Juan Caricipe

SS DSL Reds

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1512ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rojos	108	.233/.355/.322	0	15	28	—	.149/.252/.202
2026	18	ROKCIN	201	.212/.362/.362	6	14	33	—	.135/.256/.211
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCIN	311	.203/.280/.288	3	8	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	53	.209/.287/.306	1	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	126	.213/.292/.318	2	3	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO66

Speed58

BB%57

Chase%49

K%46

wOBA41

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsArismendy Alcántara (age 19) · Steward Berroa (age 19) · Jose Acosta (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .278 / .286

PA105

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	201	160	34	6	0	6	33	44	5	14	1	212	362	362	724	150	255	22	16	332	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	94	14	1	2	0	10	33	3	15	2	149	252	202	454	53	219	31	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	201	171	23	4	0	3	23	54	5	14	1	135	256	211	467	76	171	27	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	94	14	1	2	0	10	33	3	15	2	149	252	202	454	53	226	31	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	201	171	23	4	0	3	23	54	5	14	1	135	256	211	467	76	175	27	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	201	160	34	6	0	6	33	44	5	14	1	212	362	362	724	150	255	22	16	332	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	94	14	1	2	0	10	33	3	15	2	149	252	202	454	53	219	31	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	201	171	23	4	0	3	23	54	5	14	1	135	256	211	467	76	171	27	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	94	14	1	2	0	10	33	3	15	2	149	252	202	454	53	219	31	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	201	171	23	4	0	3	23	54	5	14	1	135	256	211	467	76	171	27	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	311	278	57	9	3	3	26	86	4	8	1	203	280	288	568	85	278	28	8	261	63	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	155	139	29	5	1	2	13	42	2	4	1	208	286	301	587	94	280	27	8	269	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	261	233	49	8	2	4	22	70	4	7	1	212	290	313	603	101	282	27	8	275	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	369	330	70	11	3	6	31	98	5	10	2	215	293	322	615	107	283	27	8	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	439	392	85	14	3	8	38	115	6	12	2	218	296	330	626	112	284	26	9	284	78	-11	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	482	431	95	16	4	9	41	125	7	13	3	220	298	336	634	116	286	26	9	287	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	507	452	100	16	4	10	43	131	7	14	3	220	298	337	635	116	286	26	8	288	81	-12	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	521	464	103	17	4	10	45	135	7	14	3	220	298	337	635	117	285	26	9	288	81	-12	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	525	468	103	17	4	10	45	137	7	14	3	219	297	334	632	115	285	26	9	286	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	520	463	101	17	4	9	45	137	7	13	3	217	295	330	625	112	284	26	9	284	78	-14	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	510	455	99	16	4	9	44	135	6	12	3	215	293	324	617	109	283	26	9	280	76	-15	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	498	447	94	15	3	8	42	134	6	11	3	212	289	316	606	104	281	27	8	276	73	-16	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	209	287	306	593	97	281	26	8	271	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	126	112	24	4	1	2	11	34	2	3	1	213	292	318	609	105	283	27	9	277	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	200	178	39	6	2	4	17	53	3	5	1	217	295	328	623	111	284	26	8	283	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	248	222	49	8	2	5	21	65	3	7	1	219	298	336	633	116	285	26	8	287	78	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	273	244	54	9	2	5	23	71	4	7	2	222	300	342	642	120	287	26	8	290	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	286	255	57	9	2	6	25	74	4	8	2	222	300	343	643	121	287	26	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	294	263	58	9	2	6	25	76	4	8	2	222	300	343	644	121	286	26	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	291	260	57	9	2	6	25	76	4	8	2	221	299	341	640	120	286	26	9	289	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	285	255	56	9	2	6	24	75	4	7	2	219	297	336	633	117	285	26	8	287	78	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	296	265	57	9	2	5	25	79	4	7	2	217	294	330	624	113	284	27	8	283	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	275	247	53	8	2	5	23	74	3	6	2	214	291	322	613	108	282	27	8	279	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2627	2349	514	82	19	51	223	691	36	67	17	219	296	335	631	116	286	26	8	286	74	-70	+7	-2	+28	+57	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	128	20	5	13	55	171	9	17	4	220	297	339	636	119	288	26	8	286	74	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5201	4633	984	160	39	89	451	1375	73	156	30	212	292	321	614	109	280	26	9	278	74	-133	+15	-4	+52	+106	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	123	20	5	11	56	172	9	19	4	212	291	321	613	109	281	26	9	278	74	-18	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 201 PAwOBA .325 → .217 (−108)K% 21.9% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.89%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.42%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.58%
HBP% /PA	2.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.75%
Singles /BIP	18.97%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.032	×1.008	13.41%
Doubles /BIP	5.17%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.032	×1.008	3.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.032	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.17%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .325 → .217; ISO .150 → .080; BABIP .255 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rojos · 108 PAwOBA .309 → .209 (−101)K% 25.0% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	30.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.96%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.18%
HBP% /PA	2.78%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.99%
Singles /BIP	25.40%	÷0.976	×0.680	×0.965	×1.022	17.46%
Doubles /BIP	3.17%	÷1.013	×0.600	×0.965	×1.022	1.85%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷0.978	×0.600	×0.965	×1.022	2.88%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .309 → .209; ISO .089 → .053; BABIP .328 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,735	47	70	217	292	328	+29	+21	3.9	3.7
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+5.1	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Caricipe (OGILVIE)	19	38→43	34→39	59→64	64	201/278/286	84	278	1	3	28%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	41→51	37→55	57→55	47	196/252/275	79	246	4	14	22%	7%	49	-2.4	237/271/333	96	314	7	15	25%	4%	69	-0.9	241/284/391	150	317	14	25	28%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	40→50	36→45	52→65	45	189/257/257	67	264	2	17	28%	8%	47	-2.5	204/269/271	67	302	2	17	30%	8%	55	-2.0	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	41→51	42→40	56→55	40	200/253/311	111	279	8	14	30%	6%	58	-1.7	229/294/317	88	284	6	19	20%	7%	75	-0.5	243/314/319	76	293	5	22	18%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Ronald Bermudez 2007 · A	19	41→47	35→45	56→45	46	192/255/261	69	254	2	9	24%	7%	47	-2.5	214/286/294	80	266	3	10	19%	9%	67	-1.1	260/287/330	70	328	3	4	21%	3%	72	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2011 · A	20	44→54	37→40	62→70	39	206/251/284	77	291	3	28	29%	5%	50	-2.3	240/292/314	74	335	3	63	27%	7%	72	-0.7	252/305/341	89	324	4	80	22%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Greg Veloz 2007 · A	19	39→49	38→40	53→55	46	188/261/267	79	260	5	20	28%	8%	51	-2.2	204/253/287	83	292	5	17	30%	6%	52	-2.2	207/252/286	79	292	5	17	30%	5%	48	-2.2
✕Anderson Feliz 2011 · A	19	41→51	40	51→50	41	198/249/292	94	277	7	12	30%	6%	52	-2.2	202/260/291	89	312	5	12	34%	7%	56	-1.9	208/271/296	88	336	6	16	37%	8%	59	-0.4
✕Luis Alejandro Basabe 2015 · A	18	37→47	35→40	54→50	54	174/277/233	59	245	2	12	27%	12%	51	-2.2	201/285/278	77	313	4	12	33%	10%	63	-1.3	200/282/285	86	316	6	13	35%	10%	61	-0.7
✕Dixon Machado 2011 · A	19	41→51	35→45	54→55	47	190/247/244	55	232	2	18	19%	7%	40	-3.0	202/258/245	43	256	2	15	20%	7%	45	-2.7	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Cristhian Vaquero 2024 · A	19	41→38	37→40	53→55	49	194/277/266	71	267	4	19	27%	9%	57	-1.8	179/251/264	85	292	6	20	38%	7%	47	-2.5	164/236/250	85	274	7	22	40%	7%	37	-1.9
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Juniel Querecuto 2012 · A	19	44→54	35→45	51→50	43	209/259/267	58	269	2	11	22%	5%	50	-2.3	224/270/278	54	299	1	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	253/286/352	99	304	8	13	19%	4%	77	-0.3

Juan Caricipe

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps