Juan Caricipe — OGILVIE

Juan CaricipeSS DSL Reds

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .250 / .222

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP254

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	98	-0	+2	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	95	15	1	2	0	9	39	3	15	2	158	252	211	463	53	257	36	8	212	30	-9	+2	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	95	15	1	2	0	9	39	3	15	2	158	252	211	463	53	263	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	95	15	1	2	0	9	39	3	15	2	158	252	211	463	53	257	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	108	95	15	1	2	0	9	39	3	15	2	158	252	211	463	53	257	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	201	173	27	4	0	5	21	63	5	14	1	156	266	266	532	110	210	31	10	236	46	-13	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	CIN	—	201	160	34	6	0	6	33	44	5	14	1	212	362	362	724	150	255	22	16	332	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	167	250	222	472	56	251	30	10	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	CIN	—	221	191	30	5	0	5	23	69	5	15	1	157	265	262	527	105	214	31	10	238	47	-14	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	249	221	43	7	1	5	22	70	4	7	1	195	279	303	583	109	260	28	9	268	68	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	374	331	67	11	2	8	34	102	6	10	1	202	288	320	609	118	264	27	9	276	73	-12	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	468	415	85	15	2	10	42	126	8	13	2	205	290	323	613	118	266	27	9	282	77	-13	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	532	470	98	17	3	12	48	141	9	14	2	209	294	334	628	126	268	27	9	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	575	508	106	18	3	13	52	152	10	15	2	209	295	333	627	124	268	26	9	287	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	603	533	112	19	3	14	55	159	10	16	2	210	296	336	632	126	269	26	9	288	81	-13	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	619	546	116	20	3	15	57	163	11	17	2	212	300	342	642	130	269	26	9	289	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+13	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	627	553	117	20	3	15	58	165	11	17	2	212	299	340	639	128	269	26	9	289	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	626	552	116	20	3	15	58	165	11	17	2	210	298	339	637	129	269	26	9	289	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	621	547	115	20	3	15	58	165	11	16	2	210	299	340	639	130	269	27	9	289	81	-14	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	611	538	112	19	3	14	58	163	10	16	2	208	297	333	630	125	268	27	9	287	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	601	529	109	18	3	14	57	162	10	15	2	206	295	331	626	125	267	27	9	284	79	-15	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	587	517	106	18	3	13	55	160	10	14	2	205	294	327	621	122	265	27	9	281	76	-17	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	CIN	59%	568	501	100	17	2	12	53	157	9	13	2	200	288	313	601	114	262	28	9	275	73	-19	+2	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	86	77	15	3	0	2	8	24	1	2	0	195	279	312	591	117	262	28	9	261	68	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	181	160	33	6	1	4	16	50	3	5	1	206	291	331	622	125	267	28	9	269	73	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	254	225	47	8	1	6	23	68	4	7	1	209	294	333	627	124	269	27	9	274	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	301	266	57	10	2	7	27	80	5	8	1	214	299	346	645	132	271	27	9	278	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	331	292	63	11	2	8	30	88	6	9	1	216	302	349	651	134	271	27	9	280	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	344	304	65	11	2	9	31	91	6	9	1	214	299	352	651	138	272	26	9	281	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	351	310	66	11	2	9	32	92	6	9	1	213	299	348	647	135	272	26	9	282	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	355	313	68	12	2	9	33	93	6	10	1	217	304	355	659	137	272	26	9	282	82	-8	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	347	306	66	11	2	9	32	92	6	9	1	216	302	353	655	137	272	27	9	282	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	341	300	65	11	2	9	32	91	6	9	1	217	305	357	661	140	271	27	9	281	81	-8	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	327	287	61	10	2	8	31	87	6	8	1	213	302	345	647	132	271	27	9	280	80	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	316	278	58	10	1	8	30	85	5	8	1	209	297	338	635	129	270	27	9	277	79	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	332	292	60	10	1	8	31	91	6	8	1	205	295	329	624	123	268	27	9	273	76	-9	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	CIN	59%	336	295	60	10	1	8	32	93	6	8	1	203	294	325	620	122	265	28	10	268	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4202	3705	784	134	21	104	388	1125	72	109	13	212	299	343	642	132	272	27	9	278	78	-105	+17	-6	+45	+91	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	121	21	3	16	60	174	11	17	2	211	298	342	640	131	271	27	9	278	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7789	6874	1420	241	39	175	718	2095	133	216	28	207	294	329	623	123	268	27	9	284	78	-194	+30	-10	+82	+166	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	119	20	3	15	60	175	11	18	2	207	295	331	626	124	269	27	9	284	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.5	4,327	98	112	208	292	332	+46	+27	7.1	6.1
/162	664	15	17	+7.1	+4.1	1.1	pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Caricipe (OGILVIE)	18	28→33	38→43	59→64	59	184/271/283	98	251	2	5	29%	9%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→49	39→55	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	59	-1.7	233/267/327	94	309	6	15	26%	4%	66	-1.1	234/276/378	144	307	14	25	28%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	55	-1.9	213/265/278	65	273	2	17	21%	6%	54	-2.0	213/263/269	56	268	2	18	20%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→48	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	59	-1.6	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	53	-2.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	40	41→50	51→40	43	201/255/295	94	263	9	9	27%	6%	55	-1.9	189/255/261	72	263	5	5	28%	7%	47	-2.5	162/251/260	98	233	11	2	33%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→45	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	57	-1.8	195/258/260	65	272	4	9	28%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Michael Chirinos 2018 · A	18	41	37→40	51→55	50	193/251/266	73	225	4	11	16%	7%	47	-2.5	226/292/296	70	250	5	13	11%	8%	69	-0.9	236/307/298	61	253	5	16	8%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2022 · A	18	43	37→40	51→60	47	204/269/281	77	269	4	13	24%	8%	57	-1.8	205/266/267	62	274	3	17	24%	7%	53	-2.1	225/283/303	79	291	5	45	23%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Robel García 2012 · A	19	37	43→50	53→40	43	183/255/301	118	276	9	9	35%	8%	57	-1.8	185/251/274	89	282	5	5	34%	8%	49	-2.4	189/259/371	183	269	25	2	39%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→52	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	65	-1.2	236/283/372	136	299	10	20	23%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/383	143	299	11	21	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	46	38→50	55→65	49	214/295/302	88	304	4	19	29%	10%	72	-0.7	205/281/334	129	306	12	34	34%	9%	75	-0.5	202/277/349	146	289	15	47	33%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2019 · A	19	42	37→45	54→55	47	200/268/276	76	260	3	17	23%	8%	55	-1.9	206/265/298	92	317	7	15	34%	7%	59	-1.6	174/238/280	106	304	10	15	43%	7%	43	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps