Juan Brima

SS DSL Arizona Red

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1190ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	201	.266/.408/.361	2	13	52	—	.179/.296/.238
2026	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	214	.250/.455/.401	5	10	68	—	.161/.325/.244
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBARI	324	.204/.293/.283	3	6	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBARI	56	.215/.303/.310	1	1	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBARI	132	.219/.307/.323	2	3	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%94

Chase%91

wOBA78

wRC+73

K%68

ISO66

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJeremy Arocho (age 19) · Javier Herrera (age 19) · Jorge Minyety (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 113 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .290 / .280

PA113

HR1

K%26

BB%10

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	158	42	7	1	2	35	45	3	13	5	266	408	361	769	95	345	22	17	350	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	152	38	8	0	5	53	38	4	10	4	250	455	401	856	151	289	18	25	389	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	168	30	5	1	1	25	55	3	13	5	179	296	238	534	60	234	27	12	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	168	27	5	0	3	37	46	4	10	4	161	325	244	569	83	186	21	17	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	168	30	5	1	1	25	55	3	13	5	179	296	238	534	60	248	27	12	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	158	42	7	1	2	35	45	3	13	5	266	408	361	769	95	345	22	17	350	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	168	27	5	0	3	37	46	4	10	4	161	325	244	569	83	194	21	17	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	152	38	8	0	5	53	38	4	10	4	250	455	401	856	151	289	18	25	389	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	171	30	5	1	1	25	55	3	13	5	175	296	234	530	58	234	27	12	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	171	27	5	0	3	37	46	4	10	4	158	325	240	565	82	186	21	17	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	201	171	30	5	1	1	25	55	3	13	5	175	296	234	530	58	234	27	12	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	214	171	27	5	0	3	37	46	4	10	4	158	325	240	565	82	186	21	17	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	324	285	58	10	2	3	33	84	3	6	2	204	293	283	575	79	275	26	10	267	67	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	162	143	30	5	1	2	16	41	2	3	1	209	298	299	597	90	277	25	10	275	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	272	240	52	9	2	4	27	69	3	6	2	213	302	312	614	99	279	25	10	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	377	331	71	12	2	6	38	94	5	8	2	217	305	322	627	106	280	25	10	287	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	445	393	87	15	3	8	44	110	5	10	3	220	307	331	638	111	282	25	10	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	487	430	96	17	3	9	48	120	6	11	3	222	309	337	646	115	283	25	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	512	450	100	17	3	10	51	126	6	11	3	222	309	338	648	116	283	25	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	526	463	103	18	3	10	52	129	6	11	3	222	309	339	648	116	283	25	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	60%	528	465	103	18	3	10	52	130	6	11	4	221	308	336	644	115	283	25	10	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	525	462	102	18	3	9	52	131	6	10	3	219	306	332	638	112	282	25	10	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	513	451	99	17	3	9	51	129	6	9	3	217	304	325	629	108	281	25	10	287	80	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	501	442	95	16	3	8	49	128	5	8	4	214	300	318	618	104	279	26	10	283	77	-14	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	485	430	90	16	2	7	47	126	5	7	4	210	296	309	604	98	276	26	10	277	73	-15	-0	-3	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	56	49	11	2	0	1	6	14	1	1	0	215	303	310	614	95	286	25	11	282	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	132	116	26	5	1	2	13	33	2	3	1	219	307	323	630	104	288	25	10	288	77	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	204	180	40	8	1	3	20	51	2	4	1	223	310	333	643	110	290	25	10	293	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	252	222	51	10	2	4	25	62	3	6	2	226	312	341	654	116	292	25	10	297	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	275	243	56	11	2	5	27	68	3	6	2	228	314	348	662	120	293	25	10	300	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	289	255	58	11	2	5	29	71	3	6	2	228	314	349	663	121	293	25	10	300	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	297	263	59	11	2	5	29	73	3	6	2	228	314	349	663	121	293	25	10	300	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	60%	315	277	63	12	2	6	31	78	4	7	2	227	313	346	660	119	292	25	10	299	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	324	285	64	12	2	6	32	81	4	6	2	225	311	342	653	116	291	25	10	296	83	-7	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	322	283	63	12	2	5	32	81	4	6	2	223	309	336	644	113	290	25	10	293	80	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	318	281	62	12	2	5	31	81	3	5	2	220	305	328	633	108	288	25	10	288	77	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	315	278	60	11	2	5	31	82	3	4	3	216	301	318	619	103	285	26	10	283	73	-10	-0	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3099	2732	613	117	20	52	306	775	35	60	21	224	310	339	649	115	292	25	10	294	79	-69	+4	-4	+33	+67	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	129	25	4	11	64	163	7	13	4	225	310	340	650	115	294	25	10	294	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5861	5136	1106	192	33	97	600	1463	69	130	45	215	306	322	628	107	279	25	10	286	79	-124	+7	-7	+58	+118	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	123	21	4	11	67	162	8	14	5	216	307	325	632	109	279	25	10	286	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 214 PAwOBA .390 → .268 (−122)K% 17.8% → 21.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.76%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.77%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	17.25%
HBP% /PA	1.87%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.30%
Singles /BIP	21.93%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.993	×0.995	14.73%
Doubles /BIP	7.02%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.993	×0.995	4.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.993	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.39%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.05%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .390 → .268; ISO .151 → .087; BABIP .289 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 201 PAwOBA .351 → .245 (−106)K% 22.4% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.39%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	27.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.41%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.48%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.05%
Singles /BIP	28.32%	÷0.988	×0.680	×1.008	×1.008	19.79%
Doubles /BIP	6.19%	÷0.965	×0.600	×1.008	×1.008	3.91%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷0.959	×0.600	×1.008	×1.008	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	1.77%	÷1.141	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.73%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 92, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .351 → .245; ISO .095 → .054; BABIP .345 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,214	55	63	219	302	327	+34	+24	5.3	4.8
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+5.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Brima (OGILVIE)	19	40	25	55	60	202/290/280	78	275	1	2	26%	10%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	42	34→30	52→55	53	193/282/250	57	259	1	17	24%	10%	56	-1.9	182/254/239	57	293	2	15	35%	8%	42	-2.9	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Willmer De La Cruz 2022 · A	19	42	37→30	50→55	54	196/299/271	75	285	4	19	29%	12%	68	-1.0	193/279/256	63	306	3	16	34%	10%	56	-1.9	169/258/209	40	284	1	19	37%	10%	35	-0.7
✕Adrian Santana 2024 · A	19	44→49	37→30	52→60	45	206/278/282	76	295	4	10	29%	8%	61	-1.5	217/263/276	59	271	2	32	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/274/284	56	276	2	38	17%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Felix Cotes 2024 · A	18	43	39→30	51→50	47	203/279/295	92	291	6	10	30%	9%	65	-1.2	204/279/266	62	284	3	13	26%	9%	58	-1.7	191/282/229	37	268	0	20	25%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Leandro Arias 2024 · A	19	40→45	39→40	53→45	48	194/267/279	85	248	6	14	23%	8%	57	-1.8	205/275/282	77	269	6	8	24%	8%	61	-1.5	203/277/274	71	268	6	8	25%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	42→52	34→40	51→50	47	195/267/246	51	274	2	11	28%	8%	49	-2.4	210/263/256	46	284	1	12	25%	6%	49	-2.4	252/303/348	96	305	4	12	18%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Luis Mendez 2012 · A	19	45	37→30	52→50	52	211/294/279	69	256	5	13	19%	8%	68	-1.0	210/280/277	67	273	3	14	22%	7%	61	-1.5	211/271/264	53	281	2	13	24%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Dayan Frias 2021 · A	19	41→43	36→40	49→55	57	190/286/256	66	242	2	11	21%	12%	59	-1.6	210/286/301	91	305	6	6	30%	9%	69	-0.9	209/288/306	96	301	8	6	31%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Yoffry Solano 2024 · A	19	44	36→30	49→40	46	208/274/279	71	266	3	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	211/267/279	68	269	2	11	21%	6%	56	-1.9	212/269/271	58	271	2	11	21%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	41→38	36→30	50→55	55	190/288/255	65	260	3	15	26%	12%	60	-1.6	201/276/269	68	307	2	13	32%	9%	57	-1.8	184/266/243	59	303	3	15	36%	10%	45	-1.2
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	40→45	39→40	50	47	192/277/282	90	267	6	15	28%	8%	61	-1.5	194/279/270	76	279	3	11	29%	8%	59	-1.6	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1

Juan Brima

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps