Luis Garcia — OGILVIE

Luis GarciaSS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .305 / .320

PA78

HR1

K%24

BB%11

BABIP267

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$22M		$48M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	170	25	10	1	0	22	43	0	5	3	147	245	218	462	71	194	22	11	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	159	33	14	1	0	33	29	0	5	3	208	344	308	652	101	250	15	17	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	118	96	17	2	3	1	19	27	1	11	1	177	319	292	611	115	229	23	16	277	70	-4	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	118	85	20	3	4	1	30	19	1	11	1	235	440	400	840	165	284	16	25	381	149	+7	+2	+0	+1	+3	1.3
ROS	18	ROK	PIT	0%	78	68	14	3	1	1	9	19	1	3	0	204	305	320	625	117	262	24	11	269	64	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	263	59	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PIT	—	118	97	17	2	3	1	19	27	1	11	1	175	319	289	608	113	225	23	16	277	70	-4	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	PIT	—	196	164	31	5	4	2	28	46	2	14	1	188	313	304	617	115	244	23	14	274	68	-7	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	249	218	46	9	3	3	27	59	2	5	1	211	304	321	625	110	268	24	11	280	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	376	329	70	14	4	5	40	88	4	7	1	213	306	325	631	112	271	23	11	289	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	470	412	88	17	5	7	50	108	5	8	1	214	306	330	636	117	273	23	11	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	537	469	103	20	6	9	57	123	6	9	2	220	312	345	657	126	275	23	11	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.4
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	582	508	112	22	6	10	62	132	7	10	2	220	314	346	660	126	275	23	11	301	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	612	534	119	23	7	11	66	139	7	10	2	223	316	354	670	131	276	23	11	303	90	-7	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.8
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	626	546	122	23	7	12	68	142	7	10	2	223	317	357	674	134	276	23	11	304	91	-7	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.9
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	633	553	124	24	7	12	68	143	7	10	2	224	317	358	675	134	276	23	11	304	91	-6	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.0
2035	27	MLB	PIT	60%	634	553	123	24	7	12	69	144	7	10	2	222	316	356	673	134	276	23	11	304	91	-6	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.0
2036	28	MLB	PIT	62%	629	548	122	23	7	12	69	143	7	10	2	223	317	356	673	133	276	23	11	303	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2037	29	MLB	PIT	63%	619	538	119	23	7	11	69	142	7	9	2	221	318	351	669	130	275	23	11	302	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.6
2038	30	MLB	PIT	63%	609	529	115	22	6	11	68	142	7	9	2	217	315	344	659	127	274	23	11	299	87	-9	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.4
2039	31	MLB	PIT	65%	594	516	111	21	6	10	66	140	7	8	2	215	312	337	650	122	272	24	11	295	84	-11	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.1
2040	32	MLB	PIT	65%	576	501	106	20	6	9	64	138	6	8	1	212	308	329	638	118	269	24	11	290	80	-13	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.7
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	86	76	15	3	1	1	9	20	1	2	0	197	291	303	593	105	266	23	10	273	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	182	158	34	7	2	2	20	42	2	3	1	215	311	323	634	108	270	23	11	280	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	255	223	48	9	3	4	27	59	3	4	1	215	308	336	645	121	272	23	11	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	304	265	57	11	3	5	33	70	3	5	1	215	309	336	645	121	273	23	11	289	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	335	292	64	12	4	6	36	76	4	6	1	219	313	349	663	130	274	23	11	292	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	349	304	67	13	4	6	38	79	4	6	1	220	315	349	664	128	275	23	11	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	355	310	69	13	4	7	38	80	4	6	1	223	315	358	673	135	275	23	11	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	358	312	69	13	4	7	39	81	4	6	1	221	315	356	671	135	275	23	11	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2035	27	MLB	PIT	60%	379	331	73	14	4	7	41	86	4	6	1	221	314	350	664	130	275	23	11	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2036	28	MLB	PIT	62%	389	339	74	14	4	7	43	89	4	6	1	218	313	345	659	127	274	23	11	294	83	-7	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB	PIT	63%	389	339	74	14	4	7	43	90	4	6	1	218	313	345	659	127	274	23	11	292	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB	PIT	63%	387	337	73	14	4	7	43	90	4	6	1	217	312	344	657	128	273	23	11	290	80	-9	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB	PIT	65%	386	336	72	14	4	6	43	91	4	5	1	214	311	333	644	119	271	24	11	286	77	-10	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB	PIT	65%	374	326	69	13	4	6	41	90	4	5	1	212	307	331	639	120	268	24	11	281	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4528	3949	858	164	49	78	494	1043	49	72	13	217	312	343	655	126	273	23	11	290	80	-102	+9	-7	+49	+128	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	123	24	7	11	71	150	7	10	2	217	312	342	654	125	274	23	11	290	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8018	6992	1519	298	86	135	874	1845	87	131	27	217	312	342	654	125	274	23	11	297	85	-134	+15	-10	+86	+227	18.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	123	24	7	11	71	150	7	11	2	217	312	342	654	125	274	23	11	297	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	159	33	14	1	0	33	29	0	5	3	208	344	308	652	101	250	15	17	304	91	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,693	81	75	219	310	346	+50	+27	11.7	9.8
	/162	664	11	11	219	310	346	+7.1	+3.8	1.7	pk7: 8
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Garcia (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	45	60	188/313/304	115	244	2	14	23%	14%	68	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	50	-1.7	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	61	-1.0	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Michael Chirinos 2018 · A	18	41	37→40	51→55	50	193/251/266	73	225	4	11	16%	7%	40	-2.4	226/292/296	70	250	5	13	11%	8%	65	-0.7	236/307/298	61	253	5	16	8%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Kendy Moya 2017 · A	18	42	35→30	45→50	51	192/285/256	65	274	2	9	28%	10%	53	-1.5	188/289/252	64	278	2	10	29%	11%	55	-1.4	168/285/230	63	255	1	12	30%	12%	47	-0.8
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→45	55	199/272/261	62	232	2	6	15%	9%	48	-1.9	218/285/270	52	263	2	9	16%	8%	56	-1.3	258/307/313	56	305	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2011 · A	18	43	35→40	47→65	48	203/275/262	59	265	2	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	204/271/273	69	256	3	20	20%	7%	50	-1.7	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	59	-1.1	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	65	-0.7	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9
✕Eduardo Guerrero 2023 · A	18	48→38	35→30	45→50	44	226/282/281	55	302	3	8	25%	6%	57	-1.2	198/271/258	60	267	2	8	24%	8%	47	-1.9	196/291/251	55	273	4	10	26%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	50	-1.7	219/296/276	57	268	1	22	17%	9%	62	-0.9	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→30	50→55	50	200/288/273	73	290	4	15	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/274/273	69	318	3	13	33%	8%	52	-1.6	181/264/239	58	298	2	15	36%	10%	36	-1.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2009 · A	18	48	35→30	46→50	58	220/319/290	70	282	1	13	20%	12%	76	+0.1	212/292/272	60	291	2	11	25%	10%	59	-1.1	202/281/241	39	282	0	11	25%	10%	42	-0.6
✕Gian Arias 2010 · A	18	42	34→30	45→50	51	194/279/246	52	265	1	7	25%	10%	48	-1.9	200/283/272	72	267	5	10	25%	9%	56	-1.3	189/279/257	68	246	6	13	24%	10%	49	-0.7