Jose D. Gonzalez

P DSL Giants Orange

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Giants Or…	12	12	41	2.40	2.74	16.9%	8.5%	—	K 11.5% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.47
2026	20	ROKDSL Giants Or…	6	4	11	4.09	2.28	18.8%	6.2%	—	K 18.8% · BB 6.2% · FIP 2.31
2027PROJ	21	MLBSF	7	7	36	5.56	5.56	13.6%	12.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSF	3	3	19	5.29	5.20	16.1%	11.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control40Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRyan Harvey (age 22) · Jose Miguel Gonzalez (age 21) · Victor Mederos (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.56

FIP5.56

K%13.6%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%0.8%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	12	41	177	30	15	0	100%	3.4	11.5%	10.6%	0.9%	0.0%	2.40	3.47	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	12	41	177	30	15	0	100%	3.4	11.5%	10.6%	0.9%	0.0%	2.40	3.47	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	12	41	177	30	15	0	100%	3.4	16.9%	8.5%	8.5%	0.0%	2.40	2.74	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	6	4	11	48	9	3	0	67%	1.8	18.8%	6.2%	12.5%	0.0%	4.09	2.31	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	6	4	11	48	9	3	0	67%	1.8	18.8%	6.2%	12.5%	0.0%	4.09	2.31	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	6	4	11	48	9	3	0	67%	1.8	18.8%	6.2%	12.5%	0.0%	4.09	2.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SF	7	7	36	152	21	19	4	100%	5.1	13.6%	12.8%	0.8%	2.9%	5.56	5.56	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	7	7	39	165	27	20	5	100%	5.6	16.1%	11.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.29	5.20	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	3	3	19	80	13	9	2	100%	6.3	16.1%	11.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.29	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	81	13	10	2	100%	4.8	16.1%	11.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.29	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	135	104	21	100%	5.1	16.1%	11.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.29	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		18	16	52	225	29	22	0	89%	2.9	13.1%	9.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.75	3.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	61	200	860	112	83	0	89%	2.9	13.1%	9.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.75	3.22	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose D. Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.56	13.6%	12.8%	2.9%	—	5.20	16.1%	4.2%	39	-0.36	—	—	—
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2019 · 5.19 FIP	21	SP	5.19	13.7%	13.0%	2.9%	.227	6.27	16.7%	1.2%	143	+1.08	4.84	223	82
Victor Mederos R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	21	SP	4.69	15.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.286	5.19	16.4%	5.7%	301	+0.50	3.73	394	82
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	81
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	80
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	80
Edelvis Perez R 2024 · 5.19 FIP	19	SP	5.19	11.9%	13.8%	2.4%	.267	5.56	17.9%	-1.9%	62	+0.37	5.19	103	80
Justin Germano R 2004 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP-	4.49	14.7%	12.8%	1.8%	.377	4.12	13.8%	7.3%	133	-0.37	3.73	405	80
Jackson Kowar R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SP	4.76	15.2%	13.2%	2.3%	.239	3.98	21.8%	12.5%	259	-0.78	3.98	489	79
Bryce Warrecker R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	22	SP	5.43	11.3%	11.7%	3.3%	.271	3.82	20.1%	9.6%	91	-1.61	2.47	154	79
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	79
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	79
Elvis Luciano R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	17.5%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	204	79
Codi Heuer R 2018 · 4.96 FIP	22	SP	4.96	13.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.366	2.94	20.4%	13.5%	159	-2.02	2.26	299	79
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	79
Donal Montas R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP	5.66	8.4%	13.3%	2.9%	.268	4.87	10.2%	-4.0%	78	-0.79	4.10	156	79
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	79
Alfredo Romero R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	21	SP-	4.45	12.5%	12.9%	1.4%	.368	4.82	15.6%	-1.2%	162	+0.37	4.40	256	78
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	78
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	14.9%	12.3%	1.12	5.42
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*