134	280	210	490	76	195	34	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	112	10	1	2	0	12	47	2	7	1	89	189	134	323	45	158	37	9	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	144	119	16	4	1	1	19	49	5	4	1	134	280	210	490	76	195	34	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	254	227	41	7	2	2	22	77	3	5	1	185	266	266	532	80	266	30	9	246	53	-14	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	207	184	35	6	2	2	18	61	3	4	1	191	272	280	552	89	269	29	9	254	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	338	301	58	10	3	4	29	98	5	7	2	195	277	293	570	97	271	29	9	261	63	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	434	387	77	13	4	6	38	125	6	9	3	199	281	303	584	104	273	29	9	267	67	-17	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	497	443	89	15	4	8	44	141	7	11	3	203	284	312	597	109	275	28	9	272	70	-18	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	538	479	99	17	5	9	47	150	7	12	4	206	287	320	607	113	277	28	9	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	562	500	104	18	5	10	49	157	8	12	4	207	288	321	608	114	277	28	9	277	73	-18	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	575	512	105	18	5	10	50	161	8	12	4	207	288	321	609	115	276	28	9	277	73	-18	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	579	515	106	18	5	10	51	163	8	12	4	206	287	319	605	113	276	28	9	275	72	-19	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	63%	576	513	105	18	5	10	51	163	7	11	4	204	285	314	599	110	275	28	9	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	64%	568	506	103	18	5	9	50	162	7	10	4	202	282	308	591	107	274	29	9	269	68	-21	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	71	64	13	2	1	1	6	21	1	1	0	192	273	284	557	92	269	30	8	256	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	164	147	29	5	2	2	14	48	2	3	1	197	279	297	576	100	272	29	9	264	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	235	209	42	7	2	4	21	67	3	5	2	201	283	308	591	107	274	29	9	270	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	281	250	51	9	2	5	25	80	4	6	2	205	286	318	604	113	276	28	9	275	70	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	304	270	57	9	3	6	27	85	4	7	2	208	289	326	614	117	278	28	9	279	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	318	283	59	10	3	6	28	89	4	7	2	208	289	327	616	119	278	28	9	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	347	309	65	11	3	7	30	97	5	7	2	208	289	328	617	119	277	28	9	280	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	360	320	66	11	3	7	32	101	5	8	2	207	288	325	613	118	277	28	9	278	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	63%	364	324	67	11	3	7	32	103	5	7	2	206	286	320	607	115	276	28	9	276	71	-13	+1	-0	+4	+8	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	64%	362	322	65	11	3	6	32	103	5	7	3	203	284	314	598	111	275	28	9	272	68	-14	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2806	2498	514	86	25	51	247	794	38	58	18	206	287	321	609	116	278	28	9	275	67	-99	+4	-1	+30	+61	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	120	20	6	12	57	184	9	13	4	207	288	325	613	117	280	28	9	275	67	-23	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5265	4680	926	159	47	80	468	1513	74	113	36	198	281	303	584	105	272	29	9	267	67	-180	+7	-2	+54	+108	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	115	20	6	10	58	187	9	14	4	199	282	306	588	107	273	29	9	267	67	-23	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,926	47	60	204	281	312	+31	+21	1.3	1.4
/162	664	11	14	+7.1	+4.8	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jealmy Frias (OGILVIE)	19	24→29	32→37	50→55	65	183/264/263	80	266	1	2	30%	9%	53	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jonathan Mejía 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	52→50	47	168/269/256	88	264	6	9	35%	10%	53	-2.1	183/267/281	98	305	9	15	39%	9%	58	-1.7	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	36→45	37→45	50	44	175/249/259	84	244	3	6	28%	7%	46	-2.6	195/267/304	109	273	8	11	29%	8%	62	-1.4	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2021 · A	19	38→34	35→45	49→50	53	179/273/237	58	250	2	7	26%	11%	50	-2.3	195/272/302	107	301	8	11	35%	9%	63	-1.3	181/253/289	107	271	10	12	35%	8%	51	-1.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	34	36→40	51→50	57	164/274/231	68	221	3	16	25%	13%	50	-2.3	203/277/283	80	300	5	15	31%	9%	61	-1.5	188/248/298	111	323	11	11	43%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	40	36→40	47→45	54	188/283/257	69	239	3	6	21%	10%	59	-1.7	215/294/288	73	274	5	7	21%	9%	69	-0.9	214/298/282	68	268	5	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	37	34→30	48→55	50	173/257/224	51	239	2	16	26%	10%	41	-3.0	185/260/242	57	252	2	15	25%	9%	45	-2.7	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	38	34→30	48→50	57	174/286/230	56	237	1	9	24%	12%	55	-2.0	206/287/262	56	304	2	11	29%	10%	60	-1.6	206/281/258	52	313	1	11	32%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1

Jealmy Frias

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps