Cristopher PolancoSS DSL Blue Jays Blue
Age 18 L/R 5'10" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION109 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .280 / .236
PA82
HR0
K%28
BB%11
BABIP265
ISO56
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.91.90.20.50.81.01.21.31.31.41.21.0+$64M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$5M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.2$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$5M+1.0$3M+$2M
Totals $16M $32M +$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Blue Jays Blue 222183 18410 33866 95 98257131388 33186 3915 197 9
202517 ROKDSL Blue Jays Blue 222164 29710 52566 95 177392232624 55269 2523 317 101
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKTOR 10990 16210 15332 62 178308222531 44271 3014 258 56 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
YTD18 ROKTOR 10980 19310 25232 62 237430300730 62322 2123 348 125 +3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.8
ROS18 ROKTOR 0% 8272 13210 9231 21 181280236517 56261 2811 249 49 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS18 MLBTOR 0% 01 0000 000 00 262 240 42 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKTOR 10991 16210 15332 62 176308220528 44267 3014 258 56 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
TOT18 ROKTOR 191162 29420 24563 83 179296228525 49269 2913 254 53 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBTOR 34% 271235 45822 30754 51 191294268562 77269 2811 265 61 -12 +1 +0 +3 +8 -0.1
202820 MLBTOR 48% 393341 681225 431076 72 199300290590 91273 2711 275 69 -14 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.2
202921 MLBTOR 54% 484421 861537 531297 93 204304304608 100275 2711 282 74 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.5
203022 MLBTOR 57% 548475 981739 601458 103 206306312617 105276 2611 286 77 -14 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.8
203123 MLBTOR 58% 592513 10819410 651559 113 211310322632 111277 2611 289 79 -14 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.0
203224 MLBTOR 57% 616533 11320411 6816110 123 212313326639 114278 2611 291 81 -13 +1 +0 +7 +17 1.2
203325 MLBTOR 61% 627543 11520411 6916410 123 212312324636 112278 2611 292 82 -13 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.3
203426 MLBTOR 63% 635550 11720412 7016610 123 213313329642 116278 2611 293 82 -13 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.3
203527 MLBTOR 64% 634548 11620412 7116610 123 212313328642 117278 2611 293 82 -13 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.4
203628 MLBTOR 65% 629543 11420411 7116610 123 210312322635 112277 2611 292 82 -13 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2
203729 MLBTOR 65% 619534 11219411 7016410 113 210313322635 112277 2611 290 80 -14 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.0
203830 MLBTOR 65% 609526 10819310 691639 113 205308310618 105276 2711 288 78 -15 +1 -2 +7 +17 0.8
203931 MLBTOR 65% 595514 10518310 671619 103 204307309616 105273 2711 284 75 -17 +1 -3 +6 +17 0.5
204032 MLBTOR 65% 576497 1001739 651589 93 201305302607 101270 2711 279 72 -18 +1 -4 +6 +16 0.1
204133 MLBTOR 65% 546472 921538 611538 82 195298290588 95267 2811 273 67 -20 +1 -4 +6 +15 -0.3
202719 MLBTOR 34% 9382 16311 10261 21 195290293583 98270 2811 256 54 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202820 MLBTOR 48% 190164 33612 21523 41 201303287590 85274 2711 265 61 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202921 MLBTOR 54% 262227 47824 29704 51 207308313620 106276 2711 272 66 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203022 MLBTOR 57% 310268 561025 34825 62 209309317627 108278 2611 276 69 -11 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.2
203123 MLBTOR 58% 341296 621126 37905 62 209308321629 111278 2611 279 71 -11 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203224 MLBTOR 57% 351305 641126 38925 72 210307318626 108279 2611 281 73 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.4
203325 MLBTOR 61% 380329 701227 42996 72 213313325638 112279 2611 282 74 -11 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.4
203426 MLBTOR 63% 397344 741337 441046 82 215315331646 116279 2611 282 74 -12 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.5
203527 MLBTOR 64% 403349 741337 451066 82 212312327639 115279 2611 282 74 -12 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.5
203628 MLBTOR 65% 409354 751337 461086 82 212313325638 113279 2611 282 74 -12 +1 -0 +4 +12 0.4
203729 MLBTOR 65% 402348 731327 451076 72 210311319630 109278 2711 280 72 -13 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.3
203830 MLBTOR 65% 396342 711227 451066 72 208310316626 108277 2711 277 70 -13 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.2
203931 MLBTOR 65% 387334 681226 441056 62 204307305613 102275 2711 274 68 -14 +0 -2 +4 +11 -0.0
204032 MLBTOR 65% 374323 651126 421036 62 201305303608 102272 2811 269 64 -15 +0 -2 +4 +11 -0.3
204133 MLBTOR 65% 355307 601025 40995 52 195298290588 94268 2811 263 59 -16 +0 -3 +4 +10 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 50504373 9081583183 562134976 9227 208309315623 107278 2711 276 70 -174 +8 -10 +54 +143 2.2
/ 162G 650563 11720411 7217410 123 208309316625 108278 2711 276 70 -22 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.3
Career 86787500 152826552138 9742342136 16247 204306308615 104275 2711 283 75 -244 +14 -15 +93 +246 9.5
/ 162G 650562 11420410 7317510 124 203305306611 103274 2711 283 75 -18 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Blue Jays Blue 222164 29710 52566 95 177392232624 55269 2523 317 101 +0 -0 +6 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
105,2428595207304313+56+306.45.8
/1626641112+7.1+3.80.8pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cristopher Polanco (OGILVIE) 18 20 20 50 60 179/296/228 49269 08 29% 13% 53 -0.2
Nicoll Parra
2012 · A
18 39 36→30 44→55 45 183/264/252 70275 48 32% 8% 43 -2.2 197/307/251 54268 118 24% 12% 63 -0.9 186/321/2243825402722%14%60-0.3
Roynier Hernandez
2023 · A
18 44 34→30 46→50 53 203/279/257 54256 28 20% 10% 50 -1.7 230/299/285 55293 19 20% 9% 65 -0.7 244/304/306623153722%8%70-0.2
Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A
19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
Henry Ramos
2023 · A
18 37 34→45 55 45 175/253/225 50259 217 31% 8% 31 -3.0 179/240/248 69278 416 35% 7% 30 -3.1 199/257/2697029452032%6%41-1.0
Juan Mosquera
2007 · A
19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
Carlos Goris
2019 · A
18 35 35→30 51→55 43 166/241/233 66250 27 32% 8% 28 -3.2 189/268/264 75265 512 28% 9% 48 -1.9 169/264/2296022462125%11%35-1.1
Iraj Serrano
2017 · A
18 38 35→30 50 50 178/255/236 59221 210 20% 8% 36 -2.7 208/295/256 48264 110 19% 9% 57 -1.2 206/304/2352926601020%10%54-0.5
Yeremy Cabrera
2023 · A
18 37→41 38→45 53→55 48 181/263/262 81241 513 26% 8% 46 -2.0 206/287/315 109272 1017 26% 9% 69 -0.4 200/284/304104268112428%8%63-0.5
Enmanuel Terrero
2022 · A
19 42 36→45 46→55 52 196/279/261 65256 39 23% 10% 52 -1.6 220/298/308 88314 714 29% 10% 71 -0.3 212/292/3059332591734%10%65-0.3
Adonis Figuereo
2019 · A
18 37 38→30 46→45 44 182/246/261 79250 58 28% 7% 37 -2.6 193/263/271 78270 66 28% 8% 47 -1.9 194/266/259662506524%8%43-0.8
Yasmil Bucce
2023 · A
18 41 40→45 49→30 44 198/265/288 89272 75 29% 7% 53 -1.5 202/288/300 98309 84 34% 10% 66 -0.6 205/306/33412832513237%11%79+0.2
Carlos Soler
2018 · A
18 39 37→45 46→45 39 187/248/267 80274 38 31% 6% 40 -2.4 216/272/305 89319 38 31% 6% 59 -1.1 238/290/3441063522831%5%73-0.0
Marco Guzman
2013 · A
18 37 35→45 47→50 47 176/257/242 66244 28 26% 8% 38 -2.6 198/263/278 80251 47 22% 8% 49 -1.8 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Kleiber Rodriguez
2018 · A
19 37 35→30 46→40 46 175/250/234 59244 25 27% 8% 33 -2.9 219/280/288 69282 35 21% 7% 58 -1.2 240/298/301612842415%8%67-0.2
Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A
19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
Kleininger Teran
2007 · A
18 43 36→30 46→45 46 204/263/271 66266 45 24% 7% 46 -2.0 214/282/273 59266 25 19% 8% 55 -1.4 228/286/289612771317%7%57-0.5
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
Ronier Lascarro
2019 · A
18 43 35→40 47→50 47 199/274/261 62291 27 30% 9% 50 -1.8 201/287/276 75283 49 27% 10% 59 -1.1 200/308/2808024941019%12%66-0.3
Deivi Estrada
2019 · A
18 40 36→30 45→50 43 190/259/260 71280 210 31% 7% 43 -2.2 210/287/274 64290 39 26% 9% 58 -1.2 195/270/241462892830%8%41-0.7
Michael De La Cruz
2015 · A
19 43 35→40 46→50 50 199/283/256 57281 210 28% 10% 52 -1.6 188/254/253 65290 39 33% 8% 38 -2.6 169/235/2275826521034%7%21-1.3