Ty Harvey — OGILVIE

Ty HarveyC Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION235 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .238

PA23

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO48

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	23	4	0	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	174	367	174	541		364	40	23	283	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	25	3	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	120	267	120	387		335	57	17	198	20	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	25	3	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	120	267	120	387		375	57	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	23	4	0	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	174	367	174	541		364	40	23	283	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	25	3	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	120	267	120	387		335	57	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	25	3	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	120	267	120	387		335	57	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	SD	—	235	212	41	8	1	4	19	88	0	9	1	193	260	297	557	104	298	37	8	248	54	-13	+1	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	SD	—	38	33	14	3	0	2	4	9	0	0	0	424	486	697	1.183	273	522	24	11	499	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	SD	—	197	170	37	8	1	3	24	56	0	9	1	218	314	329	644	112	298	28	12	292	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	SD	0%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	190	261	238	499	48	287	30	9	267	67	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	SD	—	258	233	45	9	1	4	21	95	0	10	1	193	260	292	552	99	297	37	8	249	55	-14	+2	-0	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	274	248	53	10	1	7	22	84	2	4	1	214	283	347	630	133	289	31	8	279	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	382	346	76	14	2	10	31	114	2	5	1	220	288	358	646	139	290	30	8	288	81	-9	+1	-0	+7	+8	0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	449	406	90	16	2	13	37	131	3	5	1	222	291	367	658	145	291	29	8	294	85	-8	+1	-0	+8	+10	1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	492	446	100	18	2	15	40	142	3	6	1	224	292	374	667	150	292	29	8	298	88	-7	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	514	463	105	19	3	16	42	148	4	6	1	227	297	384	681	158	292	29	8	300	89	-6	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	520	468	106	19	3	16	43	150	4	6	1	226	297	382	680	156	292	29	8	302	90	-6	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	467	106	19	3	16	44	150	4	6	1	227	299	383	682	156	292	29	8	302	91	-6	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	467	105	19	2	16	44	151	4	6	1	225	297	377	674	152	291	29	8	301	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	516	463	103	18	2	16	44	151	4	5	1	222	295	374	669	151	290	29	9	299	89	-7	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	506	455	100	18	2	15	43	149	3	5	1	220	291	367	658	147	289	29	8	296	87	-8	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	SD	52%	478	431	93	16	2	14	41	143	3	5	1	216	288	360	648	144	287	30	9	292	84	-9	+1	-3	+9	+10	0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	SD	52%	446	402	86	15	2	13	38	135	3	4	1	214	287	358	645	144	283	30	9	287	80	-11	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	SD	52%	405	366	77	13	2	11	34	124	2	4	1	210	281	347	628	137	279	31	8	280	75	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	SD	47%	351	317	63	10	1	9	29	110	2	3	1	199	270	322	592	123	273	31	8	271	70	-13	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	94	86	17	3	0	2	7	29	1	1	0	198	266	302	568	105	286	31	7	274	75	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	185	167	36	6	1	5	15	55	1	2	0	216	284	353	637	138	287	30	8	283	81	-4	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	244	220	49	9	1	7	20	71	2	3	1	223	293	368	662	145	288	29	8	288	85	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	273	247	55	10	1	8	22	79	2	3	1	223	292	368	660	146	289	29	8	292	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	288	260	57	10	1	9	24	83	2	3	1	219	290	369	659	150	289	29	8	295	89	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	292	264	58	10	1	9	24	84	2	3	1	220	290	367	657	148	289	29	8	296	90	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	260	57	10	1	9	24	83	2	3	1	219	290	369	659	150	289	29	8	296	91	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	285	257	57	10	1	9	24	83	2	3	1	222	293	374	667	152	288	29	8	295	90	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	276	248	55	10	1	9	24	81	2	3	1	222	296	379	675	157	288	29	9	293	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	266	239	52	9	1	8	23	79	2	3	0	218	292	364	656	146	286	30	9	291	87	-4	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	SD	52%	249	224	49	8	1	8	21	74	2	2	0	219	291	371	662	152	284	30	8	287	84	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	SD	52%	231	208	44	7	1	7	20	70	1	2	0	212	284	356	640	144	280	30	9	281	80	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2039	33	MLB CTX	SD	52%	209	188	39	6	1	6	18	64	1	2	0	207	280	346	626	138	276	31	9	275	75	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	SD	47%	166	150	30	5	1	4	14	52	1	1	0	200	273	327	599	127	270	31	8	266	70	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3346	3018	655	113	13	100	280	987	23	34	7	217	288	362	651	145	285	29	8	289	84	-59	+4	-12	+60	+72	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	127	22	3	19	54	192	4	7	1	217	287	362	649	145	286	30	8	289	84	-12	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6426	5791	1270	225	29	187	539	1906	43	71	14	219	291	365	656	146	290	30	8	293	84	-117	+9	-24	+114	+139	12.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	129	23	3	19	55	193	4	7	1	220	291	367	658	147	292	30	8	293	84	-12	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,439	101	37	221	288	368	+61	-6	9.7	8.2
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	-1.2	1.9	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Harvey (OGILVIE)	20	20→41	40→57	30→36	40	204/269/320	116	287	2	2	32%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→53	48→50	43→45	42	228/289/370	142	302	15	5	29%	7%	86	+0.3	233/302/363	130	307	14	6	27%	8%	89	+0.5	229/307/352	123	302	14	5	27%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	76	-0.4	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	61	-1.5	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	42→45	37→40	45	224/284/332	108	283	10	3	24%	7%	75	-0.5	242/309/351	109	303	9	3	22%	7%	88	+0.5	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2018 · A	20	50→44	43→50	40→45	44	245/288/356	111	285	9	4	18%	5%	81	-0.1	228/267/357	129	270	15	7	21%	4%	74	-0.5	225/263/372	146	262	18	5	22%	3%	75	-0.4
✕Brendan Rodgers 2017 · A	20	42→52	45→50	44→45	39	214/262/332	117	283	13	6	29%	5%	66	-1.1	235/278/367	132	296	14	6	25%	4%	80	-0.1	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Austin Hedges 2013 · A	20	45→40	43→60	45	42	221/270/333	111	270	10	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	212/257/309	97	267	8	7	23%	5%	59	-1.7	227/269/410	183	271	25	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	39→43	43→55	43→40	40	195/256/301	106	289	11	5	35%	7%	57	-1.8	220/270/361	141	292	16	4	30%	5%	77	-0.3	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→52	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.3	228/303/363	135	273	15	4	21%	9%	89	+0.5	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2006 · A	20	45→55	45	40→50	44	223/268/355	132	261	12	5	20%	6%	74	-0.5	209/254/322	113	255	10	5	22%	5%	61	-1.5	285/316/376	91	312	6	10	10%	3%	93	+0.6
✕John Ryan Murphy 2011 · A	20	44→46	42→50	42→40	45	217/271/322	104	268	10	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	221/264/331	110	266	10	4	20%	5%	67	-1.1	232/282/341	109	288	11	0	23%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	42	42→50	38→30	37	209/251/310	101	292	9	2	31%	5%	57	-1.8	223/261/356	133	299	16	2	30%	5%	72	-0.7	211/258/366	155	285	22	1	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	92	+0.7	203/249/312	109	269	10	4	27%	5%	57	-1.8	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Victor Bericoto 2023 · A	21	46	44→50	41→40	43	223/285/332	109	315	12	4	32%	8%	75	-0.5	222/269/353	131	295	16	4	29%	6%	74	-0.5	227/270/337	110	299	13	4	28%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Eric Wood 2013 · A	20	44→50	43→50	42→45	43	217/276/331	113	284	10	6	27%	6%	72	-0.7	214/263/300	86	303	5	4	29%	6%	59	-1.7	203/263/351	148	259	16	7	28%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	48→50	43→55	39→45	48	232/293/350	118	281	10	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	227/289/334	107	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	239/301/393	154	272	16	6	18%	6%	93	+0.6
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	41	46→55	47→40	39	209/251/339	130	263	13	5	26%	4%	64	-1.3	227/272/323	96	293	7	3	24%	5%	68	-1.0	229/275/316	87	296	5	1	23%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Cutter Dykstra 2009 · A	20	44→54	42→40	41→55	45	214/279/314	100	286	9	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	212/272/289	77	299	6	14	29%	7%	60	-1.6	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps