Luis Garcia

SS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 169 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1083ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	194	.208/.344/.308	0	5	25	—	.131/.240/.196
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	208	.270/.468/.459	4	18	77	—	.171/.330/.274
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	318	.204/.291/.290	2	5	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	55	.209/.297/.306	1	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	129	.213/.301/.318	2	2	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%98

BB%94

Whiff%88

wOBA86

Z-Con%84

ISO81

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJose Perez (age 19) · Victor Rodrigues (age 19) · Milkar Perez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .289 / .287

PA110

HR1

K%24

BB%10

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	159	33	14	1	0	33	29	0	5	3	208	344	308	652	101	250	15	17	304	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	148	40	8	4	4	52	35	3	18	8	270	468	459	927	189	316	17	25	410	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	168	22	9	1	0	24	36	0	5	3	131	240	196	436	65	161	19	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	164	28	5	3	2	36	43	3	18	8	171	330	274	604	104	199	21	17	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	168	22	9	1	0	24	36	0	5	3	131	240	196	436	65	164	19	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	159	33	14	1	0	33	29	0	5	3	208	344	308	652	101	250	15	17	304	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	164	28	5	3	2	36	43	3	18	8	171	330	274	604	104	210	21	17	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	148	40	8	4	4	52	35	3	18	8	270	468	459	927	189	316	17	25	410	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	168	22	9	1	0	24	36	0	5	3	131	240	196	436	65	161	19	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	167	28	5	3	2	36	43	3	18	8	168	330	269	600	102	199	21	17	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	194	168	22	9	1	0	24	36	0	5	3	131	240	196	436	65	161	19	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	208	167	28	5	3	2	36	43	3	18	8	168	330	269	600	102	199	21	17	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	318	281	57	12	3	2	32	76	2	5	1	204	291	290	581	86	268	24	10	268	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	159	141	29	6	1	2	16	38	1	3	1	209	297	306	603	97	271	24	10	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	267	235	49	10	2	3	27	63	3	5	1	213	301	320	620	106	273	24	10	283	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	374	330	72	14	3	6	37	87	4	6	2	217	304	330	634	113	275	23	10	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	443	392	86	17	4	7	44	103	4	7	2	220	306	339	645	119	277	23	10	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	485	429	96	19	4	9	48	112	5	8	2	223	308	345	653	123	278	23	10	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	511	450	100	20	4	9	51	118	5	8	3	223	308	347	655	124	278	23	10	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	525	463	103	20	4	10	52	121	5	8	3	223	308	347	656	124	278	23	10	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	527	465	103	20	4	10	52	123	5	8	3	222	307	345	652	123	278	23	10	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	523	461	102	20	4	9	52	123	5	7	3	220	306	340	646	120	277	24	10	293	84	-10	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	512	451	99	19	4	9	51	122	5	6	3	218	303	334	637	117	276	24	10	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	500	443	96	19	4	8	49	120	4	6	3	215	300	327	626	112	274	24	10	285	79	-13	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	483	429	90	18	3	7	47	118	4	4	5	211	295	317	612	106	272	24	10	279	75	-14	-1	-3	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	55	48	10	2	0	1	6	13	1	1	0	209	297	306	602	96	272	24	11	276	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	129	114	25	5	1	2	13	30	1	2	1	213	301	318	619	105	274	23	10	283	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	203	179	39	8	2	3	20	47	2	3	1	217	304	328	632	111	276	23	10	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	251	221	49	10	2	4	25	58	3	4	1	220	306	336	642	116	278	23	10	291	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	274	242	54	11	2	5	27	63	3	5	1	222	308	342	650	120	279	23	10	294	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	308	271	59	12	2	5	31	71	3	5	2	222	308	344	652	121	279	23	10	295	87	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	328	289	65	13	3	6	33	76	3	5	2	222	308	344	652	122	279	23	10	295	87	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	334	295	66	13	3	6	33	78	3	5	2	221	307	342	649	120	279	23	10	294	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	340	300	67	14	3	6	34	80	3	5	2	220	305	337	643	118	278	24	10	291	84	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	333	294	64	13	3	5	33	79	3	4	2	217	303	332	634	114	277	24	10	288	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	325	287	62	13	2	5	32	78	3	4	2	215	299	324	624	110	275	24	10	284	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	314	277	58	12	2	4	31	77	3	3	3	211	295	315	610	105	273	25	10	278	75	-9	-1	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3194	2817	618	126	25	52	318	750	31	46	19	219	305	337	643	118	278	23	10	289	80	-66	+2	-5	+34	+69	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	26	5	11	65	153	6	9	4	220	306	340	646	120	278	24	10	289	80	-13	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5821	5118	1095	220	46	92	597	1353	54	101	42	214	303	329	631	115	270	23	10	287	80	-114	+3	-7	+58	+117	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	122	25	5	10	67	151	6	11	5	214	303	327	630	114	271	23	10	287	80	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 208 PAwOBA .411 → .282 (−129)K% 16.8% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.83%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	17.41%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.00%
Singles /BIP	21.24%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.985	×0.995	14.15%
Doubles /BIP	7.08%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.985	×0.995	4.16%
Triples /BIP	3.54%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.985	×0.995	2.08%
Home runs /BIP	3.54%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .411 → .282; ISO .189 → .114; BABIP .316 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 194 PAwOBA .300 → .205 (−95)K% 14.9% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.95%	÷0.981	×1.220	—	—	18.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.01%	÷0.977	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.28%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.85%	÷1.003	×0.680	×0.979	×1.008	9.26%
Doubles /BIP	10.77%	÷0.970	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	6.57%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷0.991	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.940	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .300 → .205; ISO .101 → .063; BABIP .250 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,304	54	48	219	301	336	+35	+24	6.0	5.4
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+4.8	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	35	20	45	60	202/289/287	86	268	1	2	24%	10%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	38	34→30	48→50	57	174/286/230	56	237	1	9	24%	12%	55	-2.0	206/287/262	56	304	2	11	29%	10%	60	-1.6	206/281/258	52	313	1	11	32%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	40	36→40	47→45	54	188/283/257	69	239	3	6	21%	10%	59	-1.7	215/294/288	73	274	5	7	21%	9%	69	-0.9	214/298/282	68	268	5	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	39	34→30	42→55	46	182/253/237	55	265	2	9	30%	9%	42	-2.9	176/253/229	53	236	2	15	24%	9%	40	-3.1	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	41	35→30	46→65	50	190/262/249	59	232	3	16	19%	8%	48	-2.5	191/270/255	64	234	2	24	18%	9%	52	-2.2	195/284/251	56	248	1	34	20%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	42	36→40	46→60	47	199/264/263	64	259	3	12	23%	7%	51	-2.2	207/270/268	61	275	3	22	24%	7%	55	-2.0	225/284/305	80	290	5	45	23%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	37	34→30	47→50	55	171/281/228	57	242	2	11	27%	12%	52	-2.2	186/290/249	63	255	2	10	24%	12%	59	-1.6	153/294/218	65	208	0	11	22%	15%	55	-0.7
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	42	34→30	45→40	43	199/251/253	54	264	1	9	24%	6%	44	-2.8	213/260/281	68	296	4	4	28%	6%	53	-2.1	216/260/277	61	299	4	2	28%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Dayan Frias 2021 · A	19	41→43	36→40	49→55	57	190/286/256	66	242	2	11	21%	12%	59	-1.6	210/286/301	91	305	6	6	30%	9%	69	-0.9	209/288/306	96	301	8	6	31%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Jeral Toledo 2023 · A	20	38	35→30	45	53	177/279/243	66	242	2	10	25%	10%	55	-2.0	197/272/275	78	278	4	11	28%	9%	57	-1.8	191/264/264	73	269	4	10	28%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Luis Lameda 2024 · A	18	43	35→30	44→50	62	197/315/254	58	250	2	8	20%	14%	71	-0.8	192/301/245	53	272	2	8	26%	13%	63	-1.4	186/298/229	43	265	2	10	27%	13%	57	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5

Luis Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps