Deiry Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Deiry Gonzalez P FCL Phillies

Age 18 RHP 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK peak 0.6 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%16.2%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	0.0%	1.12	2.65	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	0.0%	1.12	2.65	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	22.5%	5.3%	17.2%	0.0%	1.12	2.00	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.6%	3.7%	6.42	5.12	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.6%	3.7%	6.42	5.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	PHI	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	23.9%	8.5%	15.4%	2.7%	6.42	3.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	42	176	31	13	5	100%	6.0	17.5%	7.6%	9.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.51	+0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	PHI	3	3	21	89	16	7	3	100%	7.0	17.5%	7.6%	9.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.51	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	21	87	15	7	2	100%	6.8	17.5%	7.6%	9.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.13	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	146	68	19	100%	6.2	17.5%	7.6%	9.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.13	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		22	14	81	339	54	30	7	64%	3.7	15.8%	8.8%	7.0%	2.1%	3.79	4.02	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	35	200	840	133	74	17	64%	3.7	15.8%	8.8%	7.0%	2.1%	3.79	4.02	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deiry Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	16.2%	7.6%	2.9%	—	4.51	17.5%	9.9%	42	-0.15	—	—	—
Jose Espada R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	18	SP-	4.42	15.5%	7.4%	3.1%	.234	5.09	9.6%	3.5%	53	+0.67	4.09	355	87
Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	17	SP-	4.66	15.3%	9.7%	3.0%	.271	3.39	21.5%	12.9%	88	-1.27	2.80	123	86
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	86
Yeison Santana R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	18	SP-	4.65	14.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.352	2.50	19.8%	14.5%	78	-2.15	1.61	129	85
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	85
Wellington Caceres R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	20	SP-	4.16	13.9%	6.4%	2.6%	.306	5.82	13.1%	2.1%	68	+1.66	4.16	121	84
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	84
Gabriel Aguilera R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	18	SP-	3.94	12.7%	5.3%	2.2%	.291	3.15	21.3%	9.9%	46	-0.79	3.15	244	84
Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	18	SP-	4.44	15.1%	9.7%	2.5%	.263	5.33	14.2%	-3.5%	23	+0.89	3.07	122	83
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	83
Pedro González R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	18	SP-	4.40	17.0%	7.5%	3.2%	.292	5.01	13.0%	-2.7%	71	+0.61	4.06	285	82
Keiverson Ramírez R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	17	SP-	4.77	12.0%	5.9%	3.5%	.320	3.68	15.0%	6.1%	80	-1.09	2.96	120	82
Jose Zacarias R 2015 · 3.80 FIP	18	SP-	3.80	16.1%	4.7%	2.6%	.342	3.73	9.7%	1.1%	54	-0.07	3.73	104	82
Kyle Weatherly R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	21	SP-	3.78	14.2%	7.1%	1.8%	.307	4.37	13.3%	1.6%	169	+0.59	3.78	207	82
Luis Florentino R 2019 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	14.5%	8.7%	1.4%	.254	6.16	16.4%	3.8%	60	+2.42	3.74	110	82
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	82
Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	17	SP-	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	82
Williander Moreno R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	13.7%	7.5%	2.4%	.302	5.16	20.2%	10.1%	57	+0.95	3.20	246	82
Nestor Lorant R 2019 · 3.75 FIP	17	SP-	3.75	15.5%	8.5%	1.6%	.393	3.55	22.9%	10.5%	67	-0.20	2.73	373	81
Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	12.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.344	5.39	12.1%	3.7%	92	+0.94	4.45	131	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	17.1%	7.6%	1.10	4.60
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45