Nolan Martinez
P
Augusta GreenJackets
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%22.9%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 3 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 10.7% | 14.3% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 4.00 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 3 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 10.7% | 14.3% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 3.96 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 6 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 83% | 2.3 | 18.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.66 | 2.48 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 6 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 83% | 2.3 | 26.4% | 5.7% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.66 | 1.71 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 5 | 5 | 25 | 107 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 10.4% | 15.4% | -5.1% | 3.9% | 6.48 | 6.32 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 5 | 5 | 25 | 107 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.0% | 13.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 6.48 | 4.62 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 7 | 6 | 33 | 133 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 86% | 4.7 | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 3.77 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 7 | 6 | 33 | 133 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 86% | 4.7 | 15.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 0.8% | 3.86 | 3.04 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 67% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 31.6% | 5.3% | 6.75 | 3.32 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 67% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 31.6% | 5.3% | 6.75 | 3.35 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 28 | 2 | 68 | 315 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 7% | 2.4 | 15.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 6.06 | 4.74 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 28 | 2 | 68 | 315 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 7% | 2.4 | 21.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 2.2% | 6.06 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 40 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 57 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.32 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 82 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 23 | 151 | 655 | 94 | 67 | 16 | 44% | 2.9 | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.08 | 4.54 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 31 | 200 | 869 | 125 | 89 | 22 | 44% | 2.9 | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.08 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nolan Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.66 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 128 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 77 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 72 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 71 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 71 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 71 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 71 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 70 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 70 |
| Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.22 | 19.1% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.24 | 3.13 | 825 | 70 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 69 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 69 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 69 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 69 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 69 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 44 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |