Juan Caricipe — OGILVIE

Juan CaricipeSS DSL Reds

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION120 act + 80 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .262 / .288

PA80

HR1

K%28

BB%8

BABIP260

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$36M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	108	95	15	1	2	0	9	39	3	15	2	158	252	211	463	53	263	36	8	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	120	103	20	4	0	2	11	32	4	10	1	194	297	291	588	97	261	27	9	258	56	-6	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	120	96	24	5	0	3	17	22	4	10	1	250	381	396	777	146	296	18	14	350	126	+3	+2	+0	+1	+3	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	CIN	0%	80	73	14	2	1	1	6	22	1	3	0	192	263	288	550	96	271	28	8	263	59	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CIN	—	120	104	20	4	0	2	11	32	4	10	1	192	297	288	585	96	257	27	9	258	56	-6	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	CIN	—	200	176	34	6	1	3	17	54	5	13	1	193	283	290	573	97	261	27	8	260	57	-10	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	238	213	45	8	2	4	19	63	4	7	1	211	288	324	612	113	274	26	8	273	67	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	366	326	70	12	2	7	30	96	7	11	1	215	295	328	623	113	277	26	8	280	73	-11	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	462	413	89	15	3	9	38	119	8	13	2	215	294	332	626	116	278	26	8	286	77	-12	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	528	469	103	18	3	11	44	135	10	15	2	220	300	341	641	122	280	26	8	289	79	-12	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.1
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	573	510	112	19	4	12	48	146	10	16	2	220	299	343	642	124	280	25	8	290	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	602	535	118	20	4	13	51	152	11	17	2	221	302	346	647	125	281	25	8	292	81	-13	+3	+0	+6	+17	1.4
2033	25	MLB	CIN	57%	618	550	121	21	4	13	52	156	11	18	2	220	300	344	644	124	281	25	8	292	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2034	26	MLB	CIN	57%	626	556	122	21	4	13	53	158	12	18	2	219	301	342	643	122	281	25	8	293	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2035	27	MLB	CIN	55%	626	555	122	21	4	13	54	159	12	18	2	220	303	342	645	123	281	25	9	293	82	-13	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2036	28	MLB	CIN	59%	621	551	121	21	4	13	54	158	11	17	2	220	302	343	645	123	280	25	9	292	82	-13	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	CIN	56%	611	542	119	20	4	13	53	157	11	17	2	220	302	343	645	124	280	26	9	290	80	-14	+3	-1	+7	+17	1.2
2038	30	MLB	CIN	59%	601	533	116	20	4	12	52	156	11	16	2	218	300	338	638	120	279	26	9	288	78	-15	+2	-2	+6	+17	0.9
2039	31	MLB	CIN	61%	586	519	110	19	3	11	51	154	11	15	2	212	296	324	620	112	277	26	9	284	75	-16	+2	-3	+6	+17	0.6
2040	32	MLB	CIN	62%	568	504	105	18	3	10	49	151	10	14	2	208	291	315	607	107	274	27	9	279	71	-18	+2	-4	+6	+16	0.2
2041	33	MLB	CIN	63%	538	477	98	16	3	9	47	146	9	13	2	205	289	308	597	103	270	27	9	272	67	-20	+2	-4	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	82	74	16	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	216	293	324	617	108	276	27	9	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	177	157	34	6	1	3	15	46	3	5	1	217	297	325	622	108	279	26	8	270	65	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	251	223	49	8	2	5	21	65	5	7	1	220	301	341	642	121	281	26	8	275	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	299	267	58	10	2	6	25	76	5	9	1	217	296	337	633	120	282	25	8	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	330	293	65	11	2	7	28	84	6	9	1	222	303	345	647	123	283	25	8	280	72	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	343	305	68	12	2	7	29	87	6	10	1	223	303	344	647	121	284	25	8	281	73	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	CIN	57%	351	312	70	12	2	8	30	89	6	10	1	224	305	353	657	128	284	25	9	282	74	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	CIN	57%	354	314	70	12	2	8	30	89	7	10	1	223	305	350	655	127	283	25	8	282	74	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	CIN	55%	347	308	69	12	2	8	30	88	6	10	1	224	305	354	659	130	283	25	9	282	74	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	CIN	59%	367	325	72	13	2	8	32	94	7	10	1	222	305	348	653	126	283	26	9	281	73	-11	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.5
2037	29	MLB	CIN	56%	342	303	67	12	2	7	30	88	6	9	1	221	304	343	647	122	282	26	9	279	72	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2038	30	MLB	CIN	59%	353	313	68	12	2	7	31	92	6	9	1	217	300	335	635	118	281	26	9	277	70	-12	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB	CIN	61%	356	316	68	12	2	7	31	93	6	9	1	215	297	332	630	117	279	26	9	273	67	-13	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.0
2040	32	MLB	CIN	62%	353	313	66	11	2	7	31	94	6	9	1	211	294	326	620	115	276	27	9	268	63	-15	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.2
2041	33	MLB	CIN	63%	339	301	62	10	2	6	29	92	6	8	1	206	289	312	601	106	273	27	9	262	59	-16	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4644	4125	902	156	28	95	399	1199	82	126	14	219	300	339	639	120	283	26	9	276	70	-159	+20	-9	+50	+132	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	126	22	4	13	56	168	11	18	2	218	299	338	637	120	283	26	9	276	70	-22	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	8352	7421	1600	272	54	164	710	2167	152	243	30	216	297	333	630	118	280	26	9	286	77	-217	+37	-15	+89	+237	13.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	21	4	13	55	169	12	19	2	215	296	332	628	118	278	26	8	286	77	-17	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	108	90	21	2	3	0	14	27	3	15	2	233	355	322	677	89	328	25	13	314	98	-0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,762	94	130	217	295	335	+51	+27	7.7	6.5
	/162	664	13	18	217	295	335	+7.1	+3.8	1.1	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Caricipe (OGILVIE)	18	32→37	35→40	62→67	56	193/283/290	97	261	3	13	27%	8%	57	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	50	-1.8	213/265/278	65	272	2	17	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/263/268	56	267	2	18	20%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Jim Caceres 2019 · A	18	43	40→45	55	48	207/277/305	97	255	6	14	21%	7%	61	-1.0	196/263/271	75	271	4	10	27%	7%	47	-1.9	124/200/139	15	187	0	10	30%	7%	-14	-1.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Michael Chirinos 2018 · A	18	41	37→40	51→55	50	193/251/266	73	225	4	11	16%	7%	40	-2.4	226/292/296	70	250	5	13	11%	8%	65	-0.7	236/307/298	61	253	5	16	8%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Miguel Tamares 2023 · A	18	40	39→40	56→60	48	187/282/273	86	283	6	24	33%	10%	56	-1.3	178/267/248	70	298	4	19	38%	9%	44	-2.1	126/238/152	25	234	0	24	40%	10%	7	-1.2
✕Victor Acosta 2022 · A	18	44→41	41→40	55→50	45	209/294/313	104	294	7	20	29%	8%	72	-0.2	189/273/272	83	277	4	12	31%	8%	53	-1.5	173/260/240	67	252	3	12	30%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→51	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	61	-1.0	232/280/372	140	293	11	20	24%	6%	79	+0.3	252/286/391	139	300	12	30	20%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→60	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	233/267/329	96	309	7	15	26%	4%	63	-0.9	233/273/379	146	307	15	25	28%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Chris Garia 2011 · A	18	39→49	35→40	52→60	43	185/248/243	58	253	3	19	27%	6%	33	-2.9	207/267/261	54	286	2	20	26%	7%	46	-2.0	231/270/343	112	308	8	32	27%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7