Felix Castro — OGILVIE

Felix Castro P Stockton Ports

+0.0 WAR

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2028

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.4%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%9.9%

IP47

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3535

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	15	2	27	126	30	22	1	16.2%	21.8%	1.2%	4.33	5.18	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	16	0	20	82	29	8	1	24.0%	12.2%	1.6%	2.75	3.50	+0.3
2024	20	A	Stockton Ports	15	8	47	234	39	34	4	11.4%	16.8%	2.5%	8.43	5.62	-0.4
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	37	1	54	264	63	37	3	17.7%	16.5%	1.3%	4.19	4.42	+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	A	Stockton Ports	4	0	4	21	3	5	1	—	—	—	15.75	—	—
ROS	22	MLB	OAK	47	—	47	200	40	28	6	20.2%	14.0%	2.8%	5.06	5.06	-0.1
2026 Total	22	MLB	OAK	—	—	51	221	43	33	7	19.6%	14.9%	3.0%	5.89	4.67	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	OAK	49	—	49	207	44	26	6	21.2%	12.7%	2.7%	4.87	4.80	+0.1
2028	24	MLB	OAK	50	—	50	212	47	25	6	22.0%	11.9%	2.7%	4.71	4.63	+0.2
2029	25	MLB	OAK	51	—	51	215	48	25	6	22.4%	11.4%	2.7%	4.60	4.54	+0.2
2030	26	MLB	OAK	51	—	51	215	49	24	6	22.6%	11.3%	2.7%	4.54	4.51	+0.3
2031	27	MLB	OAK	50	—	50	213	48	24	6	22.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.53	4.52	+0.2
2032	28	MLB	OAK	50	—	50	210	47	24	6	22.6%	11.4%	2.8%	4.54	4.55	+0.2
2033	29	MLB	OAK	49	—	49	205	46	24	6	22.5%	11.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.59	+0.2
2034	30	MLB	OAK	47	—	47	199	44	23	6	22.3%	11.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.65	+0.2
2035	31	MLB	OAK	46	—	46	192	42	23	6	22.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.68	4.73	+0.1
2036	32	MLB	OAK	44	—	44	185	40	22	6	21.8%	11.9%	3.0%	4.76	4.81	+0.1
2037	33	MLB	OAK	42	—	42	176	38	21	6	21.5%	12.0%	3.1%	4.85	4.91	+0.0
2038	34	MLB	OAK	40	—	40	167	35	20	5	21.1%	12.2%	3.2%	4.95	5.02	-0.0
2039	35	MLB	OAK	37	—	37	157	33	20	5	20.7%	12.5%	3.3%	5.07	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			87	11	151	727	117	126	13	16.0%	17.3%	1.8%	5.65	4.92	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—			115	15	200	961	155	167	17	16.0%	17.3%	1.8%	5.65	4.92	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Felix Castro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	20.2%	14.0%	2.8%	—	4.66	21.9%	9.9%	150	-0.40	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	22	SU	4.50	20.5%	14.2%	2.4%	.271	5.08	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.58	3.73	156	93
Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.17	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.32	3.05	195	92
TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.99	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.09	3.35	394	92
Hayden Snelsire R 2027 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	18.9%	13.8%	3.5%	.272	3.84	18.2%	11.8%	79	-1.31	3.84	122	92
Adam Ravenelle R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	90
Blake Holub R 2027 · 4.62 FIP	23	SU	4.62	21.7%	15.3%	2.6%	.339	3.87	23.6%	11.8%	156	-0.75	3.42	202	90
Easton Sikorski R 2027 · 4.84 FIP	23	SU	4.84	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.24	18.1%	6.2%	130	-0.60	4.16	159	90
Grayson Thurman R 2028 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	19.5%	14.1%	2.7%	.319	4.82	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.11	4.56	132	90
Junior Rincon R 2027 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.76	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.17	3.52	113	90
Kyle Marman R 2026 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	90
Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.59	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.23	3.65	127	89
Davison Palermo R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	23	SU	4.30	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	4.95	18.4%	7.1%	108	+0.65	4.30	151	89
Kasey Ford R 2027 · 4.67 FIP	23	SU	4.67	20.3%	14.5%	2.6%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.41	2.53	114	89
Luke Stofel R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.31	12.8%	0.9%	97	+0.04	4.27	139	89
Stefan Raeth R 2026 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	18.0%	15.4%	1.9%	.309	4.55	18.2%	9.6%	103	-0.04	4.49	151	89
Tyler Smith R 2026 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.36	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.94	3.45	121	88
Harrison Cohen R 2028 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	3.00	24.2%	12.6%	70	-1.56	2.12	117	88
James Acuna R 2027 · 5.09 FIP	23	SU	5.09	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.36	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.73	4.36	107	88
Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP	23	SU	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.15	338	88
Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 4.79 FIP	22	SU	4.79	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.22	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.43	3.56	133	88

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.