Manuel Ruiz

P DSL Nationals

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKWSH	17	0	24	5.55	4.87	17.1%	16.2%	—	K 11.6% · BB 20.3% · FIP 5.70
2026	20	ROKWSH	14	2	33	4.41	2.95	21.8%	13.5%	—	K 14.8% · BB 16.8% · FIP 3.98
2027PROJ	21	MLBWSH	17	0	18	5.49	5.49	19.0%	16.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBWSH	14	0	15	5.17	5.03	20.6%	13.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMichael Perez (age 21) · Paul Gervase (age 22) · Tommy DeJuneas (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%19.0%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%2.8%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	17	0	24	117	20	19	2	0%	1.4	11.6%	20.3%	-8.7%	1.8%	5.55	5.70	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	17	0	24	117	20	19	2	0%	1.4	11.6%	20.3%	-8.7%	1.8%	5.55	5.70	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	17	0	24	117	20	19	2	0%	1.4	17.1%	16.2%	0.9%	1.7%	5.55	4.87	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	14	2	33	156	34	21	0	14%	2.3	14.8%	16.8%	-2.0%	0.0%	4.41	3.98	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	14	2	33	156	34	21	0	14%	2.3	14.8%	16.8%	-2.0%	0.0%	4.41	3.98	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	14	2	33	156	34	21	0	14%	2.3	21.8%	13.5%	8.3%	0.0%	4.41	2.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	WSH	17	0	18	76	14	12	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	16.2%	2.8%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	WSH	29	0	31	130	27	18	4	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.17	5.03	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	WSH	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.17	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	13	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.17	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	118	26	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.9%	6.8%	2.8%	5.17	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		31	2	57	273	37	50	2	6%	1.8	13.5%	18.3%	-4.9%	0.8%	4.89	4.72	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	7	200	958	129	175	8	6%	1.8	13.5%	18.3%	-4.9%	0.8%	4.89	4.72	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Ruiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	19.0%	16.2%	2.9%	—	5.03	20.6%	6.8%	31	-0.46	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	87
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	86
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	85
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Adilson Peralta R 2024 · 5.29 FIP	21	SU	5.29	20.9%	17.5%	3.2%	.316	5.11	18.7%	3.0%	83	-0.18	3.79	181	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	83
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	83
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	83