Felix Castro
P
Stockton Ports
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148139vR 130
ERA5.77
FIP5.77
K%16.4%
BB%17.1%
K-BB%-0.7%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 2 | 27 | 126 | 30 | 22 | 1 | 13% | 1.8 | 16.2% | 21.8% | -5.6% | 1.4% | 4.33 | 5.26 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 2 | 27 | 126 | 30 | 22 | 1 | 13% | 1.8 | 23.8% | 17.5% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 4.33 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 16 | 0 | 20 | 82 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 1.6% | 2.75 | 3.48 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 16 | 0 | 20 | 82 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 35.4% | 9.8% | 25.6% | 1.2% | 2.75 | 2.03 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 8 | 47 | 234 | 39 | 34 | 4 | 53% | 3.1 | 11.4% | 16.8% | -5.4% | 2.9% | 8.43 | 5.84 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 8 | 47 | 234 | 39 | 34 | 4 | 53% | 3.1 | 16.7% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 8.43 | 4.72 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 37 | 1 | 54 | 264 | 63 | 37 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.7% | 16.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 4.19 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 37 | 1 | 54 | 264 | 63 | 37 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 4.19 | 3.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 13 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 8% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 11.68 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | OAK | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 36 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 17.1% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 5.77 | 5.77 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.4% | 17.1% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 5.77 | 5.77 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 65 | 285 | 49 | 52 | 8 | — | — | 17.4% | 18.2% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 6.89 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 45 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.22 | 5.11 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.22 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 52 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 4.83 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 119 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.32 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 12 | 160 | 769 | 127 | 135 | 15 | 12% | 1.7 | 16.5% | 17.5% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 5.86 | 4.99 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 15 | 200 | 963 | 158 | 169 | 19 | 12% | 1.7 | 16.5% | 17.5% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 5.86 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Felix Castro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.77 | 16.4% | 17.1% | 2.8% | — | 5.23 | 18.5% | 4.2% | 110 | -0.54 | — | — | — |
| Cory Thompson R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.42 | 15.2% | 15.7% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.28 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 131 | -1.14 | 3.48 | 218 | 89 |
| Ocean Gabonia R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.94 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 91 | -1.63 | 2.79 | 144 | 88 |
| Stefan Raeth R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 124 | -0.03 | 4.36 | 173 | 88 |
| Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.91 | 16.6% | 15.2% | 2.3% | .295 | 4.45 | 15.8% | 1.8% | 96 | -0.46 | 3.94 | 164 | 87 |
| Noah Takacs R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.82 | 12.5% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .301 | 5.77 | 13.8% | -2.3% | 83 | -0.05 | 5.15 | 122 | 86 |
| Audry Lugo R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 17.6% | 15.8% | 2.1% | .333 | 5.73 | 13.7% | -2.6% | 39 | +0.94 | 4.05 | 113 | 86 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2028 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 86 |
| Cole Hillier R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 86 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 86 |
| Roberto Espinosa R 2027 · 5.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.02 | 18.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.46 | 14.8% | 2.2% | 77 | -0.56 | 4.32 | 117 | 85 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.51 | 18.3% | 22.6% | 2.0% | .309 | 3.28 | 23.9% | 11.2% | 189 | -2.23 | 3.00 | 318 | 85 |
| James Acuna R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 85 |
| Brett Hanewich R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.18 | 15.9% | 17.6% | 2.2% | .372 | 4.32 | 20.3% | 2.8% | 108 | -0.86 | 4.25 | 134 | 84 |
| Will McAffer R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 18.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 6.10 | 18.5% | -4.0% | 77 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 133 | 84 |
| Zane Barnhart R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.73 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 1.9% | .214 | 3.87 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 86 | -0.86 | 3.27 | 129 | 84 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.49 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 3.96 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 152 | -1.53 | 3.52 | 171 | 84 |
| Junior Rincon R 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 84 |
| Kris Hall R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 84 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.67 | 19.5% | 19.4% | 1.4% | .323 | 5.85 | 11.8% | -8.9% | 23 | +1.18 | 4.67 | 178 | 84 |
| Jacob Morris R 2028 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 17.8% | 15.2% | 1.06 | 5.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |