Luis Lameda — OGILVIE

Luis LamedaSS Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .307 / .260

PA150

HR1

K%25

BB%12

BABIP281

ISO54

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	141	114	21	2	1	0	22	27	3	4	4	184	331	219	550	35	236	19	16	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	141	101	24	2	1	0	35	20	3	4	4	238	446	277	723	40	289	14	25	353	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	155	128	18	1	0	1	22	49	2	3	4	141	276	172	448	31	210	32	14	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	155	114	22	1	0	1	36	34	2	3	4	193	395	228	623	35	256	22	23	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	287	247	50	8	1	0	36	68	1	7	3	202	306	243	549	40	275	24	13	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	287	228	48	9	1	0	55	51	1	7	3	211	366	259	625	48	267	18	19	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	226	196	45	6	0	2	25	64	2	11	4	230	323	291	614	61	323	28	11	275	69	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	226	181	50	7	0	2	39	45	2	11	4	276	408	348	756	72	350	20	17	349	125	+6	+1	+0	+2	+6	1.6
ROS	20	A	MIL	0%	150	130	27	4	0	1	18	38	1	4	2	207	307	260	568	54	288	25	12	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	263	59	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	MIL	—	226	197	45	6	0	2	25	64	2	11	4	228	323	289	612	61	321	28	11	275	69	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	20	A	MIL	—	376	326	72	10	0	3	43	102	3	15	6	220	317	279	595	58	306	27	11	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	391	339	74	11	1	4	46	97	3	7	3	218	317	292	609	74	288	25	12	282	74	-11	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	468	406	91	14	1	7	55	113	4	8	4	224	323	315	638	91	290	24	12	293	83	-9	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	516	447	101	15	1	9	60	123	4	9	4	226	323	324	647	98	291	24	12	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	546	472	109	17	1	10	64	128	5	9	4	231	329	335	664	104	291	23	12	304	91	-6	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.6
2031	25	MLB	MIL	60%	562	486	112	17	1	11	66	132	5	9	4	230	329	337	666	107	292	23	12	306	92	-5	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2032	26	MLB	MIL	62%	569	492	113	17	1	11	67	133	5	9	4	230	328	335	663	106	291	23	12	307	93	-4	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2033	27	MLB	MIL	63%	569	491	113	17	1	11	68	133	5	9	4	230	330	336	666	106	291	23	12	307	93	-4	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2034	28	MLB	MIL	65%	564	487	112	17	1	11	67	133	5	9	4	230	329	337	666	107	291	24	12	306	92	-5	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.7
2035	29	MLB	MIL	65%	554	478	109	16	1	11	66	132	5	8	4	228	328	335	663	107	290	24	12	304	91	-6	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.5
2036	30	MLB	MIL	65%	544	469	106	16	1	10	65	131	5	8	3	226	327	328	655	102	289	24	12	302	89	-7	+0	-2	+6	+15	1.3
2037	31	MLB	MIL	65%	530	456	102	15	1	9	64	129	5	7	3	224	326	320	646	96	287	24	12	298	86	-8	+0	-3	+6	+15	1.0
2038	32	MLB	MIL	65%	511	441	97	14	1	9	61	126	4	7	3	220	320	317	638	98	285	25	12	293	82	-10	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.7
2039	33	MLB	MIL	65%	481	417	89	12	1	8	57	122	4	6	2	213	314	305	618	91	281	25	12	287	78	-12	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.3
2040	34	MLB	MIL	60%	435	377	78	10	1	6	52	113	3	5	2	207	308	286	594	80	276	26	12	279	72	-14	+0	-5	+5	+12	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	134	116	25	4	0	1	16	33	1	3	1	216	316	276	592	60	286	25	12	275	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	227	196	43	6	1	3	27	55	2	4	2	219	320	306	626	87	287	24	12	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	280	243	55	8	1	5	33	66	2	5	2	226	324	329	653	103	288	24	12	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	303	262	61	9	1	6	35	71	3	5	2	233	330	344	674	111	289	23	12	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.7
2031	25	MLB	MIL	60%	336	291	66	10	1	6	39	79	3	6	2	227	324	330	654	103	289	24	12	297	86	-5	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2032	26	MLB	MIL	62%	353	306	70	10	1	7	41	83	3	6	2	229	326	337	662	108	289	24	12	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2033	27	MLB	MIL	63%	360	311	72	11	1	7	43	84	3	6	2	232	331	341	671	109	289	23	12	298	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2034	28	MLB	MIL	65%	367	317	73	11	1	7	44	87	3	6	2	230	330	338	667	107	289	24	12	297	86	-6	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2035	29	MLB	MIL	65%	360	311	70	10	1	7	43	86	3	5	2	225	325	331	656	106	288	24	12	296	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2036	30	MLB	MIL	65%	354	305	68	10	1	6	43	85	3	5	2	223	325	321	646	98	287	24	12	293	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2037	31	MLB	MIL	65%	344	297	67	10	1	6	41	84	3	5	2	226	326	327	652	101	285	24	12	290	80	-8	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2038	32	MLB	MIL	65%	332	286	62	9	1	5	40	82	3	4	2	217	319	308	627	91	282	25	12	285	76	-9	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2039	33	MLB	MIL	65%	313	271	58	8	1	5	37	79	2	4	2	214	313	306	619	92	279	25	12	279	72	-10	+0	-3	+3	+9	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	MIL	60%	263	228	47	6	0	4	31	68	2	3	1	206	307	285	592	79	274	26	12	272	66	-10	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4326	3741	837	122	12	75	513	1042	36	67	26	224	323	323	646	99	288	24	12	291	81	-95	+3	-13	+46	+123	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	125	18	2	11	77	157	5	10	4	222	321	320	642	98	286	24	12	291	81	-14	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7973	6877	1522	223	16	129	956	1927	69	128	61	221	322	315	637	93	286	24	12	294	83	-151	+1	-20	+85	+226	14.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	124	18	1	11	78	157	6	10	5	221	323	316	638	94	285	24	12	294	83	-12	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	141	101	24	2	1	0	35	20	3	4	4	238	446	277	723	40	289	14	25	353	129	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	155	114	22	1	0	1	36	34	2	3	4	193	395	228	623	35	256	22	23	310	95	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	287	228	48	9	1	0	55	51	1	7	3	211	366	259	625	48	267	18	19	302	89	-3	+0	—	—	+8	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,642	78	71	225	321	322	+48	+27	9.9	8.5
	/162	664	11	10	225	321	322	+6.8	+3.9	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Lameda (OGILVIE)	20	35	20	45	60	220/317/279	58	306	3	15	27%	11%	67	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	52	197/290/240	43	280	1	14	27%	10%	51	-1.7	202/267/260	58	263	3	9	22%	8%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	57	-1.2	209/271/272	63	327	3	8	34%	7%	50	-1.7	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Deivi Estrada 2021 · A	20	46	36→30	45→50	50	213/291/275	62	281	3	9	23%	9%	60	-1.0	190/251/259	69	328	3	8	40%	7%	38	-2.6	146/188/204	58	314	3	4	52%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Jeral Toledo 2023 · A	20	40	36→30	45	52	188/285/259	71	256	3	10	25%	10%	55	-1.4	198/275/276	78	284	4	11	29%	9%	53	-1.5	188/265/261	73	271	4	10	30%	9%	44	-0.6
✕Adderly Rosa 2011 · A	20	43	33→40	47→50	52	196/290/239	44	258	1	13	22%	10%	52	-1.6	200/276/261	61	266	2	12	23%	9%	50	-1.7	194/265/257	63	251	2	12	22%	8%	41	-0.8
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	30	-3.1	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	44	-2.1	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Terry Serrano 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	46→55	49	191/267/245	53	257	2	13	25%	9%	42	-2.3	202/275/269	67	295	3	16	29%	9%	51	-1.7	195/275/262	67	298	2	22	32%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Oliver Nunez 2015 · A	20	44	35→40	49→50	56	204/298/270	66	271	2	13	24%	12%	62	-0.9	229/297/298	69	282	2	13	18%	9%	68	-0.5	245/306/311	67	296	2	16	17%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	50	-1.7	201/269/258	57	287	2	12	28%	8%	46	-2.0	194/260/238	44	282	1	11	29%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	40	35→30	47→50	50	183/282/245	62	276	2	11	31%	11%	50	-1.8	196/292/263	67	281	2	10	27%	11%	59	-1.1	176/302/251	74	254	0	11	26%	13%	59	-0.4
✕Omar Casamayor 2007 · A	20	47	35→40	46→55	48	220/283/278	59	268	2	6	18%	7%	57	-1.2	236/287/302	66	283	2	12	16%	5%	64	-0.8	242/288/300	58	293	2	14	17%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	237/301/331	94	305	7	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8