Ty Harvey — OGILVIE

Ty HarveyC Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 52 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .288 / .319

PA52

HR1

K%31

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$40M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	25	2	0	0	0	5	18	0	0	0	80	233	80	313		286	60	17	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	23	4	0	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	174	367	174	541		364	40	23	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	SD	—	78	69	18	5	0	0	9	24	0	5	1	261	346	333	679	72	400	31	12	303	90	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.3
YTD	20	A	SD	—	78	65	22	6	0	0	13	18	0	5	1	338	449	431	879	92	468	23	17	401	165	+6	+1	+0	+1	+2	1.0
ROS	20	A	SD	0%	52	47	10	2	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	302	31	10	270	65	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	20	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	263	60	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	SD	—	78	70	18	5	0	0	9	24	0	5	1	257	346	329	675	71	391	31	12	303	90	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.3
TOT	20	A	SD	—	130	116	28	7	0	1	14	40	0	6	1	241	323	328	651	86	360	31	11	290	80	-3	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	170	151	33	6	1	3	16	51	1	3	1	219	298	331	629	113	301	30	9	279	72	-5	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	22	MLB	SD	48%	303	270	59	11	1	6	28	89	2	4	1	219	297	333	630	115	302	29	9	286	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.6
2029	23	MLB	SD	54%	393	351	79	15	2	8	36	113	3	5	1	225	303	348	650	123	302	29	9	291	81	-9	+1	-0	+7	+11	1.0
2030	24	MLB	SD	55%	455	407	91	17	2	10	42	130	3	5	1	224	301	349	650	125	303	29	9	294	83	-9	+1	-0	+8	+13	1.3
2031	25	MLB	SD	56%	490	437	99	19	2	11	46	140	4	6	1	227	306	355	661	128	303	29	9	296	84	-9	+1	-0	+9	+14	1.5
2032	26	MLB	SD	56%	510	454	103	20	2	11	47	146	4	6	1	227	305	352	657	126	303	29	9	297	85	-8	+1	-0	+9	+14	1.6
2033	27	MLB	SD	55%	518	460	105	20	2	12	49	148	4	6	1	228	308	359	667	130	303	29	9	297	85	-9	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	28	MLB	SD	55%	519	461	104	20	2	12	49	149	4	6	1	226	305	356	661	130	302	29	9	296	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2035	29	MLB	SD	53%	512	454	101	19	2	11	49	148	4	5	1	222	304	346	650	123	301	29	10	294	83	-10	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	SD	53%	504	447	100	19	2	11	48	147	4	5	1	224	305	349	654	125	300	29	10	291	81	-11	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.1
2037	31	MLB	SD	52%	476	424	92	17	2	10	46	141	3	5	1	217	298	337	635	120	297	30	10	287	78	-12	+1	-3	+8	+13	0.8
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	58	53	11	2	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	298	29	9	271	66	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	SD	48%	147	131	29	5	1	3	14	43	1	2	0	221	301	344	645	122	298	29	10	277	70	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	SD	54%	213	189	42	8	1	4	20	61	2	3	1	222	303	339	642	116	298	29	9	282	74	-6	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB	SD	55%	252	225	49	9	1	5	23	72	2	3	1	218	296	333	629	116	299	29	9	285	76	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2031	25	MLB	SD	56%	274	245	54	10	1	6	25	78	2	3	1	220	298	343	641	122	299	28	9	286	77	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB	SD	56%	287	256	57	11	1	6	27	82	2	3	1	223	302	344	646	121	299	29	9	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB	SD	55%	287	256	57	11	1	6	27	82	2	3	1	223	302	344	646	121	299	29	9	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB	SD	55%	285	254	55	10	1	6	27	82	2	3	1	217	297	335	631	118	298	29	9	287	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB	SD	53%	274	244	54	10	1	6	26	79	2	3	1	221	301	344	646	123	297	29	9	285	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	SD	53%	265	236	51	10	1	5	25	77	2	3	1	216	297	331	627	114	296	29	9	282	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2037	31	MLB	SD	52%	248	220	48	9	1	5	24	73	2	2	1	218	301	336	637	118	294	29	10	278	71	-8	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2590	2310	507	95	10	53	243	746	19	29	9	219	299	338	637	119	298	29	9	284	75	-72	+2	-5	+46	+73	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	128	24	3	13	61	187	5	7	2	221	301	340	640	119	300	29	9	284	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4932	4388	978	185	20	106	466	1436	36	57	11	223	303	347	649	124	304	29	9	292	82	-103	+7	-10	+88	+140	12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	129	24	3	14	61	189	5	8	1	223	302	348	650	125	304	29	9	292	82	-14	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	30	23	4	0	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	174	367	174	541		364	40	23	283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,648	56	30	224	300	346	+47	-6	7.0	6.3
	/162	664	14	7	224	300	346	+11.9	-1.4	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	8	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
	/162	664	24	2	232	309	406	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Harvey (OGILVIE)	20	20→41	40→57	30→36	40	241/323/328	86	360	1	6	31%	11%	80	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/306	118	283	11	4	36%	7%	50	-1.8	225/286/368	143	285	16	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Elias Díaz 2011 · A	20	39→49	39→50	40→45	42	190/245/274	84	248	7	4	26%	6%	40	-2.4	188/237/262	74	243	4	5	23%	5%	33	-2.9	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Eric Wood 2014 · A	21	42→48	40→55	39→45	38	205/249/297	92	281	8	4	30%	5%	47	-1.9	210/263/304	94	296	7	5	30%	6%	55	-1.4	218/275/390	173	279	21	6	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2014 · A	20	39→37	42→55	41→30	41	185/265/288	103	302	9	3	39%	8%	53	-1.5	187/270/297	110	290	10	2	36%	8%	58	-1.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	43→42	43→55	38→30	37	213/254/323	110	294	11	2	31%	5%	56	-1.3	228/266/371	143	305	18	2	30%	5%	74	-0.1	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Brendan Rodgers 2017 · A	20	42→50	43→50	44→45	39	209/256/311	103	281	11	6	30%	5%	54	-1.4	227/270/347	120	292	13	6	26%	4%	69	-0.4	236/292/359	123	281	13	0	20%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Antonio Negron 2006 · A	20	43	40→45	42→50	49	206/290/300	93	271	7	10	25%	9%	67	-0.5	203/288/307	104	253	10	10	23%	9%	68	-0.5	187/280/293	106	224	11	11	21%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Cristian Santana 2017 · A	20	39→48	42→45	39→30	35	198/229/297	99	268	10	4	30%	4%	38	-2.6	228/252/352	124	317	16	2	33%	3%	63	-0.9	249/275/348	99	334	10	0	28%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→51	39→45	41→45	44	215/285/308	93	302	6	4	29%	7%	66	-0.6	195/267/273	78	284	4	5	30%	8%	50	-1.8	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	43	-2.2	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	33	-2.9	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	0	-1.7
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	38→43	43→55	43→40	40	192/254/302	109	285	11	5	35%	7%	51	-1.7	220/270/362	142	293	16	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→46	42→50	45	38	202/252/305	103	275	9	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	201/256/343	142	286	15	8	34%	6%	63	-0.9	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0