Luis Alejandro Basabe
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 361 | .249/.329/.340 | 2 | 5 | 47 | — | .204/.259/.279 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ARI | 500 | .293/.404/.390 | 4 | 16 | 72 | — | .226/.311/.292 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAARI | 314 | .226/.300/.396 | 10 | 7 | 29 | — | .158/.214/.257 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 16 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 198 | 156 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 48 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 192 | 340 | 295 | 635 | 103 | 259 | 24 | 17 | 291 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 132 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 222 | 403 | 273 | 676 | 51 | 297 | 19 | 21 | 324 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 100 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 260 | 393 | 310 | 703 | 50 | 377 | 27 | 17 | 329 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 467 | 390 | 106 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 118 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 272 | 384 | 408 | 792 | 136 | 369 | 25 | 14 | 355 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 201 | 175 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 229 | 318 | 337 | 655 | 109 | 319 | 27 | 11 | 296 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 249 | 227 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 225 | 287 | 322 | 609 | 97 | 278 | 20 | 8 | 275 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 112 | 94 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 309 | 420 | 383 | 803 | 74 | 408 | 21 | 16 | 370 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 500 | 420 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 106 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 293 | 404 | 390 | 794 | 98 | 381 | 21 | 15 | 363 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 314 | 283 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 107 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 226 | 300 | 396 | 696 | 170 | 323 | 34 | 9 | 310 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 198 | 165 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 133 | 251 | 206 | 457 | 73 | 171 | 30 | 12 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 132 | 107 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 159 | 302 | 196 | 499 | 37 | 209 | 23 | 15 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 176 | 270 | 204 | 474 | 28 | 299 | 38 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 467 | 409 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 156 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 225 | 312 | 333 | 645 | 108 | 333 | 33 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 201 | 182 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 176 | 242 | 264 | 506 | 88 | 273 | 37 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 249 | 233 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 185 | 231 | 266 | 497 | 82 | 242 | 26 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 112 | 101 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 248 | 321 | 307 | 628 | 59 | 359 | 29 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 500 | 442 | 100 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 145 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 226 | 311 | 292 | 603 | 66 | 322 | 29 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 314 | 292 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 138 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 158 | 214 | 257 | 471 | 99 | 272 | 44 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 198 | 165 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 133 | 251 | 206 | 457 | 73 | 191 | 30 | 12 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 16 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 198 | 156 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 48 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 192 | 340 | 295 | 635 | 103 | 259 | 24 | 17 | 291 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 132 | 107 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 159 | 302 | 196 | 499 | 37 | 221 | 23 | 15 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 132 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 222 | 403 | 273 | 676 | 51 | 297 | 19 | 21 | 324 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 176 | 270 | 204 | 474 | 28 | 302 | 38 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 100 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 260 | 393 | 310 | 703 | 50 | 377 | 27 | 17 | 329 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 467 | 409 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 156 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 225 | 312 | 333 | 645 | 108 | 344 | 33 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 467 | 390 | 106 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 118 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 272 | 384 | 408 | 792 | 136 | 369 | 25 | 14 | 355 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 201 | 182 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 176 | 242 | 264 | 506 | 88 | 283 | 37 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 201 | 175 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 229 | 318 | 337 | 655 | 109 | 319 | 27 | 11 | 296 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 333 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 97 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 201 | 259 | 270 | 529 | 69 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 361 | 321 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 73 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 249 | 329 | 340 | 668 | 90 | 316 | 20 | 10 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 500 | 443 | 100 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 145 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 226 | 311 | 291 | 602 | 65 | 327 | 29 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 500 | 420 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 106 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 293 | 404 | 390 | 794 | 98 | 381 | 21 | 15 | 363 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 314 | 292 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 138 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 158 | 214 | 257 | 471 | 99 | 273 | 44 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 314 | 283 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 107 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 226 | 300 | 396 | 696 | 170 | 323 | 34 | 9 | 310 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 198 | 170 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 129 | 251 | 200 | 451 | 71 | 171 | 30 | 12 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 132 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 156 | 302 | 193 | 495 | 37 | 209 | 23 | 15 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 174 | 270 | 202 | 472 | 28 | 299 | 38 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 467 | 412 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 156 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 223 | 312 | 330 | 642 | 107 | 333 | 33 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 201 | 183 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 175 | 242 | 262 | 505 | 87 | 273 | 37 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 332 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 97 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 202 | 259 | 271 | 530 | 69 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 500 | 441 | 100 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 145 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 227 | 311 | 293 | 604 | 66 | 322 | 29 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 314 | 290 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 138 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 159 | 214 | 259 | 473 | 100 | 272 | 44 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2297 | 2039 | 395 | 71 | 16 | 19 | 216 | 746 | 16 | 79 | 45 | 194 | 276 | 272 | 548 | 78 | 292 | 32 | 9 | 246 | 52 | -130 | -2 | +0 | +8 | +50 | -7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 112 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 211 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 194 | 277 | 272 | 549 | 78 | 293 | 32 | 9 | 246 | 52 | -37 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 314 PAwOBA .303 → .211 (−91)K% 34.1% → 44.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.08% | ÷0.946 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.59% | ÷1.025 | ×0.940 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷1.034 | ×0.870 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.945 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.271 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.48% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .303 → .211; ISO .170 → .104; BABIP .323 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Visalia Rawhide · 500 PAwOBA .354 → .274 (−80)K% 21.2% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.20% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.60% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.94% | ÷0.974 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 26.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷1.148 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.909 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.095 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 95, 2B 130, 3B 82, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .354 → .274; ISO .098 → .070; BABIP .381 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Visalia Rawhide · 249 PAwOBA .269 → .216 (−53)K% 20.1% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.08% | ÷1.029 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.77% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 17.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 106, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .269 → .216; ISO .097 → .076; BABIP .278 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AKane County Cougars · 112 PAwOBA .355 → .285 (−70)K% 20.5% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.54% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.39% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 29.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .355 → .285; ISO .074 → .057; BABIP .408 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AKane County Cougars · 201 PAwOBA .289 → .219 (−70)K% 26.9% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.009 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.66% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 18.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.74% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 8.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.899 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 95, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .289 → .219; ISO .109 → .083; BABIP .319 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AKane County Cougars · 467 PAwOBA .349 → .283 (−65)K% 25.3% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.27% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.13% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.84% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.030 | 24.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×1.030 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×1.030 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.57% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.18% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .349 → .283; ISO .136 → .110; BABIP .369 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Red Sox · 124 PAwOBA .327 → .228 (−99)K% 26.6% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 25.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .327 → .228; ISO .050 → .033; BABIP .377 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Red Sox · 132 PAwOBA .317 → .232 (−85)K% 18.9% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 17.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .317 → .232; ISO .051 → .035; BABIP .297 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).