Jose Puello

P DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.6 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	11	8	48	2.64	5.01	6.3%	12.6%	—	K 4.3% · BB 15.8% · FIP 5.73
2026	19	ROKDSL Arizona R…	10	10	39	4.81	5.21	13.5%	12.4%	—	K 9.2% · BB 15.4% · FIP 6.44
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	6	6	27	6.63	6.63	10.0%	18.5%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	5	5	22	6.22	6.10	12.9%	16.5%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLB—	7	7	34	5.84	5.67	15.4%	15.0%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control30Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEdinxon Arias (age 19) · Camilo Sanchez (age 20) · Felix Cepeda (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159151vR 143

ERA6.63

FIP6.63

K%10.0%

BB%18.5%

K-BB%-8.5%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL3030

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	8	48	206	13	26	3	73%	4.3	4.3%	15.8%	-11.5%	1.8%	2.64	5.73	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	8	48	206	13	26	3	73%	4.3	4.3%	15.8%	-11.5%	1.8%	2.64	5.73	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	11	8	48	206	13	26	3	73%	4.3	6.3%	12.6%	-6.3%	1.5%	2.64	5.01	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	10	10	39	178	24	22	5	100%	3.9	9.2%	15.4%	-6.3%	3.9%	4.81	6.44	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	10	10	39	178	24	22	5	100%	3.9	9.2%	15.4%	-6.3%	3.9%	4.81	6.44	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	10	10	39	178	24	22	5	100%	3.9	13.5%	12.4%	1.1%	2.8%	4.81	5.21	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	6	6	27	114	11	21	3	100%	4.5	10.0%	18.5%	-8.5%	3.0%	6.63	6.63	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	9	9	45	190	25	31	6	100%	5.0	12.9%	16.5%	-3.6%	3.0%	6.22	6.10	-0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	9	9	47	199	31	30	6	100%	5.2	15.4%	15.0%	0.4%	2.9%	5.84	5.67	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	5	5	22	93	12	15	3	100%	4.4	12.9%	16.5%	-3.6%	3.0%	6.22	6.10	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	7	7	34	144	22	22	4	100%	4.9	15.4%	15.0%	0.4%	2.9%	5.84	5.67	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	57	239	34	37	7	100%	5.1	14.4%	15.6%	-1.2%	2.9%	5.99	5.46	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		40	40	200	844	120	131	25	100%	5.0	14.4%	15.6%	-1.2%	2.9%	5.99	5.46	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		21	18	87	384	25	60	11	86%	4.1	6.6%	15.6%	-9.1%	2.8%	3.62	6.06	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	41	200	883	58	138	25	86%	4.1	6.6%	15.6%	-9.1%	2.8%	3.62	6.06	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Puello (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.63	10.0%	18.5%	3.0%	—	5.88	14.2%	-1.6%	92	-0.75	—	—	—
Edinxon Arias R 2017 · 7.03 FIP	19	SP	7.03	7.6%	19.9%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	127	88
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	86
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	85
Hunter Stratton R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	20	SP	5.73	13.1%	20.3%	2.1%	.266	4.69	14.5%	0.1%	174	-1.04	3.02	529	84
Ramon Santos R 2015 · 6.07 FIP	20	SP	6.07	7.2%	14.3%	3.2%	.352	4.52	13.3%	3.4%	191	-1.55	3.74	355	84
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	83
Moises Nova R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	20	SP	5.61	14.2%	16.8%	2.9%	.263	4.05	18.3%	4.2%	110	-1.56	3.42	219	82
Darlin Alcántara R 2022 · 6.23 FIP	20	SP-	6.23	12.3%	22.2%	2.5%	.320	4.64	12.3%	2.5%	31	-1.59	3.61	118	81
Nolan Martinez R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	20	SP	5.82	10.4%	15.4%	3.0%	.289	3.71	11.7%	3.7%	33	-2.11	2.48	140	81
Oliver Garcia R 2018 · 6.31 FIP	20	SP	6.31	10.4%	15.7%	3.8%	.315	5.86	16.5%	1.8%	53	-0.45	3.05	233	81
Jorge Bautista R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	20	SP	6.09	13.1%	16.5%	3.6%	.297	4.86	16.8%	7.5%	231	-1.23	3.80	336	80
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	80
Matt Ball R 2015 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	12.1%	14.6%	3.4%	.367	3.74	17.2%	9.4%	173	-2.02	3.50	312	79
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	79
Moises Ruiz R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	8.7%	12.8%	3.0%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	104	78
Edrick Agosto R 2017 · 6.67 FIP	20	SP-	6.67	11.4%	17.1%	4.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	113	78
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	77
Maximo Gonzalez R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	17	SP	5.75	15.4%	16.1%	3.5%	.233	6.06	12.7%	1.8%	73	+0.31	3.51	120	77
Josh Swales R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	11.8%	14.6%	2.9%	.356	5.64	15.1%	1.4%	66	+0.13	5.51	129	77
Eybersson Polanco R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	19	SP	5.53	10.5%	13.1%	3.0%	.320	3.85	18.6%	7.3%	162	-1.68	3.01	245	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	13.2%	16.4%	1.14	6.16
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*