Felix Castro — OGILVIE

Felix Castro P Stockton Ports

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%16.4%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%-1.9%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	2	27	126	30	22	1	13%	1.8	16.2%	21.8%	-5.6%	1.2%	4.33	5.17	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	15	2	27	126	30	22	1	13%	1.8	23.8%	17.5%	6.3%	0.8%	4.33	3.80	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	16	0	20	82	29	8	1	0%	1.2	24.0%	12.2%	11.9%	1.6%	2.75	3.52	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	16	0	20	82	29	8	1	0%	1.2	24.0%	12.2%	11.9%	1.6%	2.75	3.52	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	16	0	20	82	29	8	1	0%	1.2	35.4%	9.8%	25.6%	1.2%	2.75	2.03	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	8	47	234	39	34	4	53%	3.1	11.4%	16.8%	-5.4%	2.4%	8.43	5.57	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	8	47	234	39	34	4	53%	3.1	11.4%	16.8%	-5.4%	2.4%	8.43	5.57	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	8	47	234	39	34	4	53%	3.1	16.7%	14.5%	2.1%	1.7%	8.43	4.72	—
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	37	1	54	264	63	37	3	3%	1.5	17.7%	16.5%	1.1%	1.3%	4.19	4.43	—
2025	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	37	1	54	264	63	37	3	3%	1.5	17.7%	16.5%	1.1%	1.3%	4.19	4.43	—
2025	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	37	1	54	264	63	37	3	3%	1.5	23.9%	14.0%	9.8%	1.1%	4.19	3.55	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	13	1	12	63	13	14	2	8%	0.9	—	—	—	—	11.68	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	13	1	12	63	13	14	2	8%	0.9	—	—	—	—	11.68	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	OAK	5	1	5	24	6	3	1	20%	0.9	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	4.2%	11.57	4.86	—
2026	22	A RAW	OAK	8	0	8	39	7	11	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	28.2%	-10.3%	2.6%	11.74	6.56	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	52	0	54	230	41	37	6	0%	1.0	18.0%	15.9%	2.1%	2.7%	5.60	5.48	-0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	53	0	56	236	45	34	6	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.3%	4.6%	2.7%	5.32	5.20	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	OAK	26	0	27	114	21	18	3	0%	1.0	18.0%	15.9%	2.1%	2.7%	5.60	5.48	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	37	0	39	165	31	24	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.3%	4.6%	2.7%	5.32	5.20	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	278	52	42	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.0%	3.6%	2.7%	5.43	4.93	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	128	24	0%	1.1	18.6%	15.0%	3.6%	2.7%	5.43	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		96	12	160	769	127	135	14	12%	1.7	16.5%	17.5%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.86	4.92	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	15	200	963	158	169	17	12%	1.7	16.5%	17.5%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.86	4.92	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Felix Castro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	16.4%	18.3%	2.8%	—	5.34	18.5%	3.4%	110	-0.59	—	—	—
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	88
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	86
Danny Dopico R 2016 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	18.3%	22.6%	2.1%	.309	3.19	23.9%	11.2%	189	-2.39	3.00	318	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	85
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	85
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	85
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	84
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	84
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	84
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	84
Keith Rogalla R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	21	SU	4.87	15.9%	19.1%	1.3%	.299	3.52	21.2%	9.5%	24	-1.35	3.10	113	83
Jonathan Guzman R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	22	SU	5.09	15.9%	17.7%	2.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	83
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	83
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	83
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	83
Salvador Justo R 2017 · 5.57 FIP	22	SU	5.57	12.8%	17.3%	2.5%	.328	5.22	15.7%	4.6%	107	-0.35	4.32	218	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	17.8%	16.2%	1.06	5.61
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99