Ariel Ramos — OGILVIE

Ariel Ramos P ACL Cubs

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 20 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%21.5%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	11	11	34	130	27	19	0	100%	3.1	14.1%	18.3%	-4.1%	0.0%	1.60	4.22	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	11	11	34	130	27	19	0	100%	3.1	14.1%	18.3%	-4.1%	0.0%	1.60	4.22	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	11	11	34	130	27	19	0	100%	3.1	20.8%	14.6%	6.2%	0.0%	1.60	3.19	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	1	0	0	7	0	3	1	0%	—	0.0%	42.9%	-42.9%	14.3%	—	16.37	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	1	0	0	7	0	3	1	0%	—	0.0%	42.9%	-42.9%	14.3%	—	16.37	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	1	0	0	7	0	3	1	0%	—	0.0%	42.9%	-42.9%	14.3%	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CHC	4	4	20	84	18	12	2	100%	5.0	21.5%	14.4%	7.1%	2.9%	5.11	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	6	6	32	134	30	17	4	100%	5.3	22.6%	12.5%	10.1%	2.9%	4.86	4.75	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	3	3	16	68	15	8	2	100%	5.3	22.6%	12.5%	10.1%	2.9%	4.86	4.75	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	15	8	2	100%	5.2	22.6%	12.5%	10.1%	2.9%	4.86	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	192	102	26	100%	5.1	22.6%	12.5%	10.1%	2.9%	4.86	4.37	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		11	11	34	130	18	24	0	100%	3.1	14.1%	18.3%	-4.1%	0.0%	1.60	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	65	200	772	109	141	0	100%	3.1	14.1%	18.3%	-4.1%	0.0%	1.60	4.22	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ariel Ramos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	21.5%	14.4%	2.9%	—	4.75	22.6%	10.1%	32	-0.36	—	—	—
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	82
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	81
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	81
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	80
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	79
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	79
Elvis Luciano R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	17.5%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	204	78
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	78
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	78
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	77
Victor Mederos R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	21	SP	4.69	15.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.286	5.19	16.4%	5.7%	301	+0.50	3.73	394	77
Landon Sims R 2023 · 6.04 FIP	22	SP	6.04	19.3%	12.9%	5.3%	.302	4.01	19.9%	7.6%	169	-2.03	3.35	185	77
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	77
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	76
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	76
Grayson Long R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	21	SP	4.38	17.6%	14.7%	1.7%	.346	3.91	19.0%	9.9%	192	-0.47	3.46	211	76
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	76
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.2%	13.3%	1.13	4.96
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44