Joephillip Guzman

Joephillip Guzman2B FCL Orioles

Age 20 R/R ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 125 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .292 / .295

PA125

HR1

K%28

BB%10

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.9M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	16	13	3	0	1	0	2	6	1	0	0	231	375	385	760	154	429	38	12	347	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	113	81	15	4	0	1	30	21	1	2	5	185	411	272	682	86	233	19	27	336	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	16	14	3	0	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	214	312	357	670	143	411	50	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	113	92	13	3	0	1	19	30	1	2	5	141	295	207	501	65	189	27	17	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	106	15	3	1	1	20	38	2	2	5	142	289	217	506	75	206	29	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	129	94	18	4	1	1	32	27	2	2	5	191	406	287	693	96	254	21	25	337	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	106	15	3	1	1	20	38	2	2	5	142	289	217	506	75	217	29	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	106	15	3	1	1	20	38	2	2	5	142	289	217	506	75	217	29	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	239	211	44	8	2	2	24	67	2	2	1	208	295	298	592	90	289	28	10	272	71	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	224	198	43	8	2	3	22	62	2	2	1	212	299	310	609	98	290	28	10	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	344	303	66	12	3	5	34	94	4	3	1	215	302	321	622	105	291	27	10	284	78	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	423	374	82	15	3	7	41	114	5	3	1	219	304	330	634	111	292	27	10	288	81	-9	+0	+0	+2	+9	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	476	422	93	17	4	8	46	127	5	4	1	221	306	338	644	116	293	27	10	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	506	447	100	18	4	9	49	133	5	4	1	223	308	344	651	120	293	26	10	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	522	460	104	19	4	10	51	138	6	4	1	223	308	345	653	122	292	26	10	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	528	467	104	19	4	10	51	140	5	4	2	222	307	342	649	120	292	27	10	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	527	466	103	18	4	10	51	141	5	3	2	220	305	337	642	117	291	27	10	291	83	-11	-0	-1	+2	+11	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	520	460	101	18	4	9	50	140	5	3	3	218	302	331	632	113	289	27	10	287	81	-12	-1	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	511	452	96	17	3	8	49	140	5	3	6	214	298	323	621	108	287	27	10	283	77	-14	-2	-2	+2	+11	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	77	68	15	3	1	1	8	21	1	1	0	215	301	316	618	101	294	27	10	282	75	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	167	147	32	6	1	2	16	45	2	1	0	219	305	327	632	109	295	27	10	288	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	229	203	45	8	2	4	22	62	2	2	1	222	307	337	644	115	296	27	10	292	81	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	264	233	53	10	2	5	26	70	3	2	1	225	309	345	654	120	297	27	10	296	84	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	283	251	57	10	2	6	27	75	3	2	1	227	311	351	662	125	297	27	10	299	86	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	294	260	59	11	2	6	29	77	3	2	1	227	311	353	663	126	297	26	10	300	86	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	292	259	59	11	2	6	28	77	3	2	1	226	310	350	660	124	296	26	10	298	85	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	289	256	56	10	2	5	28	77	3	2	1	224	308	345	652	121	295	27	10	295	83	-6	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	278	246	55	10	2	5	27	75	3	2	2	221	305	338	643	117	293	27	10	291	81	-6	-0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	269	238	52	9	2	5	26	73	3	2	3	218	301	330	631	112	291	27	10	287	77	-7	-1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2442	2161	483	88	18	45	237	652	26	18	11	224	308	343	651	120	297	27	10	294	81	-51	-1	-2	+9	+53	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	128	23	5	12	63	174	7	5	3	223	307	343	649	120	297	27	10	294	81	-14	-0	-1	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4835	4266	930	168	37	81	476	1302	50	36	24	218	304	332	636	114	292	27	10	288	81	-101	-1	-4	+17	+102	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	126	23	5	11	64	175	7	5	3	220	306	334	640	115	293	27	10	288	81	-14	-0	-1	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,566	44	18	220	301	334	+9	+6	2.5	2.4
/162	664	11	5	+2.4	+1.6	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joephillip Guzman (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	206/292/295	89	289	1	1	28%	10%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	206/267/283	78	262	4	5	22%	7%	57	-1.8	213/291/333	120	335	11	5	36%	9%	78	-0.3	196/288/335	139	309	13	2	37%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	39→49	39→50	47→45	48	189/269/277	87	261	6	7	28%	9%	57	-1.8	206/273/297	91	280	6	6	27%	6%	63	-1.4	239/310/398	159	304	18	6	26%	8%	99	+1.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Taylor 2008 · A	20	46→40	36→50	49→55	48	212/284/280	68	287	2	9	26%	8%	63	-1.4	214/289/333	119	270	12	19	24%	8%	77	-0.3	205/280/327	122	253	13	22	23%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/273/293	102	270	8	3	30%	8%	63	-1.4	186/268/287	101	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	191/272/338	147	261	18	1	32%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	44	190/262/257	67	265	4	4	28%	7%	50	-2.3	183/239/269	86	267	8	4	33%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Denzer Guzman 2024 · A	20	39→49	40→45	48→50	39	191/246/287	96	288	7	7	35%	7%	50	-2.3	209/268/322	113	303	11	10	33%	7%	67	-1.1	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→47	42→50	45	38	205/254/311	106	279	10	6	30%	5%	59	-1.7	206/263/350	144	289	15	8	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	41→38	42→50	47→55	44	198/268/304	106	282	9	9	31%	8%	63	-1.4	194/275/315	121	338	12	13	42%	9%	68	-1.0	169/262/306	137	296	13	18	43%	10%	60	-1.0
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps