Yadiel Roquez — OGILVIE

Yadiel Roquez P DSL Rangers Red

+0.2 WAR

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.5 · 2031

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%23.2%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%13.1%

IP30

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2031

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	17	2	35	153	48	23	2	21.3%	18.8%	1.2%	3.12	4.35	+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	30	—	30	125	29	13	4	23.2%	10.1%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	20	MLB	—	31	—	31	131	31	13	4	23.6%	9.6%	2.9%	4.32	4.27	+0.2
2028	21	MLB	—	33	—	33	138	33	13	4	24.0%	9.2%	2.8%	4.23	4.16	+0.3
2029	22	MLB	—	34	—	34	144	36	12	4	24.9%	8.6%	2.8%	4.09	3.99	+0.4
2030	23	MLB	—	36	—	36	150	38	12	4	25.6%	8.3%	2.7%	3.97	3.87	+0.4
2031	24	MLB	—	36	—	36	154	40	12	4	26.1%	8.1%	2.7%	3.86	3.78	+0.5
2032	25	MLB	—	37	—	37	156	41	12	4	26.5%	8.0%	2.7%	3.78	3.73	+0.5
2033	26	MLB	—	37	—	37	156	42	12	4	26.7%	7.9%	2.7%	3.74	3.71	+0.5
2034	27	MLB	—	37	—	37	155	41	12	4	26.7%	8.0%	2.7%	3.73	3.72	+0.5
2035	28	MLB	—	36	—	36	152	41	12	4	26.7%	8.0%	2.7%	3.74	3.74	+0.5
2036	29	MLB	—	35	—	35	149	40	12	4	26.5%	8.1%	2.8%	3.77	3.79	+0.5
2037	30	MLB	—	34	—	34	144	38	12	4	26.3%	8.2%	2.8%	3.82	3.85	+0.4
2038	31	MLB	—	33	—	33	139	36	12	4	26.1%	8.3%	2.9%	3.88	3.92	+0.4
2039	32	MLB	—	32	—	32	134	35	11	4	25.8%	8.5%	3.0%	3.96	4.01	+0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			17	2	35	153	33	29	2	21.3%	18.8%	1.2%	3.12	4.35	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—			98	12	200	883	190	167	12	21.3%	18.8%	1.2%	3.12	4.35	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yadiel Roquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	23.2%	10.1%	2.9%	—	4.14	24.2%	15.1%	98	-0.27	—	—	—
Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.49 FIP	19	SU	3.49	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.43	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.49	115	90
Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.14	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.12	3.11	187	88
Danny Dopico R 2028 · 3.87 FIP	21	SU	3.87	25.4%	10.8%	2.8%	.333	3.88	22.8%	8.1%	173	+0.01	3.00	318	88
Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.60	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.14	4.15	179	87
Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP	19	SU	4.30	19.3%	8.9%	3.1%	.330	4.81	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.51	4.30	358	87
Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	19	SU	3.56	23.1%	10.2%	2.0%	.333	4.59	17.4%	3.0%	146	+1.03	2.60	227	86
Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.92 FIP	19	SU	4.92	21.1%	10.5%	4.1%	.303	4.44	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.48	3.05	442	86
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2027 · 4.09 FIP	20	SU	4.09	25.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.80	3.20	104	86
Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP	19	SU	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.93	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.47	3.32	206	86
Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.94	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.06	3.11	213	86
Jonathan Stiever R 2028 · 4.39 FIP	21	SU	4.39	22.9%	9.7%	3.6%	.308	4.29	20.7%	14.2%	219	-0.10	4.28	247	86
Felix Castro R 2026 · 3.50 FIP	19	SU	3.50	24.0%	12.2%	1.6%	.295	4.96	14.9%	-1.8%	97	+1.46	3.50	144	86
Sandy Lugo R 2028 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.96	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.10	3.46	146	86
Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.19	181	85
Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 4.83 FIP	21	SU	4.83	21.3%	11.8%	3.7%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.32	4.03	266	85
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2026 · 4.05 FIP	19	SU	4.05	24.5%	12.8%	2.5%	.326	5.92	18.3%	1.5%	143	+1.87	4.05	209	85
Cody Palmquist R 2029 · 4.20 FIP	22	SU	4.20	21.9%	9.0%	3.3%	.278	5.95	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.75	4.20	104	85
Caleb Freeman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	198	85
Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2027 · 3.71 FIP	20	SU	3.71	23.5%	13.2%	1.7%	.286	4.77	17.2%	6.2%	157	+1.06	3.71	181	85
Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.74 FIP	19	SU	3.74	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.02	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.28	3.74	273	84

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.5	$3M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.5	$3M	+$2M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$10M	+$6M